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The 2018 Wyoming gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the governor of Wyoming. Incumbent Republican governor Matt Mead was term-limited and could not seek a third consecutive term. Republican nominee Mark Gordon defeated Democratic nominee Mary Throne by nearly 40 percentage points.[1]
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Turnout | 73.45% registered 10.08% 41.16% of total population 7.16% | ||||||||||||||||
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Gordon: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Throne: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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This was the only time since 1978 that a candidate from the President's party was elected governor of Wyoming.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Foster Friess |
Sam Galeotos |
Mark Gordon |
Harriet Hageman |
Taylor Haynes |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of Wyoming | August 17–19, 2018 | 357 | – | 20% | 10% | 26% | 18% | 9% | 1%[35] | 15% |
The Trafalgar Group (R) | August 11–14, 2018 | 1,775 | ± 2.4% | 21% | 10% | 20% | 16% | 6% | 8%[36] | 20% |
University of Wyoming | June 18–20, 2018 | 596 | ± 4.0% | 6% | 14% | 19% | 11% | 10% | 1%[35] | 35% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Mark Gordon | 38,951 | 33.0 | |
Republican | Foster Friess | 29,842 | 25.3 | |
Republican | Harriet Hageman | 25,052 | 21.2 | |
Republican | Sam Galeotos | 14,554 | 12.3 | |
Republican | Taylor Haynes | 6,511 | 5.5 | |
Republican | Bill Dahlin | 1,763 | 1.5 | |
n/a | Under votes | 1,269 | 1.1 | |
Republican | Write-ins | 113 | 0.0 | |
n/a | Over votes | 46 | 0.0 | |
Total votes | 118,101 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Mary Throne | 12,948 | 66.5 | |
Democratic | Michael Green | 2,391 | 12.3 | |
n/a | Under votes | 1,385 | 7.1 | |
Democratic | Kenneth Casner | 1,213 | 6.2 | |
Democratic | Rex Wilde | 1,201 | 6.2 | |
Democratic | Write-ins | 323 | 1.7 | |
n/a | Over votes | 13 | 0.0 | |
Total votes | 19,474 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[52] | Safe R | October 26, 2018 |
The Washington Post[53] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
FiveThirtyEight[54] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Rothenberg Political Report[55] | Safe R | November 1, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[56] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
RealClearPolitics[57] | Safe R | November 4, 2018 |
Daily Kos[58] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Fox News[59][lower-alpha 1] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
Politico[60] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Governing[61] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mark Gordon (R) |
Mary Throne (D) |
Rex Rammell (C) |
Lawrence Struempf (L) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research | November 2–4, 2018 | 858 | – | 61% | 27% | 6% | 4% | – |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Mark Gordon | 136,412 | 67.12% | +7.73% | |
Democratic | Mary Throne | 55,965 | 27.54% | +0.29% | |
Constitution | Rex Rammell | 6,751 | 3.32% | N/A | |
Libertarian | Lawrence Struempf | 3,010 | 1.48% | −0.93% | |
Write-in | 1,100 | 0.54% | -4.52% | ||
Total votes | 203,238 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Republican hold |
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