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The 2022 United States Senate election in Connecticut was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Connecticut.
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Turnout | 51.03% | |||||||||||||||||||
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Blumenthal: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Levy: 50–60% 60–70% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Democrat Richard Blumenthal was first elected to this seat in 2010 with 55.2% of the vote over Republican Linda McMahon. He was then re-elected in 2016 with 63.2% of the vote over Republican Dan Carter. Blumenthal ran for reelection to a third term in office and secured the 2022 nomination. Businesswoman Leora Levy won the Republican primary on August 9, 2022. Blumenthal won reelection, defeating Levy by about 15 points.[1] The race took place simultaneously with the 2022 Connecticut gubernatorial election.
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Leora Levy | 46,774 | 50.60% | |
Republican | Themis Klarides | 37,003 | 40.03% | |
Republican | Peter Lumaj | 8,665 | 9.37% | |
Total votes | 92,442 | 100.0% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[32] | Solid D | March 4, 2022 |
Inside Elections[33] | Solid D | April 1, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] | Safe D | March 1, 2022 |
Politico[35] | Likely D | August 12, 2022 |
RCP[36] | Lean D | October 15, 2022 |
Fox News[37] | Likely D | September 20, 2022 |
DDHQ[38] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538[39] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[40] | Safe D | September 7, 2022 |
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Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Richard Blumenthal (D) |
Leora Levy (R) |
Other [lower-alpha 1] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Clear Politics[48] | October 10–23, 2022 | October 30, 2022 | 52.7% | 41.7% | 5.6% | Blumenthal +11.0 |
FiveThirtyEight[49] | September 15 – October 19, 2022 | October 30, 2022 | 53.4% | 40.9% | 5.7% | Blumenthal +12.4 |
270towin[50] | September 7–21, 2022 | October 30, 2022 | 52.7% | 41.7% | 5.6% | Blumenthal +11.0 |
Average | 52.9% | 41.4% | 5.7% | Blumenthal +11.5 |
Graphical summary
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Richard Blumenthal (D) |
Leora Levy (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Long Island University[51] | October 24–26, 2022 | 1,004 (A) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 26% | 9%[lower-alpha 3] | 14% |
Quinnipiac University[52] | October 19–23, 2022 | 1,879 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 56% | 41% | 1%[lower-alpha 4] | 2% |
Emerson College[53] | October 19–21, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 53% | 40% | 2%[lower-alpha 5] | 5% |
54% | 42% | 4%[lower-alpha 6] | – | ||||
Fabrizo, Lee & Associates (R)[54][upper-alpha 1] | October 10–13, 2022 | 1,200 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 49% | 44% | – | 7% |
Western New England University[55] | September 15–21, 2022 | 766 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 51% | 37% | 2%[lower-alpha 7] | 10% |
626 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 53% | 40% | 2%[lower-alpha 8] | 5% | ||
Quinnipiac University[52] | September 15–19, 2022 | 1,911 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 57% | 40% | 1%[lower-alpha 9] | 3% |
Emerson College[56] | September 7–9, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 36% | – | 15% |
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[57] | July 26–27, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 33% | – | 22% |
Emerson College[56] | May 10–11, 2022 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 52% | 36% | – | 11% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Richard Blumenthal (D) |
Themis Klarides (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[57] | July 26–27, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 34% | 21% |
Emerson College[56] | May 10–11, 2022 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 40% | 10% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Richard Blumenthal (D) |
Peter Lumaj (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[56] | May 10–11, 2022 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 35% | 14% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Richard Blumenthal (D) |
Generic Opponent |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[57] | July 26–27, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 41% | 47% | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Generic Democrat |
Generic Republican |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fabrizo Lee (R)[58][upper-alpha 1] | October 10–13, 2022 | 1,200 (LV) | – | 45% | 43% | 1%[lower-alpha 10] | 11% |
Richard Blumenthal vs. Themis Klarides
Richard Blumenthal vs. Peter Lumaj
Richard Blumenthal vs. generic opponent
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn |
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Richard Blumenthal | Leora Levy | |||||
1 | Nov. 2, 2022 | Channel 3, CT Insider | [59] | P | P |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Richard Blumenthal | 701,175 | 55.65% | −2.03% | |
Working Families | Richard Blumenthal | 22,689 | 1.80% | −3.71% | |
Total | Richard Blumenthal (incumbent) | 723,864 | 57.45% | -5.74% | |
Republican | Leora Levy | 535,943 | 42.54% | +7.92% | |
Write-in | 80 | 0.00% | ±0.0% | ||
Total votes | 1,259,887 | 100.00% | |||
Democratic hold |
Blumenthal won all 5 congressional districts.[61]
District | Blumenthal | Levy | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 63% | 37% | John B. Larson |
2nd | 55% | 45% | Joe Courtney |
3rd | 58% | 42% | Rosa DeLauro |
4th | 61% | 39% | Jim Himes |
5th | 52% | 48% | Jahana Hayes |
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