2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri

The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the eight U.S. representatives from the state of Missouri, one from each of the state's eight congressional districts.

2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri

← 2016 November 6, 2018 (2018-11-06) 2020 →
All eight of Missouri's seats to the United States House of Representatives
Majority party Minority party   Party Republican Democratic Last election 6 2 Seats won 6 2 Seat change Popular vote 1,330,975 1,027,969 Percentage 55.03% 42.51% Swing 3.17% 4.65%
District results County results Republican   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   80–90% Democratic   50–60%   60–70%   80–90%

Results summary

Statewide

Party		Candidates	Votes		Seats
			No.	%	No.	+/–	%
	Republican	8	1,330,975	55.04	6		75.00%
	Democratic	8	1,027,969	42.51	2		25.00%
	Libertarian	8	54,746	2.26	0		0.00%
	Green	2	3,831	0.16	0		0.00%
	Constitution	1	876	0.04	0		0.00%
	Write-in	3	16	0.0	0		0.00%
Total		30	2,418,413	100.0	8		100.0%

Popular vote Republican   55.03% Democratic   42.51% Libertarian   2.26% Other   0.20%

House seats Republican   75.00% Democratic   25.00%

District

Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri by district:^[1]

District	Republican		Democratic		Others		Total		Result
	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%
District 1	45,867	16.72%	219,781	80.10%	8,727	3.18%	274,375	100.0%	Democratic hold
District 2	192,477	51.18%	177,611	47.23%	5,978	1.59%	376,066	100.0%	Republican hold
District 3	211,243	65.08%	106,589	32.84%	6,776	2.08%	324,608	100.0%	Republican hold
District 4	190,138	64.82%	95,968	32.72%	7,210	2.46%	293,316	100.0%	Republican hold
District 5	101,069	35.69%	175,019	61.53%	7,697	2.78%	283,785	100.0%	Democratic hold
District 6	199,796	65.42%	97,660	31.98%	7,953	2.60%	305,409	100.0%	Republican hold
District 7	196,343	66.23%	89,190	30.09%	10,922	3.68%	296,455	100.0%	Republican hold
District 8	194,042	73.39%	66,151	25.02%	4,206	1.59%	264,399	100.0%	Republican hold
Total	1,330,975	55.03%	1,027,969	42.51%	59,469	2.46%	2,418,413	100.0%

District 1

2018 Missouri's 1st congressional district election

← 2016 2020 →

Nominee Lacy Clay Robert Vroman Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 219,781 45,867 Percentage 80.1% 16.7%

County results Clay:      70–80%      80–90%

U.S. Representative before election Lacy Clay Democratic Elected U.S. Representative Lacy Clay Democratic

See also: Missouri's 1st congressional district

The 1st district includes all of St. Louis City and much of Northern St. Louis County. Incumbent Democrat Lacy Clay, who had represented the district since 2001, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 75% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+29.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Lacy Clay, incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary

• Cori Bush, pastor, nurse and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016
• Demarco Davidson
• Joshua Shipp, certified exercise physiologist

Withdrawn

• Susan Bolhafner

Endorsements

Cori Bush

State legislators

• Nina Turner, president of Our Revolution and former Ohio state senate^[2]

Organizations

• Brand New Congress
• Democracy for America
• Justice Democrats^[3]
• Our Revolution
• St. Louis Young Democrats^[4]

Individuals

• Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, bartender, activist and nominee for New York's 14th district in 2018

Lacy Clay

Newspapers

• The St. Louis American^[5]

Primary results

Democratic primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Lacy Clay (incumbent)	81,426	56.7
	Democratic	Cori Bush	53,056	36.9
	Democratic	Joshua Shipp	4,959	3.5
	Democratic	DeMarco K. Davidson	4,229	2.9
Total votes			143,670	100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Robert Vroman

Eliminated in primary

• Camille Lombardi-Olive
• Edward Van Deventer Jr.

Primary results

Republican primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Robert Vroman	5,095	34.5
	Republican	Edward L. Van Deventer Jr.	4,864	32.9
	Republican	Camille Lombardi-Olive	4,820	32.6
Total votes			14,779	100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Robb Cunningham, nominee for this seat in 2008, 2012, 2014 and 2016 and candidate in 2010

Primary results

Libertarian primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Libertarian	Robb Cunningham	478	100.0
Total votes			478	100.0

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[6]	Safe D	November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[7]	Safe D	November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8]	Safe D	November 5, 2018
RCP[9]	Safe D	November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[10]	Safe D	November 5, 2018
538[11]	Safe D	November 7, 2018
CNN[12]	Safe D	October 31, 2018
Politico[13]	Safe D	November 2, 2018

Results

Missouri's 1st congressional district, 2018

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Lacy Clay (incumbent)	219,781	80.1
	Republican	Robert Vroman	45,867	16.7
	Libertarian	Robb Cunningham	8,727	3.2
Total votes			274,375	100.0
	Democratic hold

District 2

2018 Missouri's 2nd congressional district election

← 2016 2020 →

Nominee Ann Wagner Cort VanOstran Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 192,477 177,611 Percentage 51.2% 47.2%

County results Wagner:      40–50%      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election Ann Wagner Republican Elected U.S. Representative Ann Wagner Republican

See also: Missouri's 2nd congressional district

The 2nd district includes the suburbs south and west of St. Louis City. Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner, who had represented the district since 2013, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 59% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+8.

Republican primary

Wagner was considered likely to run for the U.S. Senate in 2018 instead of running for re-election,^[14][15] but opted to seek re-election to the House.^[16]

At the filing deadline, one candidate, Noga Sachs, had filed with the Federal Election Commission to run in the Republican primary. Despite an attempt by the Missouri Republican Party to remove her from the ballot in April 2018, she remained on the ballout.^[17]

Candidates

Nominee

• Ann Wagner, incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary

• Noga Sachs, business owner

Primary results

Republican primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Ann Wagner (incumbent)	72,173	89.9
	Republican	Noga Sachs	8,115	10.1
Total votes			80,288	100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Cort VanOstran, attorney, advocate and teacher^[18]

Eliminated in primary

• Bill Haas, St. Louis School Board member, candidate for mayor of St. Louis in 2017 and nominee for this seat in 2008^[18]
• Robert Hazel
• John Messmer, professor of political science at St. Louis Community College – Meramec
• Mark Osmack, former army officer and Afghanistan veteran^[18][19]

Withdrawn

• Kelli Dunaway, assistant director of legal professional development at Bryan Cave LLP and former elected delegate for the California Democratic Party
• Mike Evans, candidate for state house in 2016

Declined

• Sam Gladney, Iraq War veteran and stepson of former Republican representative Jo Ann Emerson^[18]

Endorsements

Cort VanOstran

Organizations

• St. Louis Young Democrats^[4]

Primary results

Democratic primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Cort VanOstran	45,248	41.7
	Democratic	Mark J. Osmack	27,389	25.2
	Democratic	William "Bill" Haas	21,151	19.5
	Democratic	John Messmer	10,503	9.7
	Democratic	Robert W. Hazel	4,321	4.0
Total votes			108,612	100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Larry Kirk

Primary results

Libertarian primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Libertarian	Larry Kirk	905	100.0
Total votes			905	100.0

Green primary

Candidates

Nominee

• David Justus Arnold

Primary results

Green primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Green	David Justus Arnold	177	100.0
Total votes			177	100.0

General election

Endorsements

Cort VanOstran (D)

Organizations

• Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program^[20]
• Everytown for Gun Safety^[21]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Ann Wagner (R)	Cort VanOstran (D)	Tony Kirk (L)	David Arnold (G)	Undecided
Expedition Strategies (D-VanOstran)[22]	August 23–26, 2018	402	± 4.9%	41%	43%	1%	0%	14%
Remington Research (R)[23]	August 22–23, 2018	983	± 3.1%	51%	40%	–	–	9%

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[6]	Lean R	November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[7]	Safe R	November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8]	Likely R	November 5, 2018
RCP[9]	Likely R	November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[10]	Likely R	November 5, 2018
538[11]	Likely R	November 7, 2018
CNN[12]	Likely R	October 31, 2018
Politico[13]	Likely R	November 4, 2018

Results

Missouri's 2nd congressional district, 2018

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Ann Wagner (incumbent)	192,477	51.2
	Democratic	Cort VanOstran	177,611	47.2
	Libertarian	Tony Kirk	4,229	1.1
	Green	David Arnold	1,740	0.5
	Write-in		9	0.0
Total votes			376,066	100.0
	Republican hold

District 3

2018 Missouri's 3rd congressional district election

← 2016 2020 →

Nominee Blaine Luetkemeyer Katy Geppert Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 211,243 106,589 Percentage 65.1% 32.8%

County results Luetkemeyer:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

U.S. Representative before election Blaine Luetkemeyer Republican Elected U.S. Representative Blaine Luetkemeyer Republican

See also: Missouri's 3rd congressional district

The third district stretches from exurbs of St. Louis to the state capital Jefferson City. Incumbent Republican Blaine Luetkemeyer, who had represented the district since 2009, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 68% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+18.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Blaine Luetkemeyer, incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary

• Chadwick Bicknell

Primary results

Republican primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Blaine Luetkemeyer (incumbent)	95,385	79.9
	Republican	Chadwick Bicknell	24,000	20.1
Total votes			119,385	100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Katy Geppert, scientist

Withdrawn

• John Kiehne, musician

Endorsements

Katy Geppert

Organizations

• St. Louis Young Democrats^[4]

Primary results

Democratic primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Katy Geppert	55,815	100.0
Total votes			55,815	100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Donald Stolle

Primary results

Libertarian primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Libertarian	Donald Stolle	745	100.0
Total votes			745	100.0

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[6]	Safe R	November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[7]	Safe R	November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8]	Safe R	November 5, 2018
RCP[9]	Safe R	November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[10]	Safe R	November 5, 2018
538[11]	Safe R	November 7, 2018
CNN[12]	Safe R	October 31, 2018
Politico[13]	Safe R	November 4, 2018

Results

Missouri's 3rd congressional district, 2018

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Blaine Luetkemeyer (incumbent)	211,243	65.1
	Democratic	Katy Geppert	106,589	32.8
	Libertarian	Donald Stolle	6,776	2.1
Total votes			324,608	100.0
	Republican hold

District 4

2018 Missouri's 4th congressional district election

← 2016 2020 →

Nominee Vicky Hartzler Renee Hoagenson Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 190,138 95,968 Percentage 64.8% 32.7%

County results Hartzler:      60–70%      70–80%      80–90% Hoagenson:      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election Vicky Hartzler Republican Elected U.S. Representative Vicky Hartzler Republican

See also: Missouri's 4th congressional district

The fourth district comprises the city of Columbia and much of rural west-central Missouri. Incumbent Republican Vicky Hartzler, who had represented the district since 2011, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 68% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+17.

Republican primary

Hartzler had been considered a potential candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2018.^[15]

Candidates

Nominee

• Vicky Hartzler, incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary

• John Webb, small business owner

Withdrawn

• Jenna Marie Bourgeois, CEO of a global technology startup

Primary results

Republican primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Vicky Hartzler (incumbent)	74,226	73.5
	Republican	John Webb	26,787	26.5
Total votes			101,013	100

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Renee Hoagenson, business owner

Eliminated in primary

• Hallie Thompson, scientist

Primary results

Democratic primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Renee Hoagenson	24,139	51.9
	Democratic	Hallie J. Thompson	22,398	48.1
Total votes			46,537	100

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Mark Bliss, co-pastor of a Warrensburg church group and nominee for this seat in 2016

Eliminated in primary

• Steven Koonse, financial examiner, Vietnam War veteran and Bronze Star recipient

Primary results

Libertarian primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Libertarian	Mark Bliss	398	56.1
	Libertarian	Steven Koonse	312	43.9
Total votes			710	100.0

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[6]	Safe R	November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[7]	Safe R	November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8]	Safe R	November 5, 2018
RCP[9]	Safe R	November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[10]	Safe R	November 5, 2018
538[11]	Safe R	November 7, 2018
CNN[12]	Safe R	October 31, 2018
Politico[13]	Safe R	November 4, 2018

Endorsements

Renee Hoagenson (D)

Statewide officials

• Jason Kander, former Secretary of State of Missouri and nominee for U.S Senate in 2016^[24]
• Roger B. Wilson, former governor of Missouri and former chair of the Missouri Democratic Party

Labor unions

• Fire Fighters Local 42
• International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers
• North America's Building Trades Unions
• St. Louis–Kansas City Carpenters Regional Council

Organizations

• National Women's Political Caucus

Results

Missouri's 4th congressional district, 2018

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Vicky Hartzler (incumbent)	190,138	64.8
	Democratic	Renee Hoagenson	95,968	32.7
	Libertarian	Mark Bliss	7,210	2.5
Total votes			293,316	100.0
	Republican hold

District 5

2018 Missouri's 5th congressional district election

← 2016 2020 →

Nominee Emanuel Cleaver Jacob Turk Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 175,019 101,069 Percentage 61.7% 35.6%

County results Cleaver:      50–60%      60–70% Turk:      50–60%      60–70%

U.S. Representative before election Emanuel Cleaver Democratic Elected U.S. Representative Emanuel Cleaver Democratic

See also: Missouri's 5th congressional district

The fifth district encompasses most of Jackson County, the southern part of Clay County, and three other rural counties to the east. Incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver, who had represented the district since 2005, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 58% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+7.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Emanuel Cleaver, incumbent U.S. representative

Withdrawn

• Jenna Squires^[25]

Primary results

Democratic primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Emanuel Cleaver (incumbent)	87,449	100.0
Total votes			87,449	100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Jacob Turk, Marine Corps veteran and nominee for this seat in 2006 and 2008, 2010, 2012, 2014 & 2016

Eliminated in primary

• Kress Cambers
• Richonda Oaks

Withdrawn

• Brent Lasater, state representative

Primary results

Republican primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Jacob Turk	35,883	75.1
	Republican	Kress Cambers	8,423	17.6
	Republican	Richonda Oaks	3,467	7.3
Total votes			47,773	100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Alexander Howell, realtor

Eliminated in primary

• Cisse Spragins, director of a rodent control product manufacturer, former Missouri Libertarian Party chair, candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010, nominee for Missouri Secretary of State in 2012 and for governor in 2016

Primary results

Libertarian primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Libertarian	Alexander Howell	512	56.3
	Libertarian	Cisse Spragins	398	43.7
Total votes			910	100.0

Green primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Maurice Copeland

Primary results

Green primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Green	Maurice Copeland	315	100.0
Total votes			315	100.0

Constitution primary

Candidates

Nominee

• E. C. Fredland

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[6]	Safe D	November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[7]	Safe D	November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8]	Safe D	November 5, 2018
RCP[9]	Safe D	November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[10]	Safe D	November 5, 2018
538[11]	Safe D	November 7, 2018
CNN[12]	Safe D	October 31, 2018
Politico[13]	Safe D	November 4, 2018

Results

Missouri's 5th congressional district, 2018

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Emanuel Cleaver (incumbent)	175,019	61.7
	Republican	Jacob Turk	101,069	35.6
	Libertarian	Alexander Howell	4,725	1.7
	Green	Maurice Copeland	2,091	0.7
	Constitution	E.C. Fredland	876	0.3
	Write-in		5	0.0
Total votes			283,785	100.0
	Democratic hold

District 6

2018 Missouri's 6th congressional district election

← 2016 2020 →

Nominee Sam Graves Henry Martin Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 199,796 97,660 Percentage 65.4% 32.0%

County results Graves:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

U.S. Representative before election Sam Graves Republican Elected U.S. Representative Sam Graves Republican

See also: Missouri's 6th congressional district

The sixth district encompasses rural northern Missouri, St. Joseph and much of Kansas City north of the Missouri River. Incumbent Republican Sam Graves, who had represented the district since 2001, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 68% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+16.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Sam Graves, incumbent U.S. representative

Primary results

Republican primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Sam Graves (incumbent)	89,595	100.0
Total votes			89,595	100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Henry Martin, educator and army veteran

Eliminated in primary

• Ed Andres
• Winston Apple, musician, educator and candidate for state house in 2014

Primary results

Democratic primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Henry Robert Martin	21,677	41.5
	Democratic	Winston Apple	16,087	30.8
	Democratic	Ed Andres	14,453	27.7
Total votes			52,217	100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Dan Hogan, nominee for the 3rd district in 2016

Primary results

Libertarian primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Libertarian	Dan Hogan	590	100.0
Total votes			590	100.0

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[6]	Safe R	November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[7]	Safe R	November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8]	Safe R	November 5, 2018
RCP[9]	Safe R	November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[10]	Safe R	November 5, 2018
538[11]	Safe R	November 7, 2018
CNN[12]	Safe R	October 31, 2018
Politico[13]	Safe R	November 4, 2018

Results

Missouri's 6th congressional district, 2018

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Sam Graves (incumbent)	199,796	65.4
	Democratic	Henry Martin	97,660	32.0
	Libertarian	Dan Hogan	7,953	2.6
Total votes			305,409	100.0
	Republican hold

District 7

2018 Missouri's 7th congressional district election

← 2016 2020 →

Nominee Billy Long Jamie Schoolcraft Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 196,343 89,190 Percentage 66.2% 30.1%

U.S. Representative before election Billy Long Republican Elected U.S. Representative Billy Long Republican

See also: Missouri's 7th congressional district

The seventh district takes in Springfield, Joplin, and much of the rest of rural southwestern Missouri. Incumbent Republican Billy Long, who had represented the district since 2011, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 68% of the vote in 20`6. The district had a PVI of R+23.

Republican primary

Long had been considered a potential candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2018.^[15]

Candidates

Nominee

• Billy Long, incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary

• Jim Evans, retired businessman, teacher, U.S. Army veteran and Democratic nominee for this seat in 2012 & 2014
• Benjamin Holcomb
• Lance Norris

Primary results

Republican primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Billy Long (incumbent)	68,438	65.1
	Republican	Jim Evans	18,383	17.5
	Republican	Lance Norris	10,884	10.4
	Republican	Benjamin Holcomb	7,416	7.1
Total votes			105,121	100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Jamie Schoolcraft, former mayor of Willard^[26]

Eliminated in primary

• John Farmer de la Torre, television producer
• Kenneth Hatfield
• Vincent Jennings, former cult exit counselor, filmmaker, candidate for state house in 1996 and nominee in 2014

Withdrawn

• Natalie Faucett

Endorsements

Jamie Schoolcraft

U.S. representatives

• Russ Carnahan, former U.S. representative for Missouri's 3rd congressional district^[27]

Organizations

• Justice Democrats^[27]

Primary results

Democratic primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Jamie Daniel Schoolcraft	12,499	40.6
	Democratic	Kenneth Hatfield	6,854	22.3
	Democratic	John Farmer de la Torre	6,685	21.7
	Democratic	Vince Jennings	4,738	15.4
Total votes			30,776	100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Ben Brixey, Secretary of the Greene County Libertarian Party and nominee for this seat in 2016

Primary results

Libertarian primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Libertarian	Benjamin Brixey	697	100.0
Total votes			697	100.0

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[6]	Safe R	November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[7]	Safe R	November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8]	Safe R	November 5, 2018
RCP[9]	Safe R	November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[10]	Safe R	November 5, 2018
538[11]	Safe R	November 7, 2018
CNN[12]	Safe R	October 31, 2018
Politico[13]	Safe R	November 4, 2018

Results

Missouri's 7th congressional district, 2018

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Billy Long (incumbent)	196,343	66.2
	Democratic	Jamie Schoolcraft	89,190	30.1
	Libertarian	Ben Brixey	10,920	3.7
	Write-in		2	0.0
Total votes			296,455	100.0
	Republican hold

District 8

2018 Missouri's 8th congressional district election

← 2016 2020 →

Nominee Jason Smith Kathy Ellis Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 194,042 66,151 Percentage 73.4% 25.0%

County results Smith:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

U.S. Representative before election Billy Long Republican Elected U.S. Representative Billy Long Republican

See also: Missouri's 8th congressional district

The eighth district is the most rural district of Missouri, taking in all of the rural southeastern and south-central part of the state. It had a PVI of R+24, the most strongly Republican district of Missouri. Incumbent Republican Jason Smith, who had represented the district since 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 74% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+24.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Jason Smith, incumbent U.S. representative

Primary results

Republican primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Jason Smith (incumbent)	91,809	100.0
Total votes			91,809	100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Kathryn Ellis, social worker

Primary results

Democratic primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Kathryn Ellis	33,799	100.0
Total votes			33,799	100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Jonathan Shell, nominee for this seat in 2016

Primary results

Libertarian primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Libertarian	Jonathan Shell	361	100.0
Total votes			361	100.0

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[6]	Safe R	November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[7]	Safe R	November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8]	Safe R	November 5, 2018
RCP[9]	Safe R	November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[10]	Safe R	November 5, 2018
538[11]	Safe R	November 7, 2018
CNN[12]	Safe R	October 31, 2018
Politico[13]	Safe R	November 4, 2018

Results

Missouri's 8th congressional district, 2018

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Jason Smith (incumbent)	194,042	73.4
	Democratic	Kathy Ellis	66,151	25.0
	Libertarian	Jonathan Shell	4,206	1.6
Total votes			264,399	100.0
	Republican hold