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2019 North Carolina's 9th congressional district special election

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2019 North Carolina's 9th congressional district special election
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A special election was held on September 10, 2019, to fill the vacancy in North Carolina's 9th congressional district in the United States House of Representatives for the remainder of the 116th United States Congress. The seat had been vacant since the opening of the 116th Congress, following the refusal of the North Carolina State Board of Elections to certify the results of the November 2018 election in the district due to allegations of electoral fraud.[1] Because of the allegations, the race received substantial national attention.

Quick Facts North Carolina's 9th congressional district, Nominee ...

In the original election, Mark Harris, a Republican, led Democrat Dan McCready by 905 votes in the unofficial returns for the 2018 North Carolina's 9th congressional district election. However, allegations of fraud in the election prevented its certification.[2] After hearing evidence, including testimony from Harris himself and his own son, the board unanimously voted on February 21 to call a new election.[3][4]

The primary was held on May 14, 2019, and the general election was held on September 10. A total of 10 Republican candidates qualified for the primary.[5] Dan McCready, the Democratic Party nominee in the 2018 election, ran again and faced no primary opposition.[6] Among Republicans, neither Harris nor Robert Pittenger, the incumbent whom Harris defeated in the 2018 primary election, filed to run.[7][8][9]

After winning the Republican primary by a large margin,[10] Dan Bishop narrowly won the general election, garnering 50.7% of the vote to McCready's 48.7%.[11][12]

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Background

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A House of Representatives office remained vacant, awaiting the winner of the disputed election

The 2018 congressional district election ended with Republican Mark Harris leading Democrat Dan McCready by 905 votes, the closest race in the district in over sixty years. While McCready had conceded defeat, the North Carolina Democratic Party alleged that electoral fraud had taken place, and filed affidavits with the North Carolina State Board of Elections alleging that independent contractors working on behalf of Harris had illegally collected absentee ballots (ballot harvesting).[13][14] The North Carolina Board of Elections voted unanimously not to certify the election and later ordered an evidentiary hearing to be held. The board also opened an investigation around the activities of Leslie McCrae Dowless, a campaign operative with felony fraud and perjury convictions, who was hired by the Harris campaign.[15] Incoming Democratic Majority Leader Steny Hoyer announced that the United States House of Representatives would not seat Harris until the fraud investigation had been completed.[16]

After a delay caused by restructuring of the Board of Elections and delayed appointment of members by Republican allies of Harris, the board set hearings to begin on February 18, 2019. On that day the regulator reported that it had found evidence of "a coordinated, unlawful and substantially resourced absentee ballot scheme" that may have involved more than 1,000 ballots or ballot request forms.[17] On February 20, Harris's son, John Harris, a federal prosecutor in North Carolina, testified to the election board that he had repeatedly warned his father not to hire Dowless because Dowless appeared to have previously engaged in illegal tactics to win votes.[18]

On February 21, Harris announced that "the public's confidence in the ninth district seat general election has been undermined to an extent that a new election is warranted." The Board of Elections voted unanimously to call a special election, with a primary if necessary on May 14, to fill the vacancy.[4] This was the first House of Representatives election to require a do-over since 1974.[19][9]

Dowless was indicted and arrested on February 27, 2019. He faced felony charges of obstruction of justice, conspiracy to commit obstruction of justice and two possession of absentee ballots charges.[20] In July 2019, the Wake County district attorney also announced charges against Lisa Britt, Ginger S. Eason, Woody D. Hester, James Singletary, Jessica Dowless and Kelly Hendrix, and additional charges against Leslie McCrae Dowless.[21]

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Republican primary

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Candidates

Nominee

Defeated in primary

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Dan Bishop

Politicians[47]

  • Ted Cruz, U.S. Senator from Texas[48]
  • Sue Myrick, former U.S. Representative
  • Tom McInnis, State Senator
  • Wesley Meredith, State Senator
  • Craig Horn, State Representative
  • Bob Rucho, State Senator
  • Rob Bryan, State Representative
  • John Szoka, State Representative
  • Paul Bailey, Matthews Mayor
  • Richard Vinroot, Former Charlotte Mayor
  • Jim Puckett, Mecklenburg County Commissioner
  • Bill James, Mecklenburg County Commissioner
  • Karen Bentley, Mecklenburg County Commissioner
  • Barbara Dement, Matthews Councilwoman
  • Dale Dalton, Mint Hill Commissioner
  • Richard Newton, Mint Hill Commissioner
  • Mike Cochrane, Mint Hill Commissioner

Conservative organizations

  • North Carolina Values Coalition, non-partisan, statewide grassroots network of North Carolinians who support and advocate for pro-family positions[49]
  • Club for Growth, national network for limited government and economic freedom[50]
Matthew Ridenhour

Politicians

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...

Results

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Results by county:
  Bishop—70–80%
  Bishop—60–70%
  Bishop—50–60%
  Bishop—40–50%
More information Party, Candidate ...
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Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Endorsements

Dan McCready

Federal politicians

Statewide and local politicians

Organizations

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

Green primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Allen Smith, perennial candidate[66]

General election

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Dan McCready, the Democratic candidate, ran on a platform of cutting taxes on the middle class, ending gerrymandering, renegotiating trade deals, and reducing military interventions overseas. His platform also supports protecting Social Security and Medicare, overturning Citizens United, and granting full federal recognition to the Lumbee Tribe.[67] Republican candidate Dan Bishop is best known for his opposition to LGBT rights, particularly the drafting of North Carolina's "Bathroom Bill".[68][69]

During the early voting period for this election, Hurricane Dorian battered the eastern coast of the United States, necessitating early voting to be halted in several counties on the Outer Banks and elsewhere on the coast until the storm had passed.

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...

Endorsements

Dan Bishop (R)

Federal politicians[47]

Statewide and local politicians

Individuals

Organizations

Dan McCready (D)

Federal politicians

Statewide and local politicians

Organizations

Individuals

Newspapers & news websites

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
More information Hypothetical polling, Poll source ...

Fundraising

More information Campaign finance reports as of August 21, 2019, Candidate (party) ...

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...

County results

More information Dan Bishop Republican, Dan McCready Democrat ...
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Notes

Partisan clients

  1. Poll sponsored by Club for Growth Action
  2. Poll sponsored by the Dan Bishop campaign
  3. Poll conducted for RedRacingHorses
  4. Poll conducted for Inside Elections
  5. McCready internal
  6. Poll sponsored by an unknown Republican client

Additional candidates

  1. Scott (L) with 3% and Smith (G) with 2%
  2. Scott (L) with 2% and Smith (G) with 1%
  3. Scott (L) with 2% and Smith (G) with 0.8%
  4. Scott (L) and Smith (G) each with 1%
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References

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