2022 United States Senate election in New York

The 2022 United States Senate election in New York was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of New York.

2022 United States Senate election in New York

← 2016 November 8, 2022 2028 →

Nominee Chuck Schumer Joe Pinion Party Democratic Republican Alliance Working Families Conservative Popular vote 3,320,561 2,501,151 Percentage 56.78% 42.76%

County results Congressional district results Precinct results Schumer:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90% Pinion:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90% Tie:      40–50%      50%      No votes

U.S. senator before election Chuck Schumer Democratic Elected U.S. senator Chuck Schumer Democratic

Incumbent four-term Democratic Senator Chuck Schumer, who had served as Senate Majority Leader since 2021, was first elected in 1998, defeating Republican incumbent Al D'Amato. Schumer ran for a fifth term. Republican Joe Pinion is the first black Senate nominee of any major party in New York history. The filing deadline for the June primary was April 7, 2022.^[1] Schumer became the longest-serving U.S. senator in the state's history once his fifth term began in the 118th Congress.^[2]

Though Schumer was comfortably re-elected by a margin of 14.02%, he lost significant support on Long Island and Upstate New York compared to his last election in 2016. Pinion flipped the more conservative counties that Schumer had won in his previous runs, as well as some Democratic-leaning counties such as Nassau, Saratoga, Broome, Clinton, and Essex. However, Schumer's lead was large enough in New York City that it was called by most media outlets the moment the polls closed.^[3]

Despite Democrats overperforming expectations on a national level during this cycle, this race was the most competitive in Schumer's Senate career since his first election in 1998, when he won by 10.5%, along with being the closest U.S. Senate election from New York since Hillary Clinton won by about 12.3 percentage points in 2000. This was due to a Democratic underperformance in New York state despite their overperformance nationally, and Schumer's performance was still the highest margin (aside from Thomas DiNapoli in the concurrent comptroller election) on the statewide ballot.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Chuck Schumer, incumbent U.S. Senator and Senate Majority Leader^[4]

Disqualified

• Moses Mugulusi, regulator^[5]
• Khaled Salem, activist^[6]

Declined

• Alessandra Biaggi, state senator from the 34th district (ran for U.S. House)^[7][8]
• Jamaal Bowman, U.S. Representative for New York's 16th congressional district (ran for re-election)^[9]
• Andrew Cuomo, former governor of New York, former attorney general of New York, and former U.S. Secretary of Housing and Urban Development^[10]
• Mondaire Jones, U.S. Representative for New York's 17th congressional district (ran for re-election)^[9]
• Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, U.S. Representative for New York's 14th congressional district (ran for re-election)^{[9][11][12][13]}
• Jumaane Williams, New York City Public Advocate and former New York City Councilor for the 45th district (ran for governor)^[14]

Endorsements

Chuck Schumer

Statewide officials

• Letitia James, Attorney General of New York (2019–present)^[15]

Organizations

• Civil Service Employees Association^[16]
• Feminist Majority PAC^[17]
• Jewish Dems^[18]
• NRDC Action Fund^[19]
• Population Connection Action Fund^[20]
• Public Employees Federation^[21]
• Pro-Israel America^[22]

Polling

Hypothetical polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Chuck Schumer	Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez	Undecided
Zogby Analytics[23]	May 7–9, 2020	328 (LV)	± 5.4%	54%	21%	25%

Republican primary

At the 2022 New York State Republican Convention, Joe Pinion was designated as the New York State Republican Party's preferred candidate for U.S. Senate. Pinion became the first Black individual to be backed by a major party in a U.S. Senate election in New York.^[24]

Candidates

Nominee

• Joe Pinion, entrepreneur, TV host and candidate for New York State Assembly in 2018^[25][26]

Disqualified

• Aleksander Mici, lawyer and candidate for New York City Council in 2021^[25][26]

Declined

• Andrew Giuliani, former Trump administration official, son of Rudy Giuliani and Newsmax TV contributor (ran for governor)^[27]
• John Katko, U.S. Representative for New York's 24th congressional district^[28]
• Tom Reed, former U.S. Representative for New York's 23rd congressional district^[29]
• Lee Zeldin, U.S. Representative for New York's 1st congressional district and former state senator from the 3rd district (ran for governor)^[30]

Endorsements

Joe Pinion

U.S. representatives

• Elise Stefanik, U.S. Representative from New York's 21st congressional district (2015–present) and Chair of the House Republican Conference (2021–2025)^[31]

Organizations

• New York Young Republican Club^[32]

Conservative primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Joe Pinion, TV host and candidate for New York State Assembly in 2018^[33]

Working Families primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Chuck Schumer, incumbent U.S. senator^[34]

Other candidates

Diane Sare ran on an Independent ballot line labeled "LaRouche."^[35][36]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[37]	Solid D	November 19, 2021
Inside Elections[38]	Solid D	January 7, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[39]	Safe D	November 3, 2021
Politico[40]	Solid D	April 1, 2022
RCP[41]	Likely D	October 18, 2022
Fox News[42]	Solid D	May 12, 2022
DDHQ[43]	Solid D	July 20, 2022
538[44]	Solid D	June 30, 2022
The Economist[45]	Solid D	September 7, 2022

Endorsements

Chuck Schumer (D)

Federal officials

• Joe Biden, president of the United States (2021–2025)^[46]

Statewide officials

• Letitia James, Attorney General of New York (2019–present)^[15]

Individuals

• Lin-Manuel Miranda, actor and lyricist^[47]

Organizations

• American Israel PAC^[48]
• Citizen Action of New York^[48]
• Civil Service Employees Association^[16]
• Feminist Majority PAC^[17]
• Humane Society Legislative Fund^[48]
• Jewish Dems^[18]
• NARAL Pro-Choice America^[48]
• National Association of Social Workers^[48]
• National Education Association^[48]
• Natural Resources Defense Council^[19]
• New York AFL–CIO^[48]
• New York State Nurses Association^[48]
• New York State Public Employees Federation^[48]
• New York State United Teachers^[48]
• Newtown Action Alliance^[48]
• Planned Parenthood^[48]
• Population Connection Action Fund^[20]
• Pro-Israel America^[22]
• Public Employees Federation^[21]
• Sierra Club^[49]
• Stonewall Democrats^[48]
• United Federation of Teachers^[48]

Newspapers

• The Buffalo News^[50]
• The Post-Standard^[51]
• Times Union^[52]

Joe Pinion (R)

U.S. representatives

• Elise Stefanik, U.S. Representative from New York's 21st congressional district (2015–present) and Chair of the House Republican Conference (2021–present)^[31]

Organizations

• New York Federation of College Republicans^[53]
• New York State Troopers Police Benevolent Association^[54]
• New York Young Republican Club^[32]

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Chuck Schumer (D)	Joe Pinion (R)	Undecided [b]	Margin
Real Clear Politics[55]	October 26–31, 2022	November 8, 2022	54.7%	39.3%	6.0%	Schumer +15.4
FiveThirtyEight[56]	October 12 – November 8, 2022	November 8, 2022	55.7%	38.0%	6.3%	Schumer +17.7
270towin[57]	October 26 – November 7, 2022	November 8, 2022	54.6%	38.6%	6.8%	Schumer +16.0
Average			55.0%	38.6%	6.4%	Schumer +16.4

Graphical summary

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Chuck Schumer (D)	Joe Pinion (R)	Other	Undecided
Research Co.[58]	November 4–6, 2022	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	55%	37%	2%[c]	6%
ActiVote (D)[59]	August 8 – November 6, 2022	279 (LV)	± 6.0%	60%	40%	–	–
Emerson College[60]	October 28–31, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	55%	36%	3%[d]	6%
				57%	39%	4%[e]	–
The Trafalgar Group (R)[61]	October 27–31, 2022	1,198 (LV)	± 2.9%	51%	40%	5%[f]	4%
KAConsulting (R)[62][A]	October 27–29, 2022	501 (LV)	± 4.4%	50%	38%	–	7%
Data for Progress (D)[63]	October 26–28, 2022	818 (LV)	± 3.0%	56%	39%	–	5%
Long Island University[64]	October 24–26, 2022	1,001 (A)	± 3.0%	54%	27%	9%[g]	10%
Civiqs[65]	October 22–25, 2022	593 (LV)	± 5.0%	56%	41%	1%[h]	2%
Emerson College[60]	October 20–24, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	51%	36%	6%[i]	8%
				53%	40%	8%[j]	–
SurveyUSA[66]	October 14–18, 2022	702 (LV)	± 5.4%	52%	38%	4%	6%
Quinnipiac University[67]	October 12–16, 2022	1,617 (LV)	± 2.4%	54%	42%	1%[k]	3%
Siena College[68]	October 12–14, 2022	707 (LV)	± 4.9%	57%	37%	1%[l]	5%
Marist College[69]	October 3–6, 2022	900 (LV)	± 4.4%	52%	39%	1%[m]	8%
		1,117 (RV)	± 4.0%	54%	34%	1%[n]	11%
Siena College[70]	September 16–25, 2022	655 (LV)	± 3.9%	55%	36%	1%[o]	8%
Emerson College[71]	September 4–6, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	55%	31%	5%[p]	9%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[72]	August 7–9, 2022	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	51%	36%	–	13%
Emerson College[73]	July 26–28, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	53%	31%	7%	8%
Siena College[74]	July 24–28, 2022	806 (LV)	± 3.5%	56%	35%	0%	8%

Hypothetical polling

Chuck Schumer vs. generic opponent

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Chuck Schumer (D)	Generic Opponent	Undecided
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[72]	August 7–9, 2022	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	42%	48%	10%

Results

2022 United States Senate election in New York^[75]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Democratic	Chuck Schumer	3,022,822	51.69%	−13.03%
	Working Families	Chuck Schumer	297,739	5.09%	+1.82%
	Total	Chuck Schumer (incumbent)	3,320,561	56.78%	−13.86%
	Republican	Joe Pinion	2,204,499	37.69%	+14.37%
	Conservative	Joe Pinion	296,652	5.07%	+1.45%
	Total	Joe Pinion	2,501,151	42.76%	+15.58%
	LaRouche	Diane Sare	26,844	0.46%	N/A
Total votes			5,848,556	100.0%	N/A
	Democratic hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

• Broome (largest municipality: Binghamton)
• Cattaraugus (largest municipality: Olean)
• Cayuga (largest municipality: Auburn)
• Chautauqua (largest municipality: Jamestown)
• Chemung (largest municipality: Elmira)
• Chenango (largest municipality: Norwich)
• Clinton (largest municipality: Plattsburgh)
• Cortland (largest municipality: Cortland)
• Delaware (largest municipality: Sidney)
• Essex (largest municipality: Ticonderoga)
• Franklin (largest municipality: Malone)
• Fulton (largest municipality: Gloversville)
• Genesee (largest municipality: Batavia)
• Greene (largest municipality: Catskill)
• Herkimer (largest municipality: German Flatts)
• Jefferson (largest municipality: Le Ray)
• Lewis (largest municipality: Lowville)
• Livingston (largest municipality: Geneseo)
• Madison (largest municipality: Oneida)
• Montgomery (largest municipality: Amsterdam)
• Nassau (largest municipality: Hempstead)
• Niagara (largest municipality: Niagara Falls)
• Oneida (largest municipality: Utica)
• Ontario (largest municipality: Geneva)
• Orange (largest municipality: Kiryas Joel)
• Oswego (largest municipality: Oswego)
• Otsego (largest municipality: Oneonta)
• Putnam (largest municipality: Lake Carmel)
• Richmond (Staten Island, borough of New York City)
• St. Lawrence (largest municipality: Massena)
• Saratoga (largest municipality: Saratoga Springs)
• Schoharie (largest municipality: Cobleskill)
• Schuyler (largest municipality: Watkins Glen)
• Seneca (largest municipality: Seneca Falls)
• Suffolk (largest municipality: Brookhaven)
• Sullivan (largest municipality: Monticello)
• Tioga (largest municipality: Waverly)
• Warren (largest municipality: Glens Falls)
• Washington (largest municipality: Hudson Falls)
• Wayne (largest municipality: Newark)
• Yates (largest municipality: Penn Yan)

By congressional district

Schumer won 19 of 26 congressional districts, including four that elected Republicans.^[76]

District	Schumer	Pinion	Representative
1st	45%	54%	Lee Zeldin (117th Congress)
			Nick LaLota (118th Congress)
2nd	42%	58%	Andrew Garbarino
3rd	48%	52%	Tom Suozzi (117th Congress)
			George Santos (118th Congress)
4th	50%	49%	Kathleen Rice (117th Congress)
			Anthony D'Esposito (118th Congress)
5th	76%	23%	Gregory Meeks
6th	60%	39%	Grace Meng
7th	81%	18%	Nydia Velázquez
8th	73%	27%	Hakeem Jeffries
9th	74%	25%	Yvette Clarke
10th	85%	15%	Jerry Nadler (117th Congress)
			Dan Goldman (118th Congress)
11th	40%	60%	Nicole Malliotakis
12th	83%	16%	Carolyn Maloney (117th Congress)
			Jerry Nadler (118th Congress)
13th	89%	11%	Adriano Espaillat
14th	74%	26%	Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
15th	83%	17%	Ritchie Torres
16th	66%	33%	Jamaal Bowman
17th	52%	48%	Mondaire Jones (117th Congress)
			Mike Lawler (118th Congress)
18th	51%	48%	Sean Patrick Maloney (117th Congress)
			Pat Ryan (118th Congress)
19th	50%	49%	Pat Ryan (117th Congress)
			Marc Molinaro (118th Congress)
20th	56%	43%	Paul Tonko
21st	41%	58%	Elise Stefanik
22nd	52%	48%	Claudia Tenney (117th Congress)
			Brandon Williams (118th Congress)
23rd	39%	60%	Joe Sempolinski (117th Congress)
			Nick Langworthy (118th Congress)
24th	38%	61%	John Katko (117th Congress)
			Claudia Tenney (118th Congress)
25th	56%	43%	Joseph Morelle
26th	60%	39%	Brian Higgins

See also

• 2022 United States Senate elections

Notes

1. Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear
2. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
3. "Some other candidate" with 2%
4. Sare (I) with 1%; "Someone else" with 2%
5. Sare (I) with 1%; "Someone else" with 3%
6. Sare (I) with 5%
7. "Not planning to vote" with 6%; "Another candidate" with 3%
8. "Someone else" with 1%
9. "Someone else" with 4%; Sare (I) with 2%
10. "Someone else" with 6%; Sare (I) with 2%
11. "Someone else" with 1%
12. "Another candidate" with 1%; "Not going to vote" with 0%
13. "Another party's candidate" with 1%
14. "Another party's candidate" with 1%
15. "Another candidate" with 1%
16. "Someone else" with 5%

Partisan clients

1. Poll conducted for Citizens United, a conservative non-profit organization.