Cardiff North (Senedd constituency)

Not to be confused with Cardiff North (UK Parliament constituency).

Cardiff North (Welsh: Gogledd Caerdydd) is a constituency of the Senedd. It elects one Member of the Senedd by the first past the post method of election. Also, however, it is one of eight constituencies in the South Wales Central electoral region, which elects four additional members, in addition to eight constituency members, to produce a degree of proportional representation for the region as a whole.

Cardiff North Gogledd Caerdydd
Senedd borough constituency for the Senedd
Cardiff North shown within the South Wales Central electoral region and the region shown within Wales
Current Senedd borough constituency
Created	1999
Party	Labour
MS	Julie Morgan
Preserved county	South Glamorgan

Boundaries

Map of current boundaries

The constituency was created for the first election to the Assembly, in 1999, with the name and boundaries of the Cardiff North Westminster constituency. It is entirely within the preserved county of South Glamorgan. To the north within the boundaries lies North Rural Cardiff and to the south lies the densely populated area of Whitchurch, Rhiwbina, Thornhill etc.

The other seven constituencies of the region are Cardiff Central, Cardiff South and Penarth, Cardiff West, Cynon Valley, Pontypridd, Rhondda and Vale of Glamorgan.

Voting

In general elections for the National Assembly for Wales, each voter has two votes. The first vote may be used to vote for a candidate to become the Assembly Member for the voter's constituency, elected by the first past the post system. The second vote may be used to vote for a regional closed party list of candidates. Additional member seats are allocated from the lists by the d'Hondt method, with constituency results being taken into account in the allocation. In both the 2011 and 2016 elections, Julie Morgan won the highest number of votes of any candidate in any constituency in Wales.

Assembly members

Election		Member	Party	Portrait
	1999	Sue Essex	Labour
	2007	Jonathan Morgan	Conservative
	2011	Julie Morgan	Labour

Election results

Elections in the 2020s

2021 Senedd election: Cardiff North^[1]

Party		Candidate	Constituency			Regional
			Votes	%	±%	Votes	%	±%
	Labour	Julie Morgan	19,348	47.6	+2.8	14,875	36.7	+2.5
	Conservative	Joel Williams	12,755	31.8	-3.2	11,774	29.1	-0.3
	Plaid Cymru	Fflur Elin	3,278	8.1	+2.0	5,711	14.1	+1.5
	Green	Debra Cooper	1,957	4.8	+2.6	3,023	7.5	+4.4
	Liberal Democrats	Rhys Taylor	1,641	4.0	+1.0	2,070	5.1	+0.1
	Abolish	Lawrence Gwynn	990	2.4	New	1,467	3.6	-1.0
	Propel	Akil Kata	336	0.8	New	441	1.1	New
	Reform UK	Haydn Rushworth	200	0.5	New	240	0.6	New
	Freedom Alliance	Virginia Kemp	150	0.4	New
	UKIP					409	1.0	-7.6
	No More Lockdowns					163	0.4	New
	Gwlad					98	0.2	New
	Independent	Alan Coulthard				71	0.2	New
	Communist					54	0.1	-0.1
	TUSC					49	0.1	-0.1
	Workers Party					41	0.1	New
Majority			6,593	15.8	+6.0
Turnout			40,655	58.08[2]	+1.3
	Labour hold		Swing
Notes

Elections in the 2010s

2016 Welsh Assembly election: Cardiff North

Party		Candidate	Constituency			List
			Votes	%	±%	Votes	%	±%
	Labour	Julie Morgan	16,766	44.8	−2.8	12,754[3][4]	34.2	-3.2
	Conservative	Jayne Cowan	13,099	35.0	−7.4	10,964	29.4	-6.9
	UKIP	Haydn Rushworth	2,509	6.7	New	3,196	8.6	+4.6
	Plaid Cymru	Elin Jones	2,278	6.1	+0.7	4,717	12.6	+4.4
	Liberal Democrats	John Dixon	1,130	3.0	−1.6	1,852	5.0	-1.0
	Independent	Fiona Burt	846	2.3	New
	Green	Chris von Ruhland	824	2.2	New	1,156	3.1	-0.6
	Abolish					1,712	4.6	New
	Women's Equality					421	1.1	New
	Independent (Jonathan Bishop)[5]					171	0.5	New
	Monster Raving Loony					167	0.4	-0.1
	TUSC					80	0.2	-0.1
	Freedom to Choose / Vapers in Power					78	0.2	New
	Communist					64	0.2	±0.0
Majority			3,667	9.8	+4.6
Turnout			37,452	56.8	+4.9
	Labour hold		Swing	+2.3

2011 Welsh Assembly election: Cardiff North

Party		Candidate	Constituency [6]			Regional[7]
			Votes	%	±%	Votes	%	±%
	Labour	Julie Morgan	16,384	47.6	+16.7	12,846	37.4	+10.2
	Conservative	Jonathan Morgan	14,602	42.4	-2.9	12,471	36.3	-2.7
	Plaid Cymru	Ben Foday	2,836	5.4	-2.0	2,836	8.2	-0.9
	Liberal Democrats	Matt Smith	1,595	4.6	-8.1	2,060	6.0	-6.8
	UKIP					1,375	4.0	+2.0
	Green					1,285	3.7	+0.2
	Socialist Labour					494	1.4	+0.8
	BNP					471	1.4	-1.6
	Welsh Christian					250	0.7	-0.5
	Monster Raving Loony					157	0.5	New
	TUSC					92	0.3	New
	Communist					54	0.2	-0.1
Majority			1,782	5.2	N/A
Turnout			34,431	51.9	+0.6
	Labour gain from Conservative		Swing	+9.8

Regional ballots rejected at the count: 214^[8]

Elections in the 2000s

2007 Welsh Assembly election: Cardiff North

Party		Candidate	Constituency [9]			Regional[10]
			Votes	%	±%	Votes	%	±%
	Conservative	Jonathan Morgan	15,253	45.3	+5.9	13,122	39.0	+7.5
	Labour	Sophie Howe	10,409	30.9	-4.3	9,140	27.2	-5.9
	Liberal Democrats	Edward Bridges	4,287	12.7	+0.2	4,306	12.8	+0.9
	Plaid Cymru	Wyn Jones	2,491	7.4	-2.3	3,056	9.1	-1.5
	UKIP	Dai Llewellyn	1,262	3.7	-1.0	663	2.0	-2.9
	Green					1,181	3.5	+0.1
	BNP					1,010	3.0	New
	Welsh Christian					410	1.2	New
	Respect					139	0.4	New
	Socialist Labour					214	0.6	-0.2
	CPA					139	0.4	New
	Socialist Alternative (UK)					120	0.4	New
	Communist					99	0.3	+0.1
	Socialist Equality					36	0.1	New
Majority			4,843	14.4	N/A
Turnout			33,702	51.3	+8.4
	Conservative gain from Labour		Swing	+8.2

2003 Welsh Assembly election: Cardiff North

Party		Candidate	Constituency			Regional[11]
			Votes	%	±%	Votes	%	±%
	Labour	Sue Essex	10,413	37.5	-1.2	8,732	31.5	-0.8
	Conservative	Jonathan Morgan	9,873	35.6	+4.2	9,182	33.1	+4.3
	Liberal Democrats	John L. Dixon	3,474	12.5	-3.6	3,795	13.7	-2.6
	Plaid Cymru	Wyn Jones	2,679	9.7	-4.1	2,942	10.6	-0.6
	UKIP	Donald E. Hulston	1,295	4.7	New	1,361	4.9	New
	Green					950	3.4	Unknown
	Socialist Labour					233	0.8	Unknown
	Vote No 2 Stop the War					148	0.5	New
	New Millennium Bean Party					109	0.4	New
	ProLife Alliance					107	0.4	New
	Cymru Annibynnol					95	0.3	New
	Communist					67	0.2	Unknown
Majority			540	1.9	−5.4
Turnout			27,734	43.9	−7.6
	Labour hold		Swing	-2.7

2003 Electorate: 64,528
Regional ballots rejected: 328

Elections in the 1990s

1999 Welsh Assembly election: Cardiff North

Party		Candidate	Constituency			Regional
			Votes	%	±%	Votes	%	±%
	Labour	Sue Essex	12,198	38.7	N/A	10,164	32.3	N/A
	Conservative	Jonathan Morgan	9,894	31.4	N/A	9,061	28.8	N/A
	Liberal Democrats	Alastair Meikle	5,088	16.1	N/A	5,133	16.3	N/A
	Plaid Cymru	Colin Mann	4,337	13.8	N/A	5,343	17.0	N/A
	Others					1,784	5.7
Majority			2,304	7.3
Turnout			31,517	51.5
	Labour win (new seat)

1999 electorate: 61,253