2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma were held on November 3, 2020, to elect the five U.S. representatives from the state of Oklahoma, one from each of the state's five congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →
All 5 Oklahoma seats to the United States House of Representatives
Majority party Minority party   Party Republican Democratic Last election 4 1 Seats won 5 0 Seat change 1 1 Popular vote 1,044,175 475,731 Percentage 67.31% 30.66% Swing 5.34% 5.69%
District results County results Republican   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   80–90%   >90%

Overview

District	Republican		Democratic		Others		Total		Result
	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%
District 1	213,700	63.70%	109,641	32.68%	12,130	3.62%	335,471	100.0%	Republican hold
District 2	216,511	75.04%	63,472	22.00%	8,544	2.96%	288,527	100.0%	Republican hold
District 3	242,677	78.49%	66,501	21.51%	0	0.00%	309,178	100.0%	Republican hold
District 4	213,096	67.79%	90,459	28.78%	10,803	3.44%	314,358	100.0%	Republican hold
District 5	158,191	52.06%	145,658	47.94%	0	0.00%	303,849	100.0%	Republican gain
Total	1,044,175	67.31%	475,731	30.66%	31,477	2.03%	1,551,383	100.0%

Popular vote Republican   67.31% Democratic   30.66% Other   2.03%

House seats Republican   100.00%

District 1

2020 Oklahoma's 1st congressional district election

← 2018 2022 →

Nominee Kevin Hern Kojo Asamoa-Caesar Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 213,700 109,641 Percentage 63.7% 32.7%

Precinct and county-level results Hern:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      ≥90% Caesar:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      ≥90%      No votes

U.S. Representative before election Kevin Hern Republican Elected U.S. Representative Kevin Hern Republican

See also: Oklahoma's 1st congressional district

The 1st district was located in the Tulsa metropolitan area and included Creek, Rogers, Tulsa, Wagoner and Washington counties. The incumbent Republican, Kevin Hern, was elected with 59.3% of the vote in 2018.^[1] He won reelection with 63.7% of the vote.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Kevin Hern, incumbent U.S. Representative

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Kojo Asamoa-Caesar, entrepreneur^[2]

Eliminated in primary

• Mark A. Keeter, businessman^[3]

Endorsements

Kojo Asamoa-Caesar

Organizations

• #VoteProChoice^[4]

Primary results

Democratic primary results^[5]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Kojo Asamoa-Caesar	34,868	63.6
	Democratic	Mark A. Keeter	19,924	36.4
Total votes			54,792	100.0

Independents

Candidates

Declared

• Evelyn Rogers, perennial candidate^[3]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[6]	Safe R	July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[7]	Safe R	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8]	Safe R	July 2, 2020
Politico[9]	Safe R	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[10]	Safe R	June 3, 2020
RCP[11]	Safe R	June 9, 2020
Niskanen[12]	Safe R	June 7, 2020

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Kojo Asamoa-Caesar (D)	Kevin Hern (R)	Evelyn Rogers (I)	Undecided
SoonerPoll[13]	October 15–20, 2020	1,492 (LV)	± 1.32%	29.83%	58.8%	5.64%	5.8%

Results

Oklahoma's 1st congressional district, 2020^[14]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Kevin Hern (incumbent)	213,700	63.7
	Democratic	Kojo Asamoa-Caesar	109,641	32.7
	Independent	Evelyn Rogers	12,130	3.6
Total votes			335,471	100.0
	Republican hold

District 2

2020 Oklahoma's 2nd congressional district election

← 2018 2022 →

Nominee Markwayne Mullin Danyell Lanier Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 216,511 63,472 Percentage 75.0% 22.0%

Precinct and county-level results Mullin:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      ≥90% Lanier:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      No votes

U.S. Representative before election Markwayne Mullin Republican Elected U.S. Representative Markwayne Mullin Republican

See also: Oklahoma's 2nd congressional district

The 2nd district encompassed eastern Oklahoma including Choctaw Country, Muskogee and Tahlequah. The incumbent was Republican Markwayne Mullin, who was re-elected with 65.0% of the vote in 2018.^[1] He was reelected with 75% of the vote.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Markwayne Mullin, incumbent U.S. Representative

Eliminated in primary

• Rhonda Hopkins, 2016 Republican candidate for District 86 of the Oklahoma House of Representatives^[3]
• Joseph Silk, state senator^[15]

Endorsements

Markwayne Mullin

U.S. presidents

• Donald Trump, President of the United States^[16]

Primary results

Republican primary results^[5]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Markwayne Mullin (incumbent)	53,149	79.9
	Republican	Joseph Silk	8,445	12.7
	Republican	Rhonda Hopkins	4,917	7.4
Total votes			66,511	100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Danyell Lanier, project analyst^[3]

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

• Richie Castaldo, Libertarian nominee for Oklahoma's 2nd congressional district in 2018^[3]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[6]	Safe R	July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[7]	Safe R	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8]	Safe R	July 2, 2020
Politico[9]	Safe R	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[10]	Safe R	June 3, 2020
RCP[11]	Safe R	June 9, 2020
Niskanen[12]	Safe R	June 7, 2020

Results

Oklahoma's 2nd congressional district, 2020^[14]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Markwayne Mullin (incumbent)	216,511	75.0
	Democratic	Danyell Lanier	63,472	22.0
	Libertarian	Richie Castaldo	8,544	3.0
Total votes			288,527	100.0
	Republican hold

District 3

2020 Oklahoma's 3rd congressional district election

← 2018 2022 →

Nominee Frank Lucas Zoe Midyett Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 242,677 66,501 Percentage 78.5% 21.5%

Precinct and county-level results Lucas:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      ≥90% Midyett:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      80–90%      ≥90%

U.S. Representative before election Frank Lucas Republican Elected U.S. Representative Frank Lucas Republican

See also: Oklahoma's 3rd congressional district

The 3rd district encompassed Northwestern Oklahoma, taking in the Oklahoma Panhandle, Ponca City, Pawnee, Stillwater, as well as the Osage Nation. The incumbent was Republican Frank Lucas, who was re-elected with 73.9% of the vote in 2018.^[1] He was reelected with 78.5% of the vote.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Frank D. Lucas, incumbent U.S. Representative

Withdrew

• Joshua Jantz^[17]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Zoe Midyett, rancher^[18]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[6]	Safe R	July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[7]	Safe R	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8]	Safe R	July 2, 2020
Politico[9]	Safe R	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[10]	Safe R	June 3, 2020
RCP[11]	Safe R	June 9, 2020
Niskanen[12]	Safe R	June 7, 2020

Results

Oklahoma's 3rd congressional district, 2020^[14]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Frank D. Lucas (incumbent)	242,677	78.5
	Democratic	Zoe Midyett	66,501	21.5
Total votes			309,178	100.0
	Republican hold

District 4

2020 Oklahoma's 4th congressional district election

← 2018 2022 →

Nominee Tom Cole Mary Brannon Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 213,096 90,459 Percentage 67.8% 28.8%

Precinct and county-level results Cole:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      ≥90% Brannon:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      No votes

U.S. Representative before election Tom Cole Republican Elected U.S. Representative Tom Cole Republican

See also: Oklahoma's 4th congressional district

The 4th district was located in South Central Oklahoma and took in parts of the Oklahoma City suburbs, including in Canadian County and Cleveland County. The incumbent was Republican Tom Cole, who was re-elected with 63.1% of the vote in 2018.^[1] He was reelected with 67.8% of the vote.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Tom Cole, incumbent U.S. Representative

Eliminated in primary

• Gilbert O. Sanders, mental health professional^[3]
• Trevor Sipes, businessman^[3]
• James Taylor, teacher and candidate for Oklahoma's 4th congressional district in 2016 and 2018^[3]

Primary results

Republican primary results^[5]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Tom Cole (incumbent)	55,699	76.3
	Republican	James Taylor	11,081	15.2
	Republican	Trevor Sipes	4,357	6.0
	Republican	Gilbert O. Sanders	1,833	2.5
Total votes			72,970	100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Mary Brannon, retired educator and nominee for Oklahoma's 4th congressional district in 2018^[3]

Eliminated in primary

• John D. Argo, metalworker^[3]
• David R. Slemmons, retired librarian^[3]

Withdrew

• Wyndi Brown, activist and entrepreneur^[19]
• Wesley Forbes, energy program assistant^[20]

Primary results

Democratic primary results^[5]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Mary Brannon	32,199	63.9
	Democratic	David R. Slemmons	9,793	19.4
	Democratic	John D. Argo	8,436	16.7
Total votes			50,428	100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

• Bob White, Libertarian nominee for Oklahoma's 4th congressional district in 2016

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[6]	Safe R	July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[7]	Safe R	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8]	Safe R	July 2, 2020
Politico[9]	Safe R	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[10]	Safe R	June 3, 2020
RCP[11]	Safe R	June 9, 2020
Niskanen[12]	Safe R	June 7, 2020

Results

Oklahoma's 4th congressional district, 2020^[14]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Tom Cole (incumbent)	213,096	67.8
	Democratic	Mary Brannon	90,459	28.8
	Libertarian	Bob White	10,803	3.4
Total votes			314,358	100.0
	Republican hold

District 5

2020 Oklahoma's 5th congressional district election

← 2018 2022 →

Nominee Stephanie Bice Kendra Horn Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 158,191 145,658 Percentage 52.1% 47.9%

Precinct and county-level results Bice:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90% Horn:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      ≥90%      No votes

U.S. Representative before election Kendra Horn Democratic Elected U.S. Representative Stephanie Bice Republican

See also: Oklahoma's 5th congressional district

The 5th district was based in Oklahoma City and its surrounding suburbs. The incumbent was Democrat Kendra Horn, who flipped the district and was elected with 50.7% of the vote in 2018.^[1] She lost reelection to Republican challenger Stephanie Bice, who received 52.1% of the vote.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Kendra Horn, incumbent U.S. Representative

Eliminated in primary

• Tom Guild, perennial candidate^[21]

Endorsements

Tom Guild

Organizations

• Blue America^[22]

Kendra Horn

Individuals

• Alex Hirsch, writer, artist, and animator^[23]

Organizations

• EMILY's List^[24]
• End Citizens United^[25]
• Human Rights Campaign^[26]
• Jewish Democratic Council of America^[27]
• National Organization for Women^[28]
• Planned Parenthood^[29]

Primary results

Democratic primary results^[5]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Kendra Horn (incumbent)	60,168	85.7
	Democratic	Tom Guild	10,050	14.3
Total votes			70,218	100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Stephanie Bice, Assistant Majority Floor Leader of the Oklahoma State Senate^[30]

Eliminated in runoff

• Terry Neese, entrepreneur and nominee for Lieutenant Governor in 1990^[31]

Eliminated in primary

• Michael Ballard, veteran^[32]
• Janet Barresi, former Oklahoma Superintendent of Public Instruction^[33]
• David Hill, businessman^[33]
• Shelli Landon, singer^[34]
• Jake A. Merrick, businessman and former Southwestern Christian University professor of philosophy and theology^[35]
• Charles Tuffy Pringle, real estate broker^[36]
• Miles Rahimi, U.S. Navy veteran and community organizer^[37]

Withdrew

• Dan Belcher, entrepreneur^[38]
• David Greene, former horse stall cleaner^[39]
• Merideth VanSant, businesswoman^[40]

Declined

• Kevin Calvey, Oklahoma County commissioner^[41][42]
• Mick Cornett, former mayor of Oklahoma City and candidate for Governor of Oklahoma in 2018^[43]
• Carol Hefner, Donald Trump's 2016 Oklahoma campaign manager^[41]
• Bob Mills, businessman and co-chair for Donald Trump's 2016 Campaign in Oklahoma^[41]
• Steve Russell, former U.S. representative^[44]
• Greg Treat, president pro tempore of the Oklahoma Senate^[45]

Endorsements

Stephanie Bice

Organizations

• Association of Oklahoma General Contractors^[46]
• Elevate PAC^[47]
• Empower America Project^[48]
• Maggie's List^[49]
• Oklahoma Right to Life^[50]

Terry Neese (eliminated)

State officials

• Guy Liebmann, former state representative and acting Oklahoma City mayor^[51]
• Leonard Sullivan, former state representative^[51]

Local officials

• Harry Currie, former Del City mayor^[51]
• Floyd Eason, Del City mayor^[51]
• Richard Finley, Shawnee mayor^[51]
• Larry Fryar, Harrah mayor^[52]
• Chuck Mills, former Shawnee mayor (2004-2008)^[51]
• Saundra Naifeh, former Edmond mayor (2001-2007)^[53]
• Mark Stonecipher, Oklahoma City vice mayor^[51]

Organizations

• RightNOW Women PAC^[54]

David Hill (eliminated)

Individuals

• Morton Blackwell, founder and president of the Leadership Institute^[55]
• Harold Hamm, founder and chairman of Continental Resources, Inc.^[56]

Organizations

• Conservative Leadership PAC^[55]
• FRC Action^[57]

Primary results

Republican primary results^[5]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Terry Neese	24,828	36.5
	Republican	Stephanie Bice	17,292	25.4
	Republican	David Hill	12,922	19.0
	Republican	Janet Barresi	6,799	10.0
	Republican	Jake A. Merrick	1,736	2.6
	Republican	Michael Ballard	1,691	2.5
	Republican	Miles V. Rahimi	967	1.4
	Republican	Shelli Landon	912	1.3
	Republican	Charles Tuffy Pringle	908	1.3
Total votes			68,055	100.0

Runoff results

Republican primary runoff results^[58]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Stephanie Bice	27,402	52.9
	Republican	Terry Neese	24,369	47.1
Total votes			51,771	100.0

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[59]	Tossup	September 11, 2020
Inside Elections[60]	Tossup	September 4, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[61]	Lean D	November 2, 2020
Politico[62]	Tossup	September 9, 2020
Daily Kos[63]	Tossup	April 29, 2020
RCP[64]	Tossup	September 14, 2020
Niskanen[12]	Tossup	June 7, 2020

Polling

Graphical summary

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Kendra Horn (D)	Stephanie Bice (R)	Other/ Undecided
Change Research[65]	October 29 – November 1, 2020	607 (LV)	± 4.4%	47%	47%	7%[b]
Amber Integrated[66]	October 22–25, 2020	500 (LV)	± 4.38%	44%	49%	8%
Sooner Poll[67]	October 15–20, 2020	943 (LV)	–	49%	47%	4%[c]
Cole, Snodgrass & Associates/SoonerPoll[68]	September 25–30, 2020	500 (LV)	± 4.3%	45%	49%	6%[d]
SoonerPoll[69]	September 2–10, 2020	318 (LV)	±  5.49%	44%	45%	11%
Normington, Petts & Associates (D)[70][A]	August 31 – September 3, 2020	400 (LV)	±  4.9%	52%	44%	4%[c]
DCCC Targeting & Analytics Department (D)[71][B]	August 5–9, 2020	500 (LV)	±  4.4%	51%	46%	11%

Hypothetical polling

Polls with a sample size of <100 have their sample size entries marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability. with Generic Republican

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Kendra Horn (D)	Generic Republican	Undecided
Amber Integrated[72]	June 1–4, 2020	95 (LV)	–	42%	41%	18%
Amber Integrated[73]	March 5–8, 2020	89 (LV)	–	40%	44%	16%
Amber Integrated (R)[74]	December 18–20, 2019	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	40%	45%	15%

with Generic Opponent

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Kendra Horn (D)	Generic Opponent	Other	Undecided
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[75][C]	December 3–4, 2019	300 (LV)	± 5.66%	37%	49%[e]	2%[f]	12%[g]

with Generic Democrat and Generic Republican

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Generic Democrat	Generic Republican	Undecided
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates[76][C]	December 3–4, 2019	300 (LV)	± 5.66%	42%	49%	9%[h]

Results

Oklahoma's 5th congressional district, 2020^[14]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Stephanie Bice	158,191	52.06
	Democratic	Kendra Horn (incumbent)	145,658	47.94
Total votes			303,849	100.00
	Republican gain from Democratic

Notes

1. Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear
2. Did not vote, "Don't recall," and would not vote with 1%; Undecided with 4%
3. Undecided with 4%
4. Undecided with 6%
5. "It is time to give a new person a chance to do better" with 49% as opposed to "Horn has performed her job as Congresswoman well enough to deserve re-election"
6. "Refused" with 2%
7. "Unsure/depends" with 12%
8. "Undecided" with 7%; "don't know/refused" with 2%

Partisan clients

1. Poll sponsored by Horn's campaign.
2. Poll conducted for the DCCC.
3. Poll sponsored by Parscale, the manager of Trump's 2020 presidential campaign