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Opinion polling for the 2016 Spanish general election
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In the run up to the 2016 Spanish general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Spain during the term of the 11th Cortes Generales. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held on 20 December 2015, to the day the next election was held, on 26 June 2016.
Voting intention estimates refer mainly to a hypothetical Congress of Deputies election. Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" columns on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.
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Electoral polling
Summarize
Perspective
Nationwide polling
Graphical summary
Local regression trend line of poll results from 20 December 2015 to 26 June 2016, with each line corresponding to a political party.
Voting intention estimates
The table below lists nationwide voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 176 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Congress of Deputies.
- Color key:
Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls Exit poll
More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | ![]() |
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PNV | ![]() |
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Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2016 general election | 26 Jun 2016 | — | 66.5 | 33.0 137 |
22.6 85 |
[a] | 13.1 32 |
[a] | 2.7 9 |
2.0 8 |
1.2 5 |
1.2 0 |
0.8 2 |
0.3 1 |
21.2 71 |
10.4 |
Sigma Dos/RTVE–FORTA[1][2] | 26 Jun 2016 | 132,000 | ? | 28.5 117/121 |
22.0 81/85 |
[a] | 11.8 26/30 |
[a] | 3.1 11/12 |
1.4 5 |
1.3 5/6 |
– | 1.0 3/4 |
0.3 1 |
25.6 91/95 |
2.9 |
NC Report[3] | 25 Jun 2016 | ? | ? | 31.9 128/132 |
22.0 83/88 |
[a] | 13.0 30/33 |
[a] | 2.4 8/9 |
1.8 7/8 |
1.1 5/6 |
– | 0.8 2 |
0.3 1 |
23.7 76/80 |
8.2 |
GESOP/El Periòdic[4] | 23–25 Jun 2016 | 1,000 | 68–70 | 28.7 116/120 |
21.6 83/87 |
[a] | 14.5 37/41 |
[a] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 23.9 83/87 |
4.8 |
GESOP/El Periòdic[5] | 22–24 Jun 2016 | 900 | 70–72 | 28.7 116/120 |
21.6 83/87 |
[a] | 14.9 38/42 |
[a] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 23.7 83/87 |
5.0 |
GAD3/ABC[6] | 13–24 Jun 2016 | 4,000 | ? | 30.4 121/124 |
21.8 84/86 |
[a] | 13.2 29/32 |
[a] | 2.8 10/11 |
1.6 6 |
1.2 5 |
– | 0.9 2 |
0.3 0/1 |
24.8 87/89 |
5.6 |
NC Report[3] | 23 Jun 2016 | ? | ? | 31.7 126/131 |
21.6 82/85 |
[a] | 13.1 31/34 |
[a] | 2.3 8/9 |
1.7 6/7 |
1.1 5/6 |
– | 0.7 2 |
0.3 1 |
24.5 79/84 |
7.2 |
GESOP/El Periòdic[7] | 21–23 Jun 2016 | 900 | 69–71 | 28.0 114/118 |
21.8 83/87 |
[a] | 15.2 40/44 |
[a] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 24.0 84/88 |
4.0 |
GESOP/El Periòdic[8] | 20–22 Jun 2016 | 900 | 69–71 | 28.2 114/118 |
21.7 83/87 |
[a] | 15.2 40/44 |
[a] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 23.6 83/87 |
4.6 |
NC Report[3] | 21 Jun 2016 | ? | ? | 31.3 126/131 |
21.4 81/84 |
[a] | 13.2 32/35 |
[a] | 2.3 8/9 |
1.7 6/7 |
1.1 5/6 |
– | 0.7 2 |
0.3 1 |
25.1 81/86 |
6.2 |
GESOP/El Periòdic[9] | 19–21 Jun 2016 | 900 | 68–70 | 28.5 115/119 |
21.5 82/86 |
[a] | 15.2 40/44 |
[a] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 23.7 83/87 |
4.8 |
GESOP/El Periòdic[10] | 18–20 Jun 2016 | 900 | 69–71 | 29.0 116/120 |
21.5 82/86 |
[a] | 14.9 38/42 |
[a] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 23.7 83/87 |
5.3 |
GAD3/ABC[11] | 13–20 Jun 2016 | 1,900 | ? | 30.7 122/125 |
21.2 79/82 |
[a] | 14.1 36/38 |
[a] | ? 9 |
? 6 |
? 5 |
– | ? 2 |
? 0/1 |
24.9 84/86 |
5.8 |
GIPEyOP[12] | 6–20 Jun 2016 | 10,244 | ? | 27.8– 31.2 114/130 |
20.6– 23.3 74/88 |
[a] | 13.3– 15.8 33/45 |
[a] | 2.2– 3.3 8/11 |
1.6– 2.5 5/9 |
0.8– 1.5 3/6 |
– | 0.6– 1.3 1/4 |
– | 23.0– 26.2 80/92 |
4.8– 5.0 |
Redondo & Asociados/Expansión[13] | 19 Jun 2016 | ? | ? | 29.4 121 |
21.5 83 |
[a] | 15.1 37 |
[a] | ? 9 |
? 7 |
? 5 |
– | ? 2 |
? 1 |
24.9 85 |
4.5 |
JM&A/Público[14] | 19 Jun 2016 | ? | 69.0 | 29.8 119 |
22.1 85 |
[a] | 13.9 34 |
[a] | 2.4 9 |
2.2 9 |
1.3 6 |
– | 0.9 2 |
0.3 1 |
23.9 85 |
5.9 |
Infortécnica[15][16] | 19 Jun 2016 | 2,071 | ? | ? 121/129 |
? 84/88 |
[a] | ? 40/44 |
[a] | – | – | – | – | – | – | ? 71/77 |
? |
InvyMark/laSexta[17][18] | 17–19 Jun 2016 | 1,200 | ? | 30.1 | 19.9 | [a] | 13.8 | [a] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 26.1 | 4.0 |
GESOP/El Periódico[19] | 17–19 Jun 2016 | 900 | 70–72 | 28.3 114/118 |
21.9 83/87 |
[a] | 14.9 38/42 |
[a] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 24.0 83/87 |
4.3 |
TNS Demoscopia[20] | 13–19 Jun 2016 | 500 | 70–71 | 29.6 | 21.0 | [a] | 14.8 | [a] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 24.7 | 4.9 |
Encuestamos[21] | 11–19 Jun 2016 | 2,400 | ? | 30.6 125/129 |
22.0 84/88 |
[a] | 13.6 31/35 |
[a] | 2.2 6/9 |
2.0 5/8 |
1.2 4/7 |
– | 0.8 1/3 |
0.2 0/1 |
23.9 85/89 |
6.7 |
GESOP/El Periódico[22] | 16–18 Jun 2016 | 900 | 71–73 | 28.8 116/120 |
21.6 81/85 |
[a] | 15.4 40/44 |
[a] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 23.7 83/87 |
5.1 |
GESOP/El Periódico[23] | 15–17 Jun 2016 | 900 | 70–72 | 28.3 114/118 |
21.2 80/84 |
[a] | 15.6 40/44 |
[a] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 24.2 84/88 |
4.1 |
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es[24] | 14–17 Jun 2016 | 1,100 | 66.5 | 30.5 123/128 |
21.8 84/86 |
[a] | 13.3 32/34 |
[a] | 2.4 8 |
1.7 6 |
1.1 5 |
0.8 0 |
0.8 2 |
0.3 1 |
25.3 83/88 |
5.2 |
A+M/20minutos[25] | 13–17 Jun 2016 | 4,000 | 68.8 | 28.8 118/124 |
21.7 79/82 |
[a] | 16.2 41/48 |
[a] | 2.3 8/9 |
1.7 6/7 |
1.1 5 |
– | 0.8 3 |
0.2 1 |
24.3 78/86 |
4.5 |
Hamalgama Métrica/La Provincia[26] | 8–17 Jun 2016 | 1,450 | 69.7 | 30.4 125/133 |
21.0 75/85 |
[a] | 12.5 30/38 |
[a] | 2.1 7/9 |
2.0 6/8 |
1.3 6/7 |
– | 0.8 2 |
0.3 1 |
26.2 72/93 |
4.2 |
Netquest/El Español[27] | 7–17 Jun 2016 | 2,000 | ? | 30.4 125 |
20.4 75 |
[a] | 15.2 42 |
[a] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 24.0 85 |
6.4 |
NC Report/La Razón[28][29] | 5–17 Jun 2016 | 2,000 | 64.6 | 31.1 126/131 |
21.2 80/83 |
[a] | 13.2 33/35 |
[a] | 2.3 8/9 |
1.7 6/7 |
1.1 5/6 |
– | 0.8 2 |
0.3 1 |
25.4 82/87 |
5.7 |
InvyMark/laSexta[30] | 15–16 Jun 2016 | ? | ? | 29.8 | 20.4 | [a] | 14.1 | [a] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 25.3 | 4.5 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[31] | 14–16 Jun 2016 | 1,500 | ? | 30.5 124/129 |
20.0 73/78 |
[a] | 14.1 35/40 |
[a] | 2.4 8/9 |
1.8 5/6 |
1.2 4/6 |
– | ? 2 |
? 0/1 |
24.8 86/92 |
5.7 |
GESOP/El Periódico[32] | 14–16 Jun 2016 | 900 | 69–71 | 28.6 114/118 |
20.8 79/83 |
[a] | 15.6 40/44 |
[a] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 24.1 84/88 |
4.5 |
GAD3/ABC[33] | 13–16 Jun 2016 | 1,400 | ? | 30.3 121/124 |
21.4 80/83 |
[a] | 14.4 38/40 |
[a] | 2.3 9 |
1.7 6 |
1.2 5 |
– | 0.8 2 |
0.3 0/1 |
24.6 84/85 |
5.7 |
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es[34] | 13–16 Jun 2016 | 1,100 | 66.4 | 30.3 123/128 |
21.8 83/86 |
[a] | 13.4 32/34 |
[a] | 2.4 8 |
1.7 6 |
1.2 5 |
0.8 0 |
0.8 2 |
0.3 1 |
25.1 82/87 |
5.2 |
MyWord/Cadena SER[35][36] | 13–16 Jun 2016 | 1,502 | ? | 28.9 118/123 |
20.4 75/80 |
[a] | 14.4 38/39 |
[a] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 24.8 87/90 |
4.1 |
DYM/El Confidencial[37][38] | 14–15 Jun 2016 | 1,011 | 72–73 | 29.0 116/117 |
21.0 81/82 |
[a] | 15.2 41 |
[a] | ? 9/10 |
? 8 |
? 5/6 |
– | ? 2 |
? 1 |
24.9 85/89 |
4.1 |
Metroscopia/El País[39][40][41] | 13–15 Jun 2016 | 1,800 | 70 | 29.0 113/116 |
20.5 78/85 |
[a] | 14.5 37/41 |
[a] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 26.0 92/95 |
3.0 |
GESOP/El Periódico[42] | 13–15 Jun 2016 | 900 | 68–70 | 28.3 113/117 |
20.8 79/83 |
[a] | 15.4 40/44 |
[a] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 24.5 85/89 |
3.8 |
Advice Strategic/Europa Press[43] | 5–15 Jun 2016 | 2,500 | ? | 29.6 | 20.5 | [a] | 14.8 | [a] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 25.1 | 4.5 |
Simple Lógica[44] | 1–15 Jun 2016 | 1,226 | 70.9 | 29.2 | 22.5 | [a] | 15.4 | [a] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 23.5 | 5.7 |
GESOP/El Periódico[45] | 12–14 Jun 2016 | 900 | 69–71 | 27.8 112/116 |
21.1 81/85 |
[a] | 15.2 39/43 |
[a] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 24.7 85/89 |
3.1 |
Redondo & Asociados/Tiempo[46][47] | 9–14 Jun 2016 | 1,000 | ? | 29.2 122 |
21.1 80 |
[a] | 15.3 38 |
[a] | 2.2 9 |
1.5 7 |
1.1 5 |
– | 0.9 2 |
0.3 1 |
24.6 86 |
4.6 |
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es[48] | 8–14 Jun 2016 | 1,100 | 66.3 | 29.8 121/126 |
22.0 83/86 |
[a] | 13.8 35/36 |
[a] | 2.4 8 |
1.7 6/7 |
1.2 6 |
1.0 0 |
0.8 2 |
0.3 1 |
24.9 80/84 |
4.9 |
JM&A/Público[49] | 13 Jun 2016 | ? | 69.0 | 29.2 118 |
21.1 80 |
[a] | 15.1 39 |
[a] | 2.4 9 |
2.2 9 |
1.2 5 |
– | 0.9 2 |
0.3 1 |
24.4 87 |
4.8 |
GESOP/El Periódico[50] | 11–13 Jun 2016 | 900 | 70–72 | 28.0 113/117 |
21.0 80/84 |
[a] | 14.9 38/42 |
[a] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 24.9 86/90 |
3.1 |
TNS Demoscopia[51] | 6–12 Jun 2016 | 500 | 69–70 | 29.0 | 21.3 | [a] | 15.6 | [a] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 24.5 | 4.5 |
SYM Consulting/Valencia Plaza[52] | 7–10 Jun 2016 | 1,816 | 72.8 | 29.7 122/125 |
22.9 79/82 |
[a] | 13.4 36/38 |
[a] | ? 7/8 |
? 6/7 |
? 5 |
– | ? 3 |
? 0/1 |
24.4 87/89 |
5.3 |
NC Report/La Razón[3][29] | 5–10 Jun 2016 | 1,000 | ? | 30.6 126/130 |
21.3 81/83 |
[a] | 13.7 35/37 |
[a] | 2.3 8/9 |
1.7 6/7 |
1.1 5/6 |
– | 0.8 2 |
0.3 1 |
24.8 81/86 |
5.8 |
Netquest/El Español[53] | 1–10 Jun 2016 | 2,000 | ? | 28.8 117 |
21.0 78 |
[a] | 15.8 45 |
[a] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 24.7 87 |
4.1 |
GAD3/La Vanguardia[54] | 6–9 Jun 2016 | 1,016 | 70 | 29.8 119/122 |
21.4 80/82 |
[a] | 14.9 40/41 |
[a] | 2.4 8/9 |
1.8 6/7 |
1.2 5 |
– | 0.9 2 |
0.3 0/1 |
24.3 85/87 |
5.5 |
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[55][56] | 1–9 Jun 2016 | 1,005 | ? | 29.2 121 |
21.4 85 |
[a] | 12.9 34 |
[a] | 2.4 8 |
1.9 6 |
0.9 3 |
– | 0.9 3 |
– | 26.1 90 |
3.1 |
Metroscopia/El País[57][58][59] | 7–8 Jun 2016 | 1,200 | 70 | 28.9 | 20.8 | [a] | 15.9 | [a] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 25.4 | 3.5 |
InvyMark/laSexta[60] | 6–7 Jun 2016 | ? | ? | 30.1 | 20.0 | [a] | 14.4 | [a] | 2.6 | 1.7 | 1.3 | – | – | – | 24.8 | 5.3 |
GESOP/El Periódico[61][62] | 3–7 Jun 2016 | 1,816 | ? | 27.9 113/117 |
21.2 80/84 |
[a] | 15.5 40/44 |
[a] | 2.3 8/9 |
1.6 5/6 |
– | – | – | – | 24.5 84/88 |
3.4 |
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es[63] | 1–7 Jun 2016 | 1,100 | 65.6 | 29.7 122/125 |
22.1 83/86 |
[a] | 14.3 36/37 |
[a] | 2.4 7/8 |
1.7 5/6 |
1.2 6 |
1.0 0 |
0.9 2 |
0.3 1 |
24.4 79/85 |
5.3 |
Encuestamos[64] | 26 May–5 Jun 2016 | 2,000 | ? | 30.4 122/126 |
21.9 84/87 |
[a] | 13.6 31/34 |
[a] | 2.3 7/9 |
2.0 5/7 |
1.3 4/6 |
– | 0.7 1/2 |
0.2 0/1 |
23.6 87/90 |
6.8 |
Netquest/El Español[65] | 1–3 Jun 2016 | 1,000 | ? | 27.7 113 |
21.6 82 |
[a] | 15.4 44 |
[a] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 24.3 86 |
3.4 |
NC Report/La Razón[66][67] | 30 May–3 Jun 2016 | 2,000 | 63.9 | 30.5 125/130 |
21.4 80/83 |
[a] | 13.9 37/39 |
[a] | 2.3 8/9 |
1.7 6 |
1.1 5/6 |
– | 0.8 2 |
0.3 1 |
24.5 80/84 |
6.0 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[68] | 31 May–2 Jun 2016 | 1,000 | ? | 31.0 130 |
20.3 77 |
[a] | 14.0 37 |
[a] | 2.6 9 |
2.2 8 |
1.3 6 |
– | – | – | 23.7 80 |
7.3 |
JM&A/Público[69] | 1 Jun 2016 | ? | 69.5 | 28.7 118 |
21.7 83 |
[a] | 14.8 38 |
[a] | 2.3 8 |
2.5 10 |
1.3 6 |
– | 0.9 2 |
0.4 1 |
24.1 84 |
4.6 |
PSOE[70] | 1 Jun 2016 | 1,000 | ? | 27.9 | 23.8 | [a] | 14.5 | [a] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 22.4 | 4.1 |
Metroscopia/El País[71][72][73] | 31 May–1 Jun 2016 | 1,200 | 68 | 28.5 | 20.2 | [a] | 16.6 | [a] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 25.6 | 2.9 |
CDC[74] | 31 May 2016 | ? | 69 | ? 117 |
? 79 |
[a] | ? 41 |
[a] | ? 8 |
? 9 |
? 5 |
– | ? 2 |
? 1 |
? 88 |
? |
NC Report/La Razón[75][76] | 16–27 May 2016 | 2,000 | ? | 30.5 124/130 |
21.3 80/82 |
[a] | 14.2 38/40 |
[a] | 2.2 8 |
1.6 5/6 |
1.1 5/6 |
– | 0.8 2 |
0.3 1 |
24.7 79/84 |
5.8 |
GAD3/ABC[77] | 23–26 May 2016 | 1,000 | 70 | 29.6 121 |
21.6 86 |
[a] | 14.8 40 |
[a] | 2.4 9 |
2.2 8 |
1.2 6 |
– | 0.9 2 |
0.3 1 |
22.5 77 |
7.1 |
Advice Strategic/Europa Press[78] | 19–25 May 2016 | 2,500 | ? | 29.8 | 20.4 | [a] | 14.7 | [a] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 24.4 | 5.4 |
MyWord/Cadena SER[79][80] | 20–24 May 2016 | 1,000 | ? | 29.2 | 20.7 | [a] | 14.2 | [a] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 24.8 | 4.4 |
CIS[81][82] | 4–22 May 2016 | 17,488 | ? | 29.2 118/121 |
21.2 78/80 |
[a] | 14.6 38/39 |
[a] | 2.4 8/9 |
1.8 6/7 |
1.2 5 |
– | 0.9 3 |
0.2 0 |
25.6 88/92 |
3.6 |
Encuestamos[83] | 2–22 May 2016 | 2,000 | ? | 30.3 121/125 |
22.9 87/90 |
[a] | 13.9 33/36 |
[a] | 2.4 7/9 |
2.2 6/8 |
1.1 4/6 |
– | 0.6 1/2 |
0.3 1/2 |
23.2 84/87 |
7.1 |
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es[84][85] | 16–20 May 2016 | 1,100 | 65.0 | 29.5 120/122 |
22.0 84/87 |
[a] | 14.9 38/41 |
[a] | 2.3 7/8 |
1.5 5/6 |
1.2 6 |
1.1 0 |
0.9 2 |
0.3 1 |
24.2 78/82 |
5.3 |
NC Report/La Razón[86][87] | 9–20 May 2016 | 2,500 | 63.5 | 30.4 125/130 |
21.1 80/83 |
[a] | 14.5 38/40 |
[a] | 2.3 8 |
1.5 6 |
1.1 6 |
– | 0.8 2 |
0.3 1 |
24.9 77/82 |
5.5 |
Metroscopia/El País[88][89][90][91] | 17–18 May 2016 | 1,200 | 72 | 28.4 | 20.1 | [a] | 16.4 | [a] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 22.9 | 5.5 |
68 | 29.9 | 20.2 | [a] | 15.5 | [a] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 23.2 | 6.7 | |||
63 | 31.5 | 21.1 | [a] | 13.3 | [a] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 23.7 | 7.8 | |||
GIPEyOP[92] | 12–18 May 2016 | 2,940 | ? | 29.3 113/120 |
21.9 85/89 |
[a] | 13.3 33/36 |
[a] | 2.5 9 |
2.1 7/8 |
1.2 5 |
– | 0.8 2 |
0.3 1 |
24.3 82/88 |
5.0 |
Redondo & Asociados/Tiempo[93][94] | 13–17 May 2016 | 1,000 | 70.1 | 29.4 126 |
21.2 82 |
[a] | 15.1 38 |
[a] | 2.2 9 |
1.5 7 |
1.1 6 |
– | 0.9 2 |
0.3 1 |
24.3 79 |
5.1 |
JM&A/Público[95] | 13 May 2016 | ? | 69.2 | 27.8 112 |
20.3 73 |
[a] | 16.6 52 |
[a] | 2.3 8 |
2.3 9 |
1.3 5 |
– | 0.9 2 |
0.3 1 |
24.5 88 |
3.3 |
Netquest/El Español[96] | 10–13 May 2016 | 1,000 | ? | 30.8 123 |
19.7 73 |
[a] | 14.7 40 |
[a] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 23.7 84 |
7.1 |
InvyMark/laSexta[97] | 9–13 May 2016 | ? | ? | 29.6 | 20.1 | [a] | 15.1 | [a] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 24.2 | 5.4 |
NC Report/La Razón[98][99][100] | 9–12 May 2016 | 1,500 | ? | 30.2 125/130 |
21.0 80/84 |
[a] | 14.7 39/41 |
[a] | 2.2 8 |
1.5 6 |
1.1 6 |
– | 0.9 2 |
0.3 1 |
24.9 76/81 |
5.3 |
Simple Lógica[101] | 2–10 May 2016 | 1,035 | 71.7 | 29.9 | 21.5 | 14.2 | 17.7 | 7.9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8.4 |
NC Report/La Razón[102][103] | 25 Apr–7 May 2016 | 2,000 | 63.6 | 30.2 126/130 |
20.8 80/84 |
[a] | 15.0 39/42 |
[a] | 2.1 8 |
1.5 6 |
1.2 6 |
– | 0.8 2 |
0.3 1 |
24.7 75/80 |
5.5 |
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es[104] | 2–6 May 2016 | 1,100 | 64.5 | 29.2 120/123 |
22.4 85/89 |
[a] | 15.5 39/41 |
[a] | 2.4 8/9 |
1.5 5/6 |
1.2 5 |
1.0 0 |
0.9 2 |
0.3 1 |
24.2 75/80 |
5.0 |
64.5 | 29.1 124/126 |
21.9 88/90 |
19.8 63/67 |
15.4 41/43 |
5.3 5/7 |
2.4 8/9 |
1.5 5/6 |
1.2 5/6 |
0.9 0 |
0.9 2 |
0.3 1 |
– | 7.2 | |||
Encuestamos[105] | 23 Apr–2 May 2016 | 1,800 | ? | 30.0 129/132 |
22.8 91/93 |
19.1 58/61 |
14.1 40/41 |
4.8 4/5 |
2.4 9/10 |
2.3 8/9 |
1.2 5/6 |
– | 0.6 1/2 |
0.3 1/2 |
– | 7.2 |
NC Report/La Razón[106][107] | 18–30 Apr 2016 | 2,000 | 63.9 | 29.9 127/132 |
20.4 82/85 |
20.9 67/70 |
15.0 41/45 |
5.0 4/6 |
– | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9.0 |
GAD3/ABC[108][109] | 26–29 Apr 2016 | 800 | 69 | 29.3 129 |
22.6 95 |
17.0 50 |
13.9 41 |
5.3 8 |
2.1 8 |
1.8 8 |
1.3 6 |
– | 0.9 4 |
0.4 1 |
– | 6.7 |
InvyMark/laSexta[110][111] | 25–29 Apr 2016 | 1,200 | ? | 28.7 | 19.4 | 20.7 | 15.4 | 4.8 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8.0 |
Metroscopia/El País[112][113] | 26–28 Apr 2016 | 1,200 | 70 | 29.0 | 20.3 | 18.1 | 16.9 | 6.6 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8.7 |
NC Report/La Razón[114][115][116] | 18–23 Apr 2016 | 2,000 | 63.9 | 29.9 127/132 |
20.5 82/85 |
21.2 68/71 |
15.2 41/46 |
4.6 3/5 |
– | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8.7 |
Netquest/El Español[117] | 18–22 Apr 2016 | 1,000 | ? | 27.3 | 20.2 | 18.7 | 17.0 | 5.8 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7.1 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[118] | 18–22 Apr 2016 | 800 | ? | 29.5 126 |
22.2 91 |
18.6 58 |
14.7 45 |
4.5 6 |
2.6 9 |
1.9 6 |
1.1 6 |
– | – | – | – | 7.3 |
Encuestamos[119] | 1–20 Apr 2016 | 2,000 | ? | 30.3 131/135 |
23.0 92/94 |
19.4 60/63 |
14.2 40/42 |
4.4 3/5 |
2.6 9/10 |
2.2 7/8 |
1.1 5/6 |
– | 0.6 1/2 |
0.3 1/2 |
– | 7.3 |
NC Report/La Razón[120][121][122] | 12–16 Apr 2016 | 2,400 | 64.2 | 29.8 128/131 |
20.7 83/85 |
20.9 67/71 |
15.4 42/47 |
4.5 3/5 |
2.2 8 |
1.5 6 |
1.2 6 |
– | 0.7 2 |
0.3 1 |
– | 8.9 |
InvyMark/laSexta[123][124] | 11–15 Apr 2016 | ? | ? | 28.6 | 20.4 | 19.2 | 15.8 | 5.4 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8.2 |
TNS Demoscopia[125] | 12–14 Apr 2016 | 1,000 | 68–69 | 29.4 | 22.3 | 17.5 | 15.8 | 6.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7.1 |
NC Report[126] | 7–14 Apr 2016 | 955 | ? | 30.7 | 21.2 | 21.9 | 14.5 | 4.9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8.8 |
JM&A/Público[127] | 13 Apr 2016 | ? | 66.9 | 27.9 115 |
19.8 77 |
20.9 69 |
17.0 60 |
3.6 2 |
2.4 9 |
2.4 9 |
1.3 6 |
– | 0.9 2 |
0.4 1 |
– | 7.0 |
Simple Lógica[128] | 4–12 Apr 2016 | 1,047 | 73.8 | 28.3 | 20.6 | 16.9 | 17.7 | 6.9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7.7 |
IMOP/Llorente & Cuenca[129] | 6–10 Apr 2016 | 1,027 | 69 | 28.8 123 |
22.2 90 |
15.6 48 |
16.6 53 |
7.5 12 |
2.2 9 |
1.7 6 |
1.1 6 |
– | 0.7 2 |
? 1 |
– | 6.6 |
Advice Strategic/Europa Press[130] | 4–10 Apr 2016 | 2,500 | ? | 29.1 | 21.7 | 17.4 | 16.0 | 5.5 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 1.2 | – | – | – | – | 7.4 |
CIS[131][132][133][134] | 1–10 Apr 2016 | 2,490 | ? | 27.4 119 |
21.6 90 |
17.7 56 |
15.6 52 |
5.4 8 |
2.5 9 |
1.9 7 |
1.0 6 |
– | 0.7 2 |
0.4 1 |
– | 5.8 |
NC Report/La Razón[135][136] | 4–9 Apr 2016 | 2,300 | ? | 29.6 127/129 |
21.0 84/86 |
20.4 64/69 |
15.5 43/48 |
4.4 2/4 |
2.3 8/9 |
1.5 6/7 |
1.3 6 |
– | 0.7 2 |
0.3 1 |
– | 8.6 |
GAD3/ABC[137][138] | 6–7 Apr 2016 | 800 | 68 | 29.2 127 |
23.3 95 |
15.5 46 |
14.4 45 |
6.7 11 |
2.3 9 |
2.0 8 |
1.1 6 |
– | 0.8 3 |
0.2 0 |
– | 5.9 |
Metroscopia[139] | 5–6 Apr 2016 | 1,200 | 70 | 29.0 | 20.1 | 17.0 | 17.7 | 6.7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8.9 |
DYM/El Confidencial[140] | 30 Mar–6 Apr 2016 | 1,036 | ? | 29.2 | 20.7 | 19.6 | 15.2 | 5.9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8.5 |
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es[141][142] | 1–5 Apr 2016 | 1,100 | 64.9 | 29.1 123/125 |
22.2 89/90 |
19.4 61/66 |
15.9 44/47 |
4.5 3/5 |
2.7 9/10 |
1.8 7 |
1.1 5/6 |
1.0 0 |
0.7 2 |
0.3 1 |
– | 6.9 |
Estudio de Sociología Consultores[143] | 28 Mar–5 Apr 2016 | 2,300 | ? | 29.2 128 |
23.7 92 |
17.5 58 |
16.1 45 |
4.6 2 |
3.0 11 |
1.7 5 |
– | – | – | – | – | 4.5 |
Redondo & Asociados/Tiempo[144][145] | 28 Mar–4 Apr 2016 | 1,000 | 69.7 | 29.1 126 |
21.8 87 |
19.1 61 |
15.7 47 |
4.9 4 |
2.4 9 |
1.7 7 |
1.3 6 |
– | 0.7 2 |
0.3 1 |
– | 7.3 |
NC Report/La Razón[146] | 22 Mar–2 Apr 2016 | 1,800 | ? | 29.4 126/128 |
21.8 86/88 |
19.2 62/64 |
15.5 44/49 |
4.6 2/4 |
2.4 9 |
1.6 7 |
1.3 6 |
– | 0.7 2 |
0.3 1 |
– | 7.6 |
InvyMark/laSexta[147][148] | 28 Mar–1 Apr 2016 | 1,200 | ? | 28.6 | 21.6 | 19.9 | 15.2 | 4.1 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7.0 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[149] | 28–31 Mar 2016 | 800 | ? | 30.2 128 |
22.0 90 |
16.7 49 |
16.2 52 |
4.5 6 |
2.3 8 |
2.1 7 |
1.1 6 |
– | – | – | – | 8.2 |
Metroscopia/El País[150][151][152] | 28–30 Mar 2016 | 1,200 | 73 | 27.7 | 21.0 | 15.9 | 18.8 | 6.9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6.7 |
Netquest/El Español[153] | 23–30 Mar 2016 | 1,002 | ? | 27.5 | 19.3 | 17.3 | 16.9 | 7.3 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8.2 |
NC Report/La Razón[154][155][156] | 22–27 Mar 2016 | 900 | ? | 29.4 126/128 |
22.0 87/89 |
19.4 63/65 |
15.3 43/48 |
4.6 2/4 |
2.4 9 |
1.7 7 |
1.3 6 |
– | 0.7 2 |
0.3 1 |
– | 7.4 |
Encuestamos[157] | 1–20 Mar 2016 | 2,000 | ? | 30.1 128/131 |
23.2 93/95 |
19.6 61/64 |
14.2 40/42 |
4.1 2/4 |
2.6 9/10 |
2.2 7/8 |
1.2 6/7 |
– | 0.6 1/2 |
0.3 1/2 |
– | 6.9 |
NC Report/La Razón[158][159] | 13–17 Mar 2016 | 1,000 | 64.7 | 29.3 124/128 |
22.1 87/90 |
19.5 62/66 |
15.1 44/48 |
4.4 2/4 |
2.3 9 |
1.8 7 |
1.2 6 |
– | 0.8 2 |
0.4 1 |
– | 7.2 |
MyWord/Cadena SER[160][161] | 10–14 Mar 2016 | 1,004 | ? | 27.0 | 20.9 | 15.9 | 18.0 | 7.1 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6.1 |
InvyMark/laSexta[162] | 7–11 Mar 2016 | ? | ? | 28.5 | 20.8 | 21.5 | 14.3 | 4.3 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7.0 |
NC Report/La Razón[163][164] | 1–11 Mar 2016 | 2,300 | ? | 29.3 126/128 |
22.0 87/90 |
19.8 63/67 |
15.1 42/47 |
4.4 2/4 |
2.4 9 |
1.8 7 |
1.2 6 |
– | 0.8 2 |
0.3 1 |
– | 7.3 |
GAD3/ABC[165][166] | 7–10 Mar 2016 | 800 | 67 | 28.2 123 |
24.2 98 |
18.7 60 |
14.1 42 |
3.2 1 |
2.9 10 |
1.8 7 |
1.2 6 |
– | 0.7 2 |
0.3 1 |
– | 4.0 |
Metroscopia/El País[167][168][169] | 8–9 Mar 2016 | 1,200 | 75 | 26.0 | 23.1 | 16.8 | 19.5 | 5.4 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2.9 |
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[170][171] | 5–9 Mar 2016 | 1,002 | ? | 28.6 124 |
22.0 89 |
19.1 60 |
15.6 48 |
4.2 4 |
2.5 8 |
2.1 8 |
1.2 6 |
– | 0.8 2 |
0.3 1 |
– | 6.6 |
Simple Lógica[172] | 1–9 Mar 2016 | 1,206 | 72.5 | 26.2 | 21.6 | 18.3 | 17.1 | 7.9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 4.6 |
GESOP/El Periódico[173][174] | 5–8 Mar 2016 | 1,000 | ? | 26.4 107/110 |
21.9 88/91 |
18.1 58/61 |
17.8 59/62 |
5.9 7/9 |
2.4 9/10 |
1.5 6/7 |
– | – | – | – | – | 4.5 |
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es[175][176] | 2–5 Mar 2016 | 1,100 | 66.1 | 28.6 120/124 |
22.6 91/94 |
19.6 63/67 |
15.7 42/45 |
4.6 3/5 |
2.5 9 |
1.9 7 |
1.1 5 |
1.0 0 |
0.8 2 |
0.3 1 |
– | 6.0 |
NC Report/La Razón[177][178] | 1–4 Mar 2016 | 1,400 | 65.0 | 29.2 125/128 |
21.8 87/90 |
20.2 64/67 |
14.9 42/46 |
4.2 2/4 |
2.4 9 |
1.9 7/8 |
1.2 6 |
– | 0.8 2 |
0.4 1 |
– | 7.4 |
JM&A/Público[179] | 3 Mar 2016 | ? | 67.3 | 26.5 112 |
20.2 78 |
20.9 69 |
16.9 61 |
3.3 1 |
2.6 9 |
2.4 9 |
1.3 6 |
– | 1.0 4 |
0.4 1 |
– | 5.6 |
InvyMark/laSexta[180][181] | 22–26 Feb 2016 | 1,200 | ? | 26.8 | 20.3 | 22.1 | 15.8 | 4.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 4.7 |
DYM/El Confidencial[182] | 19–23 Feb 2016 | 1,071 | ? | 25.6 | 22.1 | 19.8 | 17.6 | 5.4 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 3.5 |
InvyMark/laSexta[183] | 15–19 Feb 2016 | ? | ? | 26.4 | 21.8 | 20.7 | 16.2 | 4.2 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 4.6 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[184][185] | 16–18 Feb 2016 | 1,000 | ? | 27.8 119 |
23.1 93 |
18.8 60 |
15.3 50 |
4.0 3 |
2.4 9 |
2.1 7 |
1.1 6 |
– | – | – | – | 4.7 |
NC Report/La Razón[186][187] | 10–18 Feb 2016 | 1,400 | 65.3 | 28.9 125/127 |
21.4 87/89 |
21.1 68/72 |
14.2 41/42 |
3.4 1/2 |
2.5 9 |
2.0 7/8 |
1.2 6 |
– | 0.8 2 |
0.3 1 |
– | 7.5 |
Encuestamos[188] | 1–17 Feb 2016 | 1,800 | ? | 27.7 117/119 |
24.2 98/100 |
20.5 66/68 |
13.9 38/40 |
3.4 1/2 |
2.5 9/10 |
2.1 7/8 |
1.1 6 |
– | 0.9 2/3 |
0.3 1/2 |
– | 3.5 |
GIPEyOP[189] | 7–16 Feb 2016 | 1,960 | ? | 27.1 | 22.3 | 22.3 | 14.9 | 3.2 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 1.2 | – | 0.7 | – | – | 4.8 |
GAD3/ABC[190][191] | 8–11 Feb 2016 | 800 | 68 | 27.9 119 |
20.8 84 |
21.4 75 |
14.9 44 |
3.3 1 |
2.6 10 |
1.9 8 |
1.4 6 |
– | 0.7 2 |
0.3 1 |
– | 6.5 |
Estudio de Sociología Consultores[192] | 1–10 Feb 2016 | 2,100 | ? | 29.0 125 |
22.6 94 |
20.9 69 |
14.0 33 |
4.0 2 |
3.4 9 |
1.8 8 |
1.1 6 |
– | – | – | – | 6.4 |
JM&A/Público[193] | 7 Feb 2016 | ? | 70.5 | 27.8 118 |
20.4 84 |
21.2 75 |
14.9 44 |
3.8 2 |
2.6 9 |
2.3 9 |
1.2 6 |
– | 0.9 2 |
0.3 1 |
– | 6.6 |
Simple Lógica[194] | 1–5 Feb 2016 | 1,048 | 75.6 | 26.9 | 21.7 | 20.3 | 18.9 | 5.1 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5.2 |
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es[195][196] | 1–5 Feb 2016 | 1,100 | 66.6 | 28.5 120/124 |
22.4 89/92 |
20.4 65/69 |
15.1 41/46 |
3.7 2 |
2.7 9/10 |
2.0 7/8 |
1.2 5/6 |
1.0 0 |
0.8 2 |
0.4 1 |
– | 6.1 |
InvyMark/laSexta[197] | 1–5 Feb 2016 | ? | ? | 27.8 | 21.1 | 21.6 | 15.1 | 3.8 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6.2 |
Metroscopia/El País[198][199][200] | 3–4 Feb 2016 | 1,000 | 73 | 24.0 | 23.3 | 19.9 | 18.5 | 4.3 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.7 |
GAD3/ABC[201][202] | 15–21 Jan 2016 | 802 | 70 | 30.1 131 |
21.3 89 |
20.0 65 |
13.4 38 |
2.9 1 |
2.4 9 |
2.1 8 |
1.1 5 |
– | 1.1 3 |
0.3 1 |
– | 8.8 |
NC Report/La Razón[203][204] | 4–21 Jan 2016 | 1,900 | 65.6 | 30.7 130/132 |
21.1 86/88 |
21.9 70/73 |
12.0 30/33 |
3.4 1/2 |
2.4 9 |
2.2 7/8 |
1.2 6 |
– | 0.8 2 |
0.3 1 |
– | 8.8 |
MyWord/Cadena SER[205][206] | 15–19 Jan 2016 | 1,000 | ? | 28.0 | 21.3 | 20.3 | 14.4 | 4.7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6.7 |
Redondo & Asociados[207] | 16 Jan 2016 | ? | ? | 30.5 130 |
20.7 79 |
22.8 82 |
10.9 31 |
– | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7.7 |
InvyMark/laSexta[208] | 11–15 Jan 2016 | ? | ? | 30.8 | 20.8 | 21.6 | 12.6 | 3.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9.2 |
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es[209][210] | 4–15 Jan 2016 | 1,100 | 67.5 | 30.2 128/130 |
21.9 87/90 |
22.1 68/73 |
12.6 33/35 |
3.3 2 |
2.5 9 |
2.1 7/8 |
1.1 5/6 |
1.0 0 |
0.9 2 |
0.3 1 |
– | 8.1 |
NC Report[126] | 4–15 Jan 2016 | 955 | ? | 30.5 | 22.1 | 20.7 | 13.4 | 3.6 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8.4 |
Encuestamos[211] | 1–15 Jan 2016 | 1,800 | ? | 33.2 140/145 |
22.2 90/92 |
21.4 74/76 |
10.9 17/21 |
2.9 1 |
2.5 10/11 |
2.0 5/7 |
1.1 5/6 |
– | 0.8 2 |
0.3 1 |
– | 11.0 |
Metroscopia/El País[212][213][214] | 12–14 Jan 2016 | 1,200 | 76.4 | 29.0 | 21.1 | 22.5 | 16.6 | 3.2 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6.5 |
Estudio de Sociología Consultores[215] | 2–14 Jan 2016 | 2,200 | ? | 32.4 137 |
22.4 90 |
20.5 65 |
13.2 30 |
3.9 2 |
– | – | – | – | – | – | – | 10.0 |
Simple Lógica[216] | 4–12 Jan 2016 | 1,050 | 77.1 | 30.0 | 20.4 | 21.3 | 14.7 | 4.8 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8.7 |
IMOP/Llorente & Cuenca[217] | 9–11 Jan 2016 | 1,000 | 69 | 31.4 136 |
23.5 96 |
19.5 63 |
11.8 29 |
3.4 1 |
2.3 9 |
1.8 7 |
1.2 6 |
– | 0.9 2 |
? 1 |
– | 7.9 |
CIS[218][219][220] | 2–11 Jan 2016 | 2,496 | ? | 28.8 123 |
20.5 83 |
21.9 79 |
13.3 39 |
3.7 2 |
2.8 11 |
1.7 7 |
1.3 6 |
– | 1.0 2 |
0.0 0 |
– | 6.9 |
2015 general election | 20 Dec 2015 | — | 69.7 | 28.7 123 |
22.0 90 |
20.7 69 |
13.9 40 |
3.7 2 |
2.4 9 |
2.2 8 |
1.2 6 |
0.9 0 |
0.9 2 |
0.3 1 |
– | 6.7 |
Close
Voting preferences
The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.
- Color key:
Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls
More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | ![]() |
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PNV | ![]() |
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Lead |
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2016 general election | 26 Jun 2016 | — | 22.9 | 15.7 | [a] | 9.0 | [a] | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 14.6 | — | 30.2 | 7.2 |
GESOP/El Periòdic[4][221] | 23–25 Jun 2016 | 1,000 | 18.0 | 14.9 | [a] | 9.6 | [a] | 1.9 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 20.2 | 24.4 | 3.9 | 2.2 |
GESOP/El Periòdic[5][221] | 22–24 Jun 2016 | 900 | 20.3 | 16.1 | [a] | 10.2 | [a] | 2.1 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 19.7 | 20.1 | 4.1 | 0.6 |
GESOP/El Periòdic[7][221] | 21–23 Jun 2016 | 900 | 20.1 | 16.1 | [a] | 11.9 | [a] | 2.1 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 19.7 | 18.7 | 4.7 | 0.4 |
GESOP/El Periòdic[8][221] | 20–22 Jun 2016 | 900 | 21.3 | 14.8 | [a] | 12.6 | [a] | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 19.2 | 17.9 | 4.0 | 2.2 |
GESOP/El Periòdic[9][221] | 19–21 Jun 2016 | 900 | 19.6 | 14.8 | [a] | 12.2 | [a] | 2.4 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 19.4 | 19.4 | 4.6 | 0.2 |
GESOP/El Periòdic[10][221] | 18–20 Jun 2016 | 900 | 19.3 | 15.8 | [a] | 11.2 | [a] | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 18.7 | 20.2 | 4.6 | 0.6 |
GESOP/El Periódico[19][221] | 17–19 Jun 2016 | 900 | 19.2 | 16.4 | [a] | 11.1 | [a] | 2.7 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 18.7 | 21.2 | 5.0 | 0.5 |
GESOP/El Periódico[221] | 16–18 Jun 2016 | 900 | 19.9 | 16.1 | [a] | 12.2 | [a] | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 19.8 | 19.7 | 4.8 | 0.1 |
GESOP/El Periódico[23][221] | 15–17 Jun 2016 | 900 | 20.3 | 14.8 | [a] | 11.9 | [a] | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 20.4 | 20.4 | 4.9 | 0.1 |
GESOP/El Periódico[32][221] | 14–16 Jun 2016 | 900 | 18.4 | 15.1 | [a] | 11.1 | [a] | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 19.9 | 20.9 | 5.7 | 1.5 |
MyWord/Cadena SER[36] | 13–16 Jun 2016 | 1,502 | 14.2 | 11.1 | [a] | 13.0 | [a] | 2.6 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 25.9 | 19.3 | 3.8 | 11.7 |
DYM/El Confidencial[37] | 14–15 Jun 2016 | 1,011 | 13.9 | 11.6 | [a] | 10.3 | [a] | – | – | – | – | – | 18.0 | 32.5 | 6.9 | 4.1 |
Metroscopia/El País[40] | 13–15 Jun 2016 | 1,800 | 19.4 | 17.9 | [a] | 12.7 | [a] | – | – | – | – | – | 25.2 | 17.2 | 5.8 | |
GESOP/El Periódico[42][221] | 13–15 Jun 2016 | 900 | 19.0 | 13.7 | [a] | 10.0 | [a] | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 19.1 | 23.6 | 5.8 | 0.1 |
Simple Lógica[44] | 1–15 Jun 2016 | 1,226 | 17.9 | 12.2 | [a] | 10.8 | [a] | – | – | – | – | – | 14.1 | 24.3 | 15.3 | 3.8 |
GESOP/El Periódico[45][221] | 12–14 Jun 2016 | 900 | 18.6 | 14.0 | [a] | 9.6 | [a] | 2.7 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 19.1 | 25.1 | 5.0 | 0.5 |
GESOP/El Periódico[50][221] | 11–13 Jun 2016 | 900 | 20.1 | 13.6 | [a] | 9.2 | [a] | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 19.8 | 24.2 | 5.4 | 0.3 |
Metroscopia/El País[58] | 7–8 Jun 2016 | 1,200 | 20.8 | 17.7 | [a] | 15.2 | [a] | – | – | – | – | – | 21.0 | 16.5 | 0.2 | |
GESOP/El Periódico[222] | 3–7 Jun 2016 | 1,816 | 21.2 | 14.5 | [a] | 13.8 | [a] | 2.1 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 | – | 21.1 | 15.2 | 4.6 | 0.1 |
Metroscopia/El País[72] | 31 May–1 Jun 2016 | 1,200 | 18.9 | 16.0 | [a] | 14.0 | [a] | – | – | – | – | – | 22.5 | 22.2 | 3.6 | |
MyWord/Cadena SER[80] | 20–24 May 2016 | 1,000 | 16.2 | 12.5 | [a] | 13.1 | [a] | 4.4 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 22.0 | 15.1 | 4.0 | 5.8 |
CIS[81] | 4–22 May 2016 | 17,488 | 16.8 | 14.6 | [a] | 8.5 | [a] | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 18.2 | 22.0 | 11.0 | 1.4 |
Metroscopia/El País[90] | 17–18 May 2016 | 1,200 | 18.1 | 16.1 | [a] | 12.2 | [a] | – | – | – | – | – | 21.0 | 23.5 | 2.9 | |
Simple Lógica[101] | 2–10 May 2016 | 1,035 | 16.1 | 12.6 | 10.4 | 13.7 | 7.4 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 21.9 | 14.2 | 2.4 |
GAD3/ABC[109] | 26–29 Apr 2016 | 800 | 23.4 | 18.2 | 12.5 | 12.1 | 4.1 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 | – | – | – | 5.2 |
Metroscopia/El País[223] | 26–28 Apr 2016 | 1,200 | 21.2 | 19.1 | 16.3 | 14.8 | 6.6 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 15.3 | 2.1 | |
Netquest/El Español[117] | 18–22 Apr 2016 | 1,000 | 15.0 | 13.0 | 19.4 | 13.4 | 6.9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 4.4 |
Simple Lógica[128] | 4–12 Apr 2016 | 1,047 | 14.9 | 13.5 | 11.8 | 13.1 | 6.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 19.8 | 15.6 | 1.4 |
CIS[131] | 1–10 Apr 2016 | 2,490 | 17.3 | 15.3 | 12.6 | 10.8 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | – | 18.9 | 11.5 | 2.0 |
GAD3/ABC[138] | 6–7 Apr 2016 | 800 | 23.6 | 19.7 | 10.6 | 12.3 | 5.4 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – | – | – | 3.9 |
Netquest/El Español[153] | 23–30 Mar 2016 | 1,002 | 17.7 | 13.8 | 14.6 | 13.2 | 6.9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 3.1 |
MyWord/Cadena SER[161] | 10–14 Mar 2016 | 1,004 | 12.1 | 13.1 | 15.5 | 13.4 | 8.1 | 3.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | 18.9 | 5.3 | 2.1 |
GAD3/ABC[166] | 7–10 Mar 2016 | 800 | 23.4 | 20.8 | 12.3 | 12.6 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 | – | – | – | 2.6 |
Metroscopia/El País[168] | 8–9 Mar 2016 | 1,200 | 18.9 | 18.1 | 14.5 | 17.7 | 5.6 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 18.7 | 0.8 | |
Simple Lógica[172] | 1–9 Mar 2016 | 1,206 | 15.1 | 13.8 | 11.7 | 11.4 | 8.1 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 22.2 | 12.3 | 1.3 |
GESOP/El Periódico[224] | 5–8 Mar 2016 | 1,000 | 20.5 | 18.1 | 15.5 | 17.8 | 7.3 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.5 | – | – | 9.0 | 3.3 | 2.3 |
GAD3/ABC[191] | 8–11 Feb 2016 | 800 | 21.4 | 16.7 | 15.8 | 14.1 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – | – | 4.7 |
Simple Lógica[194] | 1–5 Feb 2016 | 1,048 | 16.9 | 13.7 | 14.6 | 15.6 | 4.8 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 15.9 | 14.1 | 1.3 |
Metroscopia/El País[200] | 3–4 Feb 2016 | 1,000 | 17.2 | 17.8 | 18.0 | 14.5 | 4.7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 20.4 | 0.2 | |
GAD3/ABC[202] | 15–21 Jan 2016 | 802 | 24.4 | 17.6 | 15.1 | 10.1 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.3 | – | – | – | 6.8 |
MyWord/Cadena SER[206] | 15–19 Jan 2016 | 1,000 | 13.4 | 11.7 | 22.3 | 13.3 | 4.3 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | 19.0 | 3.2 | 8.9 |
Metroscopia/El País[214] | 12–14 Jan 2016 | 1,200 | 22.2 | 17.6 | 21.6 | 12.6 | 4.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 16.7 | 0.6 | |
Simple Lógica[216] | 4–12 Jan 2016 | 1,050 | 19.1 | 10.9 | 17.7 | 11.4 | 5.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 19.4 | 10.9 | 1.4 |
CIS[218] | 2–11 Jan 2016 | 2,496 | 18.2 | 14.5 | 18.4 | 8.3 | 3.1 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.0 | – | 17.6 | 10.1 | 0.2 |
2015 general election | 20 Dec 2015 | — | 20.8 | 16.0 | 15.0 | 10.1 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – | — | 26.8 | 4.8 |
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Victory likelihood
The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a general election taking place.
More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | ![]() |
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Other/ None |
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Lead |
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TNS Demoscopia[20] | 13–19 Jun 2016 | 500 | 70.7 | 4.7 | – | 1.3 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 19.0 | 66.0 |
TNS Demoscopia[51] | 6–12 Jun 2016 | 500 | 68.6 | 4.6 | – | 1.4 | 3.4 | 1.8 | 20.2 | 64.0 |
GESOP/El Periódico[225] | 3–7 Jun 2016 | 1,816 | 73.7 | 6.3 | – | 1.3 | 4.2 | 0.0 | 14.3 | 67.4 |
Metroscopia/El País[72] | 31 May–1 Jun 2016 | 1,200 | 77.0 | 7.0 | – | 2.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 70.0 | |
CIS[81] | 4–22 May 2016 | 17,488 | 67.4 | 6.7 | – | 0.9 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 19.5 | 60.7 |
GAD3/ABC[109] | 26–29 Apr 2016 | 800 | 71.4 | 9.2 | 3.6 | 4.7 | – | 11.1 | 62.2 | |
GAD3/ABC[138] | 6–7 Apr 2016 | 800 | 68.6 | 13.0 | 4.4 | 4.3 | – | 9.7 | 55.6 | |
GAD3/ABC[166] | 7–10 Mar 2016 | 800 | 68.4 | 12.2 | 6.6 | 2.7 | – | 10.1 | 56.2 | |
GESOP/El Periódico[226] | 5–8 Mar 2016 | 1,000 | 66.6 | 11.4 | 3.8 | 1.7 | – | 0.0 | 16.5 | 55.2 |
GAD3/ABC[191] | 8–11 Feb 2016 | 800 | 65.2 | 12.9 | 7.0 | 2.5 | – | 12.4 | 52.3 | |
GAD3/ABC[202] | 15–21 Jan 2016 | 802 | 68.8 | 9.2 | 7.7 | 3.3 | – | 11.0 | 59.6 |
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Hypothetical scenarios
Podemos–IU alliance (before confirmation)
More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | ![]() |
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PNV | ![]() |
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Lead |
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Encuestamos[105] | 23 Apr–2 May 2016 | 1,800 | ? | 30.0 115/117 |
22.8 87/89 |
14.1 35/37 |
2.4 7/8 |
2.3 7/8 |
1.2 4/5 |
0.6 1/2 |
0.3 0/1 |
23.9 86/88 |
6.1 |
NC Report/La Razón[106][107] | 18–30 Apr 2016 | 2,000 | 63.9 | 30.1 126/130 |
20.7 80/83 |
15.3 39/44 |
2.0 8 |
1.5 6 |
1.3 6 |
0.8 2 |
0.3 1 |
24.5 75/82 |
5.6 |
GAD3/ABC[108][109] | 26–29 Apr 2016 | 800 | 68 | 29.7 125 |
23.2 94 |
14.0 39 |
2.2 8 |
1.8 7 |
1.3 6 |
0.9 2 |
0.4 1 |
20.9 68 |
6.5 |
Metroscopia/El País[227][228] | 26–28 Apr 2016 | 1,200 | 70 | 29.0 | 20.3 | 16.9 | – | – | – | – | – | 22.3 | 6.7 |
NC Report/La Razón[114][115][116] | 18–23 Apr 2016 | 2,000 | 63.9 | 30.2 125/130 |
20.9 80/83 |
15.5 40/45 |
2.3 8 |
1.6 6 |
1.2 6 |
0.8 2 |
0.3 1 |
24.1 74/81 |
6.1 |
JM&A/Público[229] | 22 Apr 2016 | ? | 68.6 | 27.8 110 |
20.0 72 |
16.5 51 |
2.3 8 |
2.3 9 |
1.3 5 |
0.8 2 |
0.3 1 |
25.2 92 |
2.6 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[118] | 18–22 Apr 2016 | 800 | ? | 29.8 123 |
22.9 90 |
15.2 44 |
2.6 9 |
1.9 6 |
1.1 5 |
– | – | 21.5 70 |
6.9 |
NC Report/La Razón[115] | 12–16 Apr 2016 | 2,400 | 64.2 | 30.1 126/130 |
21.0 83/85 |
15.6 42/47 |
2.3 8/9 |
1.6 5/6 |
1.2 6/7 |
0.7 2 |
0.3 1 |
23.7 70/76 |
6.4 |
CIS[133][134] | 1–10 Apr 2016 | 2,490 | ? | 27.4 115 |
21.6 87 |
15.6 45 |
2.5 9 |
1.9 6 |
1.0 4 |
0.7 2 |
0.4 1 |
23.1 81 |
4.3 |
NC Report/La Razón[115] | 4–9 Apr 2016 | 2,300 | ? | 30.0 | 21.4 | 15.8 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 23.1 | 6.9 |
Metroscopia[230] | 5–6 Apr 2016 | 1,200 | 70 | 29.0 | 20.1 | 17.7 | – | – | – | – | – | 20.8 | 8.2 |
Redondo & Asociados/Tiempo[144][145] | 28 Mar–4 Apr 2016 | 1,000 | 69.7 | 29.1 125 |
21.8 84 |
15.7 38 |
2.4 9 |
1.7 7 |
1.3 6 |
0.7 2 |
0.3 1 |
24.0 78 |
5.1 |
NC Report/La Razón[115] | 22 Mar–2 Apr 2016 | 1,800 | ? | 29.8 | 22.1 | 15.8 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 22.1 | 7.7 |
NC Report/La Razón[115] | 22–27 Mar 2016 | 900 | ? | 29.8 | 22.4 | 15.5 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 22.3 | 7.4 |
Redondo & Asociados/Tiempo [231][232][233][234] |
16 Dec–25 Jan 2016 | 13,000 | ? | 29.8 131 |
19.4 74 |
10.3 18 |
? 9 |
? 8 |
? 6 |
? 2 |
? 1 |
25.6 101 |
4.2 |
IMOP/Llorente & Cuenca[217] | 9–11 Jan 2016 | 1,000 | 69 | 31.4 128 |
23.5 93 |
11.8 26 |
2.3 9 |
1.8 7 |
1.2 6 |
0.9 2 |
? 1 |
22.9 78 |
7.9 |
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PP candidates
More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | ![]() |
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Lead |
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Netquest/El Español[235] | 18–22 Apr 2016 | 1,000 | ? | – | – | 29.1 | 19.2 | 19.9 | 16.1 | 7.5 | 9.2 |
? | – | 30.9 | – | 20.0 | 19.9 | 15.8 | 7.0 | 10.9 | |||
? | 27.0 | – | – | 20.6 | 20.0 | 17.9 | 7.3 | 6.4 |
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PSOE candidates
More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | ![]() |
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Lead |
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Netquest/El Español[235] | 18–22 Apr 2016 | 1,000 | ? | 26.2 | – | 18.3 | 20.2 | 17.8 | 7.9 | 6.0 |
? | 27.0 | 20.6 | – | 20.0 | 17.9 | 7.3 | 6.4 |
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Sub-national polling
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Leadership polling
Preferred coalition
More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | PP C's |
PP PSOE |
PP PSOE C's |
PSOE Podemos |
PSOE Podemos C's |
PSOE C's |
Other/ None/ Not care |
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InvyMark/laSexta[30] | 15–16 Jun 2016 | ? | 18.9 | – | 15.8 | 27.4 | – | – | 37.9 | |||||||||
MyWord/Cadena SER[36] | 13–16 Jun 2016 | 1,502 | 15.2 | – | 20.4 | 34.4 | 12.4 | – | – | 17.6 | ||||||||
GAD3/La Vanguardia[236] | 6–9 Jun 2016 | 1,016 | 20.7 | 13.7 | – | 28.2[b] | – | 18.4 | 10.4 | 8.6 | ||||||||
MyWord/Cadena SER[80] | 20–24 May 2016 | 1,000 | 14.1 | – | 24.9 | 31.9 | 15.9 | – | – | 13.2 | ||||||||
NC Report/La Razón[237][106] | 18–30 Apr 2016 | 2,000 | 22.6 | – | – | 21.4 | – | – | 45.0[c] | 11.0 | ||||||||
InvyMark/laSexta[147] | 28 Mar–1 Apr 2016 | 1,200 | – | – | 28.5 | 35.7 | 15.6 | – | 20.2 | |||||||||
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[238] | 28–31 Mar 2016 | 800 | 16.8 | – | 26.2 | 20.3 | 13.7 | 13.4 | – | 9.5 | ||||||||
NC Report/La Razón[239][240] | 13–17 Mar 2016 | 1,000 | – | – | 41.8 | 31.2 | – | – | – | 27.0 | ||||||||
MyWord/Cadena SER[161] | 10–14 Mar 2016 | 1,004 | – | – | 24.7[d] | 31.3[e] | – | 18.5[f] | – | 25.5 | ||||||||
GESOP/El Periódico[241] | 5–8 Mar 2016 | 1,000 | – | 7.0 | 37.5 | 27.7 | 18.7 | – | 6.2 | 2.9 | ||||||||
InvyMark/laSexta[147] | 22–26 Feb 2016 | 1,200 | – | – | 38.1 | 35.1 | 14.1 | – | 12.7 | |||||||||
InvyMark/laSexta[183] | 15–19 Feb 2016 | ? | – | – | 36.4 | 35.4 | 8.4 | – | 17.7 | 2.1 | ||||||||
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[184][185] | 16–18 Feb 2016 | 1,000 | 12.0 | – | 30.7 | 27.2 | – | 17.1 | – | 13.0 | ||||||||
InvyMark/laSexta[242] | 1–5 Feb 2016 | ? | – | – | – | 38.0 | 17.8 | – | 42.3 | 1.9 | ||||||||
MyWord/Cadena SER[206] | 15–19 Jan 2016 | 1,000 | – | 4.5 | 25.5 | 27.2 | 17.2 | – | – | 27.6 | ||||||||
NC Report/La Razón[243][244] | 21–24 Dec 2015 | ? | – | 7.4 | 29.0 | 26.0 | – | – | 8.8 | 28.8 |
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Notes
- Within Unidos Podemos.
- All would prefer a PP government with external support from C's and PSOE; 10.6% would see Mariano Rajoy as Prime Minister; 14.1% would see another PP leader as Prime Minister.
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References
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