2016 United States Senate election in Louisiana

2016 United States Senate election in Louisiana
Turnout	67.8% (first round) 29.0% (runoff)
	; Kennedy: 10–20% 20–30% 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80%; Campbell: 10–20% 20–30% 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90%; Boustany: 10–20% 20–30% 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% >90%; Fayard: 10–20% 20–30% 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70%; Fleming: 20–30% 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 80–90% >90%; Maness: 20–30% 30–40%; Duke: 20–30% 50–60%; Edwards: 20–30% 30–40%; Landrieu: 50–60%; Crawford: >90%; Cao: 30–40% 40–50%; Billiot: 20–30% 30–40%; Williams: 10–20% 30–40% 40–50%; Mendoza: 20–30%; Tie: <20% 30–40% 40–50% No votes ; Kennedy: 10–20% 20–30% 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80%; Campbell: 10–20% 20–30% 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90%; Boustany: 10–20% 20–30% 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% >90%; Fayard: 10–20% 20–30% 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70%; Fleming: 20–30% 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 80–90% >90%; Maness: 20–30% 30–40%; Duke: 20–30% 50–60%; Edwards: 20–30% 30–40%; Landrieu: 50–60%; Crawford: >90%; Cao: 30–40% 40–50%; Billiot: 20–30% 30–40%; Williams: 10–20% 30–40% 40–50%; Mendoza: 20–30%; Tie: <20% 30–40% 40–50% No votes ; Kennedy: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90%; Campbell: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90%; Tie: 50% No votes ; Kennedy: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90%; Campbell: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90%; Tie: 50% No votes ; Kennedy: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90%; Campbell: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90%; Tie: 50% No votes
U.S. senator before election; David Vitter; Republican	Elected U.S. Senator ; John Kennedy; Republican

The 2016 United States Senate election in Louisiana took place on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Louisiana, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Quick Facts Turnout, Candidate ...

Under Louisiana's "jungle primary" system, all candidates appeared on the same ballot, regardless of party, and voters could vote for any candidate. Since no candidate received a majority of the vote during the primary election, a runoff election was held December 10^[1] between the top two candidates in the primary, Republican John Neely Kennedy and Democrat Foster Campbell, where Kennedy won with 60.65% of the vote, giving Senate Republicans 52 seats in the 115th Congress. Louisiana is the only state that has a jungle primary system (California and Washington have a similar "top two primary" system). Kennedy had previously unsuccessfully ran for this seat in 2004 as a Democrat and the state's other U.S. Senate seat in 2008 as a Republican.

Incumbent Republican Senator David Vitter unsuccessfully ran for Governor of Louisiana in 2015,^[2] and in his concession speech he announced that he would not seek re-election to the Senate in 2016.^[3]

In addition to Kennedy and Campbell, four other candidates — Republicans Charles Boustany, John Fleming, and David Duke, and Democrat Caroline Fayard — qualified to participate at a debate at Dillard University, a historically black college, on November 2, 2016^[4]^[5] This election is the most recent United States Senate runoff election in Louisiana as of 2024.

[1]

[2]

[3]

[4]

[5]

Dates	Location	Kennedy	Campbell	Boustany	Fayard	Fleming	Duke	Link
October 18, 2016	Ruston, Louisiana	Participant	Participant	Participant	Participant	Participant	Not invited	^[67]
November 2, 2016	New Orleans, Louisiana	Participant	Participant	Participant	Participant	Participant	Participant	^[68]

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Charles Boustany (R)	Foster Campbell (D)	David Duke (R)	Caroline Fayard (D)	John Fleming (R)	John Kennedy (R)	Rob Maness (R)	Other	Undecided
SurveyMonkey^[132]	November 1–7, 2016	982	± 4.6%	14%	13%	3%	21%	12%	21%	6%	4%^[a]	6%
SurveyMonkey^[133]	October 31 – November 6, 2016	840	± 4.6%	15%	14%	3%	20%	11%	21%	6%	5%^[b]	5%
SurveyMonkey^[134]	October 28 – November 3, 2016	646	± 4.6%	15%	14%	3%	19%	11%	21%	5%	4%^[c]	8%
SurveyMonkey^[135]	October 27 – November 2, 2016	546	± 4.6%	13%	13%	3%	21%	12%	21%	5%	4%^[d]	8%
SurveyMonkey^[136]	October 26 – November 1, 2016	470	± 4.6%	13%	13%	2%	21%	12%	23%	4%	3%^[e]	9%
Southern Media and Opinion Research^[137]	October 19–21, 2016	500	± 4.4%	14%	16%	—	12%	9%	22%	—	—	27%
The Times-Picayune/Lucid^[138]	October 15–21, 2016	614	± 3.0%	12%	17%	4%	12%	10%	18%	4%	7%^[f]	17%
University of New Orleans^[139]	October 15–21, 2016	603	± 4.0%	15%	15%	2%	10%	11%	22%	4%	9%^[g]	12%
FOX 8/Mason-Dixon^[140]	October 20, 2016	625	± 4.0%	11%	19%	5%	12%	10%	24%	3%	3%^[h]	13%
Market Research Insight^[141]	October 17–19, 2016	600	± 4.0%	16%	14%	—	12%	7%	17%	—	—	34%
JMC Analytics (R)^[142]	October 11–15, 2016	800	± 3.5%	16%	25%	3%	10%	16%	16%	3%	2%	10%
JMC Analytics (R)^[143]	September 22–24, 2016	905	± 3.3%	15%	15%	3%	12%	14%	11%	4%	1%	25%
Market Research Insight^[141]	September 17–19, 2016	600	± 4.0%	12%	10%	—	11%	10%	18%	—	—	39%
Southern Media and Opinion Research^[144]	September 15–17, 2016	500	± 4.4%	15%	9%	3%	11%	8%	17%	3%	7%^[i]	26%
Anzalone Liszt Grove Research (D)^[145]	August 29 – September 1, 2016	605	± 4.0%	13%	7%	3%	13%	6%	18%	4%	5%^[j]	31%
The Hayride/Remington Research^[146]	August 29–30, 2016	1,017	± 3.2%	13%	16%	6%	12%	6%	27%	4%	—	15%
GBA Strategies^[147]	June 6–9, 2016	500	± 4.4%	11%	15%	—	14%	9%	30%	6%	12%^[k]	2%
Anzalone Liszt Grove Research^[148]	May 31 – June 2, 2016	600	± 4.0%	11%	14%	—	9%	7%	24%	3%	–	33%
Southern Media and Opinion Research^[149]	May 19–23, 2016	500	± 4.4%	10%	9%	—	4%	5%	32%	4%	3%^[l]	32%
SurveyUSA^[150]	March 4–8, 2016	600	± 4.1%	10%	12%	—	10%	7%	21%	6%	12%^[m]	15%
Southern Media and Opinion Research^[151]	February 2–4, 2016	500	± 4.4%	10%	7%	—	4%	6%	22%	7%	—	30%
SurveyUSA^[152]	December 4–7, 2015	600	± 4.1%	10%	23%	—	–	6%	21%	9%	—	19%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Scott Angelle (R)	Charles Boustany (R)	John Fleming (R)	John Kennedy (R)	Mitch Landrieu (D)	Undecided
MRI^[153]	December 2–4, 2015	600	± 4.1%	24%	15%	5%	15%	30%	11%
NSO Research (R-Kennedy)^[154]	January 10–13, 2014	600	± 4%	–	13%	7%	18%	39%	23%

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	John Kennedy	482,591	24.96
	Democratic	Foster Campbell	337,833	17.47
	Republican	Charles Boustany	298,008	15.41
	Democratic	Caroline Fayard	240,917	12.46
	Republican	John Fleming	204,026	10.55
	Republican	Rob Maness	90,856	4.7
	Republican	David Duke	58,606	3.03
	Democratic	Derrick Edwards	51,774	2.68
	Democratic	Gary Landrieu	45,587	2.36
	Republican	Donald "Crawdaddy" Crawford	25,523	1.32
	Republican	Joseph Cao	21,019	1.09
	Independent	Beryl Billiot	19,352	1
	Libertarian	Thomas Clements	11,370	0.59
	Independent	Troy Hebert	9,503	0.49
	Democratic	Josh Pellerin	7,395	0.38
	Democratic	Peter Williams	6,855	0.35
	Democratic	Vinny Mendoza	4,927	0.25
	Independent	Kaitlin Marone	4,108	0.21
	Libertarian	Le Roy Gillam	4,067	0.21
	Republican	Charles Eugene Marsala	3,684	0.19
	Republican	Abhay Patel	1,576	0.08
	Independent	Arden Wells	1,483	0.08
	Independent	Bob Lang	1,424	0.07
	Independent	Gregory Taylor	1,151	0.06
Total votes			1,933,635	100

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	John Kennedy (R)	Foster Campbell (D)	Undecided
University of New Orleans^[156]	December 6, 2016	776	± 4.9%	62%	33%	5%
Trafalgar Group (R)^[157]	December 5–6, 2016	2,500	± 2.0%	56%	40%	4%
Emerson College^[158]	November 29–30, 2016	400	± 4.9%	51%	33%	16%
Southern Media and Opinion Research^[159]	November 28–30, 2016	500	± 4.4%	52%	38%	10%
Tulane University^[160]	November 8–18, 2016	820	± 3.0%	60%	40%	0%
Trafalgar Group (R)^[161]	November 14–17, 2016	2,200	± 2.1%	58%	35%	6%
The Hayride/Remington Research^[146]	August 29–30, 2016	1,017	± 3.2%	51%	27%	22%
SurveyUSA^[162]	March 4–8, 2016	600	± 4.1%	54%	34%	12%

2016 United States Senate election in Louisiana

Candidates

Republican Party

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Democratic Party

Declared

Declined

Libertarian Party

Declared

Independents

Declared

Jungle primary

Debates

Endorsements

Polling

Results

Maps

Runoff

Polling

Predictions

Results

Parishes that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Parishes that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

References

External links

Wikiwand - on

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[166]	Safe R	November 2, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[167]	Likely R	November 7, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report^[168]	Safe R	November 3, 2016
Daily Kos^[169]	Safe R	November 8, 2016
Real Clear Politics^[170]	Likely R	November 7, 2016

United States Senate election runoff in Louisiana, 2016^[171]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Republican	John Neely Kennedy	536,191	60.65%	+4.09%
	Democratic	Foster Campbell	347,816	39.35%	+1.68%
Total votes			884,007	100%	N/A
	Republican hold

District	Kennedy	Campbell	Representative
1st	75%	25%	Steve Scalise
2nd	24%	76%	Cedric Richmond
3rd	72%	28%	Clay Higgins
4th	62%	38%	Mike Johnson
5th	65%	35%	Ralph Abraham
6th	66%	34%	Garret Graves