2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Virginia

The 2010 congressional elections in Virginia were held November 2, 2010, to determine who will represent the state of Virginia in the United States House of Representatives. Representatives are elected for two-year terms; those elected served in the 112th Congress from January 2011 until January 2013.

2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Virginia

← 2008 November 2, 2010 (2010-11-02) 2012 →
All 11 Virginia seats to the United States House of Representatives
Majority party Minority party   Party Republican Democratic Last election 5 6 Seats won 8 3 Seat change 3 3 Popular vote 1,183,842 898,832 Percentage 54.16% 41.61% Swing 8.65% 11.40%
District results County and independent city results Republican   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   80–90% Democratic   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%

Primary elections were held on June 9, 2010. After a poor showing in 2008, the Republican Party made significant gains and defeated three Democratic incumbents. Republicans would go onto hold a majority of House districts in Virginia until 2018.

Overview

United States House of Representatives elections in Virginia, 2010[1]
Party		Votes	Percentage	Seats Before	Seats After	+/–
	Republican	1,186,098	54.16%	5	8	+3
	Democratic	911,116	41.61%	6	3	-3
	Libertarian	23,681	1.08%	0	0	-
	Independent Greens	21,374	0.98%	0	0	-
	Independents/Write-In	47,572	2.17%	0	0	-
Totals		2,189,841	100.00%	11	11	—

By district

Results of the 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Virginia by district:^[2]

District	Republican		Democratic		Others		Total		Result
	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%
District 1	135,564	63.88%	73,824	34.78%	2,848	1.34%	212,236	100.0%	Republican hold
District 2	88,340	53.12%	70,591	42.45%	7,358	4.43%	166,289	100.0%	Republican gain
District 3	44,553	27.18%	114,754	70.02%	4,593	2.80%	163,900	100.0%	Democratic hold
District 4	123,659	62.33%	74,298	37.45%	432	0.22%	198,389	100.0%	Republican hold
District 5	119,560	50.81%	110,562	46.99%	5,177	2.20%	235,299	100.0%	Republican gain
District 6	127,487	76.27%	0	0.00%	39,667	23.73%	167,154	100.0%	Republican hold
District 7	138,209	59.22%	79,616	34.11%	15,577	6.67%	233,402	100.0%	Republican hold
District 8	71,145	37.30%	116,404	61.02%	3,199	1.68%	190,748	100.0%	Democratic hold
District 9	95,726	51.21%	86,743	46.41%	4,448	2.38%	186,917	100.0%	Republican gain
District 10	131,116	62.87%	72,604	34.81%	4,836	2.32%	208,556	100.0%	Republican hold
District 11	110,739	48.79%	111,720	49.23%	4,492	1.98%	226,951	100.0%	Democratic hold
Total	1,186,098	54.16%	911,116	41.61%	92,627	4.23%	2,189,841	100.0%

District 1

2010 Virginia's 1st congressional district election

← 2008 2012 →

Candidate Rob Wittman Krystal Ball Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 135,564 73,824 Percentage 63.9% 34.8%

County and independent city results Wittman:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90% Ball:      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election Rob Wittman Republican Elected U.S. Representative Rob Wittman Republican

See also: Virginia's 1st congressional district

Virginia's 1st Congressional District election, 2010

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Rob Wittman (incumbent)	135,564	63.87
	Democratic	Krystal Ball	73,824	34.78
	Independent Greens	G. Gail Parker	2,544	1.20
	Write-in		304	0.14
Total votes			212,236	100
	Republican hold

Republican incumbent Rob Wittman was challenged by Democratic nominee Krystal Ball, a 28-year-old accountant and businesswoman (and later political commentator and media host.)^[3][4] Independent Green candidate Gail "for Rail" Parker (campaign site, PVS), businesswoman, retired U.S. Air Force officer, and Vice Chair of the Independent Green Party of Virginia, was also on the ballot.^[5]

In the Republican primary, Wittman won against self-described Tea Party movement member Catherine Crabill. Crabill's candidacy had been controversial due to her statements that the Second Amendment to the U.S. Constitution was intended to help citizens protect themselves from tyranny.^{[clarification needed][6]} and that citizens may have to turn from the ballot box to the bullet box.^[7] In 2009, Wittman and Virginia Governor Bob McDonnell refused to endorse her for the Virginia House of Delegates.^[8] McDonnell spokesman Tucker Martin stated, "It's absolutely wrong for any candidate of any party to refer to the actions of the President of the United States and members of the United States Congress as 'domestic terrorism,' and to threaten to resort to violence if one fails to prevail in elections."^[9] Crabill refused to retract her remarks, saying "Those are my convictions."^[10] Wittman voted against the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008 during the financial crisis, against economic stimulus packages, and against the Health Care and Education Reconciliation Act of 2010,^[11] so had been deemed by some commentators to be difficult to get to the right of. But there was also deemed to be good reason for Wittman to worry about the primary's outcome, given the anti-government mood of the country.^[10] Wittman defeated Crabill with approximately 90% of the vote.^[12]

• VA - District 1 from OurCampaigns.com
• Race ranking and details from CQ Politics
• Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets
• Race profile at The New York Times

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[13]	Safe R	November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[14]	Safe R	November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15]	Safe R	November 1, 2010
RCP[16]	Safe R	November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[17]	Safe R	October 28, 2010
New York Times[18]	Safe R	November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[18]	Safe R	November 1, 2010

District 2

2010 Virginia's 2nd congressional district election

← 2008 2012 →

Candidate Scott Rigell Glenn Nye Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 88,340 70,591 Percentage 53.1% 42.5%

County and independent city results Rigell:      40–50%      50–60% Nye:      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election Glenn Nye Democratic Elected U.S. Representative Scott Rigell Republican

See also: Virginia's 2nd congressional district

Virginia's 2nd Congressional District election, 2010

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Scott Rigell	88,340	53.12
	Democratic	Glenn Nye (incumbent)	70,591	42.45
	Independent	Kenny Golden	7,194	4.33
	Write-in		164	0.10
Total votes			166,289	100
	Republican gain from Democratic

Democratic incumbent Glenn Nye was challenged by Republican businessman Scott Rigell^[19] and Independent Kenny Golden (site^{[permanent dead link]}, PVS), a retired Navy Commodore.^[20][21]

Rigell won the Republican primary election over four other businessmen: Ed Maulbeck, Ben Loyola, Army Brigadier General Bert Mizusawa, former Navy SEAL turned local business owner Scott Taylor,^[22][23] and Jessica Sandlin, a single mother of 5 native to Virginia Beach. Bert Mizusawa raised more money than any candidate in the last two periods, and was considered a frontrunner. Businessman Rigell was the other frontrunner, receiving major endorsements from Thelma Drake, and Bob McDonnell's daughter.^[24]

• VA - District 2 from OurCampaigns.com
• Race ranking and details from CQ Politics
• Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets
• Race profile^{[permanent dead link]} at The New York Times

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[13]	Lean R (flip)	November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[14]	Lean R (flip)	November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15]	Lean R (flip)	November 1, 2010
RCP[16]	Lean R (flip)	November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[17]	Tossup	October 28, 2010
New York Times[18]	Lean R (flip)	November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[18]	Likely R (flip)	November 1, 2010

District 3

2010 Virginia's 3rd congressional district election

← 2008 2012 →

Candidate Bobby Scott Chuck Smith Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 114,754 44,553 Percentage 70.0% 27.2%

U.S. Representative before election Bobby Scott Democratic Elected U.S. Representative Bobby Scott Democratic

See also: Virginia's 3rd congressional district

Virginia's 3rd Congressional District election, 2010

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Robert C. Scott (incumbent)	114,754	70.01
	Republican	Chuck Smith	44,553	27.18
	Libertarian	James Quigley	2,383	1.45
	Independent	John D. Kelly	2,039	1.24
	Write-in		171	0.10
Total votes			163,900	100
	Democratic hold

Democratic incumbent Bobby Scott was challenged by Republican nominee former JAG Chuck Smith (campaign site, PVS) of Virginia Beach, Libertarian James Quigley (campaign site, PVS) of Hampton, and Independent John Kelly (campaign site, PVS).^[21][25]

Scott has run unopposed in five of the last six elections in what is considered a "safe" Democratic district. The district's current configuration dates to 1993, when the Justice Department ordered Virginia to create a majority-minority district.

• Race ranking and details from CQ Politics
• Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets
• Race profile^{[permanent dead link]} at The New York Times

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[13]	Safe D	November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[14]	Safe D	November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15]	Safe D	November 1, 2010
RCP[16]	Safe D	November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[17]	Safe D	October 28, 2010
New York Times[18]	Safe D	November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[18]	Safe D	November 1, 2010

District 4

2010 Virginia's 4th congressional district election

← 2008 2012 →

Candidate Randy Forbes Wynne LeGrow Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 123,659 74,298 Percentage 62.3% 37.5%

County and independent city results Forbes:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90% LeGrow:      50–60%      70–80%

U.S. Representative before election Randy Forbes Republican Elected U.S. Representative Randy Forbes Republican

See also: Virginia's 4th congressional district

Virginia's 4th Congressional District election, 2010

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Randy Forbes (incumbent)	123,659	62.33
	Democratic	Wynne LeGrow	74,298	37.45
	Write-in		432	0.22
Total votes			198,389	100
	Republican hold

Republican incumbent Randy Forbes was challenged by Democratic nominee Wynne LeGrow of Emporia. Forbes retained his seat by beating his Democratic challenger by earning 62% of votes cast.^[26]

Forbes was first elected to the House in 2001 to fill a vacancy caused by the death of ten-term Democratic Congressman Norman Sisisky. Forbes defeated Democratic State Senator Louise Lucas 52-48% that year. He ran unopposed by Democrats in 2002 and 2006.

• Race ranking and details from CQ Politics
• Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets
• Race profile^{[permanent dead link]} at The New York Times

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[13]	Safe R	November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[14]	Safe R	November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15]	Safe R	November 1, 2010
RCP[16]	Safe R	November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[17]	Safe R	October 28, 2010
New York Times[18]	Safe R	November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[18]	Safe R	November 1, 2010

District 5

2010 Virginia's 5th congressional district election

← 2008 2012 →

Candidate Robert Hurt Tom Perriello Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 119,560 110,562 Percentage 50.8% 47.0%

County and independent city results Hurt:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70% Perriello:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

U.S. Representative before election Tom Perriello Democratic Elected U.S. Representative Robert Hurt Republican

Main article: 2010 Virginia's 5th congressional district election

See also: Virginia's 5th congressional district

Virginia's 5th Congressional District election, 2010

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Robert Hurt	119,560	50.81
	Democratic	Tom Perriello (incumbent)	110,562	46.99
	Independent	Jeffrey Clark	4,992	2.12
	Write-in		185	0.08
Total votes			235,299	100
	Republican gain from Democratic

Incumbent Democrat Tom Perriello was challenged by Republican Robert Hurt, state Senator from Chatham,^[27] and independent Jeffrey A. Clark (campaign site, PVS), a businessman from Danville.^[28]

In 2008, Perriello defeated Republican incumbent Virgil Goode. Goode did not seek a rematch in 2010,^[29] although he said several Conservative groups asked him to run on a pro-Tea Party ticket, due to their dissatisfaction with the Republicans.^[30]

Hurt won the primary election over six other candidates: Republican activist Feda Kidd Morton, private real estate investor Laurence Verga, Albemarle County Supervisor Ken Boyd, businessman Ron Ferrin, Jim McKelvey from Franklin County, and Michael McPadden.^[31] Perriello faced no opposition in the Democratic primary.

• VA - District 5 from OurCampaigns.com
• Race ranking and details from CQ Politics
• Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets
• Race profile at The New York Times

Polling

Poll Source	Dates Administered	Tom Perriello (D)	Robert Hurt (R)	Jeffrey Clark (I)	Undecided
Survey USA[32][33]	September 28, 2010	35%	58%	4%	3%
Benenson Strategy Group[34]	September 21, 2010	44%	46%	4%	5%
Global Strategy Group[35]	September 7, 2010	42%	44%	6%	7%
Survey USA[36]	September 2, 2010	35%	61%	2%	2%
American Action Forum[37]	August 12, 2010	43%	49%	-	8%
Survey USA[38]	July 20, 2010	35%	58%	4%	3%
Public Policy Polling[39]	February 5–10, 2010	44%	44%

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[13]	Lean R (flip)	November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[14]	Tilt R (flip)	November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15]	Lean R (flip)	November 1, 2010
RCP[16]	Lean R (flip)	November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[17]	Tossup	October 28, 2010
New York Times[18]	Lean R (flip)	November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[18]	Likely R (flip)	November 1, 2010

District 6

2010 Virginia's 6th congressional district election

← 2008 2012 →

Candidate Bob Goodlatte Jeff Vanke Stuart Bain Party Republican Independent Libertarian Popular vote 127,487 21,649 15,309 Percentage 76.3% 13.0% 9.2%

County and independent city results Goodlatte:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

U.S. Representative before election Bob Goodlatte Republican Elected U.S. Representative Bob Goodlatte Republican

See also: Virginia's 6th congressional district

Virginia's 6th Congressional District election, 2010

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Bob Goodlatte (incumbent)	127,487	76.27
	Independent	Jeff Vanke	21,649	12.95
	Libertarian	Stuart Bain	15,309	9.16
	Write-in		2,709	1.62
Total votes			167,154	100
	Republican hold

Incumbent Republican Bob Goodlatte faced no primary opposition, and was re-elected to a 10th term in the general election on November 2, capturing 76% of the vote.^[40][41]

Jeff Vanke of Roanoke ran as an Independent,^[42] citing endorsements by the Modern Whig Party, American Centrist Party and Independent Green Party of Virginia,^[43] and received 13% of the vote.^[40][41]

Stuart Bain of Salem ran as a Libertarian^[44][45] and received 9% of the vote.^[40][41]

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[13]	Safe R	November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[14]	Safe R	November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15]	Safe R	November 1, 2010
RCP[16]	Safe R	November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[17]	Safe R	October 28, 2010
New York Times[18]	Safe R	November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[18]	Safe R	November 1, 2010

District 7

2010 Virginia's 7th congressional district election

← 2008 2012 →

Candidate Eric Cantor Rick Waugh Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 138,209 79,616 Percentage 59.2% 34.1%

County and independent city results Cantor:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90% Waugh:      40–50%      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election Eric Cantor Republican Elected U.S. Representative Eric Cantor Republican

See also: Virginia's 7th congressional district

Virginia's 7th Congressional District election, 2010

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Eric Cantor (incumbent)	138,209	59.22
	Democratic	Rick Waugh	79,616	34.11
	Independent Greens	Floyd Bayne	15,164	6.50
	Write-in		413	0.18
Total votes			233,402	100
	Republican hold

Incumbent Republican Congressman and U.S. House Minority Whip Eric Cantor sought a sixth term and faced no primary opposition. Rick Waugh (campaign site, PVS) was the Democratic nominee, and Floyd C. Bayne (campaign site, PVS) was the Independent Greens of Virginia and Tea Party supported candidate. Tea Party-supported independent candidate Herb Lux (campaign site) had his emergency appeal to the United States Supreme Court turned aside on October 1, 2010, and so did not appear on the ballot.^[46]

• VA - District 7 from OurCampaigns.com
• Race ranking and details from CQ Politics
• Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets
• Race profile at The New York Times

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[13]	Safe R	November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[14]	Safe R	November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15]	Safe R	November 1, 2010
RCP[16]	Safe R	November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[17]	Safe R	October 28, 2010
New York Times[18]	Safe R	November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[18]	Safe R	November 1, 2010

District 8

2010 Virginia's 8th congressional district election

← 2008 2012 →

Candidate Jim Moran Jay Patrick Murray Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 116,404 71,145 Percentage 61.0% 37.3%

County and independent city results Moran:      50–60%      60–70%

U.S. Representative before election Jim Moran Democratic Elected U.S. Representative Jim Moran Democratic

Main article: Virginia's 8th congressional district election, 2010

See also: Virginia's 8th congressional district

Virginia's 8th Congressional District election, 2010

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Jim Moran (incumbent)	116,404	61.03
	Republican	Jay Patrick Murray	71,145	37.30
	Independent Greens	J. Ron Fisher	2,707	1.42
	Write-in		492	0.26
Total votes			190,748	100
	Democratic hold

Democratic incumbent Jim Moran was challenged by Republican nominee Jay Patrick Murray, a retired United States Army Colonel,^[47][48] and Independent Green Party nominee Ron Fisher (campaign site^[usurped], PVS), a retired U.S. Navy captain.

Moran ran for re-election for an 11th term, and faced no primary opposition. Former Republican primary candidates were:

• Matthew Berry, an attorney and former clerk to U.S. Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas.^[49] Berry lost to Murray in a primary election on June 8.^[48]
• Mark Ellmore, Republican nominee in the 2008 race.^[50][51]
• Laurence Socci, lobbyist.^[50] Socci dropped out on March 23 and endorsed Berry.^[51]
• Will Radle - formerly considering a run for the Republican nomination ^[52]
• Race ranking and details from CQ Politics
• Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets
• Race profile^{[permanent dead link]} at The New York Times

Polling

Source	Dates Administered	Jim Moran (D)	Patrick Murray (R)	Undecided/Other
Pollster unavailable, results via The Washington Post[53]	October 2010	58%	31%	11%
McLaughlin & Associates[54]	September 2010	45%	32%	23%

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[13]	Safe D	November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[14]	Safe D	November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15]	Safe D	November 1, 2010
RCP[16]	Safe D	November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[17]	Safe D	October 28, 2010
New York Times[18]	Safe D	November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[18]	Safe D	November 1, 2010

District 9

2010 Virginia's 9th congressional district election

← 2008 2012 →

Candidate Morgan Griffith Rick Boucher Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 95,726 86,743 Percentage 51.2% 46.4%

County and independent city results Griffith:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70% Boucher:      40–50%      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election Rick Boucher Democratic Elected U.S. Representative Morgan Griffith Republican

See also: Virginia's 9th congressional district

Virginia's 9th Congressional District election, 2010

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Morgan Griffith	95,726	51.21
	Democratic	Rick Boucher (incumbent)	86,743	46.41
	Independent	Jeremiah Heaton	4,282	2.29
	Write-in		166	0.09
Total votes			186,917	100
	Republican gain from Democratic

Democratic incumbent Rick Boucher was challenged by Republican nominee Morgan Griffith, the Majority Leader of the Virginia House of Delegates, and Independent Jeremiah Heaton (campaign site, PVS), a U.S. Army veteran, farmer and businessman.^[55]

Boucher, who had represented the district since 1983, was unopposed on the Democratic side. On the Republican side, Griffith was selected by a convention held on May 22, 2010, at Fort Chiswell High School in Max Meadows. Delegates to the convention were selected by 23 local committee mass meetings held between February 25 and April 29.^[56][57] Other Republican candidates for the nomination were:

• William Carr: retiree from Ararat
• Adam Light: small business owner from Tazewell County^[58]
• David Moore: former Lieutenant Colonel in the US Army from Tazewell County^[59]
• Jessee Ring: retired engineer from Pulaski County.^[60]
• Brandon Roop: tea party activist from Blacksburg^[61]
• Jim Bebout, retiree, announced during a tea party protest^[62]

The 9th District covers much of Southwest Virginia.

• VA - District 9 from OurCampaigns.com
• Race ranking and details from CQ Politics
• Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets
• Race profile^{[permanent dead link]} at The New York Times

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[13]	Tossup	November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[14]	Tilt D	November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15]	Lean D	November 1, 2010
RCP[16]	Lean D	November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[17]	Lean D	October 28, 2010
New York Times[18]	Lean D	November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[18]	Lean D	November 1, 2010

District 10

2010 Virginia's 10th congressional district election

← 2008 2012 →

Candidate Frank Wolf Jeff Barnett Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 119,560 72,604 Percentage 62.9% 34.8%

County and independent city results Wolf:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

U.S. Representative before election Frank Wolf Republican Elected U.S. Representative Frank Wolf Republican

See also: Virginia's 10th congressional district

Virginia's 10th Congressional District election, 2010

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Frank Wolf (incumbent)	131,116	62.87
	Democratic	Jeff Barnett	72,604	34.81
	Libertarian	Bill Redpath	4,607	2.21
	Write-in		229	0.11
Total votes			208,556	100
	Republican hold

Republican incumbent Frank Wolf was running for re-election for a 16th term. He was challenged by Democrat Jeff Barnett (campaign site, PVS) and Libertarian William Redpath.

Wolf was unopposed on the Republican side. Barnett won the Democratic primary election against Richard Anthony^[63] and Julien Modica.^[64]

Former candidates were:

• Dennis Findley (D) - McLean resident and architect^[65]
• Jim Trautz (R) - Loudoun County resident and former naval officer^[66]

The district, located in northern Virginia, includes some Washington, D.C. suburbs, but extends far west and north along the border of Maryland and West Virginia. In most Presidential elections of the past few decades, the district has been won by Republican candidates. The most recent exception is the 2008 election when Democratic then-Senator Barack Obama won the district, and became the first Democrat since Johnson to win Virginia's electoral votes. Republican Governor Mitt Romney won the district 2012, but President Obama again won Virginia.

• Race ranking and details from CQ Politics
• Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets
• Race profile at The New York Times

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[13]	Safe R	November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[14]	Safe R	November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15]	Safe R	November 1, 2010
RCP[16]	Safe R	November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[17]	Safe R	October 28, 2010
New York Times[18]	Safe R	November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[18]	Safe R	November 1, 2010

District 11

2010 Virginia's 11th congressional district election

← 2008 2012 →

Candidate Gerry Connolly Keith Fimian Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 111,720 110,739 Percentage 49.2% 48.8%

County and independent city results Connolly:      50–60% Fimian:      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election Gerry Connolly Democratic Elected U.S. Representative Gerry Connolly Democratic

Main article: 2010 Virginia's 11th congressional district election

See also: Virginia's 11th congressional district

Virginia's 11th Congressional District election, 2010

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Gerry Connolly (incumbent)	111,720	49.23
	Republican	Keith Fimian	110,739	48.79
	Independent	Christopher DeCarlo	1,846	0.81
	Libertarian	David Dotson	1,382	0.61
	Independent Greens	David Gillis, Jr.	959	0.42
	Write-in		171	0.08
Total votes			226,951	100
	Democratic hold

Democratic incumbent Gerry Connolly faced Republican Keith Fimian, who lost to Connolly in 2008. Also on the ballot were Libertarian David L. Dotson (campaign site, PVS),^[67] Independent Green David William Gillis Jr. (campaign site, PVS), and Independent Christopher F. DeCarlo (campaign site, PVS).^[21]

Connolly was unopposed for the Democratic nomination. Fimian won against Pat Herrity in the Republican primary election,^[68][69] beating him 56%-44%, with 35,890 votes cast.^[70]

• VA - District 11 from OurCampaigns.com
• Race ranking and details from CQ Politics
• Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets
• Race profile at The New York Times

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[13]	Tossup	November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[14]	Lean D	November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15]	Lean D	November 1, 2010
RCP[16]	Tossup	November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[17]	Lean D	October 28, 2010
New York Times[18]	Tossup	November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[18]	Lean D	November 1, 2010