Tropical cyclone forecast model

A tropical cyclone forecast model is a computer program that uses meteorological data to forecast where tropical cyclones will go and how strong they will be. Models use powerful supercomputers and mathematical modeling software. There are two general types: statistical and dynamic. There are two main types of forecasts: track and intensity.

Average trends in forecast errors by the National Hurricane Center.

Other websites

• Tropical Cyclone Forecasters Reference Guide, Chapter 5 Archived 2006-07-11 at the Wayback Machine
• Model Analyses and Forecasts from NCEP Archived 2007-12-23 at the Wayback Machine