2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Utah
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
The 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Utah were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012, and elected the four U.S. representatives from the state of Utah, an increase of one seat in reapportionment following the 2010 United States census. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including a quadrennial federal presidential election, a concurrent quadrennial statewide gubernatorial election, all other simultaneous quadrennial statewide executive official election, and an election to the U.S. Senate. Primary elections were held on June 26, 2012.[1]
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All 4 Utah seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| United States House of Representatives elections in Utah, 2012[2] | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Votes | Percentage | Seats Before | Seats After | +/– | |
| Republican | 647,873 | 64.86% | 2 | 3 | +1 | |
| Democratic | 324,309 | 32.47% | 1 | 1 | - | |
| Constitution | 14,481 | 1.45% | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Libertarian | 6,439 | 0.64% | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Independent | 5,795 | 0.58% | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Totals | 998,897 | 100.00% | 3 | 4 | +1 | |
In Utah, the redistricting process was controlled by members of the Republican Party, who formed a majority on the State Legislature's redistricting committee. The plan passed October 2011 divides Salt Lake County among three districts, which Republicans argued would require Utah's U.S. Representatives focus on both urban and rural issues.[3][4] Jim Dabakis, the chair of the Utah Democratic Party, argued that the map constituted a gerrymander designed to benefit the Republican Party.[5]
Republican incumbent Rob Bishop, who has represented Utah's 1st congressional district since 2003, ran for re-election, having decided against running for governor.
Rob Bishop became the official Republican candidate April 21, 2012 at the State Republican Convention.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Rob Bishop | 786 | 81.1 | |
| Republican | Jacqueline Smith | 158 | 16.3 | |
| Republican | Leonard Fabiano | 25 | 2.6 | |
| Total votes | 969 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Donna McAleer | 3,881 | 66.6 | |
| Democratic | Ryan Combe | 1,944 | 33.4 | |
| Total votes | 5,825 | 100.0 | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Rob Bishop (R) |
Donna McAleer (D) |
Sherry Phipps (C) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Jones & Associates[8] | October 26–November 1, 2012 | 194 (RV) | ±7.0% | 70% | 15% | 2% | 10% |
| Key Research/Brigham Young University[9] | October 9–13, 2012 | 407 (LV) | ±7.0% | 62% | 20% | – | 18% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Rob Bishop (incumbent) | 175,487 | 71.5 | |
| Democratic | Donna M. McAleer | 60,611 | 24.7 | |
| Constitution | Sherry Phipps | 9,430 | 3.8 | |
| Total votes | 245,528 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
Democratic incumbent Jim Matheson, who has represented Utah's 2nd congressional district since 2001, sought re-election in the new 4th district.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Chris Stewart | 365 | 39.6 | |
| Republican | David Clark | 234 | 25.0 | |
| Republican | Milton Ray Hanks | 121 | 13.0 | |
| Republican | Howard Wallack | 51 | 5.5 | |
| Republican | Cherilyn Eagar | 48 | 5.2 | |
| Republican | Jason Buck | 42 | 4.5 | |
| Republican | Bob Fuehr | 24 | 2.6 | |
| Republican | Chuck Williams | 16 | 1.7 | |
| Republican | Jeramey McElhaney | 14 | 1.5 | |
| Republican | John W. Willoughby | 6 | 0.7 | |
| Republican | Edward Mayerhofer | 0 | 0.0 | |
| Total votes | 921 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Chris Stewart | 386 | 43.9 | |
| Republican | David Clark | 283 | 32.2 | |
| Republican | Milton Ray Hanks | 65 | 7.4 | |
| Republican | Jeramey McElhaney | 63 | 7.2 | |
| Republican | Jason Buck | 57 | 6.5 | |
| Republican | Bob Fuehr | 25 | 2.8 | |
| Total votes | 879 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Chris Stewart | 511 | 61.6 | |
| Republican | David Clark | 319 | 38.4 | |
| Total votes | 830 | 100.0 | ||
Independent candidate Charles Kimball also filed.
Organizations
Organizations
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jay Seegmiller (D) |
Chris Stewart (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Jones & Associates[23] | October 26–November 1, 2012 | 229 (RV) | ±6.5% | 28% | 44% | 5% | 22% |
| Mason-Dixon/Salt Lake Tribune[24] | October 29–31, 2012 | 625 (LV) | ±4.0% | 28% | 55% | 5% | 12% |
| Key Research/Brigham Young University[9] | October 9–13, 2012 | 100 (LV) | ±10.0% | 20% | 46% | – | 34% |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[25] | Safe R (flip) | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[26] | Safe R (flip) | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[27] | Safe R (flip) | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] | Safe R (flip) | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[29] | Safe R (flip) | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[30] | Safe R (flip) | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[31] | Safe R (flip) | November 4, 2012 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Chris Stewart | 154,523 | 62.2 | |
| Democratic | Jay Seegmiller | 83,176 | 33.5 | |
| Constitution | Jonathan D. Garrard | 5,051 | 2.0 | |
| Independent | Joseph Andrade | 2,971 | 1.2 | |
| Independent | Charles E. Kimball | 2,824 | 1.1 | |
| Total votes | 248,545 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican gain from Democratic | ||||
Jason Chaffetz, was seeking a third term in representing Utah's 3rd congressional district;[32]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jason Chaffetz | 710 | 75.0 | |
| Republican | Lynn D. Wardle | 208 | 22.0 | |
| Republican | Brian Jenkins | 29 | 3.0 | |
| Total votes | 947 | 100.0 | ||
Organizations
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jason Chaffetz (R) |
Soren Simonsen (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Jones & Associates[38] | October 26–November 1, 2012 | 232 | ±6.4% | 68% | 18% | 3% | 10% |
| Key Research/Brigham Young University[39] | October 9–13, 2012 | 100 (LV) | ±4.4% | 68% | 15% | — | 17% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jason Chaffetz | 198,828 | 76.6 | |
| Democratic | Soren D. Simonsen | 60,719 | 23.4 | |
| Total votes | 259,547 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
Democratic U.S. Representative Jim Matheson, who has represented Utah's 2nd congressional district since 2001 and had considered running for governor[40] or for the U.S. Senate,[41] sought re-election to the House in Utah's new 4th congressional district after his previous seat was split up by the redistricting.[42][43]
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jay Cobb |
Mia Love |
Stephen Sandstrom |
Carl Wimmer |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason-Dixon[44] | April 9–11, 2011 | 625 (LV) | ± 4.0% | — | 23% | 14% | 35% | 28% | — |
| Dan Jones & Associates | December 19–21, 2011 | 341 (RV) | ± 5.3% | 3% | 8% | 15% | 15% | 19% | 41% |
In the Republican convention, held on April 21, 2012, Love received 70.4% of the vote (she needed more than 60% to avoid a primary).[45]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mia Love | 442 | 53.1 | |
| Republican | Carl Wimmer | 256 | 30.8 | |
| Republican | Steve Sandstrom | 81 | 9.7 | |
| Republican | Jay Cobb | 52 | 6.3 | |
| Republican | Kenneth Gray | 1 | 0.1 | |
| Total votes | 863 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mia Love | 551 | 70.5 | |
| Republican | Carl Wimmer | 231 | 29.5 | |
| Total votes | 782 | 100.0 | ||
Despite beginning her campaign at a significant name recognition disadvantage to Matheson, Love was able to mount a strong challenge. This was in part fueled by a prime time speaking slot at the Republican National Convention where she impressed many with her backstory of a being the daughter of Haitian immigrants whose parents "Immigrated to the U.S. with $10 in their pocket" and her themes of self-reliance, small government and fiscal responsibility.[47] However she was later hit by claims that she was technically an Anchor Baby, despite having seemingly backing the deportation of the US-born children of illegal immigrants.[48]
Facing a district largely new to him, Matheson ran ads showcasing his independent credentials and airing clips of Love voicing support for cutting the Department of Education and privatizing Social Security. Despite the NRCC running ads trying to tie him to Nancy Pelosi and Barack Obama, Matheson's favorability rating remained at around 60% throughout the campaign.[49]
Organizations
Organizations
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jim Matheson (D) |
Mia Love (R) |
Jim Vein (L) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Jones & Associates[55] | October 26–November 1, 2012 | 414 (RV) | ±4.8% | 43% | 48% | 3% | 6% |
| Mason-Dixon/Salt Lake Tribune[24] | October 29–31, 2012 | 625 (LV) | ±4.0% | 40% | 52% | 2% | 6% |
| Key Research/Brigham Young University[9] | October 9–13, 2012 | 407 (LV) | ±7.0% | 43% | 43% | — | 14% |
| Global Strategy (D)[56] | October 9–10, 2012 | 407 (LV) | ±4.9% | 48% | 41% | — | 11% |
| Dan Jones & Associates[57] | September 26–29, 2012 | 414 (RV) | ±5.0% | 43% | 49% | — | 8% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R-Love/NRCC)[58] | September 10–11, 2012 | 400 (LV) | ±4.9% | 36% | 51% | — | 13% |
| Global Strategy (D)[59] | July 26–29, 2012 | 400 (LV) | ±4.9% | 51% | 33% | — | 16% |
| Dan Jones & Associates[60] | June 15–21, 2012 | 379 (RV) | ±5.1% | 53% | 38% | 1% | 8% |
| Mason-Dixon/Salt Lake Tribune[61] | April 9–11, 2012 | 625 (LV) | ±4.0% | 45% | 42% | — | 13% |
| Dan Jones & Associates[62] | December 19–21, 2011 | 341 (RV) | ±5.3% | 53% | 36% | 4% | 12% |
An early poll published by the Deseret News on Dec 25, 2011 showed Jim Matheson leading all potential opponents.[63]
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jim Matheson (D) |
Jay Cobb (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Jones & Associates | December 19–21, 2011 | 341 (RV) | ±5.3% | 54% | 35% | 11% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jim Matheson (D) |
Stephen Sandstrom (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason-Dixon[64] | April 9–11, 2012 | 625 (LV) | ±4.0% | 45% | 42% | 13% |
| Dan Jones & Associates[65] | December 19–21, 2011 | 341 (RV) | ±5.3% | 50% | 41% | 10% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jim Matheson (D) |
Carl Wimmer (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason-Dixon[64] | April 9–11, 2012 | 625 (LV) | ±4.0% | 46% | 45% | 9% |
| Dan Jones & Associates[65] | December 19–21, 2011 | 341 (RV) | ±5.3% | 52% | 41% | 7% |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Lean R | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[26] | Tilts R | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[27] | Lean R | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] | Lean R | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[29] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[30] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[31] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
Matheson narrowly defeated the Love in the general election by only 768 votes.[66] If Love had won the seat, she would have become the first African-American Republican woman to sit in the House.[67]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jim Matheson | 119,803 | 48.8 | ||
| Republican | Mia Love | 119,035 | 48.5 | ||
| Libertarian | Jim L. Vein | 6,439 | 2.6 | ||
| Total votes | 6,439 | 100.0 | |||
| Democratic win (new seat) | |||||
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