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The 2018 United States Senate election in Maryland took place on November 6, 2018, in order to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Maryland. It was held concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Ben Cardin was re-elected to a third and ultimately final term by a landslide margin of almost 35 points, the largest margin in any election for this seat since Maryland began holding direct elections for Senate in 1913.
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Turnout | 58.17% 10.03 pp | ||||||||||||||||
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Cardin: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Campbell: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The primary election for the Senate race was held on June 26, 2018.[1]
The incumbent, Ben Cardin, won the Democratic Party primary. In the general election, Cardin was reelected to a third term.[2] Tony Campbell, a professor of political science at Towson University and former Army Chaplain, won the Republican Party primary. If elected, Campbell would have become Maryland's first African-American U.S. Senator.[3][4] Businessman Neal Simon ran as an independent and Arvin Vohra was the Libertarian Party nominee in the general election. There were also several official write-in candidates.
Organizations
Individuals
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ben Cardin |
Chelsea Manning |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Goucher College[22] | February 12–18, 2018 | 409 | ± 4.8% | 61% | 17% | 3% | 19% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Ben Cardin (incumbent) | 447,441 | 79.24% | |
Democratic | Chelsea Manning | 34,611 | 6.13% | |
Democratic | Jerome Segal | 20,027 | 3.55% | |
Democratic | Debbie Wilson | 18,953 | 3.36% | |
Democratic | Marcia H. Morgan | 16,047 | 2.84% | |
Democratic | Lih Young | 9,874 | 1.75% | |
Democratic | Richard Vaughn | 9,480 | 1.68% | |
Democratic | Erik Jetmir | 8,259 | 1.46% | |
Total votes | 564,692 | 100.00% |
State legislators[29]
Individuals
State Senators
Individuals
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Tony Campbell | 51,426 | 29.22% | |
Republican | Chris Chaffee | 42,328 | 24.05% | |
Republican | Christina J. Grigorian | 30,786 | 17.49% | |
Republican | John Graziani | 15,435 | 8.77% | |
Republican | Blaine Taylor | 8,848 | 5.03% | |
Republican | Gerald I. Smith, Jr. | 7,564 | 4.30% | |
Republican | Brian Vaeth | 5,411 | 3.08% | |
Republican | Evan M. Cronhardt | 4,445 | 2.53% | |
Republican | Bill Krehnbrink | 3,606 | 2.05% | |
Republican | Nnabu Eze | 3,442 | 1.96% | |
Republican | Albert Howard | 2,720 | 1.55% | |
Total votes | 175,981 | 100.00% |
U.S. Executive Branch officials
State Senators[29]
State Delegates
Individuals
Organizations
On October 7, 2018, Cardin, independent candidate Neal Simon, and Republican candidate Tony Campbell participated in the sole televised debate of the campaign.[49][50][51]
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[52] | Safe D | October 26, 2018 |
Inside Elections[53] | Safe D | November 1, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[54] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
Fox News[55] | Likely D | July 9, 2018 |
CNN[56] | Safe D | July 12, 2018 |
RealClearPolitics[57] | Safe D | June 2018 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ben Cardin (D) |
Tony Campbell (R) |
Neal Simon (I) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gonzales Research (I-Simon)[58] | October 1–6, 2018 | 806 | ± 3.5% | 49% | 22% | 18% | – | 11% |
Goucher College[59] | September 11–16, 2018 | 472 | ± 4.5% | 56% | 17% | 8% | 1%[60] | 14% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Ben Cardin (incumbent) | 1,491,614 | 64.86% | +8.88% | |
Republican | Tony Campbell | 697,017 | 30.31% | +3.98% | |
Independent | Neal Simon | 85,964 | 3.74% | N/A | |
Libertarian | Arvin Vohra | 22,943 | 1.00% | −0.22% | |
Write-in | 2,351 | 0.10% | N/A | ||
Total votes | 2,299,889 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Democratic hold |
County | Ben Cardin
Democratic |
Tony Campbell
Republican |
Neal Simon
Independent |
Arvin Vohra
Libertarian |
Write-ins
Independent |
Margin | Total
Votes Cast | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
# | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
Allegany | 8597 | 36.82% | 13790 | 59.06% | 746 | 3.19% | 196 | 0.84% | 20 | 0.09% | -5193 | -22.24% | 23349 |
Anne Arundel | 122910 | 53.74% | 92401 | 40.40% | 10528 | 4.60% | 2674 | 1.17% | 190 | 0.08% | 30509 | 13.34% | 228703 |
Baltimore (City) | 160370 | 86.95% | 16184 | 8.77% | 5596 | 3.03% | 1917 | 1.04% | 375 | 0.20% | 144186 | 78.17% | 184442 |
Baltimore (County) | 197530 | 60.85% | 106275 | 32.74% | 17192 | 5.30% | 3313 | 1.02% | 290 | 0.09% | 91255 | 28.11% | 324600 |
Calvert | 17372 | 44.51% | 19901 | 50.99% | 1273 | 3.26% | 458 | 1.17% | 27 | 0.07% | -2529 | -6.48% | 39031 |
Caroline | 4265 | 37.73% | 6474 | 57.27% | 451 | 3.99% | 105 | 0.93% | 9 | 0.08% | -2209 | -19.54% | 11304 |
Carroll | 25986 | 34.89% | 42479 | 57.03% | 5020 | 6.74% | 966 | 1.30% | 38 | 0.05% | -16493 | -22.14% | 74489 |
Cecil | 13237 | 38.05% | 19851 | 57.06% | 1267 | 3.64% | 412 | 1.18% | 24 | 0.07% | -6614 | -19.01% | 34791 |
Charles | 44874 | 69.54% | 17872 | 27.69% | 1284 | 1.99% | 462 | 0.72% | 41 | 0.06% | 27002 | 41.84% | 64533 |
Dorchester | 5928 | 48.23% | 5864 | 47.71% | 397 | 3.23% | 95 | 0.77% | 8 | 0.07% | 64 | 0.52% | 12292 |
Frederick | 55256 | 51.67% | 47038 | 43.99% | 3242 | 3.03% | 1292 | 1.21% | 105 | 0.10% | 8218 | 7.69% | 106933 |
Garrett | 2817 | 25.75% | 7801 | 71.31% | 216 | 1.97% | 98 | 0.90% | 7 | 0.06% | -4984 | -45.56% | 10939 |
Harford | 45921 | 41.63% | 56749 | 51.45% | 6185 | 5.61% | 1352 | 1.23% | 100 | 0.09% | -10828 | -9.82% | 110307 |
Howard | 96067 | 66.97% | 38797 | 27.05% | 6621 | 4.62% | 1819 | 1.27% | 144 | 0.10% | 57270 | 39.92% | 143448 |
Kent | 4588 | 53.49% | 3490 | 40.69% | 411 | 4.79% | 86 | 1.00% | 3 | 0.03% | 1098 | 12.80% | 8578 |
Montgomery | 314568 | 77.29% | 74924 | 18.41% | 13333 | 3.28% | 3655 | 0.90% | 517 | 0.13% | 239644 | 58.88% | 406997 |
Prince George's | 286975 | 90.10% | 24140 | 7.58% | 5031 | 1.58% | 2031 | 0.64% | 346 | 0.11% | 262835 | 82.52% | 318523 |
Queen Anne's | 8463 | 37.21% | 12813 | 56.34% | 1230 | 5.41% | 232 | 1.02% | 6 | 0.03% | -4350 | -19.13% | 22744 |
St. Mary's | 16849 | 41.93% | 21393 | 53.24% | 1361 | 3.39% | 559 | 1.39% | 18 | 0.04% | -4544 | -11.31% | 40180 |
Somerset | 3652 | 47.09% | 3882 | 50.06% | 172 | 2.22% | 45 | 0.58% | 4 | 0.05% | -230 | -2.97% | 7755 |
Talbot | 9054 | 50.12% | 8050 | 44.56% | 796 | 4.41% | 154 | 0.85% | 12 | 0.07% | 1004 | 5.56% | 18066 |
Washington | 19956 | 39.59% | 28319 | 56.18% | 1598 | 3.17% | 507 | 1.01% | 26 | 0.05% | -8363 | -16.59% | 50406 |
Wicomico | 16539 | 49.09% | 15644 | 46.43% | 1133 | 3.36% | 351 | 1.04% | 24 | 0.07% | 895 | 2.66% | 33691 |
Worcester | 9840 | 41.37% | 12886 | 54.17% | 881 | 3.70% | 164 | 0.69% | 17 | 0.07% | -3046 | -12.80% | 23788 |
Total | 1491614 | 64.86% | 697017 | 30.31% | 85964 | 3.74% | 22943 | 1.00% | 2351 | 0.10% | 794597 | 34.55% | 2299889 |
Cardin won 7 of 8 congressional districts.[62]
District | Cardin | Campbell | Elected Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 40% | 54% | Andy Harris |
2nd | 65% | 30% | Dutch Ruppersberger |
3rd | 67% | 27% | John Sarbanes |
4th | 79% | 18% | Anthony Brown |
5th | 68% | 29% | Steny Hoyer |
6th | 60% | 35% | David Trone |
7th | 75% | 20% | Elijah Cummings |
8th | 67% | 28% | Jamie Raskin |
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