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The 2022 New Hampshire gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of New Hampshire. Incumbent Republican governor Chris Sununu won re-election to a fourth term, defeating Democratic nominee Tom Sherman.
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Turnout | 67.63% | ||||||||||||||||
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Sununu: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Sherman: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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Sununu had "expressed interest" in running for the U.S. Senate in 2022 against incumbent Democrat (and former governor) Maggie Hassan. However, on November 9, 2021, he announced that he would instead run for a fourth term as governor.[1] Sununu became the first Republican to win a fourth term as governor, also tying John Lynch's modern record of four terms overall.
Organizations
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Thad Riley |
Chris Sununu |
Karen Testerman |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of New Hampshire[10] | August 25–29, 2022 | 892 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 7% | 72% | 5% | 2%[lower-alpha 2] | 14% |
Saint Anselm College[11] | August 9–11, 2022 | 820 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 5% | 68% | 6% | 2% | 19% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Kelly Ayotte |
Scott Brown |
Frank Edelbut |
Chuck Morse |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Praecones Analytica[12] | August 13–20, 2021 | 792 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 13% | 7% | 6% | 29% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Chris Sununu (incumbent) | 113,443 | 78.66% | |
Republican | Karen Testerman | 14,473 | 10.04% | |
Republican | Thaddeus Riley | 11,107 | 7.70% | |
Republican | Julian Acciard | 2,906 | 2.01% | |
Republican | Jay Lewis | 1,318 | 0.91% | |
Republican | Richard McMenamon II | 817 | 0.57% | |
Write-in | 160 | 0.11% | ||
Total votes | 144,224 | 100.0% |
Organizations
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Tom Sherman | 82,607 | 97.57% | |
Republican | Chris Sununu (incumbent) (write-in) | 1,963 | 2.32% | |
Write-in | 95 | 0.11% | ||
Total votes | 84,665 | 100.0% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[22] | Solid R | March 4, 2022 |
Inside Elections[23] | Solid R | September 23, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] | Safe R | August 18, 2022 |
Politico[25] | Solid R | November 3, 2022 |
RCP[26] | Safe R | June 8, 2022 |
Fox News[27] | Likely R | May 12, 2022 |
538[28] | Solid R | August 26, 2022 |
Elections Daily[29] | Safe R | November 7, 2022 |
U.S. executive branch officials
Organizations
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Organizations
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Chris Sununu (R) |
Tom Sherman (D) |
Other [lower-alpha 3] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Clear Politics[34] | October 28 – November 6, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 56.4% | 39.4% | 4.2% | Sununu +17.0 |
FiveThirtyEight[35] | September 15, 2021 – November 8, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 55.4% | 39.0% | 5.6% | Sununu +16.4 |
Average | 55.9% | 39.2% | 4.9% | Sununu +16.7 |
Graphical summary
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Chris Sununu (R) |
Tom Sherman (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Phillips Academy[36] | November 5–6, 2022 | 1,056 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 58% | 36% | – | 6% |
University of New Hampshire[37] | November 2–6, 2022 | 2,077 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 55% | 43% | 2%[lower-alpha 4] | <1% |
InsiderAdvantage (R)[38][upper-alpha 1] | November 5, 2022 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 56% | 40% | 2%[lower-alpha 5] | 2% |
Data for Progress (D)[39] | November 2–5, 2022 | 1,995 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 58% | 40% | 2%[lower-alpha 6] | – |
Wick Insights[40] | November 2–5, 2022 | 725 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 53% | 43% | 2%[lower-alpha 7] | 2% |
Emerson College[41] | October 30 – November 1, 2022 | 850 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 57% | 36% | 4%[lower-alpha 8] | 4% |
58% | 37% | 6%[lower-alpha 9] | – | ||||
Saint Anselm College[42] | October 28–29, 2022 | 1,541 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 55% | 37% | 2%[lower-alpha 10] | 6% |
co/efficient (R)[43] | October 25–26, 2022 | 1,098 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 52% | 34% | 5%[lower-alpha 11] | 8% |
UMass Lowell/YouGov[44] | October 14–25, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 51% | 35% | 12%[lower-alpha 12] | 2% |
InsiderAdvantage (R)[45][upper-alpha 1] | October 23, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 54% | 37% | 4%[lower-alpha 13] | 6% |
Emerson College[46] | October 18–19, 2022 | 727 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 52% | 40% | 3%[lower-alpha 14] | 5% |
54% | 41% | 4%[lower-alpha 15] | – | ||||
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[47][upper-alpha 2] | October 17–19, 2022 | 600 (LV) | – | 57% | 40% | – | 4% |
Data for Progress (D)[48] | October 14–19, 2022 | 1,392 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 53% | 40% | 3%[lower-alpha 16] | 4% |
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[49] | October 2–6, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 55% | 41% | 1% | 3% |
Data for Progress (D)[50] | September 23–30, 2022 | 1,147 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 52% | 39% | 4%[lower-alpha 17] | 5% |
Saint Anselm College[51] | September 27–28, 2022 | 901 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 50% | 34% | 5%[lower-alpha 18] | 11% |
Suffolk University[52] | September 23–26, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 53% | 36% | 4%[lower-alpha 19] | 8% |
American Research Group[53] | September 15–19, 2022 | 555 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 53% | 38% | – | 9% |
University of New Hampshire[54] | September 15–19, 2022 | 870 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 55% | 37% | 1%[lower-alpha 20] | 8% |
Emerson College[55] | September 14–15, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 52% | 37% | 4%[lower-alpha 21] | 7% |
Saint Anselm College[11] | August 9–11, 2022 | 1,898 (RV) | ± 2.3% | 48% | 29% | 4% | 18% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[56][upper-alpha 3] | July 5–6, 2022 | 601 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 33% | 8%[lower-alpha 22] | 16% |
University of New Hampshire[57] | April 14–18, 2022 | 868 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 55% | 29% | 1% | 14% |
Phillips Academy[58] | April 4–8, 2022 | 533 (A) | ± 4.2% | 62% | 24% | – | 14% |
471 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 73% | 24% | – | 3% | ||
Saint Anselm College[59] | March 23–24, 2022 | 1,265 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 51% | 24% | 10% | 15% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Chris Sununu (R) |
Generic Opponent |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Saint Anselm College[60] | January 11–12, 2022 | 1,215 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
Chris Sununu vs. generic opponent
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Chris Sununu (incumbent) | 352,813 | 56.98% | −8.14% | |
Democratic | Tom Sherman | 256,766 | 41.47% | +8.11% | |
Libertarian | Kelly Halldorson | 5,071 | 0.82% | N/A | |
Libertarian | Karlyn Borysenko | 2,772 | 0.45% | N/A | |
Write-in | 1,713 | 0.28% | +0.19% | ||
Total votes | 619,135 | 100.0% | |||
Turnout | 626,845 | 67.63% | |||
Registered electors | 925,401 | ||||
Republican hold |
By county | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic |
Partisan clients
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