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This article is a list of opinion polls that have been taken for the 2012 South Korean presidential election. It is divided into polls for the presidential election itself, and polls for the primaries of the two main parties, Saenuri and the Democratic United Party. Two-way polls are used to demonstrate the popularity of one candidate with respect to the other, but the election itself will have no run-off round and will be held under a system of First Past the Post. The polls are ordered by date, with the newest at the top.
This article's factual accuracy may be compromised due to out-of-date information. (November 2012) |
Poll source | Date | Sample size | Margin | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Park (%) Saenuri |
Ahn (%) Independent | ||||
Hankyoreh/Korea Society Opinion Institute[1] | 27–28 July 2012 | 1,000 | 44.9 | 48.8 | 3.9 |
Gallup[2] | 23–27 July 2012 | 1,520 | 42 | 42 | 0 |
Realmeter[3] | 23–27 July 2012 | 3,750 | 44.2 | 48.4 | 4.2 |
JoongAng Ilbo[4] | 19–21 July 2012 | 2,000 | 49.3 | 45.2 | 4.1 |
Realmeter[5] | 16–20 July 2012 | 3,750 | 47.7 | 44.8 | 2.9 |
OhMyNews/Research View[6] | 16–17 July 2012 | 1,000 | 48.7 | 46.5 | 2.2 |
Realmeter[7] | 25–29 June 2012 | 3,750 | 49.0 | 43.8 | 5.2 |
Realmeter[8] | 18–22 June 2012 | 3,750 | 49.2 | 44.3 | 4.9 |
Realmeter[9] | 29 May – 1 June 2012 | 3,000 | 48.6 | 45.6 | 3.0 |
Hankyoreh/Korea Society Opinion Institute[10] | 26–27 May 2012 | 800 | 53.5 | 43.7 | 9.8 |
Realmeter[11] | 21–25 May 2012 | 3,750 | 48.5 | 44.7 | 3.8 |
JoongAng Ilbo[12] | 15 May 2012 | 910 | 51.9 | 43.0 | 8.9 |
Realmeter[13] | 14–18 May 2012 | 3,750 | 48.8 | 43.9 | 4.9 |
Realmeter[14] | 7–11 May 2012 | 3,750 | 47.6 | 45.6 | 2.0 |
Realmeter[15] | 7–8 May 2012 | 1,500 | 51.3 | 40.7 | 10.6 |
Chosun Ilbo / Media Research[16] | 2–6 May 2012 | 1,000 | 47.2 | 42.1 | 5.1 |
Realmeter[17] | 30 Apr – 4 May 2012 | 3,000 | 47.9 | 45.7 | 2.2 |
Gallup[18] | 30 Apr – 4 May 2012 | 1,272 | 47.0 | 37.0 | 10.0 |
Realmeter[19] | 23–27 April 2012 | 3,750 | 47.1 | 46.9 | 0.2 |
Realmeter[20] | 16–20 April 2012 | 3,750 | 49.2 | 45.0 | 4.2 |
Realmeter[21] | 12–13 April 2012 | 1,500 | 47.9 | 44.8 | 3.1 |
JoongAng Ilbo / Gallup[22][23] | 12–13 April 2012 | 800 | 45.1 | 35.9 | 9.2 |
Realmeter[24] | 6–10 February 2012 | 3,750 | 41.3 | 49.5 | 8.2 |
Realmeter[25] | 30 Jan – 3 Feb 2012 | 3,750 | 40.4 | 51.5 | 11.1 |
Poll source | Date | Sample size | Margin | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Park (%) Saenuri |
Moon (%) DUP | ||||
JoongAng Ilbo[4] | 19–21 July 2012 | 2,000 | 56.6 | 35.0 | 11.6 |
OhMyNews/Research View[6] | 16–17 July 2012 | 1,000 | 50.8 | 41.0 | 9.8 |
Realmeter[9] | 29 May – 1 Jun 2012 | 3,000 | 52.5 | 38.6 | 13.9 |
Hankyoreh /Korea Society Opinion Institute[10] | 26–27 May 2012 | 61.0 | 33.5 | 27.5 | |
Realmeter[11] | 21–25 May 2012 | 3,750 | 52.6 | 37.9 | 14.7 |
JoongAng Ilbo[12] | 15 May 2012 | 910 | 57.6 | 33.3 | 24.3 |
Realmeter[13] | 14–18 May 2012 | 3,750 | 52.0 | 37.5 | 14.5 |
Realmeter[14] | 7–11 May 2012 | 3,750 | 51.9 | 38.2 | 13.7 |
Realmeter[15] | 7–8 May 2012 | 1,500 | 55.7 | 36.3 | 19.4 |
Realmeter[17] | 30 Apr – 4 May 2012 | 3,000 | 52.4 | 38.0 | 14.4 |
Realmeter[19] | 23–27 April 2012 | 3,750 | 50.9 | 40.3 | 10.6 |
Realmeter[24] | 6–10 February 2012 | 3,750 | 44.3 | 43.0 | 1.3 |
Realmeter[25] | 30 Jan – 3 Feb 2012 | 3,750 | 44.4 | 44.9 | 0.5 |
Donga Ilbo[25] | 24 January 2012 | 46.7 | 38.4 | 8.3 |
Candidate | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ahn Cheol-soo |
Chung Dong-young |
Chung Mong-joon |
Chung Sye-kyun |
Chung Un-chan |
Kim Doo-kwan |
Kim Moon-soo |
Lee Hoi-chang |
Moon Jae-in |
Park Geun-hye |
Rhyu Si-min |
Sohn Hak-kyu | |
Realmeter[9] 29 May – 1 Jun 2012 |
22.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | – | – | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 13.8% | 40.4% | 1.7% | 3.6% |
Korea Society Opinion Institute[10] 26–27 May 2012 |
22.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | – | – | 1.7% | 1.9% | – | 11.1% | 43.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% |
Realmeter[26] 21–25 May 2012 |
19.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 13.7% | 40.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% |
JoongAng Ilbo[12] 15 May 2012 |
23.3% | 1.1% | 2.5% | – | – | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 9.9% | 39.3% | 1.1% | 2.0% |
Realmeter[13] 14–18 May 2012 |
20.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 13.4% | 41.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% |
Realmeter[14] 7–11 May 2012 |
23.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | – | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 12.3% | 40.3% | 2.0% | 3.4% |
Media Research[16][27] 1–6 May 2012 |
22.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 9.6% | 35.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% |
Realmeter[19] 30 Apr – 4 May 2012 |
22.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | – | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 13.5% | 40.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% |
Realmeter[19] 23–27 Apr 2012 |
24.0% | 1.3% | 2.4% | – | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 13.1% | 40.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% |
Korea Society Opinion Institute[28] 21 April 2012 |
23.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | – | – | 0.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 11.1% | 40.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% |
Realmeter[20] 16–20 Apr 2012 |
23.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | – | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 13.5% | 42.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% |
Realmeter[29] 12–13 Apr 2012 |
20.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | – | 1.5% | 2.4% | 16.5% | 42.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% |
Realmeter[30] 2–6 Apr 2012 |
18.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 2.5% | – | 2.7% | 1.9% | 19.1% | 36.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% |
Korea Society Opinion Institute[31] 31 March 2012 |
17.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | – | – | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 16.3% | 36.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% |
Realmeter[24] 6–10 Feb 2012 |
20.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 2.6% | – | 2.8% | 2.6% | 19.4% | 31.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% |
Realmeter[25] 30 Jan – 3 Feb 2012 |
21.1% | – | – | – | – | – | 3.2% | – | 19.3% | 31.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% |
Poll source | Date | Sample size | Ahn Sang-soo | Chung Mong-joon | Chung Un-chan | Kim Moon-soo | Lee Jae-oh | Park Geun-hye | Yim Tae-hee |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hankyoreh/Korea Society Opinion Institute[28] | 21 April 2012 | 800 | – | 5.2% | 0.4% | 3.1% | 0.2% | 83.4% | – |
Poll source | Date | Sample size | Ahn Cheol-soo | Chung Dong-young | Chung Sye-kyun | Kim Doo-kwan | Moon Jae-in | Sohn Hak-kyu |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hankyoreh/Korea Society Opinion Institute[28] | 21 April 2012 | 800 | 2.3% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 43.4% | 15.5% |
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