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2013 Western Australian state election

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2013 Western Australian state election
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The 2013 Western Australian state election was held on Saturday 9 March 2013 to elect 59 members to the Legislative Assembly and 36 members to the Legislative Council.

Quick Facts All 59 seats in the Western Australian Legislative Assemblyand all 36 members in the Western Australian Legislative Council 30 Assembly seats were needed for a majority, First party ...

The incumbent LiberalNational Coalition government, led by Premier Colin Barnett, won a second consecutive four-year term in government, defeating the Labor Party, led by Opposition Leader Mark McGowan, in a landslide.[1][2][3][4] The Liberals alone won a majority of seats in the Legislative Assembly for the first time since the election of 1996, retaining government with 31 seats. Labor won 21 seats and the Nationals won 7 seats. In the Legislative Council, the Liberals won 17 of the 36 seats.

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Results

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Legislative Assembly

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Winning party by electorate.

Western Australian state election, 9 March 2013[5]
Legislative Assembly
<< 20082017 >>

Enrolled voters 1,412,533
Votes cast 1,260,089 Turnout 89.21% +2.73%
Informal votes 75,657 Informal 6.00% +0.68%
Summary of votes by party
Party Primary votes  % Swing Seats Change
  Liberal 557,903 47.10 Increase+8.71 31 +7
  Labor 392,448 33.13 Decrease–2.70 21 –7
  Greens 99,431 8.39 Decrease–3.52 0 ±0
  National 71,694 6.05 Increase+1.18 7 +3
  Christians 21,451 1.81 Decrease–0.77 0 ±0
  Family First 7,039 0.59 Decrease–1.35 0 ±0
  Independents 34,466 2.91 Decrease–1.44 0 –3
Total 1,184,432     59  
Two-party-preferred
  Liberal 678,231 57.29% Increase+5.44%
  Labor 505,650 42.71% Decrease–5.44%

Legislative Council

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Legislative Council results per region in the 2013 state general election
More information Western Australian state election, 9 March 2013Legislative Council ...
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Summary of Assembly results

More information Popular vote, % of the seats won ...

Seats changing parties

More information Seat, Pre-2013 ...
  • Members listed in italics did not contest their seat at this election.
  • * figure is vs. Liberal
  • ** figure is vs. Labor
  • *** figure is vs. National
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Background

At previous elections, the government was able to choose the date of an election, but on 3 November 2011, the government introduced fixed four-year terms, with elections being held every four years on the second Saturday in March.[6][7] This was the first election under the new system.

Key dates

  • Issue of writ: 6 February[8]
  • Nominations open: 7 February
  • Close of party nominations: 12 noon, 14 February
  • Close of rolls: 6 pm, 14 February
  • Close of independent nominations: 12 noon, 15 February
  • Postal voting commences: ?
  • Pre-poll voting commences: 20 February
  • Polling day: 9 March
  • Return of writ: On or before 6 May

Seats held

Lower house

At the 2008 election, Labor won 28 seats, the Liberals won 24 seats, the Nationals won four seats, with three seats won by independents. Three changes have occurred since; the Greens won the seat of Fremantle off Labor at the 2009 by-election, Vince Catania in the seat of North West defected from Labor to the Nationals in July 2009,[9] and Fremantle MP Adele Carles resigned from the Greens in 2010, leaving Labor with 26 seats, the Liberals with 24 seats, the Nationals with five seats, while independents hold four seats.

Boundary changes took effect at this election. The only changes to the notional 2008 results were that the seat of Morley shifted from Liberal to Labor[10] and the seat of North West (renamed North West Central) shifted from Labor to National.[11]

Upper house

At the 2008 election, the Liberals won 16 seats, Labor won 11 seats, the Nationals won five seats, and the Greens won four seats.

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Retiring MPs

Labor

Liberal

National

Independent

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2008 pendulum

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The following Mackerras pendulum works by lining up all of the seats according to the percentage point margin post-election on a two-candidate-preferred basis.

Liberal/National seats
Marginal
North West Vince Catania NAT −3.1 pp1
Riverton Mike Nahan LIB 0.2 pp
Wanneroo Paul Miles LIB 0.7 pp
Morley Ian Britza LIB 0.9 pp
Southern River Peter Abetz LIB 1.6 pp
Jandakot Joe Francis LIB 1.8 pp
Mount Lawley Michael Sutherland LIB 2.2 pp
Nedlands Bill Marmion LIB 2.5 pp v IND
Moore Grant Woodhams NAT 3.1 pp v LIB
Swan Hills Frank Alban LIB 3.5 pp
Eyre Graham Jacobs LIB 3.6 pp v NAT
Ocean Reef Albert Jacob LIB 4.4 pp
Kingsley Andrea Mitchell LIB 4.5 pp
Scarborough Liza Harvey LIB 5.2 pp
Darling Range Tony Simpson LIB 5.6 pp
Fairly safe
Kalamunda John Day LIB 6.3 pp
Murray-Wellington Murray Cowper LIB 8.4 pp
Geraldton Ian Blayney LIB 8.5 pp
Safe
Dawesville Kim Hames LIB 11.1 pp
Bateman Christian Porter LIB 11.4 pp
Hillarys Rob Johnson LIB 11.4 pp
Bunbury John Castrilli LIB 11.7 pp
Vasse Troy Buswell LIB 13.5 pp
South Perth John McGrath LIB 14.3 pp
Carine Tony Krsticevic LIB 14.5 pp
Blackwood-Stirling Terry Redman NAT 17.3 pp v LIB
Central Wheatbelt Brendon Grylls NAT 17.9 pp v LIB
Cottesloe Colin Barnett LIB 19.4 pp
Very safe
Wagin Terry Waldron NAT 27.1 pp v LIB
Independent seats
Alfred Cove Janet Woollard IND LIB 1.0 pp v LIB
Kalgoorlie John Bowler IND 3.6 pp v NAT
Fremantle Adele Carles IND 4.0 pp v ALP2
Churchlands Liz Constable IND 23.5 pp v ALP
Labor seats
Marginal
Albany Peter Watson ALP 0.2 pp
Forrestfield Andrew Waddell ALP 0.2 pp
Kwinana Roger Cook ALP 0.8 pp v IND
Collie-Preston Mick Murray ALP 1.0 pp
Balcatta John Kobelke ALP 2.3 pp
Joondalup Tony O'Gorman ALP 3.5 pp
Pilbara Tom Stephens ALP 3.6 pp
West Swan Rita Saffioti ALP 4.4 pp
Gosnells Chris Tallentire ALP 5.5 pp
Fairly safe
Belmont Eric Ripper ALP 6.7 pp
Kimberley Carol Martin ALP 6.8 pp
Perth John Hyde ALP 7.8 pp
Midland Michelle Roberts ALP 8.3 pp
Mindarie John Quigley ALP 8.5 pp
Cannington Bill Johnston ALP 9.0 pp
Maylands Lisa Baker ALP 9.0 pp
Victoria Park Ben Wyatt ALP 9.0 pp
Cockburn Fran Logan ALP 9.6 pp
Warnbro Paul Papalia ALP 9.7 pp
Safe
Bassendean Martin Whitely ALP 10.3 pp
Mandurah David Templeman ALP 10.5 pp
Rockingham Mark McGowan ALP 10.6 pp
Willagee Peter Tinley ALP 10.6 pp v GRN
Girrawheen Margaret Quirk ALP 11.5 pp
Nollamara Janine Freeman ALP 12.7 pp
Very safe
Armadale Tony Buti ALP 20.3 pp v CDP
1.^ Elected as Labor member, defected to the Nationals in July 2009, margin is ALP v NAT.
2.^ Elected as Green member, resigned from The Greens in May 2010.
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Post-election pendulum

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Margins with an asterisk (*) indicate seats that have a different 2-candidate-preferred result other than Labor v. Liberal/National. The 2cp result for each seat is below the table.

Liberal/National seats
Marginal
Belmont Glenys Godfrey LIB 0.9
Forrestfield Nathan Morton LIB 2.1
Perth Eleni Evangel LIB 2.6
Joondalup Jan Norberger LIB 4.5
Morley Ian Britza LIB 4.7
Swan Hills Frank Alban LIB 5.9
Fairly safe
Balcatta Chris Hatton LIB 7.3
Jandakot Joe Francis LIB 8.1
Riverton Mike Nahan LIB 9.2
Mount Lawley Michael Sutherland LIB 9.4
Safe
Kalamunda John Day LIB 10.5
Wanneroo Paul Miles LIB 11.1
Pilbara Brendon Grylls NAT 11.5
Murray-Wellington Murray Cowper LIB 12.0
Dawesville Kim Hames LIB 12.7
Bunbury John Castrilli LIB 13.1
North West Central Vince Catania NAT 13.5*
Kingsley Andrea Mitchell LIB 14.8
Darling Range Tony Simpson LIB 15.3
Warren-Blackwood Terry Redman NAT 15.6*
Kalgoorlie Wendy Duncan NAT 16.9*
Southern River Peter Abetz LIB 17.0
Scarborough Liza Harvey LIB 17.3
Bateman Matt Taylor LIB 17.8
Carine Tony Krsticevic LIB 18.1
Ocean Reef Albert Jacob LIB 19.0
Hillarys Rob Johnson LIB 19.0
Nedlands Bill Marmion LIB 19.1
Very safe
Churchlands Sean L'Estrange LIB 20.2
Cottesloe Colin Barnett LIB 20.9
South Perth John McGrath LIB 21.1
Central Wheatbelt Mia Davies NAT 21.1*
Vasse Troy Buswell LIB 21.2
Geraldton Ian Blayney LIB 22.8*
Moore Shane Love NAT 23.2*
Eyre Graham Jacobs LIB 23.3*
Alfred Cove Dean Nalder LIB 23.6
Wagin Terry Waldron NAT 25.8*
Labor seats
Marginal
Collie-Preston Mick Murray ALP 0.1
Midland Michelle Roberts ALP 0.1
Butler John Quigley ALP 1.8
West Swan Rita Saffioti ALP 1.9
Albany Peter Watson ALP 2.0
Cannington Bill Johnston ALP 2.1
Girrawheen Margaret Quirk ALP 2.4
Gosnells Chris Tallentire ALP 2.9
Maylands Lisa Baker ALP 3.1
Cockburn Fran Logan ALP 4.1
Victoria Park Ben Wyatt ALP 4.1
Mirrabooka Janine Freeman ALP 4.6
Bassendean Dave Kelly ALP 5.1
Kimberley Josie Farrer ALP 5.1
Fairly safe
Mandurah David Templeman ALP 7.7
Fremantle Simone McGurk ALP 7.9
Warnbro Paul Papalia ALP 8.8
Armadale Tony Buti ALP 9.6
Safe
Willagee Peter Tinley ALP 10.6
Kwinana Roger Cook ALP 11.8*
Rockingham Mark McGowan ALP 13.2
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Polling

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Newspoll polling is conducted via random telephone number selection in city and country areas. Sampling sizes consist of around 1,100 electors. The declared margin of error is ±3 percent.

Voting intention

Graphical summary of opinion polls for voting intention.
Graphical summary of two-party-preferred opinion polls.
More information Primary vote, TPP vote ...

Preferred Premier

Graphical summary of approval rating opinion polls for preferred Premier.
More information Liberal Barnett, Labor McGowan ...

Approval ratings

Graphical summary of approval rating opinion polls for Colin Barnett.
Graphical summary of approval rating opinion polls for Labor leaders (Alan Carpenter, Eric Ripper and Mark McGowan).
More information Barnett, McGowan ...
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Newspaper endorsements

More information Newspaper, Endorsement ...
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See also

References

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