2014 United States House of Representatives election in Alaska

Not to be confused with 2014 Alaska House of Representatives election.

The 2014 United States House of Representatives election in Alaska was held on November 4, 2014, to elect the U.S. representative from Alaska's at-large congressional district, who will represent the state of Alaska in the 114th United States Congress. The election coincided with the elections of a Class II U.S. Senator and the Governor of Alaska, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

2014 United States House of Representatives election in Alaska

← 2012 November 4, 2014 2016 →

Nominee Don Young Forrest Dunbar Jim McDermott Party Republican Democratic Libertarian Popular vote 142,572 114,602 21,290 Percentage 50.97% 40.97% 7.61%

State house district results Borough and census area results Young:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70% Dunbar:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%

Representative at-large before election Don Young Republican Elected Representative at-large Don Young Republican

Incumbent Republican U.S. Representative Don Young ran for re-election to a twenty-second term in office. He won the Republican primary and then defeated Democratic attorney Forrest Dunbar and Libertarian business professor Jim McDermott in the general election. Young was the only statewide official in Alaska who was re-elected in 2014, as Republican governor Sean Parnell and Democratic U.S. Senator Mark Begich were both defeated by their respective challengers.^[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

• John Cox, retired naval officer and candidate for the seat in 2010 and 2012^[2]
• David Dohner, write-in candidate for the seat in 2012^[2]
• David Seaward, former mayor of Seward^[3]
• Don Young, incumbent U.S. Representative^[4]

Primary results

Republican primary results^[5]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Don Young	79,393	74.29
	Republican	John Cox	14,497	13.57
	Republican	David Seaward	7,604	7.12
	Republican	David Dohner	5,373	5.03
Total votes			106,867	100.00

Democratic–Libertarian–Independence primary

Candidates from the Alaska Democratic Party, Alaska Libertarian Party and Alaskan Independence Party appear on the same ballot, with the highest-placed candidate from each party receiving that party's nomination.

Democratic candidates

Declared

• Forrest Dunbar, attorney^[6]
• Frank Vondersaar, attorney, engineer and perennial candidate^[2]

Withdrew

• Matt Moore, businessman and candidate for the seat in 2012^[2][7]

Declined

• Scott McAdams, former mayor of Sitka and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2010^[8]

Libertarian candidates

Declared

• Jim McDermott, business professor and nominee for the seat in 2012^[9]

Primary results

Democratic–Libertarian–Independence primary results^[5]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Forrest Dunbar	38,735	63.19
	Libertarian	Jim McDermott	13,437	21.92
	Democratic	Frank Vondersaar	9,132	14.90
Total votes			61,304	100.00

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[10]	Safe R	November 3, 2014
Rothenberg[11]	Safe R	October 24, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12]	Likely R	October 30, 2014
RCP	Likely R	November 2, 2014
Daily Kos Elections[13]	Likely R	November 4, 2014

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Don Young (R)	Forrest Dunbar (D)	Jim McDermott (L)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling[14]	November 1–2, 2014	1,052	± 3%	47%	41%	6%	6%
Moore Information[15]	October 24–26, 2014	544	–	44%	43%	10%	4%
Hellenthal & Associates[16]	October 15–21, 2014	403	± 4.88%	52%	35%	6%	7%
Public Policy Polling[17]	September 18–21, 2014	880	± 3.3%	48%	33%	9%	11%

Hypothetical polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Don Young (R)	Matt Moore (D)	Jim McDermott (L)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling[18]	January 30–February 1, 2014	850	± 3.4%	50%	22%	12%	16%
Public Policy Polling[19]	July 25–28, 2013	890	± 3.3%	56%	28%	—	16%

Results

2014 Alaska's at-large congressional district^[20]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Republican	Don Young (incumbent)	142,572	50.97%	−12.97%
	Democratic	Forrest Dunbar	114,602	40.97%	+12.36%
	Libertarian	Jim McDermott	21,290	7.61%	+2.42%
	Write-in		1,277	0.46%	+0.13%
Total votes			279,741	100.00%	N/A
	Republican hold