2015 Canadian federal election in Quebec

In the 2015 Canadian federal election, there were 78 members of Parliament elected to the House of Commons from the province of Quebec, making up 23.1% of all members of the House.

2015 Canadian federal election in Quebec

← 2011 October 19, 2015 (2015-10-19) 2019 →
← outgoing members elected members →
All 78 Quebec seats in the House of Commons of Canada
Opinion polls
Registered	6,393,478
Turnout	4,303,758 (67.3)[1]
First party Second party Third party   Leader Justin Trudeau Tom Mulcair Stephen Harper Party Liberal New Democratic Conservative Leader since April 14, 2013 March 24, 2012 March 20, 2004 Last election 7 seats, 14.2% 59 seats, 42.9% 5 seats, 16.5% Seats before 7 54[a] 5 Seats won 40 16 12 Seat change 33 38 7 Popular vote 1,515,673 1,075,366 709,164 Percentage 35.7% 25.4% 16.7% Swing  21.5 pp  17.5 pp  0.2 pp   Fourth party Fifth party   Leader Gilles Duceppe Elizabeth May Party Bloc Québécois Green Leader since June 10, 2015* August 27, 2006 Last election 4 seats, 23.4% 0 seat, 2.1% Seats before 2 0[b] Seats won 10 0 Seat change 8 0 Popular vote 821,144 95,395 Percentage 19.3% 2.3% Swing  4.1 pp 0.2 pp
Prime Minister before election Stephen Harper Conservative Prime Minister after election Justin Trudeau Liberal

The Liberal party became the biggest party in Quebec, a position they have held as of 2025.

Background

2012 electoral redistribution

The 2015 Canadian federal election was the first election to utilize the electoral districts established following the 2012 Canadian federal electoral redistribution. The House of Commons increased from 308 seats to 338 seats, with Quebec's number of seats increasing from 75 to 78 seats. This made the average population per constituency in Quebec 104,671 (according to the 2011 Canadian census), which was 672 more people per electoral district than the national average.^[2]

2011 results transposed onto 2013 boundaries

Party		MPs
		2011 actual result	2011 notional result	Change
	New Democratic	59	61	2
	Liberal	7	8	1
	Conservative	5	5	0
	Bloc Québécois	4	4	0
Total seats		75	78	3

Timeline

See also: By-elections to the 41st Canadian Parliament

Changes in Quebec seats held (2011–2015)

Seat	Before				Change
	Date	Member	Party	Reason	Date	Member	Party
Saint-Maurice—Champlain	January 10, 2012	Lise St-Denis	█ New Democratic	Crossed the floor			█ Liberal
Jonquière—Alma	February 27, 2013	Claude Patry	█ New Democratic	Crossed the floor			█ Bloc Québécois
Bourassa	June 2, 2013	Denis Coderre	█ Liberal	Resigned to run for mayor of Montreal	November 25, 2013	Emmanuel Dubourg	█ Liberal
Ahuntsic	September 12, 2013.	Maria Mourani	█ Bloc Québécois	Expelled from caucus			█ Independent[c][3]
Montcalm	June 6, 2014	Manon Perreault	█ New Democratic	Suspended from caucus			█ Independent[d]
Haute-Gaspésie—La Mitis—Matane—Matapédia	August 12, 2014.	Jean-François Fortin	█ Bloc Québécois	Resigned from caucus			█ Independent
Verchères—Les Patriotes	August 20, 2014	Sana Hassainia	█ New Democratic	Changed affiliation			█ Independent
Richmond—Arthabaska	August 25, 2014	André Bellavance	█ Bloc Québécois	Resigned from caucus			█ Independent
Haute-Gaspésie—La Mitis—Matane—Matapédia	October 21, 2014.	Jean-François Fortin	█ Independent	Co-founded Strength in Democracy			█ Str. in Demo.
Repentigny	October 21, 2014	Jean-François Larose	█ New Democratic	Co-founded Strength in Democracy			█ Str. in Demo.
Saint-Léonard—Saint-Michel	November 5, 2014	Massimo Pacetti	█ Liberal	Suspended from caucus			█ Independent

Opinion polling

See also: Opinion polling for the 2015 Canadian federal election

Predictions

Results

Summary

Quebec summary seat results in the 2015 Canadian federal election^[4][5]

Party		Votes	Vote %	Vote +/-	Seats	Seat +/-
	Liberal	1,515,673	35.7%	21.5pp	40 / 78 (51%)	33
	New Democratic	1,075,366	25.4%	17.5pp	16 / 78 (21%)	38[e]
	Conservative	709,164	16.7%	0.2pp	12 / 78 (15%)	7
	Bloc Québécois	821,144	19.3%	4.1pp	10 / 78 (13%)	8
	Green	95,395	2.3%	0.2pp	0 / 78 (0%)	0[f]
	Strength in Democracy	8,059	0.2%	0.2pp	0 / 78 (0%)	2[g]
	Independent	3,438	0.1%	pp	0 / 78 (0%)	4[h]
	Other	13,248	0.3%	pp	0 / 78 (0%)	0
Total		4,241,487	100%	–	78 / 78 (100%)	3[i]

Comparison with national results

Results by party

Party		Popular vote %			Seats in caucus
		QC	Natl. avg.	diff.
	Liberal	35.7	39.5	-3.8	40 / 184 (22%)
	New Democratic	25.4	19.7	+5.7	16 / 44 (36%)
	Conservative	16.7	31.9	-15.2	12 / 99 (12%)
	Bloc Québécois	19.3	4.7	+14.6	10 / 10 (100%)
	Green	2.3	3.4	-1.1	0 / 1 (0%)
	Total	–	–	–	78 / 338 (23%)

New Democratic Party Decline

During the 2015 election, Tom Mulcair's and NDP's stance on a niqab issue contributed to a decline in the party's support in Quebec.^[6][7][8]

The Bloc Québécois supported banning the face covering during citizenship ceremony and voting.^[9][10][11]

Notes

1. Includes José Núñez-Melo, who sat as a member of the NDP at the dissolution of Parliament, but ran as a Green Party candidate in the 2015 election. Does not include Maria Mourani, who sat as an independent at the dissolution of Parliament, but ran as an NDP candidate in the 2015 election.
2. Does not include José Núñez-Melo, who sat as a member of the NDP at the dissolution of Parliament, but ran as a Green Party candidate in the 2015 election
3. On 19 November 2014, Mourani announced that she would run for the NDP in the next election, though as per the party's policy on crossing the floor she remained an independent MP until the election.
4. Sat as an independent for the remainder of her term, but ran as a Strength in Democracy candidate in the 2015 election.
5. Includes José Núñez-Melo, who sat as a member of the NDP at the dissolution of Parliament, but ran as a Green Party candidate in the 2015 election. Does not include Maria Mourani, who sat as an independent at the dissolution of Parliament, but ran as an NDP candidate in the 2015 election.
6. Does not include José Núñez-Melo, who sat as a member of the NDP at the dissolution of Parliament, but ran as a Green Party candidate in the 2015 election
7. Does not include Manon Perreault, who sat as an independent at the dissolution of Parliament, but ran as a Strength in Democracy candidate in the 2015 election.
8. Includes Manon Perreault, who sat as an independent at the dissolution of Parliament, but ran as a Strength in Democracy candidate in the 2015 election. Includes Maria Mourani, who sat as an independent at the dissolution of Parliament, but ran as an NDP candidate in the 2015 election.
9. Quebec gained 3 seats in the electoral redistribution.