2018 Alabama gubernatorial election

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2018 Alabama gubernatorial election

The 2018 Alabama gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018. Incumbent Governor Kay Ivey (R), who took office upon the resignation of Robert Bentley (R), ran for election to a full term and defeated Democratic Tuscaloosa mayor Walt Maddox by a wide margin.[1] Ivey was sworn in for her first full term on January 14, 2019.[2]

Quick Facts Nominee, Party ...
2018 Alabama gubernatorial election

 2014 November 6, 2018 2022 
  Thumb Thumb
Nominee Kay Ivey Walt Maddox
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 1,022,457 694,495
Percentage 59.46% 40.39%

Thumb
Thumb
Thumb
Ivey:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Maddox:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      50%

Governor before election

Kay Ivey
Republican

Elected Governor

Kay Ivey
Republican

Close

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Scott Dawson
Politicians
Individuals
Organizations
  • Alabama Republican Assembly
  • BamaCarry, Alabama's largest Second Amendment rights group
Kay Ivey
State senators
State representatives
  • Rep. Alan Baker (R-Brewton)
  • Rep. Chris Blackshear (R-Phenix City)
  • Rep. Alan Booth (R-Troy)
  • Rep. K.L. Brown (R-Jacksonville)
  • Rep. Donnie Chesteen (R-Geneva)
  • Rep. Steve Clouse (R-Ozark)
  • Rep. Terri Collins (R-Decatur)
  • Rep. Danny Crawford (R-Athens)
  • Rep. Corley Ellis (R-Columbiana)
  • Rep. David Faulkner (R-Mountain Brook)
  • Rep. Joe Faust (R-Fairhope)
  • Rep. Bob Fincher (R-Woodland)
  • Rep. Danny Garrett (R-Trussville)
  • Rep. Lynn Greer (R-Rogersville)
  • Rep. Alan Harper (R-Northport)
  • Rep. Steve Hurst (R-Munford)
  • Rep. Reed Ingram (R-Montgomery)
  • Rep. Ken Johnson (R-Moulton)
  • Rep. Nathaniel Ledbetter (R-Rainsville)
  • Rep. Paul Lee (R-Dothan)
  • Rep. Joe Lovvorn (R-Auburn)
  • Rep. Steve McMillan (R-Bay Minette)
  • Rep. Becky Nordgren (R-Gadsden)
  • Rep. Phillip Pettus (R-Killen)
  • Rep. Bill Poole (R-Tuscaloosa)
  • Rep. Chris Pringle (R-Mobile)
  • Rep. Kerry Rich (R-Guntersville)
  • Rep. Chris Sells (R-Evergreen)
  • Rep. Randall Shedd (R-Cullman)
  • Rep. David Standridge (R-Hayden)
  • Rep. Allen Treadaway (R-Morris)
  • Rep. Randy Wood (R-Anniston)
Individuals
  • Edward Aldag, founder and CEO of Medical Properties Trust[39]
  • David Cooper, director of Alabama Power Co.[39]
  • Stacy Lee George, former Morgan County commissioner and candidate for governor in 2018[40]
Organizations
  • Alabama Farmers Federation
Tommy Battle
Individuals

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Tommy
Battle
Scott
Dawson
Bill
Hightower
Kay
Ivey
Undecided
The Tarrance Group (R-Ivey)[42] May 20–22, 2018 602 ± 4.1% 18% 7% 5% 58% 12%
Leverage Public Strategies[43] April 23–30, 2018 600 ± 3.9% 11% 9% 4% 47% 30%
The Tarrance Group (R-Ivey)[44] August 28–30, 2017 601 ± 4.1% 11% 3% 66% 16%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Tommy
Battle
Young
Boozer
Bill
Hightower
Mike
Hubbard
Kay
Ivey
Tim
James
Del
Marsh
John
McMillan
John
Merrill
Roy
Moore
Martha
Roby
Luther
Strange
Undecided/
Other
Public Insight Research[45] July 2016 607 9% 2% 3% 2% 3% 3% 28% 6% 19% 24%
Public Insight Research[45] July 2015 601 4% 4% 5% 2% 3% 32% 19% 30%
Close
Hypothetical polling

Results

Thumb
Results by county:
  Ivey
  •   >90%
  •   70–80%
  •   60–70%
  •   50–60%
  •   40–50%
  Battle
  •   40–50%
  •   60–70%
More information Party, Candidate ...
Republican primary results[46]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Kay Ivey (incumbent) 330,743 56.10%
Republican Tommy Battle 146,887 24.92%
Republican Scott Dawson 79,302 13.45%
Republican Bill Hightower 29,275 4.97%
Republican Michael McAllister (deceased) 3,326 0.56%
Total votes 589,533 100%
Close

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Sue Bell Cobb
Politicians
  • Thomas Parchman III, candidate for Jefferson County Circuit Clerk
Individuals
  • J. Norman Baldwin, author and professor of Political Science at University of Alabama[60]
  • Wade Chapman, student activist
  • Josh Coleman, Central Alabama Pride
  • Suzanne Durham, former CEO of YMCA Birmingham[61]
  • Quincy Hall, Equality Alabama Board of Directors president
  • Ruth Harrell, former president of the Alabama State Nurses Association[62]
  • Miah Jackson, councilwoman for Selma, Alabama
  • Frannie James, Jefferson County Democratic Party executive director
  • Mark Johnston, former candidate for governor of Alabama
  • Billy Jones, president of Crowne Healthcare[63]
  • Lilly Ledbetter[64]
  • Lonnie Malone, executive director of the Effective Family Inc.
  • Kelley Parris, director of the Children's Board of Hillsborough County
  • John A. Pickens, former executive director of Alabama Appleseed Center
  • Joanne Shum, director of Alabama HIPPY[65]
  • James T. Stephens, chairman of EBSCO Industries
  • Sue Thompson, activist
Organizations
  • Alabama Progressive Democratic Alliance
James Fields
Unions
Christopher A. Countryman
Organizations
  • Alabama Internet Democrats
  • Alabama United
  • Madison County Our Revolution of Madison County, Alabama
  • Millions for Medicare of Alabama
  • Power House of Montgomery, Alabama
Individuals
  • Cortney Brown, businesswoman of Huntsville, Alabama
  • Bev Cowling, director of Madison County Our Revolution of Madison County, Alabama
  • John Harrison, minister and human rights advocate of Birmingham, Alabama
  • Mia Raven, director of Power House of Montgomery, Alabama
  • Jeni Tanner-Jordan, former president of the Greater Birmingham chapter of the National Organization For Women of Birmingham, Alabama
Walt Maddox
Politicians
Individuals
  • Lars Anderson, reporter for The Athletic
  • Pat Edington, former vice chair of the Alabama Democratic Party
  • Brandon Hamner, president of United Steelworkers Local 351
  • Jack Jacobs, UMWA chairman
  • Tom Ksobiech, associate dean at University of Alabama Law School
  • Elliot Maisel, chairman of the Mobile Airport Authority
  • Zac McCrary, Democratic pollster
  • Alex McDaniel, editorial director of Oxford Eagle and Oxford Magazine
  • Charles Morgan, Alabama restaurateur[69]
  • Jim Page, president of West Alabama Chamber of Commerce
  • Sarah Patterson, former head coach of the Alabama Crimson Tide women's gymnastics team
  • Tony Quillen, president of IBEW 558[75]
  • Steven Reed, Montgomery County probate judge
  • Shelia Hocutt Remington, former Alabama Education Association president[76]
  • Bren Riley, Alabama AFL-CIO president[77]
  • Richard Allen Smith, MSNBC contributor and former staffer at the Department of Veteran Affairs[78]
  • Kurt Thomas, UAB track and field head coach
  • Bob Vance, circuit court judge
Organizations
Newspapers

Results

Thumb
Results by county:
Maddox
  •   >90%
  •   80–90%
  •   70–80%
  •   60–70%
  •   50–60%
  •   40–50%
  •   <40%
Cobb
  •   <40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
Fields
  •   50–60%
White
  •   <40%
More information Party, Candidate ...
Democratic primary results[82]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Walt Maddox 154,559 54.60%
Democratic Sue Bell Cobb 82,043 28.98%
Democratic James Fields 22,635 8.00%
Democratic Anthony White 9,677 3.42%
Democratic Doug "New Blue" Smith 9,244 3.27%
Democratic Christopher Countryman 4,923 1.74%
Total votes 283,081 100%
Close

Independents

Candidates

Declared

  • Tony Hewitt Jr., police officer[83]
  • Eric Lathan, security guard, Iraq War veteran and candidate for the Jefferson County Commission in 2010[84]

Declined

  • Mark Johnston, pastor, businessman and summer camp executive director[85][86][87][88]

General election

Summarize
Perspective

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[89] Safe R October 26, 2018
The Washington Post[90] Safe R November 5, 2018
FiveThirtyEight[91] Safe R November 5, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report[92] Safe R November 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[93] Safe R November 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics[94] Safe R November 4, 2018
Daily Kos[95] Safe R November 5, 2018
Fox News[96][a] Likely R November 5, 2018
Politico[97] Safe R November 5, 2018
Governing[98] Safe R November 5, 2018
Close
Notes
  1. The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

Endorsements

Kay Ivey
State senators
State representatives
  • Rep. Alan Baker (R-Brewton)
  • Rep. Chris Blackshear (R-Phenix City)
  • Rep. Alan Booth (R-Troy)
  • Rep. K.L. Brown (R-Jacksonville)
  • Rep. Donnie Chesteen (R-Geneva)
  • Rep. Steve Clouse (R-Ozark)
  • Rep. Terri Collins (R-Decatur)
  • Rep. Danny Crawford (R-Athens)
  • Rep. Corley Ellis (R-Columbiana)
  • Rep. David Faulkner (R-Mountain Brook)
  • Rep. Joe Faust (R-Fairhope)
  • Rep. Bob Fincher (R-Woodland)
  • Rep. Danny Garrett (R-Trussville)
  • Rep. Lynn Greer (R-Rogersville)
  • Rep. Alan Harper (R-Northport)
  • Rep. Steve Hurst (R-Munford)
  • Rep. Reed Ingram (R-Montgomery)
  • Rep. Ken Johnson (R-Moulton)
  • Rep. Nathaniel Ledbetter (R-Rainsville)
  • Rep. Paul Lee (R-Dothan)
  • Rep. Joe Lovvorn (R-Auburn)
  • Rep. Steve McMillan (R-Bay Minette)
  • Rep. Becky Nordgren (R-Gadsden)
  • Rep. Phillip Pettus (R-Killen)
  • Rep. Bill Poole (R-Tuscaloosa)
  • Rep. Chris Pringle (R-Mobile)
  • Rep. Kerry Rich (R-Guntersville)
  • Rep. Chris Sells (R-Evergreen)
  • Rep. Randall Shedd (R-Cullman)
  • Rep. David Standridge (R-Hayden)
  • Rep. Allen Treadaway (R-Morris)
  • Rep. Randy Wood (R-Anniston)
Individuals
  • Edward Aldag, founder and CEO of Medical Properties Trust[39]
  • David Cooper, director of Alabama Power Co.[39]
  • Stacy Lee George, former Morgan County Commissioner and candidate for governor in 2018[40]
Organizations
Walt Maddox
Federal officials
Local and state politicians
Individuals
  • Lars Anderson, reporter for The Athletic
  • Pat Edington, former vice chair of the Alabama Democratic Party
  • Brandon Hamner, president of United Steelworkers Local 351
  • Jack Jacobs, UMWA chairman
  • Tom Ksobiech, associate dean at University of Alabama Law School
  • Elliot Maisel, chairman of the Mobile Airport Authority
  • Zac McCrary, Democratic pollster
  • Alex McDaniel, editorial director of Oxford Eagle and Oxford Magazine
  • Charles Morgan, Alabama restaurateur[69]
  • Jim Page, president of West Alabama Chamber of Commerce
  • Sarah Patterson, former head coach of the Alabama Crimson Tide women's gymnastics team
  • Tony Quillen, president of IBEW 558[75]
  • Steven Reed, Montgomery County probate judge
  • Shelia Hocutt Remington, former Alabama Education Association president[76]
  • Bren Riley, Alabama AFL-CIO president[77]
  • Richard Allen Smith, MSNBC contributor and former staffer at the Department of Veteran Affairs[78]
  • Jim Stovall, writer[103]
  • Kurt Thomas, UAB track and field head coach
  • Marc Torrence, reporter for Patch Media
  • Bob Vance, circuit court judge
Organizations
Newspapers

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Kay
Ivey (R)
Walt
Maddox (D)
Undecided
SurveyMonkey[104] September 9–24, 2018 1,254 ± 3.8% 51% 26% 22%
Research Consultants (R-FarmPAC)[105] September 22, 2018 316 ± 5.5% 58% 38% 4%
Cygnal (R)[106] July 24–25, 2018 1,027 ± 3.1% 56% 42% 3%
Neighborhood Research Corporation (R)[107] June 12–14 and 18–21, 2018 440 ± 4.4% 53% 28%
ALG Research[108][109] April 27 – May 2, 2018 601 ± 4.0% 59% 36%
Close

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
2018 Alabama gubernatorial election[110]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Kay Ivey (incumbent) 1,022,457 59.46% −4.10%
Democratic Walt Maddox 694,495 40.39% +4.15%
Write-in 2,637 0.15% -0.05%
Majority 327,962 19.07% −8.65%
Total votes 1,719,589 100.00% N/A
Republican hold
Close

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Ivey won six of seven congressional districts.[111]

More information District, Ivey ...
District Ivey Maddox Representative
1st 61% 39% Bradley Byrne
2nd 64% 36% Martha Roby
3rd 63% 37% Mike Rogers
4th 75% 25% Robert Aderholt
5th 61% 39% Mo Brooks
6th 64% 35% Gary Palmer
7th 27% 73% Terri Sewell
Close

See also

References

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