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2018 Idaho gubernatorial election

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2018 Idaho gubernatorial election
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The 2018 Idaho gubernatorial election took place on November 6 to elect the next governor of Idaho. Incumbent Republican governor Butch Otter chose not to run for a fourth term,[1] and the state's primaries were held on May 15.[2]

Quick Facts Nominee, Party ...

Former state representative Paulette Jordan was the Democratic Party's nominee. She was the first Democratic nominee from Northern Idaho since Cecil Andrus, who was first elected governor in 1970.[3]

Jordan lost to incumbent lieutenant governor Brad Little by 21.6 percentage points, for a seventh consecutive Republican victory.

A record 605,131 votes were cast for governor in 2018, a 37.6% increase over the previous election in 2014 (439,830 votes). The previous high was 452,535 votes in 2010.

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Republican primary

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Incumbent governor Butch Otter chose not to run for reelection for a fourth term in office.[1]

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Campaign

Lieutenant Governor Brad Little indicated in June 2016 that he would run for governor, a decision described as "early" by the Idaho Statesman.[14] Little was characterized as a politician favored by members of the party establishment, including Otter and U.S. senator Jim Risch.[15]

Representative Raúl Labrador chose to forgo reelection in the 1st district in favor of a gubernatorial candidacy. Labrador, a founding member of the Freedom Caucus, was considered the most conservative candidate in the primary.[16] As a candidate, Labrador suggested that he would be open to overruling Medicaid expansion in the event the state's 2018 ballot measure on the issue passed.[17]

Physician and Boise-area property developer Tommy Ahlquist, a first time candidate, touted his non-political background and pledged to cut regulations to encourage growth.[18] Ahlquist notably received the support of 2012 Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney.[19]

Endorsements

Tommy Ahlquist
U.S. governors (current and former)
Republican National Committee members
Mayors
Individuals
Individuals
Raúl Labrador
U.S. senators
State legislators (current and former)
Individuals
Political action committees
  • Protect Freedom PAC[27]
Trade associations
  • Inland Pacific Chapter of Associated Builders and Contractors (IPC-ABC)[32]
Organizations
  • Family Policy Alliance of Idaho[33]
  • Idaho Chooses Life[34]
Brad Little
U.S. governors (current and former)
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Statewide elected officials (current and former'
State legislators (current and former)
Newspapers
Organizations

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...

* Denotes candidates who did not enter the race.

Forum and debates

More information No., Date ...

Results

Little ultimately won the primary with 37.3% of the vote, with Labrador taking 32.6% and Ahlquist taking 26.2%. Little's campaign performed best in the Boise metropolitan area and agrarian communities in the southwestern part of the state. Labrador performed best in areas in the 1st congressional district, located in the northern part of the state. Ahlquist, a Mormon, saw a better performance in eastern counties, which have a notable Latter Day Saint (LDS) presence.[61]

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Results by county:
Little
  •   50–60%
  •   40–50%
  •   30–40%
Labrador
  •   40–50%
  •   30–40%
Ahlquist
  •   40–50%
  •   30–40%
More information Party, Candidate ...

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Endorsements

A. J. Balukoff
U.S. representatives (current and former)
Statewide officials (current and former)
State legislators (current and former)
Democratic National Committee officials (current and former)
Local and municipal officials (current and former)
Newspapers
Organizations
Paulette Jordan
State legislators (current and former)
Individuals
Organizations

Debate

More information No., Date ...

Results

Thumb
Results by county:
Jordan
  •   80–90%
  •   70–80%
  •   60–70%
  •   50–60%
  •   40–50%
Jordan/Balukoff tie
  •   40–50%
Balukoff
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
More information Party, Candidate ...

Independents

Candidates

Declared

  • Adam Phillips[9]
  • Michael Richardson[5]
  • John Thomas Wiechec[9]

General election

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Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Notes
  1. The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

Debates

More information Dates, Location ...

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Little won both congressional districts.[110]

More information District, Little ...

See also

References

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