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2018 United States Senate election in West Virginia

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2018 United States Senate election in West Virginia
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The 2018 United States Senate election in West Virginia took place on November 6, 2018, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of West Virginia, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic Senator Joe Manchin won re-election to a second full term against Republican Patrick Morrisey, who at the time of the 2018 elections had been West Virginia's State Attorney General since 2013. This was one of ten Democratic-held Senate seats up for election in a state won by Donald Trump in the 2016 presidential election. Morrisey conceded on election night.

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Manchin was considered to be among the most vulnerable Democratic senators facing re-election in 2018 due to the state's deepening partisan lean and his declining popularity. He ultimately won a second full term, though by a much narrower margin of 3.33% compared to his 2012 landslide. Manchin outperformed the margins of defeat from both Hillary Clinton in 2016 and Joe Biden in 2020 by more than 40 percentage points.

As of 2025, this is the last time that a Democrat won a congressional or statewide election in West Virginia, as well as the only general election defeat of Morrisey's career. Morrisey continued to serve as West Virginia's State Attorney General until he took office as the state's Governor on January 13, 2025.

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Background

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West Virginia was once a Democratic stronghold at the state and federal level, but is now deeply red at the federal and state levels. In 2008, John McCain defeated Barack Obama by a margin of 13.1%. From 1959 to 2015, West Virginia was exclusively represented in the U.S. Senate by Democrats.

In the 2012 presidential election, Mitt Romney defeated Obama by 26.7% and swept every single county in the state. Despite this, Manchin was re-elected in his own landslide over perennial candidate John Raese, receiving more than 60% of the vote and carrying all but three counties. Manchin's 2012 re-election against Raese was a rematch of the 2010 special election where he was first elected to the U.S. Senate.

In 2016, Donald Trump won the state by a greater than 40-point margin over Hillary Clinton (68–26%), with Clinton's performance being the worst for either party in the state's history. Trump also won every county in the state.

Concurrent with Trump's landslide victory in West Virginia, Democratic businessman Jim Justice won the gubernatorial election with 49% of the vote but changed his party affiliation back to Republican within a year (Justice had previously been a Republican prior to running as a Democrat for governor). Democrats lost almost every statewide office in the state in 2016, with State Treasurer John Perdue being the only statewide Democrat re-elected.

Because of the heavy Republican lean of his state, Manchin was ranked by many outlets as one of the most vulnerable incumbents up for reelection. President Trump headlined three rallies in the state on behalf of Manchin's opponent Patrick Morrisey. Manchin's vote to confirm Judge Brett Kavanaugh in his highly contentious confirmation hearing, making him the only Democrat to do so, garnered national attention and backlash from members of his own party just weeks before the midterm elections.[1] Despite the challenges to his re-election, Manchin leaned into his close personal ties to the state and emphasized his moderate to conservative views.

Although Manchin was seen as vulnerable during the lead-up to the election, polling considered him to be a slight favorite for most of the general election cycle.

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Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Paula Jean Swearengin
State legislators
Individuals
Organizations

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...

Results

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Results by county:
Manchin
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
More information Party, Candidate ...
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Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Evan Jenkins
State officials
Organizations
  • Huntington Regional Chamber of Commerce[28]
  • West Virginia Chamber of Commerce[29]
Newspapers

Debates

More information Host network, Date ...

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...

Results

Thumb
Results by county:
Morrisey
  •   Morrisey—70–80%
  •   Morrisey—60–70%
  •   Morrisey—50–60%
  •   Morrisey—40–50%
  •   Morrisey—30–40%
  •   Morrisey—<30%
Jenkins
  •   Jenkins—30–40%
  •   Jenkins—40–50%
  •   Jenkins—50–60%
  •   Jenkins—60–70%
Blankenship
  •   Blankenship—<30%
  •   Blankenship—30–40%
  •   Blankenship—40–50%
More information Party, Candidate ...
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Libertarian Party

Candidates

Nominated

Constitution Party

Candidates

Denied ballot access

  • Don Blankenship, former chairman and CEO of Massey Energy. Observers noted that he would be ineligible to run due to West Virginia's sore-loser law which states that the loser of a partisan primary election cannot appear on the ballot as an independent or with another political party in the general election.[45] Blankenship was eligible to run as a write-in candidate.[46] Secretary of State Mac Warner denied ballot access to Blankenship's campaign on July 26, citing West Virginia's "sore loser" law. After a lawsuit, the Supreme Court of Appeals of West Virginia ordered Warner to deny Blankenship ballot access on August 29, 2018.[47]

Endorsements

Don Blankenship
Organizations
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General election

Summarize
Perspective

Candidates

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...

Endorsements

Joe Manchin (D)
U.S. senators
Labor unions
Organizations
Individuals
Newspapers
  • The Sunday News-Register[69]
Patrick Morrisey (R)
U.S. executive branch officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
U.S. governors
State senators
State delegates
Organizations
Individuals
Newspapers

Fundraising

More information Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2018, Candidate (party) ...

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Hypothetical polling

with Don Blankenship

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...

with generic Republican

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...

with Evan Jenkins

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...

with Alex Mooney

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...

with David McKinley

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...

with generic Democratic and Republican

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...

with Carte Goodwin

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...

Results

Thumb
Swing by county
Legend
  •   Democratic—+10-15%
  •   Republican—+<5%
  •   Republican—+5-10%
  •   Republican—+10-15%
  •   Republican—+15-20%
  •   Republican—+20-25%
  •   Republican—+25-30%
  •   Republican—+30-35%
  •   Republican—+35-40%
  •   Republican—+>40%
More information Party, Candidate ...

By congressional district

Manchin won all three congressional districts, all of which elected Republicans.[129]

More information District, Manchin ...

By county

All results are from the office of the Secretary of State of West Virginia.[130]

More information County, Candidate ...

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

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References

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