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2019 Louisiana gubernatorial election

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2019 Louisiana gubernatorial election
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The 2019 Louisiana gubernatorial election was held to elect the governor of Louisiana. Incumbent Democratic governor John Bel Edwards won re-election to a second term, defeating Republican businessman Eddie Rispone. Edwards became the first Democratic governor of Louisiana to win re-election to a second consecutive term in 44 years since Edwin Edwards (no relation) in 1975. It was the closest Louisiana gubernatorial election since 1979. This was the only Democratic-held governorship up for election in 2019 that Donald Trump won in the 2016 presidential election.

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Under Louisiana's jungle primary system, all candidates appear on the same ballot, regardless of party, and voters may vote for any candidate regardless of their party affiliation. Because no candidate received an absolute majority of the vote during the primary election on October 12, 2019, a runoff election was held on November 16, 2019, between the top two candidates in the primary, Edwards and Rispone.[1] Louisiana is the only state that has a jungle primary system (California and Washington have a similar top two primary system).

As of 2025, this remains the last time that a Democrat has won a statewide election in Louisiana.

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Background

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On Edwards’ Inauguration Day in 2016, State House Republicans, in a break with tradition, elected their own speaker, Representative Taylor Barras of New Iberia, over Edwards' choice, Representative Walt Leger of New Orleans. This move was said to be orchestrated by House Republican chairman Lance Harris, who was considered a potential gubernatorial 2019 candidate and was a frequent Edwards critic.[2] Edwards and Republican Legislative leaders repeatedly clashed over budget, tax and spending measures.

Attorney General Jeff Landry was perhaps Edwards' most prominent detractor, filing multiple lawsuits against the governor and frequently criticizing him in the media. The two disagreed the most on social policies, such as Landry's staunch opposition to Edwards' executive order providing protections for LGBT workers of state government and contractors.[3] Landry also assumed the leadership of David Vitter's Political Action Committee, the Louisiana Committee for a Republican Majority,[4] the organisation that was widely considered instrumental to Clay Higgins' upset Congressional victory over Scott Angelle in 2016.[5] Landry has closely aligned with President Donald Trump and attended Trump's 2017 State of the Union speech.[6]

Edwards also become a favorite target of U.S. representative Garret Graves, a Republican from Baton Rouge and former aide to Governor Bobby Jindal. Graves frequently criticized the governor during the state's response to the 2016 August floods in the state. The two notably sparred during a hearing of the House Committee on Oversight and Government Reform, of which Graves is a member. Edwards' aides called the exchange a "political ambush" while Graves accused the governor of lying.[7] Graves was also closely aligned with the Trump Administration and donated $300 to the 2017 Trump Inaugural fund.[8] Graves also accompanied Vice President Mike Pence during a visit to parts of the Baton Rouge area in May 2017.[9]

As the only Democratic governor in the Deep South, Edwards and his agenda also been the target of numerous attacks from numerous groups affiliated with the national Republican Party such as America Rising and Americans for Prosperity.[10] Edwards, declared himself to be unbothered by these groups, and went on to classify them as "a Washington, D.C., political action committee, trying to bring the never-ending campaign cycle to Louisiana."[10]

Aware of their gubernatorial ambitions, Edwards and his aides repeatedly spoofed both U.S. senator John Neely Kennedy and Landry during their traditional response skits at Baton Rouge's Gridiron Show.[11]

According to fundraising reports filed in 2016, Edwards had raised close to $3.3 million for his 2019 re-election effort.[12][13] By comparison, Landry had $544,000 on hand for a potential future campaign.[13] Graves and Kennedy had yet to form separate entities for statewide campaigns per Louisiana Law.

In the summer of 2017, Lieutenant Governor Billy Nungesser announced that he would not be a candidate for governor in 2019, and had decided to run for re-election. Nungesser said that he had disclosed his plans to run for re-election to then Governor-elect John Bel Edwards during his transition period. During the fall of 2017, U.S. representative Ralph Abraham was reported to be running polls and assembling a staff to enter the race.

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Democratic candidates

Advanced to the runoff

Defeated in the jungle primary

  • Oscar Dantzler, former police officer and businessman[16]

Disqualified

  • Vinny Mendoza, perennial candidate[17][18]

Republican candidates

Advanced to the runoff

  • Eddie Rispone, construction executive and former chair of the Louisiana Workforce Investment Council

Defeated in the jungle primary

Declined

Disqualified

  • Patrick Douget[18]
  • Manuel Russell Leach, contractor[18]

Independents

Defeated in jungle primary

  • Gary Landrieu, businessman and perennial candidate[33]

Declined

Jungle primary

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Polling

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Hypothetical polling

with John Kennedy

Endorsements

Ralph Abraham (R)

U.S. presidents

Politicians

Organizations

John Bel Edwards (D)

;U.S. Executive Branch officials

Politicians

Individuals

Organizations

Eddie Rispone (R)

U.S. presidents

Politicians

Individuals

Organizations

Jungle primary results

According to the Louisiana Secretary of State more than 384,000[95] early votes were cast, a significant increase from the 2015 gubernatorial election in which 234,000[96] early votes were cast.

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Runoff

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Debates

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Predictions

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Polling

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Hypothetical polling

with Ralph Abraham

with John Kennedy

with Jeff Landry

with Steve Scalise

with Generic Opponent

Results

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Parishes that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Despite losing the state, Rispone won five of six congressional districts.[124]

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See also

Notes

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Partisan clients

  1. Poll sponsored by Brian Trascher, chairman of the Donald Trump 2020 presidential campaign in Louisiana
  2. Poll sponsored by the Ralph Abraham campaign
  3. Poll conducted for undisclosed private client
  4. Poll sponsored by Education Reform Now Advocacy, the 501(c)(3) arm of Democrats for Education Reform
  5. Poll sponsored by the John Kennedy campaign
  6. Poll sponsored by the John Bel Edwards campaign
  7. Poll sponsored by Abraham's campaign

Additional candidates and polling key

  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. Dantzler (D) with 1%, Landrieu (I) with 1%, and Landry (R) with 1%
  3. Dantzler (D) with 3%, Landrieu (I) with 2%, and Landry (R) with 1%
  4. Landrieu (I) with 4%, Landry (R) with 3%, and Dantzler (D) with 1%
  5. Dantzler (D) with 2%, Landrieu (I), and Landry (R) with 1%
  6. Landrieu (I) with 4%, Landry (R) with 2%, and Dantzler (D) with <1%
  7. Landrieu (I) with 2%
  8. Dantzler (D) with 2% and Landrieu (I) with 1%
  9. Dantzler (D) with 2%, Landrieu (I), and Landry (R) with <1%
  10. Dantzler (D) with 2%, Landrieu (I) and Landry (R) with 1%
  11. Landrieu (I) with 2%, "Other candidates" with 1%, and Dantzler (D) with 0%
  12. Landrieu (I) with 4%, "Refused" with 1%
  13. Figures use the 'likely voters with early voters and leaners' metric
  14. "We should give someone new a chance" with 48% as opposed to "Edwards has done a good enough job as Governor to be re-elected"
  15. "Would consider voting for someone else" with 51% as opposed to "would vote to re-elect Edwards"; "unsure" with 14%
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References

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