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2019 Manitoba general election

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2019 Manitoba general election
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The 2019 Manitoba general election was held on September 10, 2019, to elect the 57 members to the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba.[1]

Quick Facts 57 seats of the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba 29 seats are needed for a majority, Turnout ...
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The incumbent Progressive Conservatives, led by Premier Brian Pallister, were re-elected to a second majority government with a loss of two seats. The NDP, led by Wab Kinew, gained six seats and retained their position as the official opposition. The Liberals, led by Dougald Lamont, won the remaining three seats.

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Background

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Date

Under Manitoba's Elections Act, a general election must be held no later than the first Tuesday of October in the fourth calendar year following the previous election.[2] As the previous election was held in 2016, the latest possible date for the election was October 6, 2020, or if that would have overlapped with a federal election period, the latest possible date would be April 20, 2021.[3]

However, incumbent Premier Brian Pallister announced instead in June 2019 that he would seek to hold the election over a year early, on September 10, 2019, in order to seek "a new mandate to keep moving Manitoba forward." Pallister visited Lieutenant Governor Janice Filmon on August 12 to officially drop the writ and begin the campaign period.[4]

It had been speculated that Pallister would call an early election in order to take advantage of a large lead in opinion polls, and to get the vote out of the way before new and potentially unpopular budget cuts took effect. A poll taken by the Winnipeg Free Press found that while most respondents disagreed with the early election and agreed that Pallister had moved up the date for partisan reasons, such sentiments were unlikely to imperil Pallister's re-election.[5]

Electoral boundaries

By law, Manitoba's electoral boundaries are reviewed every 10 years. The latest review was completed the end of 2018, meaning the 2019 elections were the first ones contested using the new boundaries.[6][7]

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Timeline

2016

2017

2018

2019

  • April 3: Progressive Conservative MLA for Kildonan, Nic Curry announces that he will not seek re-election.[12]
  • August 12: Premier Pallister visits the lieutenant governor and calls the election for September 10.[4]
  • September 10: The election is held.

Movement in seats held

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Historical results from 1990 onwards

Graph of Manitoba general election results by share of votes, 1990–2019; omitted are minor parties consistently registering less than 2% of the vote.
Graph of Manitoba general election results by seats won, 1990–2019; those of independent MNAs are omitted.
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Campaign

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Results

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Synopsis of results

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  1. "Results Summary - 42nd General Election" (PDF). electionsmanitoba.ca. Elections Manitoba. Retrieved February 1, 2023.
  2. sorted as per results summary
  3. including rejected and declined ballots
  4. minor political parties receiving less than 1% of the popular vote in 2019 are aggregated under "Other"; independent candidates are aggregated separately
  = open seat
  = turnout is above provincial average
  = incumbency arose from byelection gain
  = incumbent re-elected in same riding
  = incumbent changed allegiance
  = previously incumbent in another riding
  = other incumbent renominated

Summary analysis

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Seats changing hands

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Nine seats changed allegiance in 2019:

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Incumbents not running for reelection

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Candidates by riding

  • Note that names in bold type represent Cabinet members, while italics represent party leaders.

Northern Manitoba

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Westman/Parkland

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Central Manitoba

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Eastman

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Northwest Winnipeg

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Northeast Winnipeg

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West Winnipeg

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Central Winnipeg

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South Winnipeg

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Opinion polls

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Notes

  1. Party name changed from Manitoba Party in 2019.[14]

References

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Further reading

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