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2020 British Columbia general election
Canadian provincial election From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
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The 2020 British Columbia general election was held on October 24, 2020, to elect members of the Legislative Assembly to serve in the 42nd parliament of the Canadian province of British Columbia. The incumbent New Democratic Party of British Columbia (BC NDP) won a majority government, making John Horgan the first leader in the history of the BC NDP to win a second consecutive term as premier.[2] The incoming Legislature marked the first time the NDP commanded an outright majority government in BC since the 1996 election, as well as the first province-wide popular vote win for the party since 1991.
Horgan called a snap election on September 21, 2020, the first early election in the province since the 1986 election. Horgan argued the call for an election a year before it was due was necessary because he was governing with a minority of seats in the Legislative Assembly. His decision was criticized by both the NDP's confidence and supply partner, the British Columbia Green Party, and the province's Official Opposition, the British Columbia Liberal Party, as opportunistic.
Liberal leader Andrew Wilkinson resigned two days after the election but remained as leader until November 23.[3]
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Background
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This election took place under first-past-the-post rules, as proportional representation had been rejected with 61.3% voting against it in the 2018 referendum.[4]
Section 23 of British Columbia's Constitution Act provides that general elections occur on a fixed date of the fourth calendar year after the last election.[5] The fixed election date was previously set for the second Tuesday in May – tentatively making the next election date May 12, 2021, but the BC NDP passed legislation in 2017 amending the section of the constitution to change the fixed election date to the third Saturday in October.[6] Section 23 also indicates the fixed election date is subject to the lieutenant governor's prerogative to dissolve the Legislative Assembly as they see fit (in practice, on the advice of the premier or following a vote of non-confidence).[5][7]
This prerogative was exercised on September 21, 2020, when Premier John Horgan called a snap election, thus dissolving the 41st Parliament.[8] The writ of election was issued the same day, commencing a 32-day campaign. This was the first election in BC not to have been held on a set date in May since fixed-date elections had been introduced via amendments to the Constitution Act passed by the Liberal government under Gordon Campbell shortly after the Liberals came into power subsequent to the 2001 election. It was also the first time a BC government had gone to the polls before the expiration of its mandate since the Social Credit government under Bill Vander Zalm called an early election in 1986.
This election was the second Canadian provincial election held during the COVID-19 pandemic, after the September 2020 election in New Brunswick – also a snap election. Due to the pandemic, more than 720,000 people requested mail-in ballots. Elections BC expected that 35 to 40 percent of ballots would be sent by mail, compared to 1 percent historically. Advance voting took place between October 15 and 21, with more than 681,000 people voting ahead of the election date.[2][9][10][11]
Due to the significant increase in mail-in voting,[2][12] the full results of the election were not known until November 8; the results of the judicial recount held in one constituency, West Vancouver-Sea to Sky, were only known on November 17.[13]
The election occurred only three years and five months after the 2017 election and during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic in British Columbia. By the terms of the confidence and supply agreement that had been struck between the NDP and the Green Party, the NDP had been barred from calling a snap election and from holding an election before the fixed date. The premier defended his decision to call an early election, claiming that the province needed the government to have a strong mandate and stability to deal with the challenges of the pandemic for the coming years; the governing New Democrats did not have a majority of seats in the legislature, relying on confidence and supply from the Greens for a slim combined majority. An Ipsos poll conducted for Global News and radio station CKNW found that 46 percent of people disapproved of the snap election call, while 32 percent approved.[14] Horgan and the BC NDP had been enjoying popularity in the polls during the summer and throughout the pandemic.[15][16][17][18]
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Campaign
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On September 21, 2020, the BC NDP chose Nathan Cullen, a longtime party member and former member of Parliament for the federal NDP, to be the New Democratic candidate in the riding of Stikine, which is located in northwestern BC and was previously represented by Doug Donaldson. Cullen, a white man, was nominated after the NDP attempted, but failed, to find a person wanting to run who was a person from an "equity-seeking" group, such as a woman or Indigenous person; the party's policy required that a vacancy left by a male MLA not running for re-election must be filled by a person from these groups. Annita McPhee, an Indigenous woman of the Tahltan Nation who had served as president of the Tahltan Central Government, previously declared her intention to become the NDP candidate, but was not considered by the NDP. The NDP said that McPhee's application contained invalid signatures, and Cullen was nominated before the paperwork problem could be resolved. According to a party official, McPhee had indicated that she did not want to be associated with the NDP following the 2019 federal election, which was denied by McPhee.[19][20][21][22]
On September 28, BC Liberal leader Andrew Wilkinson promised a one-year tax holiday on the 7% provincial sales tax, at an estimated cost of $6.9 billion, and to thereafter set it to 3% for the following year, at an estimated cost of $3.9 billion, saying that it would stimulate the economy.[23][24]
On September 30, NDP leader John Horgan promised to improve conditions at long-term care homes, at a cost of $1.4 billion.[25]
The NDP filed a complaint to Elections BC against Liberal candidate Garry Thind, accusing him of violating the Elections Act by attempting to collect voters' information in order to provide them with a ballot.[26]
On October 4, the BC Liberals announced that they would pause the transition in Surrey from an RCMP force to a local police department, and that they would hold a referendum of whether the city's switch to a local police department should be reversed.[27]
On October 8, the NDP announced that they would commit to building, contingent on contributions from the federal government, the entire 16-kilometre (9.9 mi) SkyTrain Expo Line extension to Langley Centre by 2025.[28]
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Retiring incumbents
Liberals
New Democrats
- Carole James, Victoria-Beacon Hill, Deputy Premier and Minister of Finance[36]
- Shane Simpson, Vancouver-Hastings, Minister of Social Development and Poverty Reduction[37]
- Doug Donaldson, Stikine, Minister of Forests, Lands, Natural Resource Operations and Rural Development[38]
- Scott Fraser, Mid Island-Pacific Rim, Minister of Indigenous Relations and Reconciliation[38]
- Michelle Mungall, Nelson-Creston, Minister of Jobs, Economic Development and Competitiveness[39]
- Judy Darcy, New Westminster, Minister of Mental Health and Addictions[40]
- Claire Trevena, North Island, Minister of Transportation and Infrastructure[41]
Independent members
- Andrew Weaver, Oak Bay-Gordon Head, former leader of the Green Party[42]
- Darryl Plecas, Abbotsford South, Speaker of the Legislative Assembly[43]
Political parties
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Major parties
Liberal
The British Columbia Liberal Party, a centre-right party, was led by Andrew Wilkinson. In the previous election, it won 43 seats but was reduced to 41 at dissolution. In the 41st Parliament, the BC Liberals served as the Official Opposition after briefly forming a minority government under then-premier Christy Clark, which was defeated on a confidence vote held 2 months after the 2017 British Columbia general election. The party ran candidates in all 87 ridings.[44]
New Democratic
The British Columbia New Democratic Party (NDP), a social democratic centre-left party, was led by John Horgan. It had 41 seats in the outgoing Legislative Assembly and governed BC with a minority government. The party entered a confidence and supply agreement with the Greens following the previous election, allowing the NDP to form government despite being the party with the second-largest share of seats. It ran candidates in all 87 ridings.[44]
Green
The Green Party of British Columbia, a green centre-left, was led by Sonia Furstenau. It won 3 seats in the previous election but had been reduced to 2 seats by the time the 2020 election was called. The Green Party supported the minority NDP government by providing confidence and supply. It ran candidates in 74 out of the 87 ridings.[44]
Minor parties
Independents
Along with the parties above, 24 individuals ran as independent candidates across 22 ridings.[44]
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Debates
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Results
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Synopsis of results
- = Open seat
- = Turnout is above provincial average
- = Winning candidate was in previous Legislature
- = Incumbent had switched allegiance
- = Previously incumbent in another riding
- = Not incumbent; was previously elected to the Legislature
- = Incumbency arose from byelection gain
- = Incumbent ousted from party after nominations closed
- = Other incumbents renominated
- = Previously an MP in the House of Commons of Canada
- = Multiple candidates
Comparative analysis for ridings (2020 vs. 2017)
Detailed analysis
Significant results among independent and minor party candidates
Those candidates not belonging to a major party, receiving more than 1,000 votes in the election, are listed below:
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Results by riding
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The following tables present results by riding per Elections BC.[13]
- Names in bold are outgoing cabinet ministers, and names in italics are party leaders. The premier is in both.
- † denotes incumbent MLAs who are not seeking re-election.
- ‡ denotes incumbent MLAs who are seeking re-election in a different riding.
- A riding name in brackets below the name of the incumbent MLA indicates the name of the predecessor riding contested in the last election.
- Candidate names are given as they appeared on the ballot, and may include formal names and middle names that the candidate does not use in day-to-day political life. For example, Greg Kyllo appeared on the ballot as Gregory James Kyllo.
Northern British Columbia
Kootenays
Okanagan, Shuswap and Boundary
Thompson and Cariboo
Fraser Valley
Surrey
Richmond and Delta
Burnaby, New Westminster, and the Tri-Cities
Vancouver
North Shore
Vancouver Island and Sunshine Coast
Greater Victoria
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Seats changing hands
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11 incumbent MLAs lost their seats.
Open seats changing hands
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Student Vote results
Student votes are mock elections that run parallel to actual elections, in which students not of voting age participate. They are administered by Student Vote Canada. Student vote elections are for educational purposes and do not count towards the results. There were ties in two constituencies, Kelowna—Lake Country (BC Green and BC NDP) and Shuswap (BC Liberal and BC NDP), which were both counted twice.[124]
Opinion polls
Voter intention polling
Preferred premier polling
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Notes
- Green candidate Jeff Hammersmark ceased campaigning and endorsed independent candidate Jason Lum[54]
- Independent candidate Megan Knight originally sought the Liberal nomination, but was shut out when Trevor Halford was directly appointed by the Liberal central office.[55]
- Plecas was elected as a Liberal MLA, but was removed from the party after he was elected Speaker of the Legislative Assembly.
- Incumbent BC Liberal MLA Laurie Throness previously contested Chilliwack-Kent as the Liberal candidate, until his resignation from the party on October 15 to run as an independent candidate after comparing free contraception to eugenics. However, Throness is still considered by Elections BC to be the Liberal candidate.[87][88][89][90][91][92][93]
- Liberal MLA Tracy Redies held this seat before her resignation in 2020.
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References
Further reading
External links
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