2020 Tuscan regional election

For related races, see 2020 Italian regional elections.

The 2020 Tuscan regional election was the 7th regional election held in Tuscany, Italy, and took place on 20 and 21 September 2020. It was originally scheduled to take place on 31 May 2020, but it was delayed due to the coronavirus pandemic in Italy.^[2][3] The Democratic candidate, Eugenio Giani, defeated the League candidate, Susanna Ceccardi. Giani took office as President of Tuscany on 8 October 2020.

2020 Tuscan regional election

← 2015 20–21 September 2020 2025 →
All 41 seats in the Regional Council
Turnout	62.6% (14.3%)
Majority party Minority party   Leader Eugenio Giani Susanna Ceccardi Party Democratic Party Lega Alliance Centre-left Centre-right Seats won 25 14 Seat change 0 5 Popular vote 864,310 719,266 Percentage 48.6% 40.5% Swing 0.5% 10.1%[1]
President before election Enrico Rossi Democratic Party Elected President Eugenio Giani Democratic Party

Electoral system

Tuscany uses its own legislation of 2014 to elect its Regional Council. The councillors are elected in provincial constituencies by proportional representation using the D'Hondt method. The constituency of Florence is further divided into 4 sub-constituencies. Preferential voting is allowed: a maximum of two preferences can be expressed for candidates of the same party list and provided the two chosen candidates are of different gender.

In this system, parties are grouped in alliances supporting a candidate for the post of President of Tuscany. The candidate receiving at least 40% of the votes is elected to the post and his/her list (or the coalition) is awarded a majority of 23 seats in the Regional Council plus the seat of the President (24+1 seats with more than 45% of the vote). If no candidate gets more than 40% of the votes, a run-off is held fourteen days later, where the two top candidates from the first round run against each other. The winning candidate is then ensured a majority in the Regional Council.^[4]

Council apportionment

According to the official 2011 Italian census, the 40 Council seats which must be covered by proportional representation are so distributed between Tuscan provinces. The number of seats to be assigned in each province is the following:

AR	FI	GR	LI	LU	MS	PI	PT	PO	SI
4	11	2	4	4	2	4	3	3	3

The Province of Florence is further divided into smaller electoral colleges.

Parties and candidates

Political party or alliance		Constituent lists		Previous result		Candidate
				Votes (%)	Seats
	Centre-left coalition		Democratic Party (PD) (incl. DemoS)	45.9	24	Eugenio Giani
			Italia Viva – More Europe (IV – +E)	—	—
			Civic Ecologist Left (incl. Art.1)	—	—
			Proud Tuscany for Giani (incl. PSI, PRI, CD and IdV)	—	—
			Green Europe (EV)	—	—
			Svolta! (IiC – Volt – Tuscany in the Heart)	—	—
	Centre-right coalition		League (Lega)	16.0	4	Susanna Ceccardi
			Forza Italia (FI)	8.4	1
			Brothers of Italy (FdI)	3.8	1
			Civic Tuscany (incl. C! and FN[5])	—	—
	Five Star Movement (M5S)			15.0	4	Irene Galletti
	Tuscany to the Left (incl. SI, PRC, PaP, SA, èViva)			6.3	1	Tommaso Fattori
	Communist Party (PC)			—	—	Salvatore Catello
	Italian Communist Party (PCI)			—	—	Marco Barzanti
	3V Movement (M3V)			—	—	Tiziana Vigni

Opinion polls

Candidates

Date	Polling firm/ Client	Sample size	Giani	Ceccardi	Galletti	Fattori	Catello	Others	Undecided	Lead
4 Sep 2020	Lab2101	–	41.7	43.1	8.4	—	—	6.8	—	1.4
28 Aug–3 Sep 2020	Quorum	2,000	42.0	38.0	8.0	6.0	—	6.0	—	4.0
29 Aug–2 Sep 2020	SWG	1,100	44.0	42.0	8.5	3.0	—	2.5	—	2.0
28 Aug–2 Sep 2020	Demetra[a]	500	43.0	33.0	11.0	10.0	—	3.0	—	10.0
27–29 Aug 2020	EMG	1,000	44.0	41.5	8.0	—	—	5.5	—	2.5
27–28 Aug 2020	Scenari Politici–Winpoll	1,000	43.0	42.5	8.3	—	—	6.2	—	0.5
25 Aug 2020	Tecnè	2,000	43–47	39–43	5–9	—	—	5–9	—	0–8
24 Aug–2 Sep 2020	Noto	—	42–46	39–43	7–11	—	—	4–8	—	-1–7
30 Jun 2020	EMG	—	46.5	40.5	8.0	—	—	5.0	—	6.0
29–30 Jun 2020	Tecnè	1,000	46.0	40.5	8.0	—	—	5.5	17.6	5.5
28 Jun 2020	Demopolis	—	45.0	42.0	7.0	4.0	—	2.0	25.0	3.0
26 Jun 2020	Noto[a]	1,000	46.0	40.0	8.0	—	—	6.0	—	6.0
29–31 May 2020	Noto[a]	1,000	44.0	40.0	8.0	3.0	2.0	3.0	24.0	4.0
18–19 Feb 2020	EMG	1,000	50.0	40.0	5.5	—	3.0	1.5	—	10.0

Hypothetical candidates

Date	Polling firm/ Client	Sample size	Giani	Ceccardi	Other CDX	Galletti	Others	Undecided	Lead
19–23 Dec 2019	EMG	–	48.0	—	40.5[b]	8.5	3.0	—	7.5
			48.0	40.0	—	9.0	3.0	—	8.0
			48.0	—	39.5[c]	9.0	3.0	—	8.5
28 Nov–5 Dec 2019	SWG	1,000	44.0	44.0	—	7.0	5.0	17.0	Tie
			46.0	46.0	—	w. CSX	8.0	20.0	Tie

Parties

Date	Polling firm	Sample size	Centre-left				Centre-right				M5S	Others	Undecided	Lead
			PD	IV	LS	Other	Lega	FI	FdI	Other
29 Aug–2 Sep 2020	SWG	2,000	33.5	4.0	—	5.0	28.0	5.5	9.0	0.5	9.0	5.5	—	5.5
28 Aug–3 Sep 2020	Quorum	2,000	31.9	5.8	—	6.6	23.2	3.8	10.8	1.8	8.5	7.6	—	7.7
27–29 Aug 2020	EMG	1,000	31.0	7.5	—	5.5	24.5	5.0	10.0	2.0	8.0	5.5	—	6.5
27–28 Aug 2020	Scenari Politici–Winpoll	1,000	22.6	5.7	7.6	5.7	24.1	5.4	11.8	2.5	8.3	6.3	—	1.5
24–29 Jun 2020	EMG[a]	2,000	31.5	8.0	2.0	4.0	25.0	4.0	11.0	1.5	8.0	5.0	—	6.5
29–31 May 2020	Noto[a]	1,000	33.0	6.0	1.5	4.5	24.0	4.0	11.5	3.0	5.0	7.5	26.0	9.0
18–19 Feb 2020	EMG	1,000	32.0	10.0	6.0		27.0	3.0	11.0	–	6.0	5.0	—	5.0
29 Dec 2019	EMG	–	30.0	7.0	4.0	4.0	27.0	6.0	8.0	–	10.0	12.0	—	3.0
28 Nov–5 Dec 2019	SWG	1,000	29.0	5.0	4.5	5.5	34.0	3.0	5.0	2.5	8.0	3.5	18.0	5.0
12–18 Jul 2018	Ipsos	800	28.5	—	3.9	2.3	29.5	8.4	4.0	0.2	21.0	2.2	—	1.0

1. This poll was commissioned by a political party.
2. Antonfrancesco Vivarelli Colonna (Independent)
3. Giovanni Donzelli (FdI)

Results

20–21 September 2020 Tuscan regional election results

Candidates		Votes	%	Seats	Parties		Votes	%	Seats
	Eugenio Giani	864,310	48.62	1		Democratic Party	563,116	34.69	22
						Italia Viva – More Europe	72,649	4.48	2
						Civic Ecologist Left	48,410	2.98	–
						Proud Tuscany for Giani	47,778	2.94	–
						Green Europe	26,924	1.66	–
						Svolta!	5,246	0.32	–
					Total		764,123	47.08	24
	Susanna Ceccardi	719,266	40.46	2		League	353,514	21.78	7
						Brothers of Italy	219,165	13.50	4
						Forza Italia – UDC	69,456	4.28	1
						Civic Tuscany for Change	16,923	1.04	–
					Total		659,058	40.60	12
	Irene Galletti	113,796	6.40	1		Five Star Movement	113,836	7.01	1
	Tommaso Fattori	39,684	2.23	–		Tuscany to the Left	46,514	2.87	–
	Salvatore Catello	17,007	0.96	–		Communist Party	17,032	1.05	–
	Marco Barzanti	16,078	0.90	–		Italian Communist Party	15,617	0.96	–
	Tiziana Vigni	7,668	0.43	–		3V Movement	6,974	0.43	–
Total candidates		1,777,809	100.00	4	Total parties		1,623,154	100.00	37
Source: Tuscany Region – Electoral Services

Popular vote – Parties PD   34.69% League   21.78% FdI   13.50% M5S   7.01% IV   4.48% FI   4.28% SCE   2.98% PT   2.94% TaS   2.87% Others   5.47%

Popular vote – President Giani   48.62% Ceccardi   40.46% Galletti   6.40% Fattori   2.23% Others   2.29%

Regional Council – Seats summary Centre-left   60.97% Centre-right   34.15% M5S   4.88%

Results by province and capital city

Province Eugenio Giani Susanna Ceccardi Others Florence 283,573 57.42% 155,492 31.48% 54,861 11.12% Pisa 99,871 47.65% 86,800 41.42% 22,911 10.93% Lucca 73,329 39.73% 93,003 50.39% 18,242 9.88% Arezzo 72,810 44.41% 75,488 46.05% 15,634 9.53% Livorno 71,294 46.18% 58,773 38.07% 24.313 15.75% Pistoia 61,161 44.02% 63,703 45.85% 14,068 10.13% Siena 67,365 52.60% 47,861 37.37% 12,851 10.04% Prato 52,616 46.69% 48,514 43.05% 11,558 10.27% Grosseto 43,200 42.04% 49,047 47.74% 10,491 10.22% Massa-Carrara 39,091 43.92% 40,618 45.63% 9,304 10.45% Total 864,310 48.62% 719,266 40.46% 194,233 10.92%

City Eugenio Giani Susanna Ceccardi Others Florence 109,025 60.30% 53,696 29.70% 18,083 10.00% Prato 38,794 46.85% 35,538 42.92% 8,382 10.23% Livorno 35,547 48.36% 24,009 32.67% 13,942 18.97% Arezzo 20,595 42.02% 24,002 49.01% 4,397 8.97% Pisa 23,046 52.66% 16,085 36.76% 4,631 10.58% Pistoia 21,365 48.54% 18,214 41.38% 4,438 10.08% Lucca 17,721 42.73% 19,735 47.58% 4,020 9.69% Grosseto 16,171 42.39% 18,246 47.83% 3,728 9.44% Massa 13,598 43.98% 13,890 44.93% 3,428 12.09% Siena 14,007 51.40% 10,925 40.09% 2,321 8.51%

Turnout

Region	Time
	20 Sep			21 Sep
	12:00	19:00	23:00	15:00
Tuscany	14.60%	36.29%	45.89%	62.60%
Province	Time
	20 Sep			21 Sep
	12:00	19:00	23:00	15:00
Arezzo	13.63%	35.60%	45.50%	64.60%
Florence	16.60%	39.74%	49.96%	66.47%
Grosseto	14.41%	33.68%	41.87%	60.87%
Livorno	14.59%	32.87%	40.95%	57.33%
Lucca	12.39%	32.97%	41.34%	56.64%
Massa and Carrara	12.22%	30.98%	39.33%	54.91%
Pisa	15.27%	37.77%	48.65%	65.57%
Pistoia	13.90%	35.77%	45.75%	61.66%
Prato	15.61%	39.69%	49.79%	64.79%
Siena	13.98%	36.22%	46.53%	64.84%
Source: Tuscany Region – Turnout

See also

• 2020 Italian regional elections
• List of members of the Regional Council of Tuscany, 2020–2025