2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Utah

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Utah was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the state of Utah, one from each of the state's four congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Utah

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →
All 4 Utah seats to the United States House of Representatives
Majority party Minority party   Party Republican Democratic Last election 3 1 Seats won 4 0 Seat change 1 1 Popular vote 873,347 505,946 Percentage 60.98% 35.33% Swing 2.33% 0.21%
District results County results Republican   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   80–90%   >90% Democratic   40–50%   50–60%

Overview

Registered voters: 1,682,512. Turnout: 1,515,845 (90.09%)^[1]

Party		Candi- dates	Votes		Seats
			No.	%	No.	+/–
	Republican Party	4	873,347	60.98%	4	1
	Democratic Party	4	505,946	35.33%	0	1
	Libertarian Party	2	28,518	1.99%	0
	United Utah	2	15,077	1.05%	0
	Constitution Party	1	8,889	0.62%	0
Total		13	1,432,232	100.0%	4

Popular vote Republican   60.98% Democratic   35.33% Other   3.7%

House seats Republican   100%

By district

District	Republican		Democratic		Others		Total		Result
	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%
District 1	237,988	69.52%	104,194	30.43%	169	0.05%	342,351	100%	Republican Hold
District 2	208,997	59.0%	129,762	36.63%	15,465	4.37%	354,224	100%	Republican Hold
District 3	246,674	68.73%	96,067	26.77%	16,186	4.51%	358,927	100%	Republican Hold
District 4	179,688	47.70%	175,923	46.70%	21,119	5.6%	376,730	100%	Republican gain
Total	873,347	60.98%	505,946	35.33%	52,939	3.7%	1,432,232	100%

District 1

2020 Utah's 1st congressional district election

← 2018 2022 →

Nominee Blake Moore Darren Parry Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 237,988 104,194 Percentage 69.5% 30.4%

County results Moore:      60–70%      70–80%      80–90% Parry:      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election Rob Bishop Republican Elected U.S. Representative Blake Moore Republican

See also: Utah's 1st congressional district

The 1st district is located in northern Utah, including the cities of Ogden, Logan, Park City, Layton, Clearfield, and the northern half of the Great Salt Lake. The incumbent is Republican Rob Bishop, who was re-elected with 61.6% of the vote in 2018,^[2] and announced in August 2017 that this term would be his final term.^[3]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

• Tina Cannon, Morgan County councilwoman^[4]
• J.C. DeYoung^[5]
• Doug Durbano, businessman and lawyer^[6]
• Chadwick Fairbanks, property manager^[7]
• Kerry Gibson, Utah Commissioner of Agriculture and Food and former Weber County commissioner^[8]
• Catherine Brenchley Hammon^[9]
• Zach Hartman, real estate investment advisor^[5]
• Blake Moore, former U.S. foreign service officer^[10]
• Mark Shepherd, mayor of Clearfield^[11]
• Bob Stevenson, Davis County commissioner^[12]
• Howard Wallack, retired business executive^[7]
• Katie Witt, mayor of Kaysville and former Longmont city councilwoman^[13]

Declined

• Rob Bishop, incumbent U.S. representative^[3]
• Francis Gibson, majority leader of the Utah House of Representatives^[12]
• F. Ann Millner, state senator^[12]
• Mike Schultz, majority whip of the Utah House of Representatives^[12]
• Chris Stewart, incumbent U.S. representative (for the 2nd district)^[14]
• Stan Summers, Box Elder County commissioner^[15]
• Todd Weiler, state senator^[12]
• Logan Wilde, state representative^[16]
• Brad Wilson, speaker of the Utah House of Representatives^[12]

Endorsements

Katie Witt

Organizations

• Susan B. Anthony List^[17]

Convention results

Republican convention results[18]
Candidate	Round 1		Round 2		Round 3		Round 4		Round 5		Round 6		Round 7		Round 8		Round 9		Round 10		Round 11
	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%
Kerry Gibson	248	25.7%	248	25.7%	248	25.7%	252	26.2%	253	26.3%	260	27.0%	269	28.1%	292	30.7%	329	34.9%	404	43.4%	514	57.0%
Blake Moore	166	17.2%	166	17.2%	166	17.2%	166	17.2%	167	17.4%	176	18.3%	182	19.0%	200	21.0%	221	23.4%	270	29.0%	388	43.0%
Tina Cannon	136	14.1%	136	14.1%	137	14.2%	138	14.3%	140	14.6%	150	15.6%	160	16.7%	174	18.3%	215	22.8%	256	27.5%	Eliminated
Doug Durbano	130	13.5%	130	13.5%	131	13.6%	132	13.7%	139	14.4%	142	14.8%	143	14.9%	151	15.9%	179	19.0%	Eliminated
Howard Wallack	106	11.0%	106	11.0%	106	11.0%	107	11.1%	108	11.2%	117	12.2%	126	13.2%	135	14.2%	Eliminated
Bob Stevenson	61	6.3%	61	6.3%	61	6.3%	62	6.4%	62	6.4%	67	7.0%	77	8.0%	Eliminated
Mark Shepherd	45	4.7%	45	4.7%	45	4.7%	46	4.8%	47	4.9%	50	5.2%	Eliminated
Katie Witt	46	4.8%	46	4.8%	46	4.8%	46	4.8%	46	4.8%	Eliminated
Chadwick Fairbanks	14	1.5%	14	1.5%	14	1.5%	14	1.5%	Eliminated
Zach Hartman	10	1.0%	10	1.0%	10	1.0%	Eliminated
JC DeYoung	2	0.2%	2	0.2%	Eliminated
Catherine Hammon	0	0.0%	Eliminated
Inactive Ballots	0 ballots		0 ballots		0 ballots		1 ballots		2 ballots		2 ballots		7 ballots		12 ballots		20 ballots		34 ballots		62 ballots

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Tina Cannon	Douglas Durbano	Kerry Gibson	Catherine Hammon	Blake Moore	Mark Shepherd	Bob Stevenson	Katie Witt	Other	Undecided
Global Strategy Group[19][A]	June 18–20, 2020	834 (LV)	± 3.7%	–	–	15%	–	25%	–	23%	12%	–	25%
Dan Jones & Associates[20][A]	June 2–9, 2020	417 (LV)	± 5%	–	–	13%	–	16%	–	16%	7%	–	48%
Y2 Analytics[21]	May 16–18, 2020	127 (LV)	± 8.7%	–	–	20%	–	16%	–	38%	26%	–	–
Y2 Analytics[22]	March 21–30, 2020	103 (LV)	± 9.7%	8%	11%	7%	12%	6%	13%	25%	17%	> 1%[b]	–

Debate

2020 Utah's 1st congressional district republican primary debate

No.	Date	Host	Moderator	Link	Republican	Republican	Republican	Republican
Key:  P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
					Kerry Gibson	Blake Moore	Bob Stevenson	Katie Witt
1	Jun. 2, 2020	Utah Debate Commission	Rod Arquette	[23]	P	P	P	P

Primary results

Republican primary results^[24]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Blake Moore	39,260	31.0
	Republican	Bob Stevenson	36,288	28.6
	Republican	Kerry Gibson	29,991	23.6
	Republican	Katie Witt	21,317	16.8
Total votes			126,856	100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

• Jamie Cheek, college debate coach and rehabilitation counselor^[25]
• Darren Parry, chairman of the Northwestern Band of the Shoshone Nation^[26]

Convention results

Democratic convention results[27]
Candidate	Pct.
Darren Parry	55.6%
Jamie Cheek	44.4%

Polling

Polls with a sample size of <100 are marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Jamie Cheek	Darren Parry
Y2 Analytics[22]	March 21–30, 2020	29 (LV)	± 18.2%	42%	58%

Debate

2020 Utah's 1st congressional district democratic primary debate

No.	Date	Host	Moderator	Link	Democratic	Democratic
Key:  P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
					Jamie Cheek	Darren Parry
1	Jun. 1, 2020	Utah Debate Commission	Rod Arquette	[28]	P	P

Primary results

Democratic primary results^[24]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Darren Parry	11,667	50.9
	Democratic	Jamie Cheek	11,242	49.1
Total votes			22,909	100.0

General election

Debate

2020 Utah's 1st congressional district debate

No.	Date	Host	Moderator	Link	Republican	Democratic
Key:  P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
					Blake Moore	Darren Parry
1	Sep. 24, 2020	Utah Debate Commission	Rod Arquette	[29]	P	P

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[30]	Safe R	July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[31]	Safe R	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[32]	Safe R	July 2, 2020
Politico[33]	Safe R	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[34]	Safe R	June 3, 2020
RCP[35]	Safe R	June 9, 2020
Niskanen[36]	Safe R	June 7, 2020

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Blake Moore (R)	Darren Parry (D)	Other	Undecided
Lighthouse Research[37]	August 31 – September 12, 2020	500 (RV)	± 4.38%	49%	22%	1%[c]	28%

Hypothetical polling

with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[a] Margin of error Generic Republican Generic Democrat Other Undecided Y2 Analytics/UtahPolicy.com/KUTV 2[38] Mar 21–30, 2020 268 (LV) – 48% 24% 5%[d] 23% Y2 Analytics/UtahPolicy/KUTV 2 News[39] Jan 16–30, 2020 551 (LV) ± (4% – 4.2%) 47% 22% 12%[e] 20% Y2 Analytics/UtahPolicy/KUTV 2 News[40] Sep 25 – October 8, 2019 198 (LV) – 42% 21% 17%[f] 21% Y2 Analytics/UtahPolicy/KUTV 2 News[41] Jun 27 – July 17, 2019 554 (LV) – 45% 20% 14%[g] 22%

Results

Utah's 1st congressional district, 2020^[42]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Blake Moore	237,988	69.5
	Democratic	Darren Parry	104,194	30.4
	Write-in		169	0.1
Total votes			342,351	100.0
	Republican hold

District 2

2020 Utah's 2nd congressional district election

← 2018 2022 →

Nominee Chris Stewart Kael Weston Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 208,997 129,762 Percentage 59.0% 36.6%

County results Stewart:      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90% Weston:      60–70%

U.S. Representative before election Chris Stewart Republican Elected U.S. Representative Chris Stewart Republican

See also: Utah's 2nd congressional district

The 2nd district encompasses both Salt Lake City and the rural western and southern parts of the state. The incumbent is Republican Chris Stewart, who was re-elected with 56.1% of the vote in 2018.^[2]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

• Chris Stewart, incumbent U.S. representative^[14]

Eliminated at convention

• Mary Burkett, candidate for Utah House of Representatives in 2012 and for Utah's 2nd congressional district in 2018^[43]
• Ty Jensen, political podcaster and 2018 candidate for United States Senate^[44]
• Carson Jorgensen, farmer^[45]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Mark Burkett	Ty Jensen	Carson Jorgensen	Chris Stewart
Y2 Analytics[46]	March 21–30, 2020	175 (LV)	–	17%	6%	4%	73%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

• Kael Weston, college professor and former U.S. State Department official^[47][48]

Eliminated at convention

• Randy Hopkins, retired Utah Department of Workforce Services regional director and candidate for this district in 2018^[49]
• Larry Livingston, former IRS agent^[50]

Polling

Polls with a sample size of <100 are marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Randy Hopkins	Larry Livingston	Kael Weston
Y2 Analytics[51]	March 21–30, 2020	59 (LV)	–	41%	19%	40%

General election

Debate

2020 Utah's 2nd congressional district debate

No.	Date	Host	Moderator	Link	Republican	Democratic	Libertarian
Key:  P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
					Chris Stewart	Kael Weston	Rob Latham
1	Oct. 19, 2020	Utah Debate Commission	Pat Jones	[52]	P	P	P

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[30]	Safe R	July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[31]	Safe R	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[32]	Safe R	July 2, 2020
Politico[33]	Safe R	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[34]	Safe R	June 3, 2020
RCP[35]	Safe R	June 9, 2020
Niskanen[36]	Safe R	June 7, 2020

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Chris Stewart (R)	Kael Weston (D)	Rob Latham (L)	Other	Undecided
Lighthouse Research[37]	August 31 – September 12, 2020	500 (RV)	± 4.38%	48%	28%	7%	0%	17%

Hypothetical polling

with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[a] Margin of error Generic Republican Generic Democrat Other Undecided Y2 Analytics/UtahPolicy.com/KUTV 2[38] March 21–30, 2020 342 (LV) – 41% 33% 8%[h] 17% Y2 Analytics/UtahPolicy/KUTV 2 News[39] January 16–30, 2020 558 (LV) ± (4% – 4.2%) 38% 36% 11%[i] 15% Y2 Analytics[53] September 25 – October 8, 2019 267 (LV) – 45% 37% 7%[j] 11% Y2 Analytics[54] June 27 – July 17, 2019 689 (LV) – 37% 36% 12%[k] 15%

Results

Utah's 2nd congressional district, 2020^[42]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Chris Stewart (incumbent)	208,997	59.0
	Democratic	Kael Weston	129,762	36.6
	Libertarian	Rob Latham	15,465	4.4
Total votes			354,224	100.0
	Republican hold

District 3

2020 Utah's 3rd congressional district election

← 2018 2022 →

Nominee John Curtis Devin Thorpe Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 246,674 96,067 Percentage 68.8% 26.8%

County results Curtis:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90% Thorpe:      40–50%

U.S. Representative before election John Curtis Republican Elected U.S. Representative John Curtis Republican

See also: Utah's 3rd congressional district

The 3rd district includes rural southeastern Utah, stretches into the Provo-Orem metro area, and takes in the southeastern Salt Lake City suburbs of Holladay, Cottonwood Heights, Sandy, and Draper. The incumbent is Republican John Curtis, who was re-elected with 67.5% of the vote in 2018.^[2]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

• John Curtis, incumbent U.S. representative^[50]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Tim Alders	John Curtis
Y2 Analytics[46]	March 21–30, 2020	184 (LV)	–	22%	78%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

• Devin D. Thorpe, nonprofit founder^[55]

Eliminated at convention

• Jared Anderson^[56]
• Trey Robinson^[56]

Polling

Polls with a sample size of <100 are marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Jared Anderson	Tray Robinson	Devin Thorpe
Y2 Analytics[51]	March 21–30, 2020	37 (LV)	–	37%	21%	42%

Independents

Candidates

Withdrew

• Russel Fugal, former Utah Republican Party delegate^[57]

General election

Debate

2020 Utah's 3rd congressional district debate

No.	Date	Host	Moderator	Link	Republican	Democratic
Key:  P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
					John Curtis	Devin Thorpe
1	Oct. 15, 2020	Utah Debate Commission	David Magleby	[58]	P	P

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[30]	Safe R	July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[31]	Safe R	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[32]	Safe R	July 2, 2020
Politico[33]	Safe R	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[34]	Safe R	June 3, 2020
RCP[35]	Safe R	June 9, 2020
Niskanen[36]	Safe R	June 7, 2020

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	John Curtis (R)	Devin Thorpe (D)	Other	Undecided
Lighthouse Research[37]	August 31 – September 12, 2020	500 (RV)	± 4.38%	51%	20%	5%[l]	24%

Hypothetical polling

with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[a] Margin of error Generic Republican Generic Democrat Other Undecided Y2 Analytics[51] March 21–30, 2020 354 (LV) – 46% 29% 4%[m] 21% Y2 Analytics[59] January 16–30, 2020 570 (LV) ± (4% – 4.2%) 48% 23% 8%[n] 21% Y2 Analytics[53] September 25 – October 8, 2019 227 (LV) – 46% 22% 16%[o] 16% Y2 Analytics[54] June 27 – July 17, 2019 568 (LV) – 43% 21% 14%[p] 22%

Results

Utah's 3rd congressional district, 2020^[42]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	John Curtis (incumbent)	246,674	68.8
	Democratic	Devin Thorpe	96,067	26.8
	Constitution	Daniel Clyde Cummings	8,889	2.5
	United Utah	Thomas G. McNeill	7,040	2.0
	Write-in		257	0.1
Total votes			358,927	100.0
	Republican hold

District 4

2020 Utah's 4th congressional district election

← 2018 2022 →

Nominee Burgess Owens Ben McAdams Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 179,688 175,923 Percentage 47.7% 46.7%

County results Owens:      60–70%      70–80%      80–90% McAdams:      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election Ben McAdams Democratic Elected U.S. Representative Burgess Owens Republican

See also: Utah's 4th congressional district

The 4th district is based in southwest Salt Lake County, taking in parts of West Valley City and Salt Lake City, as well as South Salt Lake, Taylorsville, Murray, West Jordan, Midvale, South Jordan, Riverton, Herriman, and Bluffdale. The district also stretches south into eastern Utah County, western Juab County, and northern Sanpete County. The incumbent is Democrat Ben McAdams, who flipped the district and was elected with 50.1% of the vote in 2018.^[2] On November 17 the election was called for Burgess Owens, with a margin less than 1%. Owens won the election by overperforming in traditionally Democratic Salt Lake County and he ultimately defeated McAdams by 3,765 votes, a larger margin than McAdams won by in 2018.^[60] The election was one of the closest House races in the country in 2020, and was not officially called until thirteen days after Election Day.^[60]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

• Ben McAdams, incumbent U.S. Representative

Defeated at convention

• Daniel Beckstrand, dental office manager^[61]

Endorsements

Ben McAdams

Unions

• Utah AFL–CIO^[62]

Organizations

• End Citizens United^[63]
• Human Rights Campaign^[64]
• League of Conservation Voters Action Fund^[65]
• National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare^[66]

Polling

Polls with a sample size of <100 are marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Daniel Beckstrand	Ben McAdams	Undecided
Y2 Analytics[51]	March 21–30, 2020	98 (LV)	± 9.9%	3%	97%	–

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

• Kathleen Anderson, communications director for the Utah Republican Party^[67]
• Chris Biesinger, family nurse practitioner and Utah National Guardsman^[68]
• Trent Christensen, CEO of venture capitalist firm and former regional finance director for Mitt Romney's 2012 presidential campaign^[69]
• Kim Coleman, state representative^[50]
• Jay McFarland, radio personality^[70]
• Burgess Owens, former NFL player and CEO of Second Chance 4 Youth^[71]
• Cindy Thompson^[61]

Withdrawn

• Dan Hemmert, state senate majority whip^[72]

Declined

• Dan McCay, state senator (running for Lieutenant Governor of Utah)^[73]
• Aimee Winder Newton, Salt Lake County councilwoman (running for Governor of Utah)^[74]

Endorsements

Kim Coleman

State officials

• Justin Fawson, former state representative (2014–2018)^[75]
• David Lifferth, former state representative^[76]
• Karianne Lisonbee, state representative^[77]
• Jefferson Moss, state representative^[78]

Organizations

• NRA Political Victory Fund^[79][80]
• Susan B. Anthony List^[81]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Kathleen Anderson	Chris Biesinger	Trent Christensen	Kim Coleman	Jay McFarland	Burgess Owens	Cindy Thompson	Undecided
Y2 Analytics[82]	May 16–18, 2020	148 (LV)	± 8.1%	–	–	13%	23%	28%	36%	–	–
Hinckley Institute[83]	April 19–24, 2020	352 (LV)	± 5.2%	6%	3%	4%	4%	8%	6%	2%	67%
Y2 Analytics[51]	March 21–30, 2020	112 (LV)	± 9.3%	17%	6%	6%	17%	31%	22%	1%

Hypothetical polling
with Dan Hemmert, and Jefferson Moss Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[a] Margin of error Kathleen Anderson Kim Coleman Dan Hemmert Jay McFarland Jefferson Moss Other Undecided Remington Research Group (R)[84] October 5–6, 2019 – (LV)[q] – 5% 4% 2% 17% – 9%[r] 65% Echleon Insights (R)[85][B] July 17–21, 2019 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 2% 3% 1% 7% 2% – 85%

Convention results

US House of Representatives-District 4 [86]
Candidate	Round 1		Round 2		Round 3		Round 4		Round 5		Round 6
	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%
Kim Coleman	324	43.4%	324	43.4%	332	44.6%	348	46.7%	365	49.3%	402	54.5%
Burgess Owens	211	28.3%	212	28.4%	218	29.3%	237	31.8%	268	36.2%	335	45.5%
Jay 'JayMac' McFarland	75	10.1%	75	10.1%	79	10.6%	97	13.0%	107	14.5%	Eliminated
Kathleen Anderson	53	7.1%	54	7.2%	60	8.1%	63	8.5%	Eliminated
Trent Christensen	51	6.8%	51	6.8%	56	7.5%	Eliminated
James Christian Biesinger II	29	3.9%	30	4.0%	Eliminated
Cindy Thompson	3	0.4%	Eliminated
Inactive Ballots	0 ballots		0 ballots		1 ballots		1 ballots		6 ballots		9 ballots

Debate

2020 Utah's 4th congressional district republican primary debate

No.	Date	Host	Moderator	Link	Republican	Republican	Republican	Republican
Key:  P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
					Trent Christensen	Kim Coleman	Jay McFarland	Burgess Owens
1	Jun. 1, 2020	Utah Debate Commission	Jennifer Napier-Pearce	[87]	P	P	P	P

Primary results

Republican primary results^[24]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Burgess Owens	49,456	43.5
	Republican	Kim Coleman	27,575	24.3
	Republican	Jay McFarland	24,456	21.5
	Republican	Trent Christensen	12,165	10.7
Total votes			113,652	100.0

United Utah Party

Candidates

Declared

• Jonia Broderick, author^[88]

General election

Debate

2020 Utah's 4th congressional district debate

No.	Date	Host	Moderator	Link	Democratic	Republican
Key:  P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
					Ben McAdams	Burgess Owens
1	Oct. 12, 2020	Utah Debate Commission	Doug Wilks	[89]	P	P

Endorsements

Ben McAdams (D)

Individuals

• Evan McMullin, political activist, former CIA operations officer, and 2016 presidential candidate^[90]

Unions

• Utah AFL–CIO^[62]

Organizations

• End Citizens United^[63]
• Human Rights Campaign^[64]
• League of Conservation Voters Action Fund^[65]
• National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare^[66]

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[30]	Tossup	August 14, 2020
Inside Elections[31]	Tilt D	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[32]	Lean D	July 2, 2020
Politico[33]	Tossup	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[34]	Tossup	June 3, 2020
RCP[35]	Tossup	June 9, 2020
Niskanen[36]	Tossup	June 7, 2020

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Ben McAdams (D)	Burgess Owens (R)	Other	Undecided
RMG Research[91]	October 12–17, 2020	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	45%[s]	46%	4%[t]	5%
				47%[u]	45%	–	–
				43%[v]	48%	–	–
RMG Research[92]	September 7–12, 2020	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	45%	41%	3%[w]	11%
Lighthouse Research[37]	August 31 – September 12, 2020	500 (RV)	± 4.38%	47%	37%	2%[x]	14%
RMG Research[93]	July 27 – August 1, 2020	800 (RV)	± 3.5%	35%	35%	6% [y]	24%
Moore Information (R)[94][C]	July 8–11, 2020	400 (LV)	± 5.0%	34%	43%	5% [z]	11%

Hypothetical polling

With Jay McFarland Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[a] Margin of error Ben McAdams (D) Jay McFarland (R) Undecided Remington Research Group (R)[84] October 5–6, 2019 819 (LV) ± 3.4% 45% 40% 15% with Generic Republican Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[a] Margin of error Ben McAdams (D) Generic Republican Other Undecided Hinckley Institute[83] April 19–24, 2020 1000 (RV) ± 3.1% 36% 34% 9%[aa] 22% with Generic Democrat and Generic Republican Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[a] Margin of error Generic Democrat Generic Republican Other Undecided Y2 Analytics[51] March 21–30, 2020 307 (LV) – 38% 38% 5%[d] 18% Y2 Analytics[59] January 16–30, 2020 591 (LV) ± (4% – 4.2%) 32% 41% 12%[ab] 15% Y2 Analytics[53] September 25 – October 8, 2019 198 (LV) – 35% 37% 11%[ac] 17% Y2 Analytics[54] June 27 – July 17, 2019 647 (LV) – 36% 34% 9%[ad] 21%

Results

Utah's 4th congressional district, 2020^[42]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Burgess Owens	179,688	47.7
	Democratic	Ben McAdams (incumbent)	175,923	46.7
	Libertarian	John Molnar	13,053	3.5
	United Utah	Jonia Broderick	8,037	2.1
	Write-in		29	0.0
Total votes			376,730	100.0
	Republican gain from Democratic

Notes

1. Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear
2. JC DeYoung with 1%; Chadwick Fairbanks and Zach Hartman with < 1%
3. "Other" with 1%
4. "Someone else" with 4%; "other" with 1%
5. "Someone else" with 9%; "other" with 3%
6. "Third party candidate" with 15%; "other" with 2%
7. "Third party candidate" with 11%; "other" with 3%
8. "Someone else" with 7%; "other" with 1%
9. "Someone else" with 7%; "other" with 4%
10. "Third party candidate" with 5%; "other" with 2%
11. "Third party candidate" with 7%; "other" with 5%
12. McNeill (UUP) with 3%; Cummings (C) with 2%; "Other" with 0%
13. "Someone else" and "other" with 2%
14. "Someone else" with 5%; "other" with 3%
15. "Third party candidate" with 10%; "other" with 6%
16. "Third party candidate" with 10%; "other" with 4%
17. Not yet released
18. "Someone else" with 7%; Burgess Owens with 2%
19. Standard VI response
20. Molnar (L) with 3%; Broderick (UUP) with 1%
21. Results generated with high Democratic turnout model
22. Results generated with high Republican turnout model
23. Molnar (L) with 2%; Broderick (UUP) with 1%
24. Molnar (L) with 2%; Broderick (UUP) and "Other" with 0%
25. John Molnar (L) with 4%; Jonia Broderick (United Utah Party) with 2%
26. John Molnar (L) with 5%; Jonia Broderick (United Utah Party) with <0.5%
27. "Someone else" with 9%
28. "Someone else" with 7%; "other" with 5%
29. "Third party candidate" with 8%; "other" with 3%
30. "Third party candidate" with 6%; "other" with 3%

Partisan clients

1. Poll sponsored by Moore's campaign
2. Poll sponsored by Kathleen Anderson campaign.
3. This poll's sponsor is a PAC which supports exclusively Republican Congressional candidates