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2022 Georgia gubernatorial election

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2022 Georgia gubernatorial election
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The 2022 Georgia gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Georgia. Incumbent Republican Governor Brian Kemp won re-election to a second term, defeating Democratic nominee Stacey Abrams in a rematch. Abrams conceded on election night.[1] The primary occurred on May 24, 2022.[2] Kemp was sworn in for a second term on January 9, 2023.

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Kemp was endorsed by former vice president Mike Pence and former president George W. Bush. He faced a primary challenge from former U.S. Senator David Perdue, who was endorsed by former president Donald Trump after Kemp refused to overturn the results of the 2020 presidential election in Georgia. Trump ultimately gave Kemp a last-minute endorsement in the general election.[3]

Stacey Abrams, the former minority leader of the Georgia House of Representatives and founder of Fair Fight Action who was narrowly defeated by Kemp in the 2018 gubernatorial election, was once again the Democratic nominee for the governorship. This was Georgia's first gubernatorial rematch since 1950.[4]

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Republican primary

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Incumbent governor Brian Kemp faced criticism from former president Donald Trump for his refusal to overturn the results of the 2020 United States presidential election. Kemp was booed at the Georgia Republican Convention in June 2021,[5] and in December former senator David Perdue announced a primary challenge to Kemp and was promptly endorsed by Trump. Initial polling showed a competitive race, however, Kemp significantly outraised his opponent and signed conservative legislation such as permitless carry of firearms and a temporary suspension of the gas tax that shored up his position among voters, and on election day, he won by over 50 points, a margin far larger than predicted.[6][7][8]

Candidates

Nominee

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Former U.S. Senator David Perdue finished second in the primary.

Eliminated in primary

  • Catherine Davis, HR professional[11]
  • David Perdue, former U.S. senator from Georgia (2015–2021)[12][13][14][3]
  • Kandiss Taylor, conservative commentator, host of the Jesus, Guns, and Babies show, and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020[15]
  • Tom Williams, civil service retiree[16]

Withdrawn

Declined

Debates

More information No., Date ...

Endorsements

Vernon Jones (withdrew)

Executive branch officials

Local officials

Individuals

Brian Kemp

Executive branch officials

U.S. governors

State officials

Municipal officials

Organizations

David Perdue

Executive branch officials

Governors

U.S. representatives

State legislators

Kandiss Taylor

Organizations

Individuals

Fundraising

More information Campaign finance reports as of April 30, 2022, Candidate ...

Polling

Graphical summary

Aggregate polls

More information Source of poll aggregation, Dates administered ...
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Hypothetical polling

Runoff polling
Doug Collins vs. Brian Kemp

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Marjorie Taylor Greene vs. Brian Kemp

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Brian Kemp vs. David Perdue

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Brian Kemp vs. Herschel Walker

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Results

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Results by county:
  Kemp
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
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Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Declined

Endorsements

Stacey Abrams

U.S. senators

State officials

Labor unions

Organizations

Results

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Independent and third-party candidates

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The Libertarian nominee, Shane Hazel

Declared

General election

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Predictions

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Debates

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Endorsements

Brian Kemp (R)

Executive branch officials

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

U.S. governors

State officials

State officials

Municipal officials

Individuals

Organizations

Stacey Abrams (D)

Executive branch officials

U.S. representatives

U.S. governors

State officials

Labor unions

Individuals

Fundraising

More information Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2022, Candidate ...

Polling

Aggregate polls

More information Source of poll aggregation, Dates administered ...

Graphical summary

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Hypothetical polling

Vernon Jones vs. Stacey Abrams

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Doug Collins vs. Stacey Abrams

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David Perdue vs. Stacey Abrams

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Marjorie Taylor Greene vs. Stacey Abrams

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Herschel Walker vs. Stacey Abrams

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Results

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By county

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By congressional district

Kemp won nine of 14 congressional districts.[199]

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Analysis

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Libertarian Shane T. Hazel, the Libertarian nominee for U.S. Senate in 2020, also declared he would run.[88] This race was one of six Republican-held governorships up for election in 2022 in a state carried by Joe Biden in the 2020 presidential election. Kemp won his first term by a narrow 55,000-vote margin (1.4%) in 2018, which was Georgia's closest gubernatorial election since 1966. In 2022, however, pre-election forecasting showed a solid lead for Kemp throughout and he ultimately won re-election by nearly 300,000 votes (7.5%) - the largest raw vote victory for a Georgia governor since 2006. The race was seen as a potential benefit to Herschel Walker, who ran in the concurrent Senate race, as it was speculated Kemp's strong performance could help Walker avoid a runoff. He underperformed compared to Kemp, however, and narrowly lost to incumbent Democratic senator Raphael Warnock in the December 6 runoff election. This was the first time since 1998 that Georgia voted for different parties for Senate and governor.[200]

Voter demographics

Voter demographic data was collected by CNN. The voter survey is based on exit polls.[201]

More information Demographic subgroup, Kemp ...
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See also

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Notes

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  1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. Davis with 1%
  4. Davis with 1%
  5. Davis with 1%
  6. Davis with 1%, "Other" (volunteered response) with 1%
  7. Davis with 1%, Williams with 0%
  8. Davis and Williams with 1%
  9. Davis and Williams with 1%
  10. Davis with 1%, Williams with 0%
  11. Davis with 1%
  12. Davis with 1%
  13. Davis with 1%, Williams with 0%
  14. Davis with 5% and Williams with 1%
  15. Davis with 1% and Williams with 0%
  16. "Other" with 2%, Davis with 1%
  17. Garcia with 1%
  18. Davis with 1%
  19. Garcia with 1%
  20. Garcia with <1%
  21. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  22. Hazel (L) with 2%
  23. Hazel (L) with 1%
  24. "Some other candidate" with 1%
  25. Hazel (L) with 2%
  26. Hazel (L) with 2%
  27. Hazel (L) with 1%; "All others" with 2%
  28. Hazel (L) with 1%
  29. Hazel (L) with 1%
  30. Hazel (L) with 1%
  31. Hazel (L) with 3%
  32. "Another party's candidate" with <1%
  33. Hazel (L) with 1%
  34. Hazel (L) with 2%
  35. Hazel (L) with 1%; "Someone else" with 1%
  36. Hazel (L) with 1%; "Someone else" with 1%
  37. Hazel (L) with 4%
  38. "Other" with 2%; "Wouldn't vote" with 1%
  39. Hazel (L) with 1%
  40. Hazel (L) with 1%
  41. Hazel (L) with 2%
  42. Hazel (L) with 3%
  43. "Some other candidate" with 2%
  44. Hazel (L) with 2%
  45. Hazel (L) with 1%
  46. Hazel (L) with 1%; "Other" with 0%
  47. "Someone else" with 2%
  48. "Someone else" with 1%
  49. Hazel (L) with 2%
  50. "Refused" with 1%
  51. Hazel (L) with 1%; "Someone else" with <1%
  52. Hazel (L) with 2%; "Other" with <1%
  53. "Other candidate" with 3%
  54. Hazel (L) with 2%
  55. "Other" with 2%; "Wouldn't vote" with 2%
  56. Hazel (L) with 3%
  57. "Someone else" with 2%
  58. Hazel (L) with 2%
  59. Hazel (L) with 2%
  60. Hazel with 3%
  61. Hazel and "Other" with 1%
  62. Hazel with 2%; "Other" with 0%
  63. Hazel with 3%, "Other" with 2%
  64. Bartell and Hazel with 1%

Partisan clients

  1. This poll was sponsored by the Georgia Leadership Coalition.
  2. This poll was sponsored by Hardworking Georgians, which supports Kemp.
  3. This poll was sponsored by Kemp's campaign.
  4. This poll was sponsored by Save America PAC.
  5. This poll was sponsored by Perdue's campaign.
  6. This poll was sponsored by Progress Georgia, an organization affiliated with the Georgia Democratic Party.
  7. This poll was sponsored by The Daily Wire.
  8. This poll was sponsored by Center Street PAC, which opposes Kemp.
  9. This poll was sponsored by Abrams's campaign.
  10. This poll was sponsored by Charlie Bailey's campaign for lieutenant governor.
  11. This poll was sponsored by the Environmental Voter Project.
  12. This poll was sponsored by Future Majority and America’s Future Majority Fund.
  13. Poll sponsored by Walker's campaign for U.S. Senate
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References

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