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2022 Oregon gubernatorial election

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2022 Oregon gubernatorial election
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The 2022 Oregon gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Oregon. Incumbent Kate Brown took office when fellow Democrat John Kitzhaber resigned on February 18, 2015. She won the subsequent 2016 special election[1] and a full term in 2018.[2] Due to term limits, she was unable to run again in 2022.[3]

Quick Facts Turnout, Nominee ...

The Oregonian anticipated the election to have "the first competitive Democratic primary in more than a decade and potentially the closest such race since 2002."[4] Willamette Week anticipated a "wide open field of Democrats", citing the lack of an incumbent.[5] Almost 20 Republican Party candidates ran for the office, including two previous nominees for governor in 1998 and 2016,[6][7] as well as 15 Democrats and some non-affiliates/third-party members.[8] This was the state's first gubernatorial election since 2002 in which there was no current or former governor on the ballot.

In the May 17 primary elections, former Oregon House Speaker Tina Kotek was declared the winner of the Democratic primary half an hour after the ballot deadline.[9] The next day, former House Minority Leader Christine Drazan was determined to have won the Republican primary.[10] Notably, the general election featured three prominent female candidates, including former state senator Betsy Johnson, who was a moderate Democrat, running as an independent.

Oregon was considered a possible Republican pickup, as Kate Brown had the lowest approval rating of any governor in the United States at the time and Johnson could have siphoned votes from Kotek.[11][12][13] Nonetheless, Kotek narrowly won the election, becoming Oregon's 7th consecutive Democratic governor. Notably, all of Oregon's county results in this election matched the county results of 2016 and 2018 for this Governor election.[14] She became one of the first lesbian governors in the United States, along with Maura Healey, who was elected Governor of Massachusetts the same day.[15]

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Democratic primary

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Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • David Beem, former member of the Oregon Disabilities Commission[17]
  • Julian Bell, critical care and pulmonary medicine specialist and candidate for governor in 2016[18]
  • Wilson Bright, retired textile company operator[19]
  • George Carrillo, program manager at the Oregon Health Authority and Marine Corps veteran[20]
  • Michael Cross, software designer, commercial driver, and Republican nominee for Oregon attorney general in 2020[21]
  • Ifeanyichukwu Diru, farmer and candidate for governor in 2014[22]
  • Peter Hall, Haines city councilor and member of the Board of Directors of the League of Oregon Cities[23]
  • Keisha Merchant, artist and creative designer[24]
  • Tobias Read, Oregon state treasurer (endorsed Kotek in general election)[25][26]
  • Patrick Starnes, former Independent Party of Oregon candidate for governor (2018)[27]
  • David Stauffer, environmental inventor and perennial candidate[28]
  • John Sweeney, owner of Canary Castle Gallery[29]
  • Michael Trimble, cyclist and disability advocate[30][31]
  • Genevieve Wilson, independent contractor[32]

Disqualified

Withdrew

Declined

Debates

More information No., Date ...

Endorsements

Tobias Read

State officials

Patrick Starnes

Political parties

Nicholas Kristof (disqualified)

Labor unions

Individuals

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...

Results

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Results by county
  Kotek
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Read
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
More information Party, Candidate ...
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Republican primary

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Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

Declined

Debates

More information No., Date ...

Endorsements

Bridget Barton
Organizations

Individuals

Christine Drazan

Newspapers

Organizations

Jessica Gomez

State officials

Newspapers

Bud Pierce
Bob Tiernan
Organizations

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...

Results

Thumb
Results by county
  Drazan
  •   10–20%
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  Tiernan
  •   10–20%
  •   20–30%
  Pierce
  •   20–30%
  McQuisten
  •   10–20%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
More information Party, Candidate ...
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Independents and other parties

Candidates

Candidates for general election

Withdrew

Failed to qualify for general election

In order to be listed as candidates on the general election ballot, non-affiliated candidates for governor needed to collect 23,744 signatures from Oregon voters (1% of votes cast for president in the 2020 election).[131]

  • Tim Harrold, security expert (non-affiliated)[132]
  • Dustin Watkins, dishwasher (non-affiliated)[133]

Not nominated

General election

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Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...

Debates

More information No., Date ...

Post-primary endorsements

Tina Kotek (D)

U.S. executive branch officials

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

State officials

State legislators

Native American tribes

Labor unions

Political parties

Newspapers

Organizations

Individuals

Musicians

Christine Drazan (R)

U.S. representatives

State officials

State legislators

Local officials

Organizations

Individuals

Betsy Johnson (I)

U.S. executive branch officials

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

State officials

State legislators

Labor unions

  • Oregon Machinists Council[196]

Newspapers

Organizations

  • Crime Victims United of Oregon[185]
  • Eugene Police Employees’ Association[185]
  • Fraternal Order of Police Oregon Lodge[185]
  • Oregon Chiefs of Police Association (co-endorsed with Drazan)[185]
  • Oregon Coalition of Police & Sheriffs (co-endorsed with Drazan)[185]
  • Oregon State Sheriffs' Association (co-endorsed with Drazan)[185]
  • Tigard Chamber of Commerce[200]

Individuals

Polling

Aggregate polls

More information Source of poll aggregation, Dates administered ...

Graphical summary

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Hypothetical polling

Tina Kotek vs. Christine Drazan

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...

Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican vs. Betsy Johnson

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...

Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican

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Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican vs. generic independent

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...

Results

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Thumb
More information Party, Candidate ...

By county

More information County, Tina Kotek Democratic ...

Note: In Gilliam County, where Kotek placed behind Johnson, the margin of difference is the Drazan vote minus the Johnson vote.

By congressional district

Kotek won three of six congressional districts, with the remaining three going to Drazan, including one that elected a Democrat.[233]

More information District, Kotek ...
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See also

Notes

  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. Boice, Hess, and Merritt with 1%; Christensen and McCloud with <1%
  3. Merritt with 2%; Richardson and Romero with 1%; Hess with <1%
  4. Other with 12%, Heard with 3%
  5. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  6. Noble with 1%; Smith and Romero with 0%
  7. Smith (C) with 1%; Noble (L); "Someone else" with <1%
  8. Smith (C) with 1%; Noble (L) with <1%; "Someone else" with 3%
  9. Noble with 1%; Smith with <1%
  10. Smith (C) with <1%
  11. "Someone else" with 2%
  12. Noble (L) with 3%; Smith (C) with 1%

Partisan clients

  1. Poll sponsored by Read's campaign
  2. Poll sponsored by John von Schlegell while considering a Republican primary run for governor
  3. Poll sponsored by Kotek's campaign
  4. Poll sponsored by Associated General Contractors Oregon-Columbia Chapter, which donated $100,000 to both Drazan and Johnson[223]
  5. Poll sponsored by the Oregon State Senate Republican Caucus, which supported Drazan
  6. Poll sponsored by Johnson's campaign (GS Strategy Group typically works with Republican clients, not to be confused with Democratic pollster Global Strategy Group)
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References

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