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2023 Chicago mayoral election

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2023 Chicago mayoral election
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The 2023 Chicago mayoral election was held on February 28, 2023, to elect the mayor of Chicago, Illinois. With no candidate receiving a majority of votes in the initial round of the election, a runoff election was held on April 4. This two-round election took place alongside other 2023 Chicago elections, including races for City Council, city clerk, city treasurer, and police district councils. The election was officially nonpartisan, with winner Brandon Johnson being elected to a four-year term which began on May 15.

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Incumbent Lori Lightfoot ran for a second term in office, but placed third in the first round. Former CEO of Chicago Public Schools Paul Vallas and Cook County Commissioner Brandon Johnson advanced to a runoff. Other candidates eliminated in the first round included U.S. Representative Chuy Garcia and businessman Willie Wilson. Johnson defeated Vallas in the runoff, in what was considered an upset.[2][3][4][5][6] This was the first Chicago mayoral election since adopting nonpartisan two-round system elections in which the candidate who won the most votes in the first round did not win the runoff.

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Candidates

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Advanced to the runoff

More information The following candidates advanced to the runoff election held on April 4, Candidate ...

Eliminated in the first round

More information The following candidates were eliminated in the first round and did not advance to the runoff election, Candidate ...
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CPD officer Frederick Collins was one of two candidates removed from the ballot for having insufficient signatures.

Disqualified

Withdrew

Declined

The following speculated potential candidates did not run:

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First round

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First round campaign

Lightfoot's administration faced criticism due to rising crime rates in Chicago and accusations of covering up police misconduct. During her term, she clashed with members of the Chicago City Council, the Chicago Teachers Union, and Illinois governor J. B. Pritzker's administration. The New York Times remarked that she had an "uncanny ability to make political enemies." However, Lightfoot received praise for her efforts to build affordable housing, repair dilapidated areas of the city, and raise the minimum wage.[65]

A wide field of nine challengers qualified for the ballot.[66] Polling of the race was largely inconsistent but indicated that Lightfoot was in danger of losing re-election and that the candidates with the best chance of making a runoff were Lightfoot, U.S. Representative Chuy García, Cook County commissioner Brandon Johnson, former Chicago Public Schools CEO Paul Vallas, and businessman Willie Wilson. Polling also showed that Garcia enjoyed heavy support from Latino voters, while a plurality of white voters backed Vallas and a plurality of black voters backed Lightfoot. Vallas and Wilson were considered more moderate than Lightfoot, with García and Johnson being more progressive.[67] However, many organizations in the coalition of labor unions and progressive groups that supported García in his 2015 mayoral campaign instead backed Johnson in 2023.[68]

Lightfoot faced controversy when she emailed public school teachers offering school credit for students who interned on her campaign[69] and when she told South Side residents to either vote for her or not vote at all,[70] while Vallas faced accusations that he lived outside the city.[71] Lightfoot ran ads tying García to Sam Bankman-Fried and Michael Madigan and accusing Johnson of wanting to reduce police budgets.[72][73] She and García also ran ads accusing Vallas of being an anti-abortion Democrat in name only.[74] García also questioned whether Johnson could be objective as mayor given his close relationship with the Chicago Teachers Union, while Johnson in turn accused García of "abandoning the progressive movement" by adopting a more moderate policy platform in his 2023 campaign.[68][75]

Several days before the election, Fran Spielman of the Chicago Sun-Times opined that polls demonstrated Paul Vallas to be the top front-runner, being likely to place either first or second in the initial round of voting and advance to a runoff, with Garcia, Johnson, and Lightfoot in contention for the second runoff spot.[76]

First round polling

More information Graph of select polls ...
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More information Pollster, Pollster'sratingfrom 538 ...

Note: FiveThirtyEight rates pollsters with letter grades ranging from A+ to F, with A+ being the highest rating and F being the lowest (see more)

Aggregates of first round polls

More information Aggregator, Kam Buckner ...

First round endorsements

Kam Buckner

State representatives

Editorial boards

Chuy García

State elected officials

U.S. Representatives

State senators

State representatives

County officials

Chicago aldermen

Individuals

Labor unions

Organizations

Ja'Mal Green

State legislators

Individuals

Brandon Johnson

U.S. Representatives

State senators

State representatives

Cook County commissioners

Chicago aldermen

Individuals

Labor unions

Organizations

Sophia King

Chicago aldermen

Individuals

Lori Lightfoot

U.S. Senators

State elected officials

U.S. Representatives

State senators

State representatives

County officials

Chicago aldermen

Other local officials

Individuals

Labor unions

Editorial boards/publishers

Organizations

Paul Vallas

Chicago aldermen

Editorial boards

Labor unions

Willie Wilson

Local officials

  • Raymond Lopez, Chicago alderman from the 15th ward since 2015 and former 2023 mayoral candidate[43]

Organizations

Declined to endorse

State elected officials

Chicago aldermen

Editorial boards

Organizations

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Endorsements by incumbent members of the U.S. House of Representatives from Illinois:
     Endorsed Chuy Garcia (2)

     Endorsed Brandon Johnson (2)

     Endorsed Lori Lightfoot (2)
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Endorsements by incumbent aldermen:

     Endorsed Chuy Garcia (5)
     Endorsed Brandon Johnson (8)
     Endorsed Sophia King (1)
     Endorsed Lori Lightfoot (9)
     Endorsed Paul Vallas (4)
     Endorsed Willie Wilson (1)
     Incumbent alderman was a candidate (2)

Note: Map depicts wards as redrawn ahead of the 2023 election.

First round results

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Turnout map of the first round by precinct

The Chicago Board of Elections claimed that early voting turnout in its 2023 municipal election was higher than early voting turnout in any previous Chicago municipal election.[204] Vallas and Johnson advanced to the April runoff.

More information Candidate, Votes ...
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Runoff

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Runoff polling

More information Graph of select polls ...
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More information Pollster, Pollster'sratingfrom 538 ...

Note: FiveThirtyEight rates pollsters with letter grades ranging from A+ to F, with A+ being the highest rating and F being the lowest (see more)

Aggregates of runoff polls

More information Aggregator, Brandon Johnson ...

Hypothetical runoff scenario polls

Lori Lightfoot vs. Anthony Beale
More information Pollster, Pollster'sratingfrom 538 ...
Lori Lightfoot vs. John Catanzara
More information Pollster, Pollster'sratingfrom 538 ...
Lori Lightfoot vs. Arne Duncan
More information Pollster, Pollster'sratingfrom 538 ...
Lori Lightfoot vs. Chuy García
More information Graph of all polls ...
More information Pollster, Pollster'sratingfrom 538 ...
Lori Lightfoot vs. Brandon Johnson
More information Pollster, Pollster'sratingfrom 538 ...
Lori Lightfoot vs. Mike Quigley
More information Pollster, Pollster'sratingfrom 538 ...
Lori Lightfoot vs. Pat Quinn
More information Pollster, Pollster'sratingfrom 538 ...
Lori Lightfoot vs. Paul Vallas
More information Graph of all polls ...
More information Pollster, Pollster'sratingfrom 538 ...
Lori Lightfoot vs. Willie Wilson
More information Pollster, Pollster'sratingfrom 538 ...
Chuy García vs. Brandon Johnson
More information Pollster, Pollster'sratingfrom 538 ...
Chuy García vs. Paul Vallas
More information Graph of all polls ...
More information Pollster, Pollster'sratingfrom 538 ...
Chuy García vs. Willie Wilson
More information Pollster, Pollster'sratingfrom 538 ...
Brandon Johnson vs. Willie Wilson
More information Pollster, Pollster'sratingfrom 538 ...
Paul Vallas vs. Willie Wilson
More information Pollster, Pollster'sratingfrom 538 ...

Runoff endorsements

Endorsements in bold were made after the first round.

Brandon Johnson

U.S. Senators

U.S. Representatives

State elected officials

State appointed officials

State senators

State representatives

Cook County commissioners

Other county officials

Chicago aldermen

Other local officials

Individuals

Labor unions

Organizations

Paul Vallas

U.S. Cabinet officials

U.S. Senators

U.S. Representatives

State elected officials

State appointed officials

State senators

State representatives

County officials

Chicago aldermen

Individuals

Editorial boards

Labor unions

Organizations

Declined to endorse

Federal officials

State elected officials

Chicago aldermen

Individuals

Editorial boards

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Endorsements by incumbent members of the U.S. House of Representatives from Illinois:
     Endorsed Brandon Johnson (5)
     Endorsed Paul Vallas (0)
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Endorsements by incumbent aldermen:

     Endorsed Brandon Johnson (14)
     Endorsed Paul Vallas (22)

Note: Map depicts wards as redrawn ahead of the 2023 election.
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Endorsements by Democratic Party ward organizations:

     Endorsed Brandon Johnson (4)
     Endorsed Paul Vallas (1)

Note: Map depicts wards as redrawn ahead of the 2023 election.

Runoff results

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Turnout map of the runoff by precinct
More information Candidate, Votes ...
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See also

Notes

  1. Archived November 28, 2022, at the Wayback Machine
  2. Archived January 17, 2019, at the Wayback Machine
  3. Archived November 28, 2022, at the Wayback Machine
  4. Formed an exploratory committee, but did not run.
  5. Collected signatures to appear on the ballot, but did not formally run
  6. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  7. Impact Research was formerly known as "ALG Research", under which name FiveThirtyEight lists them as having a grade of B/C
  8. No other candidate received more than 10% of the vote, and no undecided number was given.
  9. Most, though not all, respondents were likely voters
  10. International Union of Operating Engineers Local 150 had already endorsed García
  11. The remaining 29% was split among other unspecified candidates, including Raymond Lopez and Pat Quinn, with none receiving more than 10%
  12. Tom Tunney 4%
  13. Nuestro PAC was attempting to persuade Chuy García to run for mayor
  14. Pat Quinn 6%; Kam Buckner, Ja'Mal Green, Brandon Johnson, Sophia King, Raymond Lopez, and Roderick Sawyer all received "between 0% and 4%," with an unknown amount undecided.
  15. Arne Duncan with 9%; Cantanzara with 8%
  16. An additional 1% support another candidate
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References

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