2023 Madrilenian regional election

A regional election was held in the Community of Madrid on Sunday, 28 May 2023, to elect the 13th Assembly of the autonomous community. All 135 seats in the Assembly were up for election. Because regional elections in Madrid were mandated for the fourth Sunday of May every four years, the 2021 snap election did not alter the term of the four-year legislature starting in 2019. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in eleven other autonomous communities and local elections throughout Spain.

2023 Madrilenian regional election

← 2021 28 May 2023 Next →
All 135 seats in the Assembly of Madrid 68 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered	5,211,710 1.9%
Turnout	3,413,819 (65.5%) 6.2 pp
First party Second party Third party   Leader Isabel Díaz Ayuso Mónica García Juan Lobato Party PP MM–VQ PSOE Leader since 13 January 2019 10 July 2020 23 October 2021 Last election 65 seats, 44.8% 24 seats, 17.0% 24 seats, 16.8% Seats won 70 27 27 Seat change 5 3 3 Popular vote 1,599,186 620,631 614,296 Percentage 47.3% 18.4% 18.2% Swing 2.5 pp 1.4 pp 1.4 pp   Fourth party Fifth party   Leader Rocío Monasterio Alejandra Jacinto Party Vox Podemos–IU–AV Leader since 18 April 2019 14 December 2022 Last election 13 seats, 9.1% 10 seats, 7.2% Seats won 11 0 Seat change 2 10 Popular vote 248,379 161,032 Percentage 7.3% 4.8% Swing 1.8 pp 2.4 pp
President before election Isabel Díaz Ayuso PP Elected President Isabel Díaz Ayuso PP

Overview

Electoral system

The Assembly of Madrid was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Madrid, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Madrilenian Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.^[1] Voting for the Assembly was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in the Community of Madrid and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Amendments to the electoral law in 2022 abolished the "begged" or expat vote system (Spanish: Voto rogado), under which Spaniards abroad were required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote.^[2] The expat vote system was attributed responsibility for a major decrease in the turnout of Spaniards abroad during the years it had been in force.^[3]

All members of the Assembly of Madrid were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of five percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied regionally. The Assembly was entitled to one member per each 50,000 inhabitants or fraction greater than 25,000.^[1][4]

Election date

The term of the Assembly of Madrid expired four years after the date of its previous election, with elections to the Assembly being fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The previous ordinary election was held on 26 May 2019, setting the election date for the Assembly on Sunday, 28 May 2023.^[1][4][5]

The president had the prerogative to dissolve the Assembly of Madrid and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process, no nationwide election was due and some time requirements were met: namely, that dissolution did not occur either during the first legislative session or within the legislature's last year ahead of its scheduled expiry, nor before one year had elapsed since a previous dissolution.^[6] In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Assembly was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called. Any snap election held as a result of these circumstances would not alter the period to the next ordinary election, with elected deputies merely serving out what remained of their four-year terms.^[1]

The election to the Assembly of Madrid was officially triggered on 4 April 2023 after the publication of the election decree in the Official Gazette of the Community of Madrid (BOCM), scheduling for the chamber to convene on 13 June.^[7]

Parliamentary composition

The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the Assembly at the time of dissolution.^[8][9]

Parliamentary composition in April 2023

Groups		Parties		Legislators
				Seats	Total
	People's Parliamentary Group of the Assembly of Madrid		PP	65	65
	More Madrid Parliamentary Group		MM	22	24
			VQ	2
	Socialist Parliamentary Group		PSOE	24	24
	Vox Parliamentary Group in Madrid		Vox	13	13
	United We Can Parliamentary Group		Podemos	8	10
			IU–M	2

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least 0.5 percent of the electorate in the Community of Madrid, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.^[4][5]

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:

Candidacy		Parties and alliances	Leading candidate		Ideology	Previous result		Gov.	Ref.
						Vote %	Seats
	PP	List People's Party (PP)		Isabel Díaz Ayuso	Conservatism Christian democracy	44.8%	65		[10]
	MM–VQ	List More Madrid (Más Madrid) Greens Equo (Verdes Equo)		Mónica García	Progressivism Participatory democracy Green politics	17.0%	24		[11] [12]
	PSOE	List Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE)		Juan Lobato	Social democracy	16.8%	24		[13] [14]
	Vox	List Vox (Vox)		Rocío Monasterio	Right-wing populism Ultranationalism National conservatism	9.1%	13		[15]
	Podemos– IU–AV	List We Can (Podemos) United Left–Madrid (IU–M) – Communist Party of Madrid (PCM) – The Dawn. Marxist Organization OM (La Aurora (om)) – Republican Left (IR) Green Alliance (AV)		Alejandra Jacinto	Left-wing populism Direct democracy Democratic socialism	7.2%	10		[16] [17]

Campaign

Party slogans

Party or alliance		Original slogan	English translation	Ref.
	PP	« Ganas »	"You win" / "Feeling like it"	[18]
	MM–VQ	« Lo próximo »	"What comes"	[19]
	PSOE	« Madrid da para todos »	"Madrid has for everyone"	[20]
	Vox	« Vota seguro »	"Vote safely"	[21]
	Podemos–IU	« La llave para Madrid »	"The key to Madrid"	[22]

Election debates

2023 Madrilenian regional election debates

Date	Organisers	Moderator(s)	P  Present[a]    S  Surrogate[b]    A  Absent invitee
			PP	MM–VQ	PSOE	Vox	UP	Audience	Ref.
9 May	Cuatro (Todo es Mentira)	Risto Mejide	S Serrano	P García	P Lobato	A	P Jacinto	4.4% (431,000)[c]	[23] [24]
16 May	Telemadrid	Víctor Arribas	P Ayuso	P García	P Lobato	P Monasterio	P Jacinto	9.7% (164,000)	[23] [25]
24 May	RTVE	Xabier Fortes	S Serrano	P García	P Lobato	P Monasterio	P Jacinto	8.7% (128,000)[d]	[27] [28]

Opinion polls

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Graphical summary

Local regression trend line of poll results from 4 May 2021 to 28 May 2023, with each line corresponding to a political party.

Voting intention estimates

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 68 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Assembly of Madrid (69 until January 2023).

Color key:

  Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout							Lead
2023 regional election	28 May 2023	—	65.5	47.3 70	18.4 27	18.2 27	7.3 11	4.8 0	1.6 0	28.9
GAD3/RTVE–FORTA[p 1]	12–27 May 2023	?	?	49.5 70/72	14.3 20	20.2 27/28	7.1 9/10	5.2 7	1.9 0	29.3
NC Report/La Razón[p 2]	22 May 2023	?	?	48.3 67/71	18.4 25/27	17.3 24/25	8.7 12	4.9 0/6	–	29.9
Data10/Okdiario[p 3]	19–22 May 2023	1,500	?	48.5 67	17.9 25	17.7 24	8.4 12	5.2 7	1.0 0	30.6
Target Point/El Debate[p 4]	15–19 May 2023	800	?	48.0 67/68	19.2 26/27	16.7 23/24	8.1 11	5.3 7	1.3 0	28.8
KeyData/Público[p 5]	18 May 2023	?	67.0	47.2 66	18.8 26	17.2 24	8.6 12	5.0 7	1.6 0	28.4
DYM/Henneo[p 6]	15–18 May 2023	?	?	47.6 66/70	17.9 25/26	18.1 25/26	9.0 12/13	5.2 0/7	–	29.5
Celeste-Tel/Onda Cero[p 7]	12–18 May 2023	?	?	47.9 70	18.9 28	17.0 25	8.5 12	4.7 0	–	29.0
40dB/Prisa[p 8][p 9]	12–17 May 2023	1,200	?	46.8 66/69	18.8 26/28	17.6 25/26	8.4 11/12	4.9 0/7	2.1 0	28.0
ElectoPanel/El Plural[p 10][p 11]	11–17 May 2023	600	?	46.1 64	19.7 27	18.5 25	8.8 12	5.0 7	1.5 0	26.4
Sigma Dos/Antena 3[p 12]	14 May 2023	?	?	? 66/67	17.9 25	17.6 24/25	? 11	6.0 8	? 0	?
SocioMétrica/El Español[p 13]	8–14 May 2023	?	?	46.6 69	19.2 28	17.1 25	9.0 13	4.8 0	1.8 0	27.4
Hamalgama Métrica/Vozpópuli[p 14]	8–12 May 2023	1,000	?	47.8 67/70	18.8 26/27	17.2 24/25	9.5 13	4.8 0/6	1.0 0	29.0
Simple Lógica/elDiario.es[p 15]	8–12 May 2023	903	?	46.7 65/67	19.8 27	16.6 23/24	8.5 10/12	6.2 7/8	1.2 0	26.9
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 16]	8–11 May 2023	1,068	?	47.1 66/67	18.3 26	17.5 24/25	7.5 10	6.2 8	2.5 0	28.8
ElectoPanel/El Plural[p 17][p 18]	4–10 May 2023	600	?	46.3 65	20.4 28	17.1 23	9.2 12	5.0 7	1.5 0	25.9
GAD3/Community of Madrid[p 19]	3–4 May 2023	1,012	?	47.5 67	16.3 23	19.4 27	8.3 11	5.5 7	1.3 0	28.1
40dB/Prisa[p 20][p 21]	28 Apr–3 May 2023	1,200	?	46.6 69	17.7 26	18.3 27	9.2 13	4.4 0	2.2 0	28.3
ElectoPanel/El Plural[p 22][p 23]	26 Apr–3 May 2023	600	?	46.3 65	20.5 28	17.0 23	9.2 12	5.0 7	1.5 0	25.8
NC Report/La Razón[p 24]	2 May 2023	?	69.1	48.1 68	18.3 25	17.0 23	8.9 12	5.0 7	1.5 0	29.8
SocioMétrica/El Español[p 25]	27–30 Apr 2023	1,000	?	45.8 68	20.6 30	16.4 24	8.8 13	4.9 0	1.8 0	25.2
KeyData/Público[p 26]	28 Apr 2023	?	66.3	46.7 66	18.9 26	17.3 24	8.9 12	5.0 7	1.5 0	27.8
Data10/Okdiario[p 27]	26–28 Apr 2023	1,500	?	47.2 71	18.9 28	17.0 25	7.9 11	4.7 0	1.7 0	28.3
CIS[p 28][p 29]	10–26 Apr 2023	3,057	?	45.2 61/70	21.4 29/30	17.3 19/26	6.3 8/11	6.6 8/10	0.7 0	23.8
ElectoPanel/El Plural[p 30][p 31]	19–25 Apr 2023	600	?	45.4 64	20.3 28	16.6 23	9.6 13	5.1 7	2.0 0	25.1
SocioMétrica/El Español[p 32][p 33]	17–21 Apr 2023	1,200	?	46.0 65	19.2 27	17.1 24	8.8 12	5.1 7	1.9 0	26.8
ElectoPanel/El Plural[p 34][p 35]	12–18 Apr 2023	600	?	45.7 62	21.0 30	16.4 22	9.8 14	5.0 7	2.0 0	24.7
GAD3/ABC[p 36][p 37]	11–12 Apr 2023	1,000	?	48.5 67/69	16.8 23/24	18.3 24/26	8.5 11/12	5.1 7	1.0 0	30.2
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 38][p 39]	7–12 Apr 2023	1,140	?	48.2 68/69	19.1 26/27	17.1 24/25	7.8 10/11	5.1 6/7	1.5 0	29.1
ElectoPanel/El Plural[p 40][p 41]	5–11 Apr 2023	600	?	45.8 62	21.4 30	15.8 22	10.0 14	5.0 7	1.9 0	24.4
ElectoPanel/El Plural[p 42][p 43]	27 Mar–4 Apr 2023	600	?	45.9 62	21.3 30	15.8 22	10.1 14	5.0 7	1.8 0	24.6
IMOP/El Confidencial[p 44]	21–24 Mar 2023	1,213	?	46.4 69	19.0 28	17.3 26	9.0 13	4.7 0	1.5 0	27.4
KeyData/Público[p 45]	15 Mar 2023	?	66.5	46.4 66	18.6 26	16.7 24	9.4 13	5.4 7	1.9 0	27.8
SocioMétrica/El Español[p 46][p 47]	27 Feb–3 Mar 2023	1,200	?	46.3 65/67	19.1 26/28	16.0 22/23	9.2 12/13	6.0 7/8	2.1 0	27.2
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 48]	15 Jan–26 Feb 2023	2,348	?	45.2 63	21.6 30	15.7 22	10.4 14	5.0 7	1.9 0	23.6
Data10/Okdiario[p 49]	8–16 Feb 2023	1,500	?	46.8 67	18.3 26	17.1 24	8.3 12	5.3 7	1.8 0	28.5
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 50]	30 Nov–12 Jan 2023	1,601	?	45.0 63	21.5 30	15.9 22	10.5 14	5.1 7	2.0 0	23.5
GAD3/Community of Madrid[p 51]	12–14 Dec 2022	1,003	?	46.5 66	17.2 24	18.3 26	9.3 13	5.2 7	1.7 0	28.2
CIS[e][p 52][p 53]	17 Nov–2 Dec 2022	1,573	?	39.9 55/67	15.0 21/25	22.6 31/38	5.5 7/9	8.0 10/13	3.1 0/4	17.3
Data10/Okdiario[p 54]	15 Nov 2022	1,000	?	45.6 66	19.1 27	15.8 22	9.4 13	5.7 8	1.7 0	26.5
Data10/Okdiario[p 55]	31 Oct–3 Nov 2022	1,000	?	47.1 68	18.6 26	15.7 22	9.2 13	5.2 7	1.7 0	28.5
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 56][p 57]	25 Oct–3 Nov 2022	996	?	47.4 68	17.9 26	16.4 23	8.8 12	5.3 7	2.4 0	29.5
Data10/Okdiario[p 58]	7–8 Sep 2022	1,000	?	46.9 70	20.9 31	14.6 21	9.8 14	3.8 0	1.3 0	26.0
Hamalgama Métrica/Vozpópuli[p 59]	2–8 Sep 2022	1,000	?	46.6 67	18.0 25	15.9 23	9.7 13	6.2 8	1.9 0	28.6
SocioMétrica/El Español[p 60][p 61]	26–29 Apr 2022	1,200	?	46.1 66	20.1 28	14.9 21	10.0 14	5.4 7	2.1 0	26.0
NC Report/La Razón[p 62]	25–29 Apr 2022	1,000	?	45.5 66	18.2 26	15.5 22	10.1 14	6.2 8	–	27.3
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 63][p 64]	25–28 Apr 2022	1,600	?	44.8 64	16.6 24	17.7 25	10.6 15	5.7 8	2.6 0	27.1
Data10/Okdiario[p 65]	19–21 Apr 2022	2,000	?	44.7 64	19.4 27	15.7 22	10.4 15	5.6 8	2.3 0	25.3
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 66]	17–18 Feb 2022	1,208	?	44.0 62	20.5 29	17.0 24	10.5 14	5.2 7	2.5 0	23.5
IMOP/El Confidencial[p 67][p 68]	10–11 Nov 2021	710	?	47.3 67	17.9 25	16.1 23	9.3 13	5.7 8	2.3 0	29.4
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 69][p 70]	3–6 Nov 2021	1,224	?	46.2 66	18.1 25	16.3 23	9.3 13	6.4 9	2.9 0	28.1
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 71]	13 Jul–21 Aug 2021	1,239	?	45.8 69	19.8 29	16.6 25	9.0 13	4.8 0	2.2 0	26.0
2021 regional election	4 May 2021	—	71.7	44.8 65	17.0 24	16.8 24	9.1 13	7.2 10	3.6 0	27.8

Voting preferences

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size							?	N	Lead
2023 regional election	28 May 2023	—	32.8	12.7	12.6	5.1	3.3	1.1	—	30.1	20.1
40dB/Prisa[p 9]	12–17 May 2023	1,200	34.2	13.3	16.1	9.4	3.6	1.9	12.6	4.4	18.1
40dB/Prisa[p 21]	26 Apr–3 May 2023	1,200	34.5	13.0	15.5	9.3	4.1	2.6	12.2	4.5	19.0
CIS[p 28]	10–26 Apr 2023	3,057	35.3	16.1	12.8	4.6	5.0	0.7	20.4	2.3	19.2
PSOE[p 72]	15–17 Apr 2023	2,000	29.5	12.9	15.3	9.8	5.0	2.5	–	–	14.2
PSOE[p 72]	Feb 2023	?	31.8	16.5	11.8	8.5	4.2	2.3	–	–	15.3
CIS[p 52]	17 Nov–2 Dec 2022	1,573	31.1	10.9	15.3	3.9	5.7	1.7	24.8	2.2	15.8
2021 regional election	4 May 2021	—	33.9	12.9	12.8	6.9	5.5	2.7	—	23.7	21.0

Preferred President

The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Community of Madrid.

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size							Other/ None/ Not care	?	Lead
			Ayuso PP	García MM	Lobato PSOE	Monasterio Vox	Jacinto UP	Gómez CS
40dB/Prisa[p 9]	12–17 May 2023	1,200	42.3	16.6	13.5	6.9	3.6	1.8	7.2	7.9	25.7
40dB/Prisa[p 21]	26 Apr–3 May 2023	1,200	43.0	16.6	11.9	7.9	3.8	1.9	7.6	7.2	26.4
SocioMétrica/El Español[p 32]	17–21 Apr 2023	1,200	52.1	20.8	15.4	7.8	3.9	–	–	–	31.3
GAD3/ABC[p 73]	11–12 Apr 2023	1,000	47.9	16.9	10.6	2.9	3.1	–	18.6		31.0

Results

Overall

← Summary of the 28 May 2023 Assembly of Madrid election results →

Parties and alliances		Popular vote			Seats
		Votes	%	±pp	Total	+/−
	People's Party (PP)	1,599,186	47.32	+2.56	70	+5
	More Madrid–Greens Equo (MM–VQ)	620,631	18.36	+1.37	27	+3
	Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE)	614,296	18.18	+1.38	27	+3
	Vox (Vox)	248,379	7.35	−1.80	11	−2
	We Can–United Left–Green Alliance (Podemos–IU–AV)	161,032	4.76	−2.48	0	−10
	Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (CS)	52,925	1.57	−2.00	0	±0
	Animalist Party with the Environment (PACMA)1	23,451	0.69	+0.26	0	±0
	For a Fairer World (PUM+J)	7,219	0.21	+0.14	0	±0
	Feminist Party of Spain (PFE)	5,376	0.16	New	0	±0
	Communist Party of the Workers of Spain (PCTE)	4,148	0.12	+0.07	0	±0
	Spanish Phalanx of the CNSO (FE–JONS)	2,779	0.08	+0.05	0	±0
	Union for Leganés (ULEG)	2,544	0.08	New	0	±0
	Humanist Party (PH)	2,404	0.07	+0.04	0	±0
Blank ballots		35,107	1.04	+0.51
Total		3,379,477			135	−1
Valid votes		3,379,477	98.99	−0.40
Invalid votes		34,342	1.01	+0.40
Votes cast / turnout		3,413,819	65.50	−6.24
Abstentions		1,797,891	34.50	+6.24
Registered voters		5,211,710
Sources[29]
Footnotes: 1 Animalist Party with the Environment results are compared to Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals totals in the 2019 election.

Popular vote PP   47.32% MM–VQ   18.36% PSOE   18.18% Vox   7.35% Podemos–IU   4.76% CS   1.57% Others   1.42% Blank ballots   1.04%

Seats PP   51.85% MM–VQ   20.00% PSOE   20.00% Vox   8.15%

Aftermath

Further information: Third government of Isabel Díaz Ayuso

Investiture Isabel Díaz Ayuso (PP)
Ballot →		22 June 2023
Required majority →		68 out of 135 Y
	Yes • PP (70)	70 / 135
	No • MM–VQ (27) • PSOE (27)	54 / 135
	Abstentions • Vox (10)	10 / 135
	Absentees • Vox (1)	1 / 135
Sources[30]

Notes

1. Denotes a main invitee attending the event.
2. Denotes a main invitee not attending the event, sending a surrogate in their place.
3. Broadcast nationwide
4. In the Community of Madrid, the debate was broadcast on La 1 (6.5%, 96,000) and 24 Horas (2.2%, 32,000). Nationwide, the debate was broadcast on 24 Horas, obtaining an audience of 1.0% (102,000).^[26]
5. Vote+Simpathy figures with undecided and/or abstentionists excluded.