Top Qs
Timeline
Chat
Perspective
2024 Arizona Senate election
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Remove ads
The 2024 Arizona Senate election was held on November 5, 2024. Voters elected members of the Arizona Senate in all 30 of the state's legislative districts to serve a two-year term. Primary elections were held on July 30, 2024.[1]
Prior to the elections, the Republican Party held a narrow majority over the Democratic Party, controlling 16 seats to their 14 seats.
Remove ads
Background
Summarize
Perspective
Partisan Background
In the 2020 presidential election, Joe Biden and Donald Trump each won 15 of Arizona's 30 legislative districts. Senate District 13, centered around the city of Chandler, which Biden won by 3% in 2020, was the only district Biden won in 2020 which was currently held by a Republican going into the 2024 Arizona Senate election.
Background
Arizona, located along the United States border with Mexico, has a unique political history. Upon its admission to the Union in 1912, the state was dominated by Democrats who had migrated there from the South, and aside from the landslide victories of Republicans Warren G. Harding, Calvin Coolidge, and Herbert Hoover, the state voted for Democrats until 1952, when Dwight Eisenhower carried it, and began a lengthy streak of Republican victories interrupted only by Bill Clinton's narrow victory in 1996. Since then, Arizona was considered a Republican stronghold, but has become a critical swing state and is seen as a purple state. Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump won Arizona by 3.5% in 2016,[2] while Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden prevailed by 0.3% in 2020.[3]
The Arizona Democratic Party has not won outright control of either state legislative chamber since the 1990s. The last time the party won control of both chambers was in the 1960s.[4] Since then, the state's trend towards Democrats and a consolidated effort on flipping control of the legislature has made this election seen as a tossup with both parties having an equal chance to win control of one or both chambers.
Campaign
This election is expected to be one of the most competitive state legislative races in the 2024 election cycle. Most ratings suggest the race to be a toss-up or having Democrats as the slight favorite to win the chamber. Additionally, the state Democratic Party's fundraising advantage is also expected to play a major role in which party wins control of the chamber.[4] If Democrats won both chambers, it would have been the first time that Democrats had a trifecta in the state since 1966.[5]
Remove ads
Predictions
Statewide
Competitive districts
Remove ads
Overview
Closest races
Seats where the margin of victory was under 10%:
- State Senate district 17, 2%
- State Senate district 9, 3.4%
- State Senate district 2, 3.67%
- State Senate district 4, 3.8% (gain)
- State Senate district 13, 6.2%
- State Senate district 23, 7.6%
Retiring incumbents
Republicans
- District 25: Sine Kerr was term-limited.[12]
- District 27: Anthony Kern ran for the United States House of Representatives.[13]
- District 30: Sonny Borrelli was term-limited.
Democrats
- District 8: Juan Mendez was term-limited and ran for the Arizona House of Representatives.
- District 24: Anna Hernandez ran for the Phoenix City Council.[14]
Incumbents defeated
In primaries
Republicans
- District 1: Ken Bennett lost renomination to Mark Finchem.[15]
- District 17: Justine Wadsack lost renomination to Vince Leach.[15]
In general election
Democrats
- District 4: Christine Marsh was defeated by Republican Carine Werner.[16]
Summary of results by district
Summarize
Perspective
* - Incumbent lost renomination
† - Incumbent not seeking re-election
- Republican Shawnna Bolick was appointed to the Senate to fill the seat after Steve Kaiser resigned.[11]
- Democrat Flavio Bravo was appointed to the Senate to fill the seat after Raquel Terán resigned.[18]
Remove ads
Detailed results
Summarize
Perspective
District 1 • District 2 • District 3 • District 4 • District 5 • District 6 • District 7 • District 8 • District 9 • District 10 • District 11 • District 12 • District 13 • District 14 • District 15 • District 16 • District 17 • District 18 • District 19 • District 20 • District 21 • District 22 • District 23 • District 24 • District 25 • District 26 • District 27 • District 28 • District 29 • District 30 |
District 1

Finchem—40-49%
Finchem —50-59%
Incumbent Senator Ken Bennett faced a strong primary challenge after voting multiple times against conservative bills and stymieing Republican legislation.[19][20][21] The first challenger was Steve Zipperman, a previous primary opponent from 2022, and the second was Mark Finchem, Republican nominee for Secretary of State two years prior. Despite the strong possibility of splitting the vote, both Finchem and Zipperman stayed in the race, with Finchem ultimately prevailing by 15.07% over Bennett.[22] This defeat represented the worst primary performance of any incumbent legislator this cycle in either chamber from either party.

Finchem—60-69%
Fogel—50-59%
District 2
District 3
District 4

Werner
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
Marsh
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
Tie
District 5
District 6
District 7

Rogers—60-69%
Rogers—70-79%
Creighton—50-59%
District 8
State representative Melody Hernandez was the only candidate to file for the Democratic primary, but withdrew after her nominating petitions were challenged for having an insufficient number of valid signatures.[24] She was replaced by former Tempe City Councilmember Lauren Kuby on the ballot, who was selected by local precinct committee members in a 39-28 vote over fellow state representative Deborah Nardozzi.[25][26]
District 9

Burch
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
Scantlebury
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
District 10

Farnsworth—60-69%
District 11
District 12
District 13

Mesnard
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
Winters
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
|-
District 14
District 15

Hoffman—60-69%
District 16
County results:
Shope—50-59%
Shope—60-69%
Shope—70-79%
Shope—80-89%
Seaman—50-59%
Seaman—60-69%
Seaman—70-79%
Seaman—80-89%
District 17
District 18
District 19

Gowan—50-59%
Gowan—60-69%
Gowan—70-79%
District 20
District 21
District 22
District 23

Fernandez—50-59%
Fernandez—60-69%
Fernandez—90-100%
Altherr—50-59%
District 24
District 25
District 26
District 27
District 28
District 29
District 30

Angius—70-79%
Remove ads
Notes
References
Wikiwand - on
Seamless Wikipedia browsing. On steroids.
Remove ads