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2024 Curitiba mayoral election
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
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The 2024 Curitiba mayoral election was held in Curitiba on 6 October 2024 to elect the mayor, vice mayor, and 38 councillors of the Municipal Chamber of Curitiba. Incumbent mayor Rafael Greca (PSD) was not eligible to run for a third consecutive term, having been elected in 2016 and re-elected in 2020.
As no mayoral candidate received more than half of the valid votes in the first round, a runoff election was held on 27 October 2024. Eduardo Pimentel won the majority of the votes in the second round and was elected mayor of Curitiba for the 2025–2029 term.[1] At least seven of the elected councillors are aligned with right-wing or far-right politics and have a strong presence on Instagram and YouTube.[2]
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Background
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2020 election
The last mayoral election in Curitiba resulted in the victory of incumbent Rafael Greca, from the extinct party Democrats (DEM), in the first round. Greca obtained 499,821 votes or 59.74% of the valid votes. In the second place, the state deputy Goura Nataraj, from the Democratic Labour Party (PDT), only obtained 110,977 or around 13.26% of the valid votes and the other candidates did not reach double digits in vote percentages.[3]
Greca's victory in the first round is linked to the enormous popularity he had and still has in the city. In December 2023, the mayor's management was approved by around 73% of Curitiba's inhabitants.[4] As he was in his second consecutive term, Greca couldn't run for a third term, due to limitations imposed by the Federal Constitution. Eduardo Pimentel, the Vice Mayor of Curitiba, was chosen as his successor.[5]
Electorate
In February 2024, Curitiba had around 1,419,395 people eligible to vote,[6] an increase of 5% in the electorate compared to the last election and around 80% of the city's population eligible to vote (1,773,718), according to the 2022 Brazilian Demographic Census.[7] The city is divided into ten electoral zones (1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 145th, 174th, 175th, 176th, 177th and 178th).[8] Voters had until 8 May 2024 to register for the first time or regularize their electoral status, including biometric registration.[9]
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Electoral calendar
7 March – 5 April | Period of the 'party window' for councillors. During this period, the councillors are able to move to other political parties in order to run for election while not losing their respective political terms. |
6 April | Deadline for all parties and party federations to obtain the registration of their statutes at the Superior Electoral Court and for all candidates to have their electoral domicile in the constituency in which they wish to contest the elections with the affiliation granted by the party. |
15 May | Start of the preliminary fundraising campaign in the form of collective financing for potential candidates. During this period, candidates are not allowed to ask for votes and are still subjected to obey the rules regarding electoral propaganda on the Internet. |
20 July – 5 August | On this date, party conventions begin to deliberate on coalitions and choose candidates for mayors and councillors tickets. Parties have until 15 August to register their names with the Brazilian Election Justice. |
16 August | Beginning of electoral campaigns on an equal basis, with any advertising or demonstration explicitly requesting for votes before the date being considered irregular and subject to fines. |
30 August –3 October | Broadcasting of free electoral propaganda on radio and television. |
6 October | Date of mayoral elections. |
27 October | Date of a possible second round in cities with more than 200,000 voters in which the most voted candidate for mayor has not reached 50% of the valid votes. |
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Candidates
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Confirmed candidates
Declined to run
- Bruno Meirinho (PSOL) – Candidate for mayor of Curitiba in the 2008 elections and in the 2012 elections. Lawyer.[51] The Socialism and Liberty Party, in a board meeting, decided on 13 April 2024 to officially support the potential candidacy of Andrea Caldas, thus removing the possibility of Meirinho becoming the party's nominee in the election.[52]
- Deltan Dallagnol (NOVO) – Member of the Chamber of Deputies from Paraná (2023) and retired federal prosecutor.[53] The former Lava Jato prosecutor announced the withdrawal of his potential candidacy on 3 May 2024. He states that he will dedicate himself to campaigns and the training of his own party's politicians throughout Brazil.[54] He announced his support to Pimentel's candidacy.[55]
- Carol Dartora (PT) – Councillor of Curitiba (2021–2023) and member of the Chamber of Deputies from Paraná (2023–present).[30]
- Zeca Dirceu (PT) – Mayor of Cruzeiro do Oeste (2005–2010), member of the Chamber of Deputies from Paraná (2011–present) and businessman.[56]
- Felipe Mongruel (PT) – Lawyer.[57]
- Paulo Martins (PL) – Member of the Chamber of Deputies from Paraná (2016; 2019–2023) and journalist.[30] The Liberal Party nominated Martins as the running mate of Pimentel on 25 May 2024.[42]
- Ricardo Arruda (PL) – Member of the Chamber of Deputies from Paraná (2013) and member of the Legislative Assembly of Paraná (2015–present).[58]
- David Antunes (Cidadania) – Coordinator of Casa LGBT CWB[59] and candidate for state deputy in the 2022 Paraná state elections.[60]
- Goura Nataraj (PDT) – Councillor of Curitiba (2017–2019), member of the Legislative Assembly of Paraná (2019–present), candidate in the 2020 Curitiba mayoral election and philosopher.[30]
- Beto Richa (PSDB) – Member of the Legislative Assembly of Paraná (1995–2001), Vice Mayor of Curitiba (2001–2005), Mayor of Curitiba (2005–2010), Governor of Paraná (2011–2018), member of the Chamber of Deputies from Paraná (2023–present) and engineer.[61]
The Workers' Party, through its National Executive, announced its support for the potential candidacy of former mayor Luciano Ducci on 27 May 2024. As a result of this decision, none of the party’s potential candidates at the time were able to secure their candidacies. The Workers' Party National Directorate also signaled support for candidates from other parties aligned with the federal government in Congress, such as the Brazilian Socialist Party itself.[62] Dartora and Mongruel chose not to appeal the decision made by the National Executive, thereby ending their intentions to run; only Zeca Dirceu opted to appeal to the National Directorate, which ultimately confirmed its support for Ducci.[63] Alongside with the Workers' Party, the other parties that make up the Brazil of Hope alliance (FE Brasil), such as PCdoB and PV, also endorsed Ducci’s candidacy.[64] Goura Nataraj was confirmed as Luciano Ducci’s running mate on 24 July 2024, following a decision of the National Executive of the Democratic Labour Party.[32]
According to journalist Esmael Morais, the Liberal Party decided to support the potential candidacy of Eduardo Pimentel and nominated Paulo Eduardo Martins to be his running mate on the mayoral election. As a result, the state deputy Ricardo Arruda— another potential candidate from the party—will no longer be in the race. In Morais’s analysis, Martins' nomination also represented a political setback for the incumbent mayor Rafael Greca. Greca had intended to nominate either his Secretary of Government, Luís Fernando Jamur, or the Secretary of the Environment, Marilza Dias, for the spot. However, both names were rejected by political groups aligned with former President Jair Bolsonaro and Paraná’s governor Ratinho Júnior.[42] After Rafael Greca publicly criticized Jair Bolsonaro on 21 July 2024,[65] the former president took a photo with Cristina Graeml near the party convention period—and stated that his party might take a different path, possibly endorsing her candidacy instead.[66] Nevertheless, after Brazil Union refused to withdraw Leprevost’s candidacy and to nominate a running mate on Pimentel’s ticket, Martins’s nomination was announced on 25 July 2024.[67]
David Antunes withdrew his candidacy for mayor on 25 July 2024 in order to build a strong ticket, with strong candidates for the Municipal Chamber of Curitiba in the October elections. At the same meeting, the party declared its support for Eduardo Pimentel's candidacy. On 5 August 2024, Beto Richa withdrew his candidacy. The reasons that led him to make this decision were: a lack of party political broadcast time to present his proposals and a disagreement between some groups of Cidadania with a possible support for his candidacy. Cidadania is a party that has a national alliance (Always Forward – PSDB/Cidadania) with the Brazilian Social Democracy Party. Richa defends the neutrality of his party in the election.[68]
Candidacy under legal review
On 26 January 2024, the Brazilian Woman's Party (PMB) announced journalist Cristina Graeml as a potential candidate for the Curitiba City Hall.[28][69] She left Gazeta do Povo, where she worked as a columnist from January 2020 to April 2024, to run for the position.[27] However, there was uncertainty regarding the party convention that would officially confirm her candidacy in August due to a legal dispute involving the PMB's National President, Suêd Haidar, and the party's local executives in Paraná. On 3 August, Haidar decided to dissolve the local PMB executives and removed Geonísio Marinho from his position as the municipal president of PMB Curitiba to prevent the convention that would officially confirm Graeml’s candidacy.[70][71] Despite this, the convention was confirmed by the state president of the PMB Paraná Executive Committee, Fabiano dos Santos, and took place as scheduled on the evening of 5 August. Cristina Graeml’s candidacy was officially confirmed, and the slate of candidates for the Municipal Chamber of Curitiba by the PMB was also formalized at the same event.[29]
The legal dispute continued, and on the last day of the convention, the local PMB executives in Paraná and Curitiba filed a writ of mandamus with the Regional Electoral Court of Paraná (TRE-PR) to challenge the legal effects of the intervention by the National Executive. On 7 August, the electoral judge Cláudia Cristina Cristofani ruled that the state electoral court did not have authority to judge the case. She argued that, since this was a decision by the National Executive of the Brazilian Woman's Party, the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) would be the appropriate instance to decide on this legal matter and only it could decide on the maintenance of Cristina Graeml’s candidacy.[70][72] On 23 August, the Superior Electoral Court, through a preliminary injunction issued by Floriano de Azevedo Marques Neto, reversed the dissolution of the PMB Executive in Curitiba—this decision came after the convention had already taken place.[73] In early September of the same year, Cristina Graeml’s candidacy was approved by the Electoral Court.[74]
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Outgoing Municipal Chamber
The result of the last municipal election and the current situation in the Municipal Chamber is given below:
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Debates
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First round
Below is a list of the mayoral debates scheduled or held for the 2024 election (times in UTC−03:00).
According to the electoral rules, broadcasters can only invite candidates to the debate if they receive the agreement of at least two-thirds of the candidates in a majoritarian election (for the mayor position), or at least two-thirds of the parties or federations with candidates in a proportional election (for the councillor position). If an agreement cannot be reached, radio and television broadcasters may hold joint debates for the mayor position, with all candidates present, or in groups, with the presence of at least three people.[82]
Due to the crisis that unfolded within the Brazilian Woman's Party (PMB) following the dissolution of the local executives by the National Directorate and the suspension of Cristina Graeml's candidacy, she was not invited to the first Band debate. The conglomerate announced the decision of not inviting Graeml to the debate on the evening of 8 August.[83] She criticized Band Paraná for considering the decision to 'uninvite' her from the debate as undemocratic, especially after she had arrived at the broadcaster at the scheduled time and was forced to return home,[84] stated that she had prepared for the debate and, while the event was being broadcast on television, she hosted a live stream on social media to answer the questions directed at the other candidates.[85]
Debate between vice-mayor candidates
Plural was the only news website to hold a debate among the vice-mayor candidates. Only five of the nine invited candidates accepted the invitation. Both Rosangela Moro, Walter Petruzziello, and Paulo Martins cited scheduling conflicts to justify their absence. Leonardo Martinez claimed to have work commitments.[99]
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Opinion polls
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Polling aggregator
The CNN Index, developed by CNN Brazil and Ipespe Analítica, does not present sampling numbers or specific collection periods because it does not conduct its own polls. Instead, it aggregates and adjusts data from various polls conducted by different institutes, using statistical techniques and machine learning. The index provides an overview of voting intentions in 100 cities, including capitals, and is constantly updated based on the latest available data. Additionally, the CNN Index typically highlights only the top five candidates, potentially leaving out other relevant candidates.
First round
Polls are designed to assess what the election outcome would be if it were held on the day the respondents' data were collected. They do not aim to predict the final election result based on the confidence percentage.
2024
2023
Second round
These are the hypothetical scenarios of a second round.
Luciano Ducci and Eduardo Pimentel
Luciano Ducci and Ney Leprevost
Luciano Ducci and Roberto Requião
Ney Leprevost and Eduardo Pimentel
Ney Leprevost and Roberto Requião
Eduardo Pimentel and Roberto Requião
Hypothetical scenario with Deltan Dallagnol
Eduardo Pimentel and Deltan Dallagnol (withdrawn)
Rejection of candidates
In some opinion polls, the interviewee can choose more than one alternative (the so-called "multiple rejection"), therefore, the sum of the percentages of all candidates can exceed 100% of the votes in some scenarios.
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Result
Mayor
Municipal Chamber
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Notes
- Between March and April 2024, councilors were able to change parties during the so-called "party window" without losing their respective terms.[76]
- Mauro Ignácio, Sabino Picolo, Serginho do Posto, Toninho da Farmácia and Zezinho Sabará, all previously affiliated with the Brazil Union (UNIÃO) are the four councillors who joined the Social Democratic Party (PSD) during the "party window".
- Tito Zeglin, previously affiliated with the Democratic Labour Party (PDT) and João da 5 Irmãos (previously affiliated with the Brazil Union (UNIÃO) joined the Brazilian Democratic Movement (MDB) during the party window.
- Mauro Bobato, previously affiliated with Podemos (PODE) joined Progressistas (PP) during the party window, and in the same period, Eder Borges left the party.
- Leonidas Dias, previously affiliated with Solidariedade and Sargento Tânia Guerreiro, previously affiliated with the Brazil Union (UNIÃO) joined Podemos during the party window, and in the same period, Mauro Bobato left the party.
- Eder Borges, previously affiliated with Progressistas (PP) and Rodrigo Reis (previously affiliated with the Brazil Union (UNIÃO) are the two councillors who joined PL during the party window.
- Ezequias Barros, previously affiliated with the Brazilian Woman's Party (PMB), joined the Democratic Renewal Party (PRD) during the party window.
- Hernani, previously affiliated with the Brazilian Socialist Party (PSB) and Pastor Marciano Alves (previously affiliated with Solidariedade) joined the Republicans during the party window, and in the same period, Osias Moraes left the party.
- All the eight councillors affiliated with UNIÃO (Mauro Ignácio, Sabino Picolo, Serginho do Posto, Toninho da Farmácia, Zezinho Sabará, Rodrigo Reis, Sargento Tânia Guerreiro and João da 5 Irmãos) left the party in April 2024, during the so-called "party window". As a result, the UNIÃO bench was emptied until Alexandre Leprevost (previously affiliated with Solidariedade) joined the party.
- Salles do Fazendinha, previously affiliated with the Christian Democracy (DC), joined Sustainability Network (REDE) during the party window.
- Dalton Borba, previously affiliated with the Democratic Labour Party (PDT) joined Solidariedade during the party window; and in the same period, the councillors Leonidas Dias, Alexandre Leprevost and Pastor Marciano Alves left the party.
- Hernani left the party during the party window, leaving the party without representation in the Municipal Chamber of Curitiba.
- Salles do Fazendinha left the party during the party window, leaving the party without representation in the Municipal Chamber of Curitiba.
- Ezequias Barros left the party during the party window, leaving the party without representation in the Municipal Chamber of Curitiba.
- The Republican Party of the Social Order (PROS) merged into Solidariedade in February 2023.[78]
- Brazilian Labour Party (PTB) and Patriota merged into the Democratic Renewal Party (PRD) in November 2023.[79]
- Brazilian Labour Party (PTB) and Patriota merged into the Democratic Renewal Party (PRD) in November 2023.[79]
- Democrats (DEM) and the Social Liberal Party (PSL) merged into the Brazil Union in February 2022.[81]
- Democrats (DEM) and the Social Liberal Party (PSL) merged into the Brazil Union in February 2022.[81]
- Deltan Dallagnol withdrew from his candidacy for mayor at the beginning of May 2024. During that month, some polling institutes still listed him as a candidate, which justified his presence in the IPESPE/CNN polling aggregator. Dallagnol’s name appeared on the aggregator until the end of May. After that period, his name was removed, reflecting subsequent polls that no longer included him in the electoral scenario.
- Deltan Dallagnol withdrew from his candidacy for mayor at the beginning of May 2024. During that month, some polling institutes still listed him as a candidate, which justified his presence in the IPESPE/CNN polling aggregator. Dallagnol’s name appeared on the aggregator until the end of May. After that period, his name was removed, reflecting subsequent polls that no longer included him in the electoral scenario.
- Cristina Graeml (PMB) with 2.3%; Zeca Dirceu (PT) with 0.8%; Samuel de Mattos (PSTU) with 0.4% and Andrea Caldas (PSOL) with 0.1%
- Cristina Graeml (PMB) with 4.4%; Rosangela Moro (UNIÃO) with 4.2%; Maria Victoria (PP) with 3.6%; Zeca Dirceu (PT) with 1.4% and Valdemar Jorge (NOVO) with 0.1%
- Cristina Graeml (PMB) with 10.3%; Ricardo Arruda (PL) with 5.2%; Zeca Dirceu (PT) with 3.4% and Maria Victoria (PP) with 0.1%
- Maria Victoria (PP) with 4.1%; Cristina Graeml (PMB) with 1.8% and Andrea Caldas (PSOL) with 0.5%
- Maria Victoria (PP) with 5.8%; Fernanda Dallagnol (NOVO) with 4.6% and Cristina Graeml (PMB) with 3.5%
- Denian Couto (PODE)
- Maria Victoria (PP) with 5.6% and Fernanda Dallagnol (NOVO) with 4.7%
- Fernanda Dallagnol (NOVO)
- Fernanda Dallagnol (NOVO)
- Rosangela Moro (UNIÃO)
- Zeca Dirceu (PT) with 17.5%; Samuel de Mattos (PSTU) with 10.3% and Andrea Caldas (PSOL) with 9.4%
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References
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