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2024 United States Senate election in Florida
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
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The 2024 United States Senate election in Florida was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Florida. Incumbent Republican Senator Rick Scott won re-election to a second term, defeating Democratic nominee Debbie Mucarsel-Powell. The primary election was held on August 20, 2024.[2]
Scott, then the governor of Florida, was first elected to the U.S. Senate in 2018 by 0.12 points, defeating then-incumbent Bill Nelson.[3] With the benefit of incumbency and the state's rightward trend, most political pundits considered the race to be favoring Scott to win re-election. On Election Day, Scott won by 12.78 percentage points, a significantly larger margin than most pre-election polls had suggested.
Out of all of Scott’s four statewide races (2010 and 2014 gubernatorial elections, 2018 and 2024 senatorial elections), this election was by far his best performance, and the first one he won decisively, as he narrowly won the latter three all by less than a 2% margin. Scott won majority-Hispanic Miami-Dade and Osceola counties for the first time in all of his statewide races, and according to exit polls Scott won 55% of Hispanic voters.[4]
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Republican primary
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Candidates
Nominee
- Rick Scott, incumbent U.S. senator (2019–present)[5]
Eliminated in primary
- John Columbus, actor[6]
- Keith Gross, former assistant state attorney for Florida's 18th circuit court[7]
Declined
- Ron DeSantis, governor of Florida (2019–present) and former U.S. representative from Florida's 6th congressional district (2013–2018) (ran for president)[8]
- Byron Donalds, U.S. representative from Florida's 19th congressional district (2021–present)[9] (ran for re-election)[10]
- Matt Gaetz, U.S. representative from Florida's 1st congressional district (2017–2024) (ran for re-election)[11]
Endorsements
Keith Gross
Organizations
Rick Scott
U.S. executive branch officials
- John Bolton, United States National Security Advisor (2018–2019), United States Ambassador to the United Nations (2005–2006)[13]
- Mike Pompeo, U.S. Secretary of State (2018–2021), Director of the CIA (2017–2018), and U.S. representative for Kansas's 4th congressional district (2011–2017)[14]
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)[15]
U.S. senators
- Norm Coleman, former U.S. senator from Minnesota (2003–2009)[16]
- Marco Rubio, U.S. senator from Florida (2011–2025)[17]
U.S. representatives
- 19 Republican U.S. representatives from Florida[17]
Governors
- Luis Fortuño, former governor of Puerto Rico (2009–2013)[18]
Statewide officials
- Pam Bondi, former Florida attorney general (2011–2019)[19]
- Ashley Moody, Florida attorney general (2019–2025)[19]
- Wilton Simpson, Florida Commissioner of Agriculture (2023–present)[20]
State legislators
Territorial legislators
- Keren Riquelme, member of the Senate of Puerto Rico[18]
Local officials
Organizations
- 60 Plus Association[24]
- American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC)[25]
- Associated Builders and Contractors of Florida[26]
- Club for Growth[27]
- Florida Association of Realtors[28]
- Florida Police Chiefs Association[29]
- National Association of Home Builders[30]
- National Federation of Independent Business[31]
- Republican Jewish Coalition[16]
- Senate Conservatives Fund[32]
Fundraising
Results

Scott
- 70–80%
- 80–90%
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Democratic primary
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Candidates
Nominee
- Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, former U.S. representative from Florida's 26th congressional district (2019–2021)[35]
Eliminated in primary
- Stanley Campbell, IT company CEO and brother of rapper Uncle Luke[36]
- Rod Joseph, consultant and Purple Heart recipient[37]
- Brian Rush, former state representative (1987–1995) and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022[38]
Withdrew
- Phil Ehr, nonprofit executive, nominee for Florida's 1st congressional district in 2020 and candidate in 2018 (ran for U.S. House, endorsed Mucarsel-Powell)[39]
- Alan Grayson, former U.S. representative from Florida's 9th congressional district (2009–2011, 2013–2017) and perennial candidate[c] (ran for state senate)[40]
Declined
- Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick, U.S. representative from Florida's 20th congressional district (2022–present)[41] (ran for re-election)[10]
- Fentrice Driskell, Minority Leader of the Florida House of Representatives (2022–present) from the 67th district (2018–present)[42]
- Anna Eskamani, state representative (2018–present)[43] (ran for re-election)[44]
- Lois Frankel, U.S. representative from Florida's 22nd congressional district (2013–present)[43] (ran for re-election, endorsed Mucarsel-Powell)[10][45]
- Shevrin Jones, state senator from the 35th district (2021–present)[46] (endorsed Mucarsel-Powell)[47]
- Debbie Wasserman Schultz, U.S. representative from Florida's 25th congressional district (2004–present)[41] (endorsed Mucarsel-Powell)[45]
- Frederica Wilson, U.S. representative from Florida's 24th congressional district (2011–present)[41]
Endorsements
Stanley Campbell
State legislators
Local officials
- Wayne Messam, mayor of Miramar (2015–present)[48]
- Hazelle Rogers, Broward County commissioner and former state representative (2012–2016)[48]
Labor unions
Rod Joseph
Organizations
Debbie Mucarsel-Powell
Federal officials
- Joe Biden, 46th president of the United States (2021–2025)[51]
U.S. representatives
- Kathy Castor, U.S. representative from Florida's 14th congressional district[d] (2007–present)[45]
- Val Demings, U.S. representative from Florida's 10th congressional district (2017–2023)[52]
- Lois Frankel, U.S. representative from Florida's 22nd congressional district[e] (2013–present)[45]
- Maxwell Frost, U.S. representative from Florida's 10th congressional district (2023–present)[45]
- Gabby Giffords, U.S. representative from Arizona's 8th congressional district (2007–2012)[53]
- Hakeem Jeffries, House Minority Leader (2023–present) from New York's 8th congressional district (2013–present)[54]
- Al Lawson, U.S. representative from Florida's 5th congressional district (2017–2023)[55]
- Debbie Wasserman Schultz, U.S. representative from Florida's 25th congressional district[f] (2005–present)[45]
State legislators
Labor unions
Organizations
- Brady PAC[61]
- CHC BOLD PAC[62]
- Council for a Livable World[63]
- Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee[64]
- EMILY's List[65]
- End Citizens United[66]
- Feminist Majority PAC[67]
- Giffords[53]
- Human Rights Campaign[68]
- Jewish Democratic Council of America[69]
- Latino Victory Fund[70]
- League of Conservation Voters[71]
- National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare PAC[72]
- Peace Action[73]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[74]
- PODER PAC[75]
- Reproductive Freedom for All[76]
- Vote Mama[77]
Fundraising
Polling
Hypothetical polling
Results

Mucarsel-Powell
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
- 80–90%
Campbell
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
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Independents and third-party candidates
Candidates
Declared
- Feena Bonoan (Libertarian), artist and nominee for U.S. Senate in Hawaii in 2022[6]
- Ben Everidge (Independent), fundraising consultant and former legislative consultant to U.S. Senators Lawton Chiles and Ben Nelson[6]
- Howard Knepper (write-in), real estate developer and perennial candidate[6]
- Tuan Nguyen (Independent), system engineer and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022[6]
General election
Summarize
Perspective
Predictions
Post-primary endorsements
Rick Scott (R)
Individuals
- Vivek Ramaswamy, pharmaceutical executive and candidate for president in 2024[88]
Organizations
- Florida Fraternal Order of Police[89]
Debbie Mucarsel-Powell (D)
Federal officials
- Barack Obama, former president of the United States (2009–2017)[90]
Statewide officials
- Alex Sink, former Chief Financial Officer of Florida (2007–2011)[91]
- Gretchen Whitmer, governor of Michigan (2019–present)[92]
State legislators
- Dianne Hart, state representative[91]
- Katherine Waldron, state representative[91]
Local officials
- John Dailey, mayor of Tallahassee[91]
- Jerry Demings, mayor of Orange County[93]
- Daniella Levine Cava, mayor of Miami-Dade County[93]
- Dean Trantalis, mayor of Fort Lauderdale[91]
Labor unions
Polling
Aggregate polls
Hypothetical polling
Rick Scott vs. Phil Ehr
Results
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Duval (largest municipality: Jacksonville)
- Hillsborough (largest municipality: Tampa)
- Miami-Dade (largest municipality: Miami)
- Monroe (largest city: Key West)
- St. Lucie (largest city: Port St. Lucie)
- Osceola (largest municipality: Kissimmee)
- Pinellas (largest municipality: St. Petersburg)
- Seminole (largest municipality: Sanford)
By congressional district
Scott won 20 of 28 congressional districts.[144]
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Notes
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- Candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2016 and 2022; candidate for Florida's 9th congressional district in 2018; write-in candidate for Florida's 6th congressional district in 2020; candidate for Florida's 10th congressional district in 2022
Partisan clients
- Poll sponsored by Florida Politics
- Poll sponsored by The Hill
- Poll sponsored by Florida Chamber of Commerce
- Poll sponsored by The Daily Telegraph
- Poll sponsored by Rose Institute of State and Local Government
- Poll sponsored by NBC6 & Telemundo 51
- Poll sponsored by the James Madison Institute, a conservative think tank
- Poll sponsored by EMILY's List, which supports Mucarsel-Powell
- Poll sponsored by the DSCC
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References
External links
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