2024 United States Senate election in Vermont

Not to be confused with 2024 Vermont Senate election.

The 2024 United States Senate election in Vermont was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Vermont. Primary elections took place on August 13, 2024.^[1] Incumbent Independent Senator Bernie Sanders won re-election to a fourth term, defeating the Republican nominee, businessman Gerald Malloy.

2024 United States Senate election in Vermont

← 2018 November 5, 2024 2030 →

Nominee Bernie Sanders Gerald Malloy Party Independent Republican Popular vote 229,429 116,512 Percentage 63.16% 32.07%

County results Municipality results Sanders:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90% Malloy:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70% Tie:      40–50%      No votes

U.S. senator before election Bernie Sanders Independent Elected U.S. Senator Bernie Sanders Independent

Sanders filed paperwork to run for re-election in 2019. On January 8, 2024, he stated he would decide whether or not to seek re-election in the "near future".^[2] On May 6, Sanders formally announced that he would run for re-election.^[3]

Sanders won by a margin of 31.09 percentage points, making it his weakest Senate electoral performance to date despite achieving his largest vote total ever in the state. Sanders performed on par with Kamala Harris in the concurrent 2024 United States presidential election in Vermont. Harris won by a larger margin of 31.51% but did not carry Orleans County, unlike Sanders.

Sanders lost Essex County, marking his first election since 1994 where he lost any Vermont county, and the first in his Senate career.^[4]

Independents

Candidates

Declared

• Steve Berry, former Democratic state representative (2015–2017)^[5]
• Bernie Sanders, incumbent U.S. senator (2007–present)^[6]

Endorsements

Bernie Sanders

Organizations

• Feminist Majority PAC^[7]
• Planned Parenthood Action Fund^[8]
• Population Connection Action Fund^[9]

Labor unions

• Association of Flight Attendants^[10]
• United Farm Workers^[11]

Political parties

• Vermont Progressive Party^[12]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Gerald Malloy, businessman and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2022^[13]

Results

Republican primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Gerald Malloy	20,383	96.4%
	Write-in		772	3.6%
Total votes			21,155	100.0%

Third-party candidates

Declared

• Mark Greenstein (Epic), businessman and perennial candidate^[5]
• Matt Hill (Libertarian), accountant^[5]
• Justin Schoville (Green Mountain Peace and Justice), chair of the Green Mountain Peace and Justice Party^[5]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[14]	Solid I	November 9, 2023
Inside Elections[15]	Solid I	November 9, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16]	Safe I	November 9, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[17]	Safe I	June 14, 2024
Elections Daily[18]	Safe I	May 4, 2023
CNalysis[19]	Solid I	November 21, 2023
RealClearPolitics[20]	Solid I	August 5, 2024
Split Ticket[21]	Safe I	October 23, 2024
538[22]	Safe I	October 23, 2024

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
Candidate	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand
Bernie Sanders (I)	$33,701,563	$31,717,985	$10,289,572
Gerald Malloy (R)	$150,048	$60,752	$90,156
Source: Federal Election Commission[23]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Bernard Sanders (I)	Gerald Malloy (R)	Other	Undecided
University of New Hampshire[24]	October 29 – November 2, 2024	1,167 (LV)	± 2.9%	64%	27%	2%[b]	6%
University of New Hampshire[25]	August 15–19, 2024	924 (LV)	± 3.2%	66%	25%	5%[c]	4%

Results

2024 United States Senate election in Vermont^[26]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Independent	Bernie Sanders (incumbent)	229,429	63.16%	−4.28
	Republican	Gerald Malloy	116,512	32.07%	+4.60
	Independent	Steve Berry	7,941	2.19%	N/A
	Libertarian	Matt Hill	4,530	1.25%	N/A
	Green Mountain Peace and Justice	Justin Schoville	3,339	0.92%	+0.49
	E.P.I.C.	Mark Stewart Greenstein	1,104	0.30%	N/A
	Write-in		398	0.11%	+0.00
Total votes			363,253	100.0%	N/A
	Independent hold

Counties that flipped from Independent to Republican

• Essex (largest town: Lunenburg)

Notes

1. Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear
2. Hill (L) and Berry (I) with 1%
3. Schoville (GMPJP) with 2%; Hill (L) with 1%; Berry (I) with <1%; "Another candidate" with 2%