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Benner Cycle
1884 chart predicting market cycles From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
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Benner Cycle is a chart created by Ohioan farmer Samuel Benner. It references historical market cycles between 1780-1872 and uses them to makes predictions for 1873-2059.
The chart marks three phases of market cycles:[3]
- A. Panic Years: - "Years in which panic have occurred and will occur again."
- B. Good Times - "Years of Good Times. High prices and the time to sell Stocks and values of all kinds."
- C. "Years of Hard Times, Low Prices, and a good time to buy Stocks, 'Corner Lots', Goods, etc. and hold till the 'Boom' reaches the years of good times; then unload."
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Cycles
Benner[4] estimated panics occur on a cycle of roughly 18 years, 20 years, and 16 years (18-20-16). After a panic, Good Times last for about 7 years. This is followed by a transition of about 11 years to Hard Times. Then, recovery to Good Times over a period of about 9 years (7-11-9).
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References
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