CVoter
Indian polling agency From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Centre for Voting Opinions and Trends in Election Research, or CVoter, is an Indian international polling agency headquartered in Delhi, India.[1]
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![]() | This article may contain excessive or inappropriate references to self-published sources. (April 2021) |
History
Yashwant Deshmukh is the director and founding editor of CVoter.[1][2]
Clients
CVoter India states that it has covered 15 union budgets, more than 100 state elections and more than 30 international events. Since 2000 it has worked with Times Now, ANN7,[3] United Press International,[4] Reuters, Bloomberg News, BBC News, Aaj Tak, ABP News, Zee News, Zee Business, the Development and Educational Communication Unit of the Indian Space Research Organisation, India TV, Lok Sabha TV, UTVi business news channel (owned by UTV Software Communications), Sahara Samay (owned by Sahara India Pariwar), Jain TV, Asianet, ETV, CNEB and other news and information providers.[5][6] Studies have included market research,[7][8] conflict resolution research,[9] and opinion polls.[10][11][12]
2022 State Elections
Goa
- Opinion polls
Date Published | Polling agency | Lead | Remarks | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NDA | UPA | AAP | AITC+ | Others | ||||
7 February 2022 | ABP News C-voter[13] | 14-18 | 10-14 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-8 | Hung |
10 January 2022 | ABP News C-voter[14] | 19-23 | 4-8 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 10-18 | Hung |
11 December 2021 | ABP News C-Voter[15] | 17-21 | 4-8 | 5-9 | 6-10 | 7-15 | Hung | |
12 November 2021 | ABP News C-voter[16] | 19-23 | 2-6 | 3-7 | 8-12 | 7-15 | Hung | |
8 October 2021 | ABP News C-voter[17] | 24-28 | 1-5 | 3-7 | 4-8 | 16-24 | BJP majority | |
3 Sept 2021 | ABP News C-voter[18] | 22-26 | 3-7 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 14-22 | BJP majority | |
10 March 2022 | Election results | 20 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | Hung |
- Exit polls
Manipur
- Opinion polls
Date Published | Polling agency | Lead | Remarks | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
INC | BJP | NPF | Others | ||||
10 January 2022 | ABP News C-Voter[20] | 22-26 | 23-27 | 2-6 | 5-9 | 0-5 | Hung |
11 December 2021 | ABP News C-Voter[21] | 23-27 | 29-33 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-10 | Hung |
12 November 2021 | ABP News C-Voter[22] | 20-24 | 25-29 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 1-9 | Hung |
8 October 2021 | ABP News C-Voter[23] | 21-25 | 26-30 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 1-9 | Hung |
3 September 2021 | ABP News C-Voter[24] | 18-22 | 32-36 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 10-18 | BJP majority |
10 March 2022 | Election results | 5 | 32 | 5 | 18 | 14 | NDA majority |
- Exit polls
Punjab
- Opinion Polls
Date published | Polling agency | Lead | Remarks | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UPA | AAP | SAD+ | NDA | Others | ||||
7 February 2022 | ABP News - C-Voter[26] | 24-30 | 55-63 | 20-26 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 25-39 | Hung |
10 January 2022 | ABP News - C-Voter[27] | 37-43 | 52-58 | 17-23 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 9-21 | Hung |
11 December 2021 | ABP News - C-Voter[28] | 39-45 | 50-56 | 17-23 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 5-16 | Hung |
12 November 2021 | ABP News - C-Voter[29] | 42-50 | 47-53 | 16-24 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-11 | Hung |
8 October 2021 | ABP News - C-Voter[30] | 39-47 | 49-55 | 17-25 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-16 | Hung |
4 September 2021 | ABP News - C-Voter[31] | 38-46 | 51-57 | 16-24 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5-19 | Hung |
19 March 2021 | ABP News - C-Voter[32] | 43-49 | 51-57 | 12-18 | 0-3 | 0-5 | 2-14 | Hung |
10 March 2022 | Election results | 18 | 92 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 74 | AAP Majority |
- Exit polls
Polling agency | Lead | Remarks | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UPA | AAP | SAD+ | NDA | Others | |||
ABP News - C Voter[33] | 22-28 | 51-61 | 20-26 | 7-13 | 1-5 | 23-39 | Hung |
Election results | 18 | 92 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 74 | AAP Majority |
Uttar Pradesh
- Opinion polls
Polling agency | NDA | Lead | Remarks | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date Published | SP+ | BSP | UPA | Others | |||||
18 March 2021 | ABP-CVoter[34][35] | 284-294 | 54-64 | 33-43 | 1-7 | 10-16 | 220-240 | NDA majority | |
3 September 2021 | ABP-CVoter[36] | 259-267 | 109-117 | 12-16 | 3-7 | 6-10 | 142-158 | NDA majority | |
8 October 2021 | ABP-CVoter[37] | 241-249 | 130-138 | 15-19 | 3-7 | 0-4 | 103-119 | NDA majority | |
13 November 2021 | ABP-CVoter[38] | 213-221 | 152-160 | 16-20 | 6-10 | NA | 53-69 | NDA majority | |
11 December 2021 | ABP-CVoter[39] | 212-224 | 151-163 | 12-24 | 2-10 | 2-6 | 49-73 | NDA majority | |
10 January 2022 | ABP-CVoter[40] | 223-235 | 145-157 | 8-16 | 3-7 | 4-8 | 66-90 | NDA majority | |
10 March 2022 | Election results | 273 | 125 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 178 | NDA majority |
- Exit polls
Uttarakhand
- Opinion polls
Date | Polling agency | Lead | Remarks | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NDA | UPA | AAP | Others | ||||
7 February 2022 | ABP News - C-Voter[42] | 31-37 | 30-36 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-7 | Hung |
10 January 2022 | ABP News - C-Voter[43][44] | 31-37 | 30-36 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-7 | Hung |
11 December 2021 | ABP News - C-Voter[45] | 33-39 | 29-35 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-10 | Hung |
12 November 2021 | ABP News - C-Voter[46] | 36-40 | 30-34 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-10 | BJP majority |
8 October 2021 | ABP News - C-Voter[47] | 42-46 | 21-25 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 17-25 | BJP majority |
3 September 2021 | ABP News - C-Voter[48] | 44-48 | 19-23 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 21-29 | BJP majority |
18 March 2021 | ABP News - C-Voter[49] | 24-30 | 32-38 | 2-8 | 0-9 | 2-14 | Hung |
10 March | Election results | 47 | 19 | 0 | 4 | 28 | NDA majority |
- Exit polls
2021 State Elections (West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Kerala, Assam & Puducherry)
Assam
Poll type | Date published | Polling agency | Lead | Ref. | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NDA | Mahajot | Others | |||||
Exit poll | 29 April 2021 | ABP News- CVoter | 58-71 | 53-66 | 0-5 | Hung | [51] |
Times Now-CVoter | 65 | 59 | 2 | 6 | [52] | ||
Opinion poll | 24 March 2021 | Times Now-CVoter | 65-73 | 52-60 | 0-4 | 5-21 | [53] |
ABP News- CVoter | 65-73 | 52-60 | 0-4 | 5-21 | [54] | ||
15 March 2021 | ABP News- CVoter | 64-72 | 52-60 | 0-2 | 4-20 | [55] | |
8 March 2021 | Times Now-CVoter | 67 | 57 | 2 | 10 | [56] | |
27 February 2021 | ABP News- CVoter | 68-76 | 47-55 | 0-3 | 13-29 | [57] | |
18 January 2021 | ABP News- CVoter | 73-81 | 41-49 | 0-4 | 24-40 | [58] | |
Election Results | Date published | Election Results | Lead | Ref. | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NDA | Mahajot | Independent | |||||
Election Results | 2 May 2021 | Election Results | 75 | 50 | 1 | 25 | [59] |
Kerala
Type of polls | Date published | Polling agency | Lead | Ref. | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LDF | UDF | NDA | |||||
Opinion Poll | 24 March 2021 | Mathrubhumi–CVoter | 73–83 | 56–66 | 0–1 | 2–12 | [60] |
Times Now–CVoter | 77 | 62 | 1 | 6 | [61] | ||
19 March 2021 | Mathrubhumi News–CVoter | 75-83 (79) | 55–60 (57) | 0–2 (1) | 4–12 (8) | [62] | |
15 March 2021 | ABP News–CVoter | 77–85 | 54–62 | 0–2 | 6–14 | [63] | |
8 March 2021 | Times Now–CVoter | 82 | 56 | 1 | 11 | [64] | |
27 February 2021 | ABP News–CVoter | 83–91 | 47–55 | 0–2 | 12–20 | [65] | |
18 January 2021 | ABP News–CVoter | 81–89 | 41–47 | 0–2 | 10–18 | [66] | |
Exit polls | 29 April 2021 | Times Now / ABP - C-Voter | 71 - 77 | 62 - 68 | 0 - 2 | 1 - 6 | [67] |
Election Results | Date published | Election Results | Lead | Ref. | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LDF | UDF | NDA | |||||
Election Results | 2 May 2021 | Election Results | 99 | 41 | 0 | 58 | [67] |
Tamil Nadu
Type of Poll | Date published | Polling agency | Lead | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DMK+ | AIADMK+ | AMMK+ | MNM+ | NTK | Others [a] | ||||
Opinion Poll | 24 Mar 21 | Times Now - CVoter[68] | 177 | 49 | 3 | 3 | – | 2 | 128 |
15 Mar 21 | ABP News - CVoter[69] | 161 - 169 | 53 - 61 | 1 - 5 | 2 - 6 | – | 3 - 7 | 100 - 116 | |
8 Mar 21 | Times Now- CVoter[70] | 158 | 65 | – | – | – | – | 88- 104 | |
27 Feb 21 | ABP News- CVoter[71] | 154 - 162 | 58 - 66 | 1 - 5 | 2 - 6 | – | 5 - 9 | 88- 104 | |
18 Jan 21 | ABP News- CVoter[72] | 158 - 166 | 60 - 68 | 2 - 6 | 0 - 4 | – | 0 - 4 | 90 - 106 | |
Exit polls | 29 Apr 21 | ABP/Times Now - CVoter[73][74] | 160 - 172 | 58 - 70 | 0 - 4 | 0 - 2 | 0 - 3 | 90 - 114 | |
Election Results | Date published | Election Results | Lead | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DMK+ | AIADMK+ | AMMK+ | MNM+ | NTK | Others [a] | ||||
Election Results | 2 May 2021 | Election Results | 159 | 75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 84 | |
West Bengal
Type of poll | Date published | Polling agency | Lead | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AITC+ | BJP+ | SM | Others | ||||
Opinion Poll | 24 March 2021 | Times Now C-Voter [75] | 152-168 | 104-120 | 18-26 | 0-2 | 32-64 |
15 March 2021 | ABP News - C Voter[76][77][78] | 150-166 | 98-114 | 23-31 | 3-5 | 36-52 | |
8 March 2021 | Times Now - C Voter[79] | 146-162 | 99-112 | 29-37 | 0 | 31-63 | |
27 February 2021 | ABP News - C Voter[80][81] | 148-164 | 92-108 | 31-39 | 1-5 | 40-72 | |
18 January 2021 | ABP News - CVoter[82] | 158 | 102 | 30 | 4 | 56 | |
Exit poll | 29 April 2021 | ABP News - C-Voter[83][84] | 152-164 | 109-121 | 14-25 | - | 31-55 |
2021 Desh Ka Mood by Team Cvoter & ABP News
ABP News-CVoter gauges the nation's sentiments with ‘Desh ka Mood’ Survey[85]
58% of people favor NDA government, 28% favor UPA: ABP News’ Desh Ka Mood survey [86]
Naveen country's best CM [87]
2020 Trust on Media Institutions
CVoter carried out a survey Trust on Indian media institutions [88][89][90][91][92]
Indian readers place higher credibility to newspapers, survey finds[93]
2020 Bihar elections
Bihar Assembly polls: It had projected 104-128 seats for the NDA and 108-131 seats for the opposition grand alliance. NDA secured a total of 125 seats (37.26% votes) while MGB won 110 seats (37.23% votes).[94][95] [96][97][98]
Polling type | Date | Polling Agency | Majority | Ref | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NDA | MGB | LJP | Others | |||||
Opinion poll | ||||||||
24 October 2020 | ABP-CVoter | 135-159 | 77-98 | 5-13 | 13-37 | [99] | ||
12 October 2020 | Times Now-CVoter | 160 | 76 | 7 | 39 | [100] | ||
25 September 2020 | ABP-CVoter | 141-161 | 64-84 | 13-23 | 20–40 | [101] | ||
Exit poll | ||||||||
Times Now-CVoter | 116 | 120 | 1 | 6 | HUNG | [102] | ||
ABP News-CVoter | 104-128 | 108-131 | 1-3 | 4-8 | HUNG | |||
Election Results | 10 November 2020 | 125 | 110 | 1 | 7 | NDA |
2021 State Elections (West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Kerala, Assam)
May 2016 saw elections in Bengal, Assam, Tamil Nadu and Kerala. CVoter was the only one of five polling agencies to predict the Tamil Nadu outcome correctly.[103]
2016 United States elections
Summarize
Perspective
The UPI/CVoter poll wrongly predicted a Hillary Clinton victory in the 2016 United States presidential election.[104] When the results were declared Donald Trump won the election.
Agency | Prediction | Actual Winner | Prediction accuracy |
---|---|---|---|
UPI/CVoter | Hillary Clinton | Donald Trump | ![]() |
Poll source | Date | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Leading by % |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UPI/CVoter[105] | 1 – 7 November 2016 | 48.7% | 46.2% | 2.5 | 1,728 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter[106] | 30 October – 5 November 2016 | 49% | 46% | 3 | 1,572 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter[107] | 29 October – 4 November 2016 | 49% | 48% | 1 | 1,497 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter[108] | 28 October – 3 November 2016 | 49% | 48% | 1 | 1,395 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter[109] | 27 October – 2 November 2016 | 49% | 48% | 1 | 1,329 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter[110] | 26 October – 1 November 2016 | 49% | 48% | 1 | 1,383 | ±3.0% |
UPI/CVoter[111] | 24–30 October 2016 | 49% | 48% | 1 | 1,299 | ±3.0% |
UPI/CVoter[112] | 23–29 October 2016 | 48% | 48% | Tied | 1,317 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter[113] | 20–26 October 2016 | 49% | 47% | 2 | 1,363 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter[114] | 19–25 October 2016 | 49% | 47% | 2 | 1,349 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter[115] | 17–23 October 2016 | 49% | 46% | 3 | 1,414 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter[116] | 11–17 October 2016 | 51% | 46% | 5 | 1,326 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter[117] | 10–16 October 2016 | 50% | 46% | 4 | 1,325 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter[118] | 7–13 October 2016 | 50% | 45% | 5 | 1,482 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter[119] | 4–10 October 2016 | 50% | 44% | 6 | 1,367 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter[120] | 3–9 October 2016 | 49% | 44% | 5 | 1,801 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter[121] | 30 September – 6 October 2016 | 48% | 47% | 1 | 1,774 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter[122] | 28 September – 4 October 2016 | 47% | 48% | 1 | 1,274 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter[123] | 26 September – 2 October 2016 | 47% | 49% | 2 | 1,285 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter[124] | 23–29 September 2016 | 47% | 49% | 2 | 1,236 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter[125] | 21–27 September 2016 | 48% | 48% | Tied | 1,239 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter[126] | 19–25 September 2016 | 48% | 47% | 1 | 1,052 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter[127] | 12–18 September 2016 | 48% | 47% | 1 | 1,203 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter[128] | 10–16 September 2016 | 47% | 47% | Tied | 1,246 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter[129] | 9–15 September 2016 | 47% | 48% | 1 | 1,229 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter[130] | 8–14 September 2016 | 47% | 48% | 1 | 1,265 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter[131] | 7–13 September 2016 | 47% | 48% | 1 | 1,245 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter[132] | 6–12 September 2016 | 46% | 49% | 3 | 1,232 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter[133] | 5–11 September 2016 | 46% | 49% | 3 | 1,260 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter[134] | 2–8 September 2016 | 46% | 48% | 2 | 1,256 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter[135] | 1–7 September 2016 | 47% | 48% | 1 | 1,226 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter[136] | 31 August – 6 September 2016 | 47% | 47% | Tied | 1,262 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter[137] | 30 August – 5 September 2016 | 48% | 46% | 2 | 1,220 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter[138] | 29 August – 4 September 2016 | 49% | 47% | 2 | 1,237 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter[139] | 28 August – 3 September 2016 | 49% | 46% | 3 | 1,242 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter[140] | 24–30 August 2016 | 49% | 46% | 3 | 1,162 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter[141] | 23–29 August 2016 | 50% | 47% | 3 | 1,173 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter[142] | 22–28 August 2016 | 50% | 47% | 3 | 1,145 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter[143] | 21–27 August 2016 | 50% | 47% | 3 | 1,682 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter[144] | 18–24 August 2016 | 48% | 49% | 1 | 1,720 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter[145] | 17–23 August 2016 | 48% | 48% | Tied | 1,737 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter[146] | 16–22 August 2016 | 48% | 48% | Tied | 1,752 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter[147] | 15–21 August 2016 | 48% | 47% | 1 | 1,795 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter[148] | 14–20 August 2016 | 48% | 47% | 1 | 1,191 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter[149] | 11–17 August 2016 | 50% | 46% | 4 | 1,009 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter[150] | 9–16 August 2016 | 51% | 44% | 7 | 1,069 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter[151] | 9–15 August 2016 | 51% | 44% | 7 | 1,035 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter[152] | 7–14 August 2016 | 50% | 45% | 5 | 975 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter[153] | 7–13 August 2016 | 49% | 46% | 3 | 1,403 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter[154] | 3–10 August 2016 | 49% | 45% | 4 | 1,077 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter[155] | 3–9 August 2016 | 48% | 46% | 2 | 1,002 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter[156] | 2–8 August 2016 | 49% | 45% | 4 | 993 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter[157] | 1–7 August 2016 | 49% | 44% | 5 | 1,407 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter[158] | 31 July – 6 August 2016 | 50% | 43% | 7 | 1,036 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter[159] | 29 July – 4 August 2016 | 50% | 44% | 6 | 1,060 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter[160] | 27 July – 2 August 2016 | 49% | 46% | 3 | 989 | ± 3.0% |
2009 Indian general elections
The CVoter exit poll projections for India TV showed the UPA with 189–201 seats. It gives the Congress 149–155, the DMK between 9 and 13, the NCP 12–16 and the Trinamool between 12 and 16. The poll showed the BJP-led Front getting between 183 and 195 seats. It includes the BJP (140–146), the JD (U) 17–21.[161] In the end, in 2009 Indian general election, UPA got 262 (Congress – 206) and NDA 159 (BJP – 116).
2004 Indian general elections
The CVoter exit poll projections for Star News predicted NDA getting between 267–279 and Congress+Allies between 169 and 181.[162][163] In the end, in 2004 Indian general election, Congress+Allies (UPA) got 218 (Congress 145) and NDA got 181 (BJP – 138).[citation needed]
Controversy
CVoter allegedly carried out tracking polls for Indian news networks Times Now, India Today & India TV. A television news channel claimed in a sting operation conducted by it that some of the agencies which conduct opinion polls before elections are willing to tweak their findings for money.[164][165] It included global giants like Ipsos and CVoter. After the expose, India Today Group suspended its CVoter contract.[166][167]
Notes
References
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