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Microlife

Unit of risk – half an hour of life expectancy From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Microlife
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A microlife is a unit of risk representing half an hour change of life expectancy.[1]

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Graphic representation of microlives

Discussed by David Spiegelhalter and Alejandro Leiva, and also used by Lin et al.[2] for decision analysis, microlives are intended as a simple way of communicating the impact of a lifestyle or environmental risk factor, based on the associated daily proportional effect on expected length of life. Similar to the micromort (one in a million probability of death) the microlife is intended for "rough but fair comparisons between the sizes of chronic risks".[1] This is to avoid the biasing effects of describing risks in relative hazard ratios, converting them into somewhat tangible units. Similarly they bring long-term future risks into the here-and-now as a gain or loss of time.

"A daily loss or gain of 30 minutes can be termed a microlife, because 1 000 000 half hours (57 years) roughly corresponds to a lifetime of adult exposure."[1]

The microlife exploits the fact that for small hazard ratios the change in life expectancy is roughly linear.[3] They are by necessity rough estimates, based on averages over population and lifetime. Effects of individual variability, short-term or changing habits, and causal factors are not taken into account.[citation needed]

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Examples

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