2011 Mississippi gubernatorial election

See also: 2011 United States gubernatorial elections

The 2011 Mississippi gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2011. Incumbent Republican Governor of Mississippi Haley Barbour was unable to run for a third term due to term limits.

2011 Mississippi gubernatorial election

← 2007 November 8, 2011 2015 →

Nominee Phil Bryant Johnny DuPree Party Republican Democratic Electoral vote 82 40 Popular vote 544,851 348,617 Percentage 60.98% 39.02%

County results Bryant:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80% DuPree:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

Governor before election Haley Barbour Republican Elected Governor Phil Bryant Republican

Republican nominee Lieutenant Governor Phil Bryant defeated the Democratic nominee, Hattiesburg Mayor Johnny DuPree. Sworn in on January 10, 2012, Bryant became only the third Republican governor of Mississippi since Reconstruction. This is the first election in which Republicans won three consecutive gubernatorial elections in the state. This was also the first time that Issaquena County and Benton County voted Republican since Reconstruction.

Republican primary

Candidates

• James Broadwater, businessman
• Phil Bryant, lieutenant governor of Mississippi
• Dave Dennis, former New Orleans Federal Reserve Board chairman
• Hudson Holliday, Pearl River County Supervisor
• Ron Williams, businessman

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Phil Bryant	Dave Dennis	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling[1]	March 24–27, 2011	400	± 4.9%	63%	14%	3%[2]	20%

Results

Republican primary results^[3]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Phil Bryant	172,300	59.46
	Republican	Dave Dennis	74,546	25.72
	Republican	Ron Williams	25,555	8.82
	Republican	Hudson Holliday	13,761	4.75
	Republican	James Broadwater	3,626	1.25
Total votes			289,788	100.00

Democratic primary

Candidates

• William Bond Compton Jr., 2007 candidate for governor
• Johnny DuPree, Hattiesburg mayor
• Bill Luckett, businessman and attorney
• Guy Dale Shaw

Results

Results by county

  DuPree

•   30–40%
•   40–50%
•   50–60%
•   60–70%
•   70–80%
•   80–90%
•   >90%

  Luckett

•   40–50%
•   50–60%
•   60–70%
•   70–80%

  Shaw

•   40–50%

Democratic primary results^[4]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Johnny DuPree	179,748	43.57
	Democratic	Bill Luckett	161,833	39.23
	Democratic	William Bond Compton, Jr.	40,452	9.81
	Democratic	Guy Dale Shaw	30,497	7.39
Total votes			412,530	100.00

Runoff results

Results by county

  DuPree

•   50–60%
•   60–70%
•   70–80%
•   80–90%
•   >90%

  Luckett

•   50–60%
•   60–70%
•   70–80%

Tie

•   50–60%

Democratic primary runoff results^[5]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Johnny DuPree	177,767	54.99
	Democratic	Bill Luckett	145,517	45.01
Total votes			323,284	100.00

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
Rothenberg Political Report[6]	Safe R	November 4, 2011
Governing[7]	Safe R	November 4, 2011
Cook[8]	Safe R	November 4, 2011
Sabato[9]	Safe R	November 4, 2011

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Phil Bryant (R)	Johnny DuPree (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling[10]	November 4–6, 2011	796	± 3.5%	54%	40%	—	6%
Public Policy Polling[11]	March 24–27, 2011	817	± 3.4%	56%	25%	—	19%

Hypothetical polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Dave Dennis (R)	Johnny DuPree (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling[11]	March 24–27, 2011	817	± 3.4%	41%	28%	—	31%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Hudson Holliday (R)	Johnny DuPree (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling[11]	March 24–27, 2011	817	± 3.4%	37%	28%	—	35%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Phil Bryant (R)	Bill Luckett (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling[11]	March 24–27, 2011	817	± 3.4%	53%	27%	—	20%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Dave Dennis (R)	Bill Luckett (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling[11]	March 24–27, 2011	817	± 3.4%	43%	27%	—	32%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Hudson Holliday (R)	Bill Luckett (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling[11]	March 24–27, 2011	817	± 3.4%	38%	28%	—	34%

Results

Candidate		Party	Popular vote		Electoral vote
			Votes	%	Votes	%
	Phil Bryant	Republican Party	544,851	60.98	82	67.21
	Johnny DuPree	Democratic Party	348,617	39.02	40	32.79
Total			893,468	100.00	122	100.00
Source: Mississippi Secretary of State

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

• Adams (largest city: Natchez)

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

• Benton (largest municipality: Ashland)
• Chickasaw (largest city: Houston)
• Copiah (largest city: Hazlehurst)
• Issaquena (largest city: Mayersville)
• Jasper (largest city: Bay Springs)
• Prentiss (largest city: Booneville)
• Wayne (largest municipality: Waynesboro)
• Winston (largest city: Louisville)

See also

• 2011 United States elections