Next Castilian-Leonese regional election

A regional election will be held in Castile and León no later than Saturday, 21 March 2026, to elect the 12th Cortes of the autonomous community. All 81 seats in the Cortes will be up for election. The electoral calendar of Castile and León was altered as a result of the 2022 snap election, meaning the election will be held in a date different from that of the regularly scheduled May regional and elections in 2023.

Next Castilian-Leonese regional election

← 2022 No later than 21 March 2026
All 81 seats in the Cortes of Castile and León 41 seats needed for a majority
Leader Alfonso Fernández Mañueco Carlos Martínez David Hierro Party PP PSOE Vox Leader since 1 April 2017 9 January 2025 3 February 2025 Leader's seat Salamanca — Palencia Last election 31 seats, 31.4% 28 seats, 30.0% 13 seats, 17.6% Current seats 31 28 11 Seats needed 10 13 30   Leader Alicia Gallego Ángel Ceña Pablo Fernández Party UPL EV–SY Podemos–IU–AV Leader since 14 June 2025 10 January 2022 14 February 2015 Leader's seat León Soria Valladolid Last election 3 seats, 4.3% 3 seats, 3.2% 1 seat, 5.1% Current seats 3 3 1 Seats needed N/A[a] 38 40   Leader Pedro Pascual TBD Party XAV CS Leader since 9 April 2019 — Leader's seat Ávila — Last election 1 seat, 1.1% 1 seat, 4.5% Current seats 1 0 Seats needed N/A[b] 41
Constituency results map for the Cortes of Castile and León
Incumbent President Alfonso Fernández Mañueco PP

Overview

Electoral system

The Cortes of Castile and León are the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Castile and León, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Castilian-Leonese Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.^[1] Voting for the Cortes is on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprises all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Castile and León and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Amendments to the electoral law in 2022 abolished the "begged" or expat vote system (Spanish: Voto rogado), under which Spaniards abroad were required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote.^[2] The expat vote system was attributed responsibility for a major decrease in the turnout of Spaniards abroad during the years it had been in force.^[3]

All members of the Cortes of Castile and León are elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of three percent of valid votes—which includes blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Seats are allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Ávila, Burgos, León, Palencia, Salamanca, Segovia, Soria, Valladolid and Zamora, with each being allocated an initial minimum of three seats, as well as one additional member per each 45,000 inhabitants or fraction greater than 22,500.^[1][4]

As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each Cortes constituency is entitled the following seats:

Seats	Constituencies
15	Valladolid
13	León
11	Burgos
10	Salamanca
7	Ávila, Palencia, Zamora
6	Segovia
5	Soria

In smaller constituencies, the use of the electoral method results in an effective threshold based on the district magnitude and the distribution of votes among candidacies.^[5]

Election date

The term of the Cortes of Castile and León expires four years after the date of their previous election, unless they are dissolved earlier. The election decree shall be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of Castile and León (BOCYL), with election day taking place between the fifty-fourth and sixtieth days from publication. The previous election was held on 13 February 2022, which means that the legislature's term will expire on 13 February 2026. The election decree shall be published in the BOCYL no later than 20 January 2026, with the election taking place up to the sixtieth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Cortes on Saturday, 21 March 2026.^[1][4][6]

The president has the prerogative to dissolve the Cortes of Castile and León and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence is in process and that dissolution does not occur either during the first legislative session or before one year has elapsed since a previous dissolution. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Cortes shall be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.^[1]

Parliamentary composition

The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the Cortes at the present time.^[7]

Current parliamentary composition

Groups		Parties		Legislators
				Seats	Total
	People's Parliamentary Group		PP	31	31
	Socialist Parliamentary Group		PSOE	28	28
	Vox Castile and León Parliamentary Group		Vox	11	11
	Leonese People's Union– Soria Now! Group		UPL	3	6
			SY	3
	Mixed Group		Podemos	1	3
			XAV	1
			IzqEsp	1[c]
	Non-Inscrits		INDEP	2[d]	2

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allows for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election are required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors need to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they seek election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.^[4][6]

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which will likely contest the election:

Candidacy		Parties and alliances	Leading candidate		Ideology	Previous result		Gov.	Ref.
						Vote %	Seats
	PP	List People's Party (PP)		Alfonso Fernández Mañueco	Conservatism Christian democracy	31.4%	31
	PSOE	List Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE)		Carlos Martínez	Social democracy	30.0%	28		[10] [11] [12]
	Vox	List Vox (Vox)		David Hierro	Right-wing populism Ultranationalism National conservatism	17.6%	13		[13] [14]
	Podemos– IU–AV	List We Can (Podemos) United Left of Castile and León (IUCyL) – Communist Party of Castile and León (PCCyL) – The Dawn. Marxist Organization OM (La Aurora (om)) – Republican Left (IR) Green Alliance (AV)		Pablo Fernández	Left-wing populism Direct democracy Democratic socialism	5.1%	1
	CS	List Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (CS)		TBD	Liberalism	4.5%	1		[8]
	UPL	List Leonese People's Union (UPL)		Alicia Gallego	Regionalism Autonomism	4.3%	3		[15]
	EV–SY	List Soria Now! (SY) Burgos Roots (Burgos Enraíza) Clean Plateau (Meseta Limpia) Aprodespa (Aprodespa)		Ángel Ceña	Localism Ruralism	3.2%	3
	XAV	List For Ávila (XAV)		Pedro Pascual	Regionalism	1.1%	1

Opinion polls

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Graphical summary

Local regression trend line of poll results from 13 February 2022 to the present day, with each line corresponding to a political party.

Voting intention estimates

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 41 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Cortes of Castile and León.

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout						UPL				SALF	Lead
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 1]	28 Jun–28 Jul 2025	1,375	?	43.4 41	33.9 29	10.4 5	3.0 1	0.6 0	2.7 2	0.9 2	0.8 1	2.5 0	–	9.5
Sigma Dos/RTVCyL[p 2]	27 May–7 Jun 2025	2,700	?	36.7 35/38	30.1 27/30	13.2 8	7.9 3/4	–	4.9 3	0.9 1/2	0.5 0/1	–	–	6.6
NC Report/La Razón[p 3]	16–31 May 2025	450	?	? 39	28.6 24	? 10	? 1	–	? 4	? 2	? 1	–	–	?
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 4]	9–25 Apr 2025	1,223	?	36.8 36/38	29.2 27/28	13.2 8/9	7.1 2/3	0.3 0	3.7 3	1.0 1/2	0.8 0/1	–	–	7.6
NC Report/La Razón[p 5]	15–18 Jul 2024	1,000	59.7	42.1 41/43	29.3 25/27	12.7 7/9	–	0.5 0	4.6 3/4	1.4 2	1.0 0/1	3.3 1	–	12.8
Data10/OKDiario[p 6]	15–17 Jul 2024	1,500	?	42.3 41	30.8 26	9.3 8	3.2 0	1.2 0	4.4 3	1.2 2	1.0 1	–	–	11.5
2024 EP election	9 Jun 2024	—	51.5	44.6 (46)	30.5 (28)	10.5 (7)	2.4 (0)	0.8 (0)	–	0.6 (0)	–	2.9 (0)	4.0 (0)	14.1
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 7]	26 Aug–26 Sep 2023	1,375	?	40.4 37	36.1 32	8.6 4	6.7 2	4.8 1	2.7 2	1.1 2	0.8 1	–	–	4.3
2023 general election	23 Jul 2023	—	69.4	41.5 (39)	32.3 (28)	13.8 (9)	[e]	–	1.6 (1)	0.7 (1)	0.5 (0)	7.0 (3)	–	9.2
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 8]	14 Dec–17 Jan 2023	741	?	35.1 32	31.8 32	12.0 9	5.5 2	5.8 1	3.6 2	1.2 2	1.0 1	–	–	3.3
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 9]	14 Sep–29 Oct 2022	587	?	33.6 31	32.0 31	13.5 11	5.4 2	5.6 1	3.6 2	1.2 2	1.0 1	–	–	1.6
2022 regional election	13 Feb 2022	—	58.8	31.4 31	30.0 28	17.6 13	5.1 1	4.5 1	4.3 3	3.2 3	1.1 1	–	–	1.4

Voting preferences

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size						UPL				SALF	?	N	Lead
CIS[p 10]	7–31 Mar 2025	1,067	24.0	30.7	6.1	2.2	–	1.6	0.2	–	2.0	0.6	23.9	4.0	6.7
2024 EP election	9 Jun 2024	—	24.5	16.7	5.8	1.3	0.5	–	0.3	–	1.6	2.2	—	44.5	7.8
2023 general election	23 Jul 2023	—	30.7	23.8	10.2	[e]	–	1.2	0.7	0.4	5.2	–	—	25.6	6.9
2022 regional election	13 Feb 2022	—	19.7	18.9	11.1	3.2	2.8	2.7	2.0	0.7	–	–	—	36.6	0.8

Preferred President

The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Regional Government of Castile and León.

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size					Other/ None/ Not care	?	Lead
			Mañueco PP	Tudanca PSOE	Martínez PSOE	Hierro Vox
CIS[p 10]	7–31 Mar 2025	1,067	13.9	8.4	9.1	2.5	5.6	60.6	4.8

Predicted President

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood for each leader to become president of the Regional Government of Castile and León.

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size			Other/ None/ Not care	?	Lead
			Mañueco PP	Martínez PSOE
Sigma Dos/RTVCyL[p 2]	27 May–7 Jun 2025	2,700	68.5	15.5	–	–	53.0

Notes

1. UPL does not field candidates outside of León (13 seats), Salamanca (10 seats) and Zamora (7 seats) and therefore cannot obtain a majority in parliament.
2. XAV does not field candidates outside of Ávila (7 seats) and Valladolid (15 seats) and therefore cannot obtain a majority in parliament.
3. Francisco Igea, former CS legislator.^[8]
4. Ana Rosa Hernando and Javier Teira, former Vox legislators.^[9]
5. Within Sumar.