Opinion polling for the 2018 Mexican general election

Opinion polling was carried out prior to the 2018 Mexican general election.

The 2018 Mexican election features nine registered political parties, including the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI), National Action Party (PAN), Party of the Democratic Revolution (PRD), and the newly formed National Regeneration Movement (Morena).

Coalition backgrounds

Todos por México

PRI, which held the presidency from 1929 to 2000 and is currently in power under President Peña Nieto, is primarily a center-right party. It will be contesting the elections in a coalition alongside the Ecological Green Party of Mexico and the New Alliance Party (Mexico) under the coalition "Todos por México" ("Everyone for Mexico").

Por México al Frente

PAN is a center-right, Christian democracy^[1] party which held the presidency in 2 sexenios from 2000-2012.

PRD grew out of the PRI in 1986 as the leftists who created the Corriente Democrática (Democratic Current) within PRI split off. It came quite close to claiming the presidency in 2006. Surprisingly, the PRD decided to form a coalition with the right-wing PAN, and they will contest the elections alongside Citizens' Movement in a coalition called "Por México al Frente" ("For Mexico, to the Front").^[2][3][4][5]

Juntos Haremos Historia

MORENA, created in 2014 by Andrés Manuel López Obrador, affectionately called AMLO, is a left-leaning party which split from the PRD.^[6] It will contest the elections as a coalition with the Labor Party (PT) and the Social Encounter Party (PES), called "Juntos Haremos Historia" ("Together we'll make history").

By coalitions

Pollster	Date					Other	None	Not mentioned
Mitofsky[citation needed]	July 2017	21.7%	16.7%	15.9%	5.5%	3.0%		37.2%
Mitofsky	August 2017	21.2%	16.4%	14.8%	4%	3.9%		39.7%
Parametría[7]	September 2017	32%	23%	15%			14%	16%
Reforma[8]	September 2017	24%	31%	28%	8%
México Elige[9]	October 2017	22.5%	36.1%	21.8%	11.4%			8.2%
El Financiero[10]	November 2017	18%	24%	22%			21%	15%
El Economista[11]	December 2017	23.1%	22.6%	21.4%	7.4%	0.6%		24.9%
Parametría[12]	January 2018	32%	42%	26%	12%			18%
Arias Consultores[13]	January 2018	18.1%	50.1%	15.5%	6.5%			9.8%
SABA[14]	Feb 4-12, 2018	12.3%	38.5%	10.3%	11.3%			29%
Revista 32[15]	Feb 15-16, 2018	18.1%	46.2%	18.0%	5.8%			11.8%
Revista 32[16]	Mar 19-23, 2018	15.9%	44.6%	17.8%	6.6%			15.1%
Parametría[17]	Mar 23-28, 2018	25%	36%	20%	7%	5%	5%	2%
Revista 32[18]	April 23-25, 2018	18.1%	46.9%	13.6%	4.1%		17.3%

By candidates (January–June 2018)

Historical trend of voting intentions for the candidates for the Mexican presidency in 2018.

Agency	Date	Obrador	Anaya	Meade	Zavala	Rodríguez	Other/None
Parametría[19]	January	31%	19%	20%	10%	2%	19%
SDP Noticias[20]	Jan 7-9	38.1%	17.7%	26.1%	7.9%	2.9%	7.3%
Mitofsky[21]	January	23.6%	20.4%	18.2%			10%
Focus Asesores[22][23]	January	47%	11%	11%	5%	2%	28%
Arias Consultores[24]	Jan 23-25	56.2%	14.3%	16.3%	6.5%	2.5%	4.1%
El Universal[25]	Jan 19-25	32%	26%	16%	4%	2%	4.1%
El Financiero[26]	Jan 27-31	38%	27%	22%	7%	3%	3%
Parametría[27]	Jan 25-Feb 2	34%	23%	18%	7%	2%	16%
Mendoza Blanco[28]	Feb 2-4	30%	26%	16%	3%	2%	23%
SDP Noticias[29]	Feb 2-6	38.4%	19.5%	25.7%	7.2%	2.6%	6.8%
Mitofksy[30]	Feb 9-11	27.1%	22.3%	18.0%
Reforma[31]	Feb 8-11	33%	25%	14%	4%	2%	22%
SABA[32]	Feb 4-12	38.3%	12.5%	10.3%	8.0%	1.9%	29%
Parámetro[33]	Feb 9-11	30.5%	23.8%	23.3%	3.9%	2.0%	16.5%
Fox News[34]	Feb 9-11	40%	31%	20%			9%
Revista 32[35]	Feb 15-16	48.2%	16.3%	17.8%	4.2%	2.5%	10.9%
Massive Caller[36]	February	30.55%	24.78%	15.4%	7.23%	2%	20.04%
El Pais[37]	March	37.8%	29.2%	23.8%	5.7%	2.6%
Parametría[38]	Feb 24-Mar 1	35%	21%	16%	10%	5%	13%
Bloomberg[39]	March 8	42.2%	27.4%	20.6%	4%	1.6%
Indemerc[40]	March 8-10	44.1%	15.1%	10.9%	8.2%	2%	19.7%
El Financiero[41]	March 9-14	42%	23%	24%	7%	2%	2%
Arias Consultores[42]	March 19-23	47.8%	14.6%	18.1%	6.2%		13.2%
Parametría[43]	March 23-28	38%	20%	16%	13%
Gii 360[44]	March 30-April 3	43%	19%	13%	7%		18%
Berumen y Asociados[45]	April 3–5	42%	31.1%	21.9%	5%
SDP Noticias[46]	April 11–14	41.9%	19.7%	22.7%	9%	2.5%
Reforma[47]	April 12–15	48%	26%	18%	5%	3%
Bloomberg[48]	April 15	47.8%	26.6%	17.9%	5.1%
SDP Noticias[49]	April 25–28	41.4%	24.7%	22.2%	4.8%	3.1%	3.8%
Revista 32[50]	April 23–25	50.9%	17.8%	13.5%	2.2%	2.8%	13.8%
La Silla Rota[51]	April 25-28	45%	29%	18%	5%	3%
Reforma[52]	April 26-30	48%	30%	17%	3%	2%
Varela y Asociados[53]	April 28-May 4	47.5%	33.1%	16.2%	1.7%	1.4%
El Financiero[54]	April 26-May 2	46%	26%	20%	5%	3%
Ipsos[55]	May 11-15	43%	24%	16%		2%	15%
SDP Noticias[56]	May 18-19	42.4%	25.8%	24.2%	0.6%	3.3%	3.7%
Eje Central[57]	May 21-22	49%	26%	21%		4%
Reforma[58]	May 24-27	52%	26%	19%		4%
Parametría[59]	May 23-29	54%	24%	17%	3%	2%
Varela y Asociados[60]	May 30-June 4	50.6%	29.5%	17.6%		2.2%
BGC[61]	May 31-June 4	47%	29%	21%		3%
De Las Heras Demotecnia[62]	June 10-13	50%	25%	19%	5%	1%
Arias Consultores[63]	June 13-15	62%	19.8%	13.7%		3.3%
Reforma[64]	June 20-24	51%	27%	19%		3%
BGC[65]	June 22-25	49%	26%	21%		4%
El Financiero[66]	June 15-23	54%	21%	22%		3%
Presidential election	July 1	53.19%	22.28%	16.41%	0.06%	5.23%

By candidates (April–December 2017)

Pollsters	Date	Obrador	Zavala	Chong	Mancera	Rodríguez	Anaya	Ávila	Valle	Nuño	Meade	Other	None	Not mentioned
El Financiero	April 2017	29%	32%	27%	8%	4%
El Universal	April 2017	33%	27%	13%	6%	4%
		32%		16%	6%		20%
		32%	26%		6%			13%
GEA-ISA	June 2017	18%	6%	4%	2%		7%	5%	4%
Reforma	July 2017	31%	26%	15%	7%							1%	15%	5%
		30%	26%	14%	6%	5%						1%	14%	4%
		30%	27%	14%		9%						1%	14%	5%
		32%		17%		8%	17%					1%	20%	5%
		33%		17%	16%	8%						1%	19%	6%
El Financiero	July 2017	30%	28%	24%	10%	8%
Mitofsky	August 2017	25.9%	19.7%	14.8%	4.4%	4.6%
		24.9%		15.4%	5.2%	3.8%	20.5%
		26.3%		15.7%	4.5%	4.9%			19.8%
		25.9%	18.7%		5.1%	5%				13.6%
		26.2%	19.3%		5%	4.5%					12.8%
		25.6%			4.9%	5.2%	20.1%				13.1%
México Elige[9]	October 2017	36.7%	14.7%	19.6%	5.3%	2.2%
Reforma	November 2017	31%	8%			2%	19%				17%	1%	10%	12%
GCE[67][68]	December 2017	27.8%	9.7%		6.3%	4.2%	9.2%				21.5%	0.3%	7.5%	13.5%
Massive Caller[69]	December 2017	27.2%	9%			9%	18.1%				20.4%	4.3%		18.2%

By political parties

Pollster	Date	PRI	PAN	PRD	MORENA	PT	PVEM	MC	NA	PES		Other	No-one	Not mentioned
Parametría	August 2015	29%	23%	9%	21%		8%	5%	2%	3%
GEA-ISA	March 2016	33%	16%	7%	7%							4%	17%	18%
Mitofsky	March 2016	21.5%	16.4%	10.8%	11.7%	0.6%	1.1%	1.8%	0.6%	0.5%	4.3%		14%	16.7%
Mitofsky	May 2016	22.3%	18.6%	8.7%	12.1%	0.8%	1.2%	1.9%	0.7%	0.9%	4.6%			28.2%
GEA-ISA	June 2016	28%	19%	5%	11%							6%	11%	21%
El Financiero	June 2016	29%	28%	8%	19%	1%	3%	2%	3%	1%	6%
Mitofsky	July 2016	19.6	20%	8.1%	12.2%	1.1%	1.3%	1.9%	1%	1.1%	2.8%			30.9%
Reforma	August 2016	22%	27%	6%	18%		5%	3%			11%	8%
GEA-ISA	September 2016	22%	23%	8%	9%							7%	15%	15%
Parametría	September 2016	27%	30%	10%	21%	2%	5%	1%	2%	2%	3%
Mitofsky	September 2016	19.5%	20.2%	7.8%	12.1%	1.1%	1.3%	1.6%	0.9%	1%	3.3%			31.2%
El Financiero	November 2016	28%	29%	11%	18%						5%
Reforma	December 2016	22%	27%	5%	22%		3%	5%			11%	5%
Massive Caller	January 2017	12.8%	20.48%	5.5%	21.68%		1.6%				8.5%	5.2%		23.9%
Reforma[permanent dead link]	January 2017	17%	24%	10%	27%		2%	4%			10%	6%
El Financiero	February 2017	22%	25%	9%	25%	3%	3%	3%	3%	1%	6%
Mitofsky	February 2017	13%	18.8%	5.1%	15.9%	0.8%	1.4%	1.7%	1.1%	0.7%	3.0%			38.5%
México Elige	February 2017	12.4%	21.0%	1.2%	36.9%	0.2%	0.4%	3%	0.5%	0.6%	14.5%
GEA-ISA	March 2017	19%	20%	7%	15%							5%	17%	18%
El Financiero	April 2017	28%	29%	10%	21%	1%	3%	2%	1%	1%	4%
Excelsior	April 2017	19%	21%	8%	26%						2%			24%
El Universal	April 2017	13%	27%	6%	33%						4%
El Universal	April 2017	13%	23%	6%	24%	3%	4%	4%	4%	2%				17%
Parametría[12]	January 2018	25%	24%	5%	30%						12%	18%
SDP Noticias[29]	Feb 2-6, 2018	20.6%	13.6%	2.8%	36.0%	1.1%	2.7%	3.1%	2.4%	1.3%	11.2%	5.4%
SABA[70]	Feb 4-12	9.4%	9.9%	1.7%	30.4%	0.4%	0.8%	1.6%	0.1%		8.4%	0.6%	15.7%	16.8%
Parametría[17]	Mar 23-28	15%	15%	5%	29%	3%	2%	3%	3%	1%	6%	1%	2%	15%
Gii 360[71]	March 30-April 3, 2018	12%	14%	2%	34%	1%	1%	2%	1%	1%	6%	26%