Opinion polling for the 2019 Belgian federal election

In the run up to the 2019 Belgian federal election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Belgium. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous federal election, held on 25 May 2014, to the present day. The results of the opinion polls conducted on a nationwide basis are usually split into separate numbers for the three Belgian regions. They are therefore split across the tables in the sections below, but seat projections for the Belgian Chamber are presented together.

Flanders

The graph and the table below show the results for the opinion polls conducted in the Flemish Region, and for polls conducted nationwide the part of the results related to the Flemish Region.

Summary of poll results given below from the election result 25 May 2014. Lines give the mean estimated by a LOESS smoother (smoothing set to span = 0.5).

Date(s) conducted	Polling firm	Newspaper	Sample size	N-VA	Vlaams Belang	CD&V	Open Vld	sp.a	Groen	PVDA	Others	Lead	Gov.	Opp.	Lead
26 May 2019	2019 federal election			24.8%	18.5%	15.4%	13.1%	10.4%	10.1%	5.3%	2.4%	6.3%	28.5%	69.1%	40.6%
6–14 May 2019	Ipsos	RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws [1]	1,003	28.1%	14.8%	17.1%	11.2%	11%	12.1%	4.7%	1%	11.0%	28.3%	71.7%	43.4%
25 Mar–14 Apr 2019	Kantar	VRT / De Standaard / RTBF / La Libre	1,006	27.9%	9.3%	14.7%	14.2%	12.7%	14.6%	5.9%	0.8%	13.2%	28.9%	71.1%	42.2%
5–11 Feb 2019	Ipsos	RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws [2]	996	27.4%	11.1%	15%	12.7%	11%	15.6%	4.9%	2.3%	11.8%	27.7%	72.3%	44.6%
13–17 Dec 2018	Ipsos	Het Nieuwsblad [3]	1,000	30.2%	12%	15.7%	11.6%	9.7%	13.8%	5.5%	1.5%	14.5%	27.3%	72.7%	45.4%
9 Dec 2018	N-VA quit the government; the other three parties continue as a minority government. The crisis is due to divergent positions on the Global Compact for Migration.
19 Nov–8 Dec 2018	TNS	La Libre / RTBF / VRT / De Standaard [4]	1,038	28.3%	7.6%	18.7%	17.5%	9.2%	16%	2.5%	0.1%	9.6%	64.5%	35.5%	29%
27 Nov–3 Dec 2018	Ipsos	RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws [5]	998	28.0%	11.7%	14.6%	13.4%	12.3%	12.2%	6.2%	1.6%	13.4%	56.0%	42.4%	13.6%
14 Oct 2018	Provincial elections[6]			24.8%	13.0%	19.7%	13.7%	10.4%	13.2%	3.2%	2.1%	5.1%	58.2%	41.9%	16.3%
20–27 Sep 2018	Ipsos	RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws [7]	1,000	25.0%	11.3%	17.2%	12.8%	12.1%	14.1%	4.4%	3.1%	7.8%	55%	41.9%	13.1%
29 May–6 June 2018	Ipsos	RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws [8]	1,000	26.5%	9.7%	15.3%	13.9%	11.7%	12.4%	6.2%	4.3%	11.2%	55.7%	40%	15.7%
26 Feb–17 Mar 2018	TNS Kantar	RTBF / VRT / De Standaard / La Libre [9]	1,003	32.4%	7.5%	16.4%	14.7%	9.5%	13.8%	4.9%	1.0%	16.0%	63.5%	35.5%	28.0%
27 Feb–6 Mar 2018	Ipsos	RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws [10]	965	31.5%	9.0%	15.1%	12.7%	13.0%	10.4%	6.0%	2.5%	16.4%	59.1%	38.4%	20.7%
27 Nov–4 Dec 2017	Ipsos	RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws [11]	995	29.5%	10.4%	14.1%	12.2%	10.9%	13.2%	5.5%	4.2%	15.4%	55.8%	40.0%	15.8%
11 Sep–8 Oct 2017	TNS Kantar	La Libre / RTBF / VRT / De Standaard	1,045	28.0%	6.5%	19.4%	15.5%	11.0%	13.9%	5.1%	0.6%	8.6%	62.9%	36.5%	26.4%
25 August–3 Sep 2017	Ipsos	RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws [12][13]	959	30.2%	7.9%	16.1%	12.1%	12.2%	13.4%	5.0%	—	14.1%	58.4%	38.5%	19.9%
23–27 June 2017	Dedicated[14]	L'Echo	—	27.1%	11.7%	16.9%	12.7%	9.5%	12.5%	7.3%	0.7%	10.2%	56.7%	33.7%	23.0%
27 Mar–11 Apr 2017	TNS Media	VRT / De Standaard[15]	1,030	26.3%	7.8%	18.6%	14.4%	13.2%	14.7%	4.2%	0.7%	7.7%	59.3%	39.9%	19.4%
16–20 Mar 2017	Dedicated	RTBf / La Libre Belgique[16]	1,038	28.3%	11.9%	14.1%	13.6%	12.9%	11.5%	5.5%	2.2%	14.2%	56.0%	41.8%	14.2%
10–17 Jan 2017	Ipsos	RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws [17]	964	27.4%	10.3%	14.9%	12.9%	13.2%	12.2%	5.4%	—	12.5%	55.2%	41.1%	14.1%
24–28 Nov 2016	Dedicated	RTBf / La Libre Belgique [18][19]	1,007	26.3%	12.3%	16.3%	12.4%	13.2%	12.7%	4.2%	—	10.0%	55.0%	42.4%	12.6%
14 Sep–3 Oct 2016	TNS Media	VRT / De Standaard[20]	1,013	27.8%	8.1%	16.8%	13.6%	15.8%	13.3%	3.4%	1.2%	11%	58.2%	40.6%	17.6%
19–25 Sep 2016	Ipsos	RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws[21]	983	25.9%	12.0%	17.6%	12.5%	13.7%	10.7%	3.9%	—	8.3%	56.0%	40.3%	15.7%
2–6 Sep 2016	Dedicated	RTBf / La Libre Belgique [22][23]	1,002	25.2%	13.1%	15.6%	14.0%	14.9%	10.0%	5.1%	2.1%	9.6%	54.8%	43.1%	11.7%
6–12 May 2016	Ipsos	RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws[24]	1,045	24.2%	13.9%	13.8%	13.2%	15.6%	11.1%	4.8%	—	8.6%	51.2%	45.4%	5.8%
31 Mar–4 Apr 2016	Dedicated	RTBf / La Libre Belgique[25][26]	975	25.6%	12.4%	18.3%	13.3%	14.4%	10.2%	—	—	7.3%	57.2%	37.0%	20.2%
22 Feb–9 Mar 2016	TNS Media	VRT / De Standaard[27]	1,005	27.3%	8.1%	19.1%	14.1%	14.7%	11.6%	4.0%	—	8.2%	60.5%	38.4%	22.1%
15–20 Jan 2016	Ipsos	RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws[28]	1,043	28.5%	11.6%	16.0%	12.5%	15.2%	10.3%	3.7%	—	12.5%	57.0%	40.8%	16.2%
3–7 Dec 2015	Dedicated	RTBf / La Libre Belgique[29]	990	29.2%	11.9%	15.0%	12.6%	14.1%	11.6%	—	—	14.2%	56.8%	37.6%	19.2%
28 Sep–4 Oct 2015	Ipsos	RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws[30]	1,030	28.8%	10.5%	17.8%	12.5%	14.5%	9.0%	4.1%	—	11.0%	59.1%	38.1%	21%
22 Sep–2 Oct 2015	TNS Media	VRT / De Standaard[31]	1,019	31.1%	7.0%	18.4%	14.9%	13.8%	9.9%	3.8%	—	12.7%	64.4%	34.5%	29.9%
9–14 Sep 2015	Dedicated	RTBf / La Libre Belgique[32]	745	27.5%	9.7%	16.0%	14.4%	16.2%	10.1%	3.8%	—	11.3%	57.9%	39.8%	18.1%
12–18 May 2015	Dedicated	RTBf / La Libre Belgique[32]	761	28.1%	7.9%	17.2%	15.4%	15.6%	10.0%	3.3%	—	10.9%	60.7%	36.8%	23.9%
20 Apr–3 May 2015	TNS Media	VRT / De Standaard [33]	1,032	28.5%	5.8%	21.2%	16.1%	14.3%	11.6%	1.4%	—	7.3%	65.8%	33.1%	32.7%
20–24 Apr 2015	Ipsos	RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws	963	28.3%	8.0%	15.8%	14.0%	15.6%	10.7%	3.2%	—	12.5%	58.1%	37.5%	20.6%
5–9 Mar 2015	Dedicated	RTBF / La Libre Belgique[34]	691	28.8%	7.4%	16.7%	15.4%	16.4%	9.6%	3.4%	2.3%	12.1%	60.9%	36.8%	24.1%
23–28 Jan 2015	Ipsos	RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws[35]	1,035	30.2%	7.6%	17.1%	14.9%	14.7%	10.2%	3.6%	—	13.1%	62.2%	36.1%	26.1%
5–11 Jan 2015	Ipsos	RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws[35]	1,043	27.8%	6.8%	18.3%	14.3%	15.7%	10.4%	3.8%	—	9.5%	60.4%	36.7%	23.7%
4–5 Dec 2014	AQ Rate	Het Laatste Nieuws	794	28%	6%	17%	12%	16%	14%	2%	—	11%	57%	38%	19%
27 Nov–1 Dec 2014	Dedicated	RTBF / La Libre Belgique[34]	773	30.9%	5.7%	18.2%	13.3%	15.2%	10.2%	4.0%	2.5%	12.7%	62.4%	35.1%	27.3%
9–10 Oct 2014	AQ Rate	Het Laatste Nieuws	801	30%	8%	14%	16%	18%	9%	3%	—	12%	60%	38%	22%
22 Sep–3 Oct 2014	TNS Media	De Standaard / VRT	1,023	29.9%	6.5%	20.0%	14.4%	15.7%	9.8%	3.2%	—	9.9%	64.3%	35.2%	29.1%
5–9 Sep 2014	Dedicated	RTBF / La Libre Belgique[34]	792	31.9%	5.5%	17.7%	15.4%	15.0%	9.6%	3.1%	1.8%	14.2%	65.0%	33.2%	31.8%
July 2014	AQ Rate	Het Laatste Nieuws	880	32.9%	5.8%	17.7%	15.4%	14.6%	9.0%	3.1%	—	15.2%	66.0%	32.5%	33.5%
June 2014	AQ Rate	Het Laatste Nieuws	Unknown	38.4%	5.2%	15.5%	13.8%	13.1%	7.8%	3.3%	—	22.9%	67.7%	29.4%	38.3%
25 May 2014	Federal election			32.4%	5.8%	18.6%	15.5%	14.0%	8.6%	2.8%	2.2%	13.9%	66.5%	31.2%	35.3%

Wallonia

The graph and the table below show the results for the opinion polls conducted in the Walloon Region, and for polls conducted nationwide the part of the results related to the Walloon Region.

Summary of poll results given below from the election result 25 May 2014. Lines give the mean estimated by a LOESS smoother (smoothing set to span = 0.5).

Date(s) conducted	Polling firm	Newspaper	Sample size	PS	MR	Ecolo	PTB	cdH	DéFI	PP	DC	Others	Lead	Gov.	Opp.	Lead
26 May 2019	2019 federal election			26.2%	21.4%	14.5%	13.7%	11.0%	4.1%	3.7%	?	5.1%	4.8%	21.4%	73.5%	52.1%
6–14 May 2019	Ipsos	RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws [1]	1,000	28.5%	22.7%	19.1%	9.2%	9.7%	3.9%	3.5%	?	4.4%	5.8%	22.7%	77.3%	54.6%
26 Apr - 30 Apr 2019	Dedicated	Le Soir	1,611	26.9%	20.7%	16.3%	13.9%	8.6%	4.3%	4.9%	?	4.4%[a]	6.2%	20.7%	79.3%	58.6%
25 Mar - 14 Apr 2019	TNS Kantar	RTBF / VRT / De Standaard / La Libre[36]	1,004	24.7%	18.3%	22.0%	14.8%	9.3%	3.9%	3.5%	?	3.5%[b]	2.7%	18.3%	81.7%	63.4%
5 February-11 Feb 2019	Ipsos	RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws [2]	995	24.3%	19.4%	16.8%	10.7%	10.8%	4.3%	5.4%	1.6%	6.7%	4.9%	19.4%	80.6%	61.2%
9 Dec 2018	N-VA quit the government; the other three parties continue as a minority government. The crisis is due to divergent positions on the Global Compact for Migration.
19 November–8 Dec 2018	TNS	La Libre / RTBF / VRT / De Standaard [4]	1,016	25.4%	19.9%	19.7%	14.0%	10.4%	3.3%	5.1%	?	2.2%	5.5%	19.9%	77.9%	58.0%
27 November-3 Dec 2018	Ipsos	RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws [5]	1,003	24.9%	20.7%	13.5%	13.1%	11.3%	4.2%	6.2%	2.3%	3.8%	4.2%	20.7%	75.5%	54.8%
14 Oct 2018	Provincial elections			25.4%	23.7%	16.2%	10.0%	12.8%	4.6%	3.1%	?	4.2%	1.7%	23.7%	72.1%	48.4%
20–27 Sep 2018	Ipsos	RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws [7]	1,000	23.6%	20.6%	10.9%	13.1%	10.1%	6.9%	6.7%	2.1%	6.0%	3%	20.6%	73.4%	52.8%
29 May–6 June 2018	Ipsos	RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws [8]	1,000	23.4%	20%	13.2%	12.8%	9%	5.9%	7.3%	2.1%	6.3%	3.4%	20%	71.6%	51.6%
26 February–17 Mar 2018	TNS Kantar	RTBF / VRT / De Standaard / La Libre [37]	1,003	23.2%	24.1%	17.5%	10.6%	11.1%	5.6%	3.4%	1.0%	3.5%	0.9%	23.2%	71.4%	48.2%
27 February–6 March	Ipsos	RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws[38]	983	23.9%	21.2%	13.5%	17.3%	7.2%	6.5%	4.3%	1.1%	5.2%	2.7%	21.2%	73.6%	52.4%
27 November–3 Dec 2017	Ipsos	RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws[39]	999	19.5%	22.1%	11.0%	18.9%	8.3%	6.3%	3.9%	2.2%	7.2%	2.6%	22.1%	68.5%	46.4%
11 September–8 Oct 2017	TNS Kantar	La Libre / RTBF / VRT / De Standaard	1,076	21.5%	21.4%	18.5%	14.8%	8.7%	5.8%	0.7%	—	8.6%	0.1%	21.4%	70.0%	48.6%
25 August–3 Sep 2017	Ipsos	RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws[40]	960	20.7%	21.4%	12.7%	17.5%	8.7%	6.2%	4.5%	—		0.7%	21.4%	70.3%	48.9%
23–27 June 2017	Dedicated[14]	L'Echo	625	16.0%	23.2%	11.4%	24.9%	9.8%	3.9%	2.6%	—	8.2%	1.7%	23.2%	66.0%	42.8%
16–20 Mar 2017	Dedicated	RTBf / La Libre Belgique[16]	946	20.3%	22.7%	11.2%	20.5%	9.9%	3.0%	2.2%	—	10.2%	2.2%	22.7%	67.1%	44.4%
16–17 Feb 2017	iVox	Sudpresse [41]	1,000	21.3%	20.7%	13.7%	17.4%	10.1%	4.5%	6.9%	—	5.5%	0.6%	20.7%	73.9%	53.2%
10–17 Jan 2017	Ipsos	RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws [17]	961	23.6%	19.4%	11.2%	16.3%	11.2%	2.8%	5.0%	—	3.6%	4.2%	19.4%	70.1%	50.7%
24–28 Nov 2016	Dedicated	RTBf / La Libre Belgique [18][19]	892	25.4%	23.1%	9.2%	18.2%	9.4%	2.2%	4.0%	—		2.3%	23.1%	68.6%	45.5%
19–25 Sep 2016	Ipsos	RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws[21]	983	24.7%	22.3%	7.5%	16.3%	9.8%	2.4%	6.0%	—		2.4%	22.3%	66.7%	44.4%
2–6 Sep 2016	Dedicated	RTBf / La Libre Belgique [22][23]	962	25.6%	23.5%	9.2%	14.6%	10.5%	3.9%	5.3%	—	7.4%	2.1%	23.5%	69.1%	45.6%
6–12 May 2016	Ipsos	RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws[24]	1,003	25.8%	20.1%	10.1%	13.5%	12.0%	3.3%	5.5%	—		5.7%	20.1%	70.2%	50.1%
31 March–4 Apr 2016	Dedicated	RTBF / La Libre Belgique[25][26]	967	26.4%	23.9%	11.1%	10.4%	12.8%	2.4%	5.5%	—		2.5%	23.9%	68.6%	44.7%
15–20 Jan 2016	Ipsos	RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws[28]	1,034	26.7%	23.1%	9.2%	8.8%	11.1%	3.4%	5.2%	—		3.6%	23.1%	64.4%	41.3%
3–7 Dec 2015	Dedicated	RTBF / La Libre Belgique[29]	910	27.2%	24.7%	9.5%	10.3%	13.5%	3.2%	5.4%	—		2.5%	24.7%	69.1%	44.4%
28 September–4 Oct 2015	Ipsos	RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws[30]	1,017	26.0%	23.3%	9.0%	8.5%	13.3%	1.7%	4.6%	—		2.7%	23.3%	63.1%	39.8%
9–14 Sep 2015	Dedicated	RTBf / La Libre Belgique[32]	643	29.7%	24.2%	9.2%	9.7%	13.5%	2.6%	4.1%	—		3.5%	24.2%	68.8%	44.6%
12–18 May 2015	Dedicated	RTBf / La Libre Belgique[32]	680	29.7%	25.5%	8.9%	9.0%	12.8%	2.9%	4.6%	—		4.2%	25.5%	67.9%	42.4%
20–24 Apr 2015	Ipsos	RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws	952	25.8%	26.1%	9.1%	8.5%	13.1%	2.2%	5.0%	—		0.3%	26.1%	63.7%	37.6%
5–9 Mar 2015	Dedicated	RTBF / La Libre Belgique[34]	678	28.7%	25.2%	8.3%	8.3%	14.3%	2.9%	3.5%	—	8.8%	3.5%	25.2%	66.0%	40.8%
23–28 Jan 2015	Ipsos	RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws[35]	1,042	27.4%	26.0%	8.4%	7.3%	13.9%	2.2%	4.7%	—		1.4%	26.0%	63.9%	37.9%
5–11 Jan 2015 ]	Ipsos	RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws[35]	1,053	30.1%	25.3%	7.8%	7.7%	12.6%	2.1%	3.5%	—		4.8%	25.3%	63.8%	38.5%
27 November–1 Dec 2014	Dedicated	RTBF / La Libre Belgique[34]	655	30.1%	23.9%	8.1%	7.6%	13.4%	2.7%	4.9%	—		6.2%	23.9%	67.7%	43.8%
5–9 Sep 2014	Dedicated	RTBF / La Libre Belgique[34]	676	31.0%	26.6%	8.5%	8.1%	12.7%	1.8%	5.0%	—	6.3%	4.4%	26.6%	67.1%	40.5%
25 May 2014	Federal election			32.0%	25.8%	8.2%	5.5%	14.0%	2.4%	4.5%	1.2%	6.4%	6.2%	25.8%	66.6%	40.8%

Brussels

The table below shows the results for the opinion polls conducted in the Brussels Region, and for polls conducted nationwide the part of the results related to the Brussels Region.

Summary of poll results given below from the election result 25 May 2014. Lines give the mean estimated by a LOESS smoother (smoothing set to span = 0.5).

Date(s) conducted	Polling firm	Publisher	Sample size	Ecolo	PS	MR	PTB- PVDA	DéFI	cdH	N-VA	Open Vld	sp.a	PP	VB	CD&V	Groen	Others	Lead	Gov.	Opp.
26 May 2019	2019 federal election			21.6%	20.0%	17.5%	12.3%	10.3%	5.8%	3.2%	2.3%	—	1.7%	1.6%	1.3%	—	—	1.6%
6–14 May 2019	Ipsos	RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws [1]	519	22.9%	17.3%	15.5%	7.9%	13.7%	6.5%	5.7%	0.7%	—	2.0%	2.7%	0.8%	—	4.3%	5.6%	17.0%	83.0%
25 Mar-15 Apr 2019	TNS Kantar	RTBF / VRT / De Standaard / La Libre[36]	759	21.5%	19.0%	15.5%	11.9%	8.5%	6.9%	4.2%	1.8%	1.1%	0.3%	1.3%	2.0%	3.0%	3.0%[c]	2.5%	19.3%	80.7%
5-11 Feb 2019	Ipsos	RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws[2]	559	19.9%	15.9%	15.3%	7.5%	12.5%	4.3%	6.4%	1.7%	2.1%	2.2%	1.9%	0.9%	2.7%	—	4.0%	17.9%	82.1%
9 Dec 2018	N-VA quit the government; the other three parties continue as a minority government. The crisis is due to divergent positions on the Global Compact for Migration.
19 Nov–8 Dec 2018	TNS	La Libre / RTBF / VRT / De Standaard [4]	743	19.1%	15.8%	17.4%	11.5%	10.3%	5.6%	6.0%	1.1%	2.7%	1.7%	0.3%	3.1%	3.9%	—	1.7%	27.6%	70.9%
27 Nov-3 Dec 2018	Ipsos	RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws[5]	531	18.3%	15.4%	18.2%	5.8%	14.4%	4.5%	5.3%	1.1%	0.9%	3.7%	1.3%	1.2%	2.4%	—	0.1%	25.8%	66.7%
20–27 Sep 2018	Ipsos	RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws[7]	1000	13.1%	14.9%	19.5%	9.0%	15.8%	6.3%	6.5%	1.6%	0.7%	2.0%	2.0%	1.2%	2.2%	2.8%	3.7%	28.8%	62%
29 May–6 June 2018	Ipsos	RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws[8]	532	11.9%	14.2%	17%	9.5%	15.4%	7.4%	6.7%	2.3%	0.8%	2.4%	2.3%	0.9%	1.5%	7.7%	2.8%	26.9%	60.1%
26 Feb–17 Mar 2018	TNS Kantar	RTBF / VRT / De Standaard / La Libre [37]	548	15.7%	21.8%	20.2%	5.8%	12.9%	9.0%	4.1%	2.6%	0.6%	1.7%	0.2%	1.9%	2.4%	4.5%	1.6%	28.8%	66.7%
27 Feb–6 Mar 2018	Ipsos	RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws[42]	548	13.5%	16.6%	17.8%	7.4%	14.3%	6.0%	6.0%	2.7%	0.4%	3.2%	1.0%	1.1%	3.6%	9.6%	1.2%	27.8%	62.6%
27 Nov–4 Dec 2017	Ipsos	RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws[39]	552	12.8%	17.6%	16.5%	7.9%	15.8%	5.0%	6.1%	1.4%	1.2%	2.5%	1.2%	1.3%	2.0%	8.7%	1.1%	25.3%	66.0%
11 Sep-8 Oct 2017	TNS Kantar	La Libre / RTBF / VRT / De Standaard	753	16.7%	15.1%	20.7%	9.7%	14.3%	7.6%	3.9%	1.7%	1.0%	0.8%	0.5%	2.2%	3.4%	2.4%	4.0%	28.5%	69.1%
25 Aug–3 Sep 2017	Ipsos	RTL TVi/Le Soir/VTM/ Het Laatste Nieuws[40]	469	12.3%	12.1%	19.8%	9.0%	18.4%	5.8%	3.4%	2.0%	1.5%	2.5%	1.5%	1.8%	3.0%	—	1.4%	27.0%	66.1%
23–27 June 2017	Dedicated	L'Echo[14]	679	12.5%	10.9%	20.7%	14.1%	15.7%	7.9%	4.1%	2.0%	1.0%	1.7%	1.9%	1.8%	2.3%	3.4%	5.0%	28.6%	61.1%
16–20 Mar 2017	Dedicated	RTBf / La Libre Belgique[16]	914	13.1%	20.1%	18.7%	14.1%	10.4%	6.0%	3.7%	2.3%	0.7%	3.3%	2.6%	1.5%	1.1%	2.4%	1.4%	26.2%	71.4%
10–17 Jan 2017	Ipsos	RTL TVi/Le Soir/VTM/ Het Laatste Nieuws[17]	510	10.8%	18.1%	18.4%	12.1%	9.3%	7.9%	5.1%	2.6%	1.9%	2.2%	1.7%	1.5%	2.5%	—	0.3%	27.6%	64.3%
24–28 Nov 2016	Dedicated	RTBf / La Libre Belgique [18][19]	892	11.3%	20.4%	19%	9.6%	10.5%	7%	3.9%	2.8%	0.2%	3.7%	1.7%	2.5%	2.5%	5%	1.4%	28.2%	66.9%
19–25 Sep 2016	Ipsos	RTL TVi/Le Soir/VTM/ Het Laatste Nieuws[21]	983	9.8%	15.5%	20.3%	11.2%	10.9%	7.8%	—	—	—	0.9%	—	—	—	—	4.8%	20.3%*	56.1%*
2–6 Sep 2016	Dedicated	RTBf / La Libre Belgique [22][23]	917	12.9%	19.8%	20.1%	7.5%	11.3%	6.5%	4.2%	2.6%	1.5%	3.0%	2.4%	1.9%	1.8%	4.5%	0.3%	28.8%	66.7%
6–12 May 2016	Ipsos	RTL TVi/Le Soir/VTM/ Het Laatste Nieuws[24]	505	8.9%	17.7%	19.7%	7.8%	10.7%	7.7%	—	—	—	2.0%	—	—	—	—	2.0%	19.7%*	54.8%*
31 March–4 Apr 2016	Dedicated	RTBF / La Libre Belgique[25][26]	918	10.2%	21.1%	20.2%	6.1%	11.1%	8.8%	4.0%	2.6%	—	2.8%	2.3%	1.9%	1.2%	—	0.9%	28.7%	63.6%
15–20 Jan 2016	Ipsos	RTL TVi/Le Soir/VTM/ Het Laatste Nieuws[28]	537	8.3%	18.2%	20.7%	7.0%	9.8%	6.8%	—	—	—	2.1%	—	—	—	2.7%	2.5%	20.7%*	52.2%*
Oct 2015	Ipsos	RTL TVi/Le Soir/VTM/ Het Laatste Nieuws	?	9.2%	26%	23.1%	8.8%	3.4%	11.1%	—	—	—	5.2%	—	—	—	—	2.9%	23.1%*	63.7*
5–9 Mar 2015	Dedicated	RTBF / La Libre Belgique[34]	907	9.4%	19.7%	22.6%	5.6%	12.3%	9.9%	3.5%	2.6%	3.1%	2.2%	0.8%	1.3%	1.8%	3.6%	2.9%	30.0%	65.9%
Nov 2014	Dedicated	RTBF / La Libre Belgique[34]	?	11.8%	26.2%	21.7%	6.0%	9.2%	8.1%	3.2%	2.1%	2.2%	1.4%	2.3%	1.9%	1.2%	1.7%	4.5%	28.9%	68.4%
Sep 2014	Dedicated	RTBF / La Libre Belgique[34]	?	11.5%	23.9%	23.7%	3.7%	11.9%	10.4%	2.9%	3.3%	1.4%	1.4%	1.2%	2.2%	0.9%	2.0%	0.2%	32.1%	66.3%
25 May 2014	Federal election			10.5%	25.6%	21.9%	4.0%	10.8%	9.4%	2.6%	2.6%	2.0%	1.8%	1.1%	1.7%	*	5.9%	3.7%	28.8%	65.2%

Seat projections

The table below shows seat projections for the Belgian Chamber of Representatives when given by the reporting newspaper or polling firm.

By party

Summary of seats projections given below from the election result 25 May 2014. Lines give the mean estimated by a LOESS smoother (smoothing set to span = 0.75).

76 seats needed for majority

Date(s) conducted	Polling firm	Publishers	N-VA	PS	VB	MR	Ecolo	CD&V	Open Vld	PVDA- PTB	sp.a	Groen	cdH	DéFI	PP	Others	Lead	Gov.	Opp.	Lead
26 May 2019	Federal election		25	20	18	14	13	12	12	12	9	8	5	2	0	0	5
6 - 14 May 2019	Ipsos	RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws [43]	27	20	13	16	15	16	10	7	9	11	4	2	0	0	7	42	108	66
25 Mar - 15 Apr 2019	Kantar	VRT / De Standaard / RTBF / La Libre [44]	27	20	8	13	16	14	12	12	11	12	4	1	0	0	7	39	111	72
5 Feb - 11 Feb 2019	Ipsos	RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws [45]	28	18	8	14	14	14	12	8	9	15	5	3	2	0	10	40	110	70
9 Dec 2018	N-VA quit the government; the other three parties continue as a minority government. The crisis is due to divergent positions on the Global Compact for Migration.
27 Nov - 3 Dec 2018	Ipsos	RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws [46]	29	17	9	16	10	13	12	10	11	11	7	3	2	0	12	70	80	10
14 Oct 2018	KU Leuven[d]	Samenleving & Politiek[47]	24	19	10	17	11	19	13	5	9	12	7	4	0	0	5	73	77	4
20–27 Sep 2018	Ipsos	RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws [48]	26	17	9	16	7	17	12	9	11	12	6	6	2	0	9	71	79	8
29 May – 6 June 2018	Ipsos	RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws [49]	29	17	8	15	9	14	12	12	11	11	5	5	2	0	12	70	80	10
26 Feb – 17 Mar 2018	TNS Kantar	RTBF / VRT / De Standaard / La Libre [9]	32	18	6	17	12	14	12	10	7	12	5	5	0	0	14	75	75	0
27 Feb – 6 Mar 2018	Ipsos	RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws [10]	32	18	7	15	10	14	11	12	11	10	4	6	0	0	14	72	78	6
27 Nov – 4 Dec 2017	Ipsos	RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws [50]	30	16	8	15	9	14	12	14	10	11	5	6	0	0	14	71	79	8
25 Aug – 3 Sep 2017	Ipsos	RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws [40]	30	15	7	17	9	14	11	13	11	12	5	6	0	0	13	72	78	6
23–27 June 2017	Dedicated	L'Echo	26	11	10	18	7	16	12	26	7	10	4	3	0	0	Tie	72	78	6
16–20 Mar 2017	Dedicated	RTBf / La Libre Belgique	28	16	10	18	8	13	12	16	11	10	6	2	0	0	10	71	79	8
10–17 Jan 2017	Ipsos	RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws [17]	29	17	8	17	8	14	12	13	11	11	7	2	1	0	12	72	78	6
19–25 Sep 2016	Ipsos	RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws[21]	24	19	10	19	5	18	11	11	13	10	6	2	2	0	5	72	78	6
6–12 May 2016	Ipsos	RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws[24]	24	20	12	15	7	13	12	10	14	11	8	2	2	0	4	64	86	22
15–20 Jan 2016	Ipsos	RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws[28]	28	21	9	19	7	14	12	6	14	9	8	2	1	0	7	73	77	4
25 May 2014	Federal election		33	23	3	20	6	18	14	2	13	6	9	2	1	0	10	85	65	20

By political family

Tallies for each ideology and probable coalitions. In bold on dark grey, if the coalition commands an absolute majority, in italic on light grey, if the coalition needs DéFI's support (which implies it does not include the N-VA).

Note that "asymetrical" coalitions are now frequent: between 2007 and 2011, PS was part of each cabinet but not sp.a; and between 2014 and 2018, the Michel Government included CD&V but not cdH, as well as the N-VA, of which there is no equivalent in Wallonia.

Date(s) conducted	Polling firm	Ideologies								Coalitions
		Far- left	Ecologists	Socialists	Social- liberals	Christian- democrats	Liberals	National- conserv.	Far- right	Left- wing			Olive Tree			Purple-green			Rainbow (Vivaldi + cdH)				Jamaica			Tripartite			Burgundy			Swedish + cdH
26 May 2019	Federal Elections	12	21	29	2	17	26	25	18	62			67			76			93				64			72			80			68
6 - 14 May 2019	Ipsos	7	26	29	2	20	26	27	13	62			75			83			103				72			75			82			73
25 Mar–15 Apr 2019	Kantar	12	28	31	1	18	25	27	8	71			77			84			102				71			74			83			70
5–11 Feb 2019	Ipsos	8	29	27	3	19	26	28	10	64			75			82			101				74			72			81			73
9 Dec 2018	N-VA quits government over migration pact
27 Nov–3 Dec 2018	Ipsos	10	21	28	3	20	28	29	11	59			69			77			97				69			76			85			77
14 Oct 2018	Provincial elections	5	23	28	4	26	30	24	10	56			77			81			107				79			84			82			80
20–27 Sep 2018	Ipsos	9	19	28	6	23	28	26	11	56			70			75			98				70			79			82			77
29 May–6 June 2018	Ipsos	12	20	28	5	19	27	29	10	60			67			75			94				66			74			84			75
26 Feb–17 Mar 2018	TNS Kantar	10	24	25	5	19	29	32	6	59			68			78			97				72			73			86			80
27 Feb–6 Mar 2018	Ipsos	12	20	29	6	18	26	32	7	61			67			75			93				64			73			87			76
27 Nov–4 Dec 2017	Ipsos	14	20	26	6	19	27	30	8	60			65			73			92				66			72			76			76
25 Aug–3 Sep 2017	Ipsos	13	21	26	6	19	28	30	7	60			66			75			94				68			73			77			77
23–27 June 2017	Dedicated	26	17	18	3	20	30	26	10	61			55			65			85				67			68			74			76
16–20 Mar 2017	Dedicated	16	18	27	2	19	30	28	10	61			64			75			94				67			76			85			77
10–17 Jan 2017	Ipsos	13	19	28	2	21	29	29	9	60			68			76			97				69			78			86			79
19–25 Sep 2016	Ipsos	11	15	32	2	24	30	24	12	58			71			77			101				69			86			86			78
6–12 May 2016	Ipsos	10	18	34	2	21	27	24	14	62			73			79			100				66			82			85			72
15–20 Jan 2016	Ipsos	6	16	35	2	22	31	28	10	57			73			82			104				69			88			94			81
25 May 2014	Federal elections	2	12	36	2	27	34	33	4	50			75			82			109				73			97			103			94

Notes

1. Including 2.1% for Alain Destexhe's list.
2. Including 1.1% for Alain Destexhe's list.
3. Including 1.0% for Alain Destexhe's list
4. Extrapolation from provincial elections