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Opinion polling for the 2024 Austrian legislative election

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In the run-up to the 2024 Austrian legislative election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions in Austria. Results of such polls are displayed in this list; the date range for these opinion polls are from the 2019 Austrian legislative election, held on 29 September, to the present day. The next election will be held on 29 September 2024.

VdMI quality criteria

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In 2017, the Association of Market and Opinion Research Institutes of Austria (VdMI) published quality standards for polls.[1] While some frequent pollsters like Peter Hajek Public Opinion Strategies, IFES, IMAS, SORA, or Spectra are members of the VdMI, others like Unique Research are not, though they adhere to their quality standards. OGM used to be a member but was kicked out in late October 2021 for the use of online-only polling instead of a mix of phone and online polling.[2] OGM argued that while a mixed method was ideal 15 years ago, today it is not necessary any longer, as 90% of households have internet access and younger voters cannot be reached by phone any longer. Other institutes are not members, such as Market or IFDD, and conduct some or all of their polls only online. The polling company Research Affairs, which came under scrutiny amid the Kurz corruption probe, was never a member of the VdMI; they once applied for membership but were rejected because of inadequate methodology.[3][4]

In May of 2024, the VdMI quality criteria were changed. The most relevant changes were the sample size as well as the section about the polling method. Instead of an overall minimum of 800 respondents, a minimum of 1000 respondents for nationwide polls and a minimum of 800 respondents for polls in any of the states (Bundesländer) was now required. For local election polls in cities or other lower-level units, no recommendation is given. The sentence about online-only polling not being suited was removed; instead, it was now simply recommended to combine multiple polling methods.[5]

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Graphical summary

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Poll results

From June 2024 to now

More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...

From April 2023 to June 2024

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October 2022 to April 2023

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September 2021 to October 2022

More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...

January to September 2021

More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...

2019 to 2020

More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...

By state

Vienna

More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...

Tyrol

More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...

Burgenland

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Preferred Chancellor

More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...
More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...
More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...
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Preferred coalition

More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...
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See also

Notes

  1. SPÖ's in-house pollster.
  2. Result obtained by the KPÖ Plus electoral alliance.
  3. Result obtained by the Der Wandel.
  4. Hans Peter Doskozil as frontrunner
  5. with Andreas Babler as frontrunner
  6. with Pamela Rendi-Wagner as frontrunner
  7. KPÖ: 1 %
  8. Publication date
  9. with Alexander Schallenberg as frontrunner
  10. with Sebastian Kurz as frontrunner
  11. KPÖ 4%
  12. Fieldwork presented in survey as "KW21" (Kalenderwoche 21 - Week 21)
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References

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