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Opinion polling for the 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries

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This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the Democratic primaries for the 2024 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy. The polls included are among Democrats or Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents. If multiple versions of polls are provided, the version among likely voters is prioritized, then registered voters, then adults.

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Background

See also: 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries § Timeline
This section is transcluded from 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries. (edit | history)
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 2024 presidential campaignJason Palmer 2024 presidential campaignDean Phillips 2024 presidential campaignJoe Biden 2024 presidential campaignMarianne Williamson 2024 presidential campaignKamala Harris 2024 presidential campaign
Active campaign Exploratory committee Democratic National Convention
Withdrawn candidate Primaries

Opinion polling

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Aggregate polls

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Polling with declared candidates

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Hypothetical polling

This section lists polling with hypothetical candidates, which was mostly conducted between 2020 and April 2023, before the presidential candidacies were declared.

Polls including Joe Biden

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Notes

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  1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. "Someone else" with 2%
  3. Uygur at 1%; Refused, Someone Else and Would Not Vote at 1%
  4. Someone Else at 9%
  5. Uygur at 2%; Refused, Someone Else and Would Not Vote at 1%
  6. Uygur at 1%; Someone Else at 3%
  7. Manchin at 1%
  8. Archived April 3, 2023, at the Wayback Machine
  9. Another Candidate at 7%; Phillips and Williamson at 1%; Undecided at 15%
  10. Kennedy with 7%; Shapiro, Williamson and Whitmer with 2%
  11. Hillary Clinton with 7%; Andrew Cuomo with 2%; Joe Manchin and Marianne Williamson with 1%
  12. Whitmer with 4%; and Booker with 3%
  13. Whitmer with 3%; Williamson and Shapiro with 1%
  14. Hillary Clinton with 6%; Joe Manchin with 2%; Andrew Cuomo and Marianne Williamson with 1%
  15. Michelle Obama with 14%; Hillary Clinton with 4%; Beto O'Rourke, Phil Murphy and Cory Booker with 2%; Manchin, Kaine, Hickenlooper, Gillibrand, Steyer and Polis with 1%; Adams and Patrick with 0%
  16. Gretchen Whitmer with 4%; Josh Shapiro with 1%
  17. Hillary Clinton with 8%; Andrew Cuomo with 2%; Manchin with 1%
  18. Cory Booker with 6%; Gretchen Whitmer with 2%
  19. Gretchen Whitmer with 3%; Josh Shapiro with 2%
  20. Obama with 14%; Clinton with 6%; O'Rourke with 2%; Booker, Gillibrand, Kaine, Manchin, and Polis with 1%; Adams, Cuomo, Hickenlooper, Markle, McConaughey, Murphy, Patrick, Steyer, and Winfrey with 0%, Undecided with 13%
  21. Whitmer with 3.0%; Shapiro with 2.8%; Someone Else with 3.5%
  22. Hillary Clinton with 8%; Manchin and Cuomo with 1%
  23. Gretchen Whitmer with 3%; Someone Else with 3%; Not Sure with 16%; Would Not Vote with 4%
  24. Gretchen Whitmer with 5%; Raphael Warnock with 4%
  25. Someone else at 29.9%
  26. Someone Else at 27.1%
  27. Hillary Clinton with 7%; Michael Bloomberg with 3%; Joe Manchin and Andrew Cuomo with 2%
  28. Hillary Clinton with 7%; Michael Bloomberg with 3%; Joe Manchin and Andrew Cuomo with 2%
  29. Michelle Obama with 18%; Hillary Clinton with 6%; O'Rourke with 3%; Booker with 2%; Winfrey and Manchin with 1%; Phil Murphy, Kaine, Adams, Hickenlooper, Patrick, Gillibrand, Steyer and Polis with 0%
  30. Gretchen Whitmer with 3%; Shapiro with 1%
  31. Hillary Clinton with 7%
  32. Gretchen Whitmer with 3%; Polis with 1%; Cooper with 0%
  33. Gretchen Whitmer and Jared Polis with 2%
  34. Hillary Clinton with 6%; Joe Manchin and Michael Bloomberg with 2%
  35. Hochul with 1%
  36. Hillary Clinton with 10%
  37. Michelle Obama with 12%; Hillary Clinton and O'Rourke with 5%; Winfrey and Booker with 2%; McConaughey, Manchin, Cuomo, Phil Murphy and Adams with 1%; Kaine, Hickenlooper, Patrick, Gillibrand, Steyer and Polis with 0%
  38. Hillary Clinton with 9%; Michael Bloomberg and Joe Manchin with 2%
  39. Michelle Obama with 16%; Hillary Clinton with 6%; Beto O'Rourke with 3%; Matthew McConaughey with 2%; Booker, Winfrey, Manchin, Kaine, Hickenlooper, Steyer and Polis with 1%; Cuomo, Murphy, Adams, Patrick and Gillibrand with 0%
  40. Michelle Obama with 11%; Hillary Clinton with 5%; Kennedy, Whitmer, Booker, Pritzker, Adams, Manchin, Bennet, Inslee and Lujan Grisham with 1%; Gabbard with 0%
  41. Hillary Clinton with 7%; Michael Bloomberg with 3%; Joe Manchin with 2%
  42. Michelle Obama with 13%; Hillary Clinton with 6%; Beto O'Rourke with 4%; Cory Booker and Joe Manchin with 2%; Winfrey, McConaughey, Cuomo, Murphy and Adams, Hickenlooper, Gillibrand and Steyer with 1%; Kaine and Polis with 0%
  43. Michelle Obama with 10%; Hillary Clinton with 5%; Cory Booker with 3%; Gretchen Whitmer and Kennedy with 2%; Pritzker and Gabbard with 1%; Bennet, Lujan Grisham, Manchin, Inslee and Adams with 0%
  44. Hillary Clinton with 9%; Joe Manchin with 3%; Michael Bloomberg with 2%
  45. Hillary Clinton with 6%; Manchin and Bloomberg with 1%
  46. Michelle Obama with 18%; Hillary Clinton with 5%; Beto O'Rourke with 4%; Cory Booker with 3%; Oprah Winfrey with 2%; Manchin, McConaughey, Cuomo, Murphy, Kaine and Adams with 1%; Hickenlooper, Patrick, Gillibrand and Steyer with 0%
  47. Michelle Obama with 14%; Hillary Clinton with 6%; Cory Booker with 3%; Kennedy, Whitmer, Bennet, Lujan Grisham and Gabbard with 1%; Manchin, Inslee and Pritzker with 0%
  48. "I would not vote" with 2%
  49. "Another candidate" with 6%
  50. J.B. Pritzker & Josh Shapiro 2%; "Someone else" with 6%
  51. Josh Shapiro with 4%; Wes Moore with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
  52. "Someone else" with 6%; Marianne Williamson with 2%
  53. Someone Else at 19%; Williamson at 8%; Phillips at 6%
  54. Kennedy with 10%; Williamson and Shapiro with 2%
  55. Marianne Williamson with 3%; and Josh Shapiro with 4%
  56. Marianne Williamson with 4%; and Roy Cooper, Phil Murphy, and Rapheal Warnock with 1%
  57. Marianne Williamson with 1%
  58. Raphael Warnock with 2%; JB Pritzker with 1%; Beshear, Cooper and Raimondo on 0%
  59. Beto O'Rourke with 3%; Phil Murphy with 1%; Gillibrand, Adams, Patrick, Hickenlooper, Steyer, and Polis with 1%; Kaine and Pritzker with 0%
  60. Josh Shapiro with 3%, Pritzker with 0%
  61. Josh Shapiro with 3%, Pritzker with 0%
  62. Pritzker with 3%, Raimondo, Polis and Warnock with 1%; Beshear, Cooper, Murphy, Adams and Landrieu with 0%
  63. Beto O'Rourke with 3%; Gillibrand, Adams, Patrick, Murphy, Hickenlooper, Steyer, Markle and Polis with 1%; Kaine and Pritzker with 0%
  64. Josh Shapiro with 3%, Pritzker with 0%
  65. Josh Shapiro with 4%, Pritzker with 0%
  66. Josh Shapiro with 3%; Pritzker with 0%
  67. Pritzker and Warnock with 3%; Beshear, Raimondo, Murphy, Adams and Polis with 1%; Landrieu and Cooper with 0%
  68. Pritzker and Warnock with 2%; Cooper, Murphy, Polis and Adams with 1%; Beshear, Landrieu and Raimondo with 0%
  69. Beto O'Rourke with 4%; Oprah Winfrey with 3%; Kaine and Gillibrand with 1%; Adams, Patrick, Murphy, Pritzker, Hickenlooper, Steyer, and Polis with 0%
  70. Josh Shapiro with 2%, Pritzker with 0%
  71. Phil Murphy with 2%; Beshear and Warnock with 1%; Sinema, Cooper, Landrieu, Pritzker, Raimondo, Adams, and Polis with 0%
  72. Phil Murphy with 2%; Beshear and Warnock with 1%; Sinema, Cooper, Landrieu, Pritzker, Raimondo, Adams, and Polis with 0%
  73. Michael Bloomberg with 3%
  74. Andy Beshear with 3%; Raphael Warnock with 2%; Sinema, Cooper, Landrieu, Murphy, Pritzker, and Adams with 1%; Raimondo and Polis with 0%
  75. Andy Beshear and Raphael Warnock with 2%; Sinema, Cooper, Pritzker, and Adams with 1%; Landrieu, Raimondo, Murphy and Polis with 0%
  76. Beto O'Rourke with 5%; Oprah Winfrey with 2%; McConaughey, Polis, Patrick, Hickenlooper and Steyer with 1%; Adams, Kaine, Murphy, Pritzker, and Gillibrand with 0%
  77. Michael Bloomberg with 3%
  78. Adams, Pritzker, and Raimondo with 1%; Cooper with 0%
  79. Beto O'Rourke with 5%; Oprah Winfrey with 3%; Matthew McConaughey and Jared Polis with 2%; Adams, Murphy, Gillibrand, Patrick, Pritzker, Hickenlooper, and Steyer with 1%; Omar with 0%
  80. Murphy, Polis, Pritzker, and Warnock with 1%; Raimondo, Beshear, Sinema, Cooper and Landrieu with 0%
  81. Michael Bloomberg with 3%
  82. Beto O'Rourke with 3%; Tim Kaine, Oprah Winfrey and Matthew McConaughey with 2%; Adams, Murphy, Gillibrand, and Steyer with 1%; Patrick, Hickenlooper, Omar, Pritzker, and Polis with 0%
  83. Phil Murphy and Kyrsten Sinema with 2%; Beshear, Adams, Polis, and Warnock with 1%; Cooper, Landrieu, Pritzker, and Raimondo with 0%
  84. Phil Murphy with 2%; Beshear, Sinema, Adams, Polis, and Warnock with 1%; Cooper, Pritzker, Landrieu, and Raimondo with 0%
  85. Michael Bloomberg with 4%
  86. Pritzker and Warnock with 2%; Murphy, Adams, Raimondo and Polis with 1%; Beshear, Sinema, Cooper and Landrieu with 0%
  87. Pritzker with 2%, Murphy, Adams, Polis and Warnock with 1%; Beshear, Sinema, Cooper, Landrieu and Raimondo with 0%
  88. Michael Bloomberg with 3%
  89. Beto O'Rourke with 4%; Oprah Winfrey and Matthew McConaughey with 2%; Adams, Kaine, Patrick, and Murphy with 1%; Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Pritzker, and Steyer with 0%
  90. Pritzker with 2%, Sinema, Murphy and Warnock with 1%; Beshear, Raimondo, Adams, Polis, Cooper and Landrieu with 0%
  91. Kyrsten Sinema, Phil Murphy, JB Pritzker, and Raphael Warnock with 1%; Beshear, Raimondo, Adams, Polis, Cooper, and Landrieu with 0%
  92. Jill Biden with 7%
  93. Cooper, Raimondo and Pritzker with 1%; Beshear, Sinema, Landrieu, Murphy, Adams, Polis and Warnock with 0%
  94. Cooper, Raimondo and Pritzker with 1%; Beshear, Sinema, Landrieu, Murphy, Adams, Polis and Warnock with 0%
  95. Michael Bloomberg with 4%
  96. Eric Adams, Tim Kaine, Beto O'Rourke, and Tom Steyer with 1%; Kirsten Gillibrand, John Hickenlooper, Phil Murphy, Ilhan Omar, and Deval Patrick with 0%
  97. Tulsi Gabbard with 2%; Cooper and Murphy with 1%; Beshear, Sinema, Landrieu, Adams, Polis, Raimondo and Pritzker with 0%
  98. Tulsi Gabbard with 2%; Cooper and Murphy with 1%; Beshear, Sinema, Landrieu, Adams, Polis, Raimondo and Pritzker with 0%
  99. Eric Adams with 2%; Cooper, Raimondo, Murphy, Pritzker and Polis with 1%; Landrieu, Beshear, Raimondo and Sinema with 0%
  100. Cooper and Adams with 1%; Sinema, Beshear, Landrieu, Raimondo, Pritzker, Murphy and Polis with 0%
  101. Beto O'Rourke with 3%, Tom Steyer with 2%; Eric Adams, Tim Kaine, and Deval Patrick with 1%; Kirsten Gillibrand and Ilhan Omar with 0%
  102. Roy Cooper with 2%; Beshear, Sinema, Raimondo and Murphy with 1%; Landrieu, Pritzker and Adams with 0%
  103. Beto O'Rourke with 3%; John Hickenlooper with 2%; Tim Kaine, Deval Patrick, and Tom Steyer with 1%; Eric Adams, Kirsten Gillibrand, and Ilhan Omar with 0%
  104. Beshear, Sinema, Cooper, Landrieu, Raimondo, Pritzker and Adams with 1%; Murphy with 0%
  105. Beto O'Rourke with 2%; Eric Adams and John Hickenlooper with 1%; Kirsten Gillibrand, Tim Kaine, Ilhan Omar, Deval Patrick, and Tom Steyer with 0%
  106. Cooper, Adams and Raimondo with 3%
  107. Gabbard with 1%; Beshear and Sinema with 0%
  108. Other/Don't know with 14%
  109. "Someone else" with 3%; Michael Bloomberg and Beto O'Rourke with 2%; Sherrod Brown, Andrew Yang, and Katie Porter with 1%
  110. "Someone else", Andy Beshear, Tulsi Gabbard and Kyrsten Sinema with 0%
  111. Beto O'Rourke with 3%, other with 29%
  112. Sherrod Brown with 4%
  113. "Someone else" and Tulsi Gabbard with 1%; Andy Beshear and Kyrsten Sinema with 0%
  114. Beto O'Rourke with 3%; Kirsten Gillibrand, John Hickenlooper, Tim Kaine, Deval Patrick and Tom Steyer with 1%; Ilhan Omar with 0%
  115. Beto O'Rourke with 3%, Kirsten Gillibrand, Deval Patrick and Tom Steyer with 1%; John Hickenlooper, Tim Kaine and Ilhan Omar with 0%
  116. O'Rourke and Yang with 2%; Besehar, Gabbard, and Gillibrand with 1%; Sinema with 0%
  117. Andrew Yang with 4%; John Hickenlooper and Beto O'Rourke with 2%; Kirsten Gillibrand and Tim Kaine with 1%; Ilhan Omar with 0%
  118. Sherrod Brown with 2%
  119. Beto O'Rourke and Andrew Yang with 3%; John Hickenlooper with 2%; Tim Kaine, Deval Patrick and Ilhan Omar with 1%
  120. Tim Kaine, Beto O'Rourke, Deval Patrick, and Andrew Yang with 2%; Kirsten Gillibrand, John Hickenlooper and Ilhan Omar with 1%
  121. Democratic subsample of full sample of 1,574 likely voters
  122. "Someone else" with 26%; Beto O'Rourke with 4%, Andrew Yang with 3%, Julian Castro with 2%; John Bel Edwards with 1%
  123. Andrew Yang with 4%, Kirsten Gillibrand, John Hickenlooper and Beto O'Rourke with 2%; Tim Kaine, Ilhan Omar, and Deval Patrick with 1%
  124. Andrew Yang with 4%, John Hickenlooper and Beto O'Rourke with 2%; Tim Kaine, Kirsten Gillibrand, Ilhan Omar, and Deval Patrick with 1%; Gavin Newsom with 0%
  125. John Hickenlooper with 3%; Tim Kaine with 2%; Kirsten Gillibrand, Ilhan Omar and Deval Patrick with 1%
  126. Kirsten Gillibrand, John Hickenlooper, Tim Kaine, Ilhan Omar, and Deval Patrick with 1%
  127. John Hickenlooper with 3%; Kirsten Gillibrand, Tim Kaine and Deval Patrick with 1%
  128. Andrew Yang with 14%, Beto O'Rourke with 6%, Kirsten Gillibrand with 4%
  129. Andrew Yang with 8%, Beto O'Rourke with 6%, Kirsten Gillibrand with 3%

    Partisan clients

    1. Poll sponsored by Harvard University Center for American Political Studies
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    References

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