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Opinion polling for the April 2019 Israeli legislative election

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In the run-up to the April 2019 Israeli legislative election, which was held on 9 April,[1] various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions in Israel. Results of such polls are displayed in this article, ranging from the previous legislative election, held on 17 March 2015, to the 2019 election.

Campaign period

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Electoral threshold

Polls do not take the electoral threshold (currently 3.25%) into account in a uniform fashion. Some polls reported the number of seats each party would win purely according to the percentages, as though there were no threshold; others eliminated parties that polled below the threshold and distributed the 120 available Knesset seats only among those who passed it. As a result, parties that polled at or near the threshold can show[2] inconsistent results, bouncing between 0 and the minimum 3 or 4 seats. Polls may not add up to 120 seats due to rounding or omitted parties that drop out or do not poll consistently.

Graphs

These graphs show the polling trends from the time Knesset candidate lists were finalized on 21 February, until the day of the election. No polls were published from Friday before the election until the election date.

If more than one poll was conducted on the same day, the graphs show the average of the polls for that date.

Blocs

Legend

Note: Political blocs do not necessarily determine the exact makeup of post-election coalitions.

Parties

Polls

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest figure in each survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then both figures are shaded. Parties that fall below the threshold are denoted by the percentage of votes that they received (N%) instead of the seats they would have gotten. When a poll has no information on a certain party, that party is instead marked by a dash (–).

These tables list the polls published from the time that Yisrael Beiteinu left the government coalition in mid-November 2018,[7] until election day.

Legend

Note: Political blocs do not necessarily determine the exact makeup of post-election coalitions.

More information Date, Polling firm ...
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Student polls

This table lists polls answered by Israeli college and university students.

More information Date, Polling firm ...
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20th Knesset

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This table lists the polls published from the beginning of the 20th Knesset to the time that Yisrael Beiteinu left the government coalition in mid-November 2018.

Legend
More information Date, Polling firm ...
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Scenario polls

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If Netanyahu is indicted

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Mergers

Multiple polls were published about hypothetical mergers, some of which eventually materialized during the pre-campaign, such as Gantz, Ya'alon, Ashkenazi and Lapid (Blue and White), or Jewish Home, Tkuma and Otzma Yehudit (Union of the Right-Wing Parties).

Likud and Yisrael Beiteinu
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Hosen with Telem (Moshe Ya'alon)
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Hosen with Hatnuah (Tzipi Livni)
More information Date, Polling firm ...
Hosen with Yesh Atid (Yair Lapid)
More information Date, Polling firm ...
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Hosen with the Zionist Union
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Hosen with Yesh Atid and Labor
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Hosen with Yesh Atid and Gabi Ashkenazi
More information Date, Polling firm ...
Hosen with Yesh Atid, Labor, Telem, Hatnua, Ashkenazi, Barak
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Hosen with Kulanu and Gabi Ashkenazi
More information Date, Polling firm ...
Union of right-wing parties
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Haredim
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Yesh Atid and Hatnuah
More information Date, Polling firm ...
Labor and Meretz
More information Date, Polling firm ...
Multiple mergers
Labor and Meretz, Hosen with Yesh Atid and Gabi Ashkenazi, Jewish Home and Tkuma
More information Date, Polling firm ...
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Preferred prime minister polls

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Some opinion pollsters have asked voters which party leader they would prefer as Prime Minister. Their responses are given as percentages in the tables below.

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Notes

  1. Kulanu is a centre to centre-right party that expressed openness to serve in either a Likud- or Blue & White-led government.[3]
  2. Zehut is a right-libertarian party that expressed openness to serve in either a Likud- or Blue & White-led government.[4]
  3. Blue & White expressed its intention not to form a coalition with Ra'am-Balad or Hadash-Ta'al.[5]
  4. Gesher is a centrist party that expressed openness to serve in either a Likud- or Blue & White-led government.[6]
  5. Results of this poll are before redistribution of surplus votes, therefore total seats are less than 120.
  6. Survey partially released by Army Radio.[174]
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References

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