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Opinion polling for the 2024 Belgian elections

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In the run up to the 2024 Belgian federal election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Belgium. The results of nationwide polls are usually numerically split into the three Belgian regions: Flanders, Brussels and Wallonia. Federal seat projections for the Chamber of Representatives are presented together under these regional polls. The federal election was part of a group of elections which also include the regional elections and the European elections held on the same day. Some polls might be undefined voting intentions without differentiating between the elections.

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Flanders

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Federal

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The graph and the table below show the results for the opinion polls conducted in the Flemish Region, as well as for polls conducted nationwide the part of the results related to the Flemish Region.

More information Date(s) conducted, Polling firm ...

Regional

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Wallonia

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The graph and the table below show the results for the opinion polls conducted in the Walloon Region, as well as for polls conducted nationwide the part of the results related to the Walloon Region.

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More information Date(s) conducted, Polling firm ...
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Brussels

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The graph and the table below show polling results in the Brussels Region (which may be part of a larger, nationwide poll). In September 2022, only polling results for Francophone parties were published for polls conducted for VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir.

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Scatter plot with moving average showing the results of the polls in the Brussels Region since the last federal elections.
More information Date(s) conducted, Polling firm ...
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Seat projections

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The graph and table below shows seat projections for the Chamber of Representatives according to a reporting newspaper or polling firm.

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By party

More information Date(s) conducted, Polling firm ...

By political family

Below are tallies for each ideological 'group' as well as probable coalitions. In bold on dark grey, if the coalition commands an absolute majority.

Note that "asymetrical" coalitions are now frequent: between 2007 and 2011, PS was part of each cabinet but not sp.a (Vooruit); and between 2014 and 2018, the Michel Government included cd&v but not cdH (LE), as well as the N-VA, of which there is no equivalent in Wallonia.

Coalition seat projections

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Political family seat projections

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More information Date(s) conducted, Polling firm ...
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European Parliament election

Dutch-speaking

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French-speaking

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See also

Notes

  1. Includes the People's Party, which dissolved in June 2019 after the elections
  2. Includes LE, which broke with their Christian democratic tradition on 17 March 2022
  3. Example of a Purple-Green coalition: Verhofstadt I Government
  4. Example of a Swedish coalition: Michel I Government

References

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