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Opinion polling for the next Israeli legislative election
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In the run up to the next Israeli legislative election, scheduled to be held by 27 October 2026, various organisations are conducting opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Israel during the term of the twenty-fifth Knesset. This article lists the results of such polls.
The date range for these opinion polls is from the 2022 Israeli legislative election, held on 1 November, to the present day. In keeping with the election silence law, no polls may be published from the end of the Friday before the election until the polling stations close on election day at 22:00.[1]
Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the highest figures. When a poll has no information on a certain party, that party is instead marked by a dash (–).
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Seat projections
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This section displays voting intention estimates referring to the next Knesset election. The figures listed are Knesset seat counts rather than percentages, unless otherwise stated.
This graph shows the polling trends from the 2022 Israeli legislative election until the next election day using local regressions (LOESS). Scenario polls are not included here. For parties not crossing the electoral threshold (currently 3.25%) in any given poll, the number of seats is calculated as a percentage of the 120 total seats.
Poll results are listed in the table below. Parties that fall below the electoral threshold of 3.25% are denoted by the percentage of votes that they received (N%), rather than the number of seats they would have received.
- Legend
- Government
- Sum of the 37th government parties: Likud, National Religious Party–Religious Zionism, Otzma Yehudit, Shas, and United Torah Judaism. For polls conducted after 30 September 2024, polls include New Hope (which joined the government on that date). Coalition parties are highlighted in blue.
- Opposition bloc
- Sum of the 36th government parties (often referred to in media as the "opposition bloc" to the 37th government): The Democrats (a merger of Labor and Meretz), National Unity, Ra'am, Yesh Atid, and Yisrael Beiteinu. For more recent polls, this sum also includes Bennett 2026, a new party founded by Naftali Bennett (who served as prime minister of the 36th government), and Yashar. The sum excludes the non-government parties Balad and Hadash–Ta'al, as well as Noam, which had previously left the 37th government multiple times. Yoaz Hendel's Reservists party has also said that they would be willing to be in a government with Netanyahu's Likud.[2]
61 seats are required for a majority in the Knesset. If a bloc has a majority, the sum is displayed in bold with its background shaded in the leading party's colour.
2025
2024
2022–2023
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Voting intention polls (reported as percentages)
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The following polls conducted by the Viterbi Center for the Israeli Democracy Institute reported raw percentages of responses without calculating seat projections:
2024
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Scenario polls
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Most often, opinion polling about hypothetical scenarios is done in the same survey as the regular polling. This is why these scenario polls are paired for comparison purposes.
Regular poll
Scenario poll
Gadi Eisenkot scenarios
- Gadi Eisenkot forms a new party
Naftali Bennett scenarios
- Naftali Bennett's new party runs
- Naftali Bennett forms a new party
Other new party scenarios
- Naftali Bennett runs with Gadi Eisenkot
- Gadi Eisenkot and Yoaz Hendel form new parties
![]() | This section needs to be updated. (September 2025) |
- New Hope splits from National Unity
- Naftali Bennett forms a new party and Yoaz Hendel forms a new party
- Naftali Bennett forms a new party and Yoav Gallant forms a new party
- Yoav Gallant forms a new party
- Naftali Bennett and Yossi Cohen form two separate new parties
- Yossi Cohen forms a new party
- Yoaz Hendel forms a new party
- Yariv Levin forms a new party
- New anti-judicial overhaul right-wing party
- New party headed by the anti-judicial reform protest leaders
- New party headed by the anti-judicial reform protest leaders with a new right wing liberal party
Labor and Meretz run together (prior to merger)
After Nov 2023, the questions ask if they should be led by Yair Golan. In July 2024, they merge and form The Democrats, under Golan's leadership.
Alternative leadership scenarios
- Gadi Eisenkot leads National Unity
- Nir Barkat leads the Likud
- Yossi Cohen leads the Likud
- Yoav Gallant leads the Likud
United right wing party outside the government
- Naftali Bennett forms a new party and forms an alliance with Yisrael Beiteinu and New Hope
- Naftali Bennett forms a new party and forms an alliance with Yisrael Beiteinu
- Yoaz Hendel and Naftali Bennett form a new party
- United right wing party with Avigdor Lieberman, Naftali Bennett, Yossi Cohen, Ayelet Shaked and Gideon Sa'ar
- United right wing party with Avigdor Lieberman, Naftali Bennett, Yossi Cohen, Ayelet Shaked and Gideon Sa'ar and a separate "Reservists' Party" led by Yoaz Hendel
- Naftali Bennett and Yossi Cohen join Yisrael Beiteinu
- Merger of Gideon Sa'ar, Naftali Bennett and Yossi Cohen
New right-wing opposition party and Labor-Meretz scenarios (prior to merger)
- Labor and Meretz run together under Yair Golan; Gideon Sa'ar, Naftali Bennett, Yossi Cohen, Avigdor Lieberman form a new party
- Naftali Bennett and Yossi Cohen form two separate new parties, and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz joint list
- Merger of Gideon Sa'ar, Naftali Bennett and Yossi Cohen & Labor and Meretz under Yair Golan
- New Hope splits from National Unity, Naftali Bennett, Yossi Cohen and Yoaz Hendel form three separate new parties, and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz joint list
- Yoav Gallant forms a new party and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz union
- Naftali Bennett and Yossi Cohen form a new party and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz union
- Naftali Bennett forms a new party and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz union
Other scenarios and scenario combinations
- Naftali Bennett forms new party and Gadi Eisenkot becomes head of National Unity
- Naftali Bennett forms a new party, Yossi Cohen becomes Likud leader and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz union
- Naftali Bennett forms a new party, Nir Barkat becomes Likud leader and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz union
- Naftali Bennett forms a new party, Yoav Gallant becomes Likud leader and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz union
- United right wing party with Avigdor Lieberman, Naftali Bennett, Yossi Cohen, and Gideon Sa'ar, and National Unity and Yesh Atid form an alliance
- Gadi Eisenkot joins Yesh Atid
- Merger of Gadi Eisenkot and Naftali Bennett
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Preferred prime minister
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Whether voters intend to vote for the same party that they did in 2022
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The Israel Democracy Institute commissioned the Viterbi Center to gauge voting intentions of Israeli voters based on their voting history. In January 2023, they asked if voters would vote for the same party as they did in 2022.[438] In that poll, 50% were certain they would, 22% think yes, 7% think no, and 4% were certain that they wouldn't. An additional 3% of those polled didn't vote in 2022 but planned to in the next election, 6% didn't and don't plan to vote, and 10% were undecided.
In October 2023, the question was asked again but centered around voting block.[439] In that poll, 39.7% would vote for the same party as was voted for in 2022, 14.8% would vote for the same political bloc, 6.3% would vote for a party in a different bloc, and a combined 39.2% of those surveyed either wouldn't vote or were undecided.
The Institute also ran a series of surveys in 2024 asking people their re-voting intention, based on which party they voted for.[394]
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Other questions
Inclusion of ultra-orthodox parties in the next government
See also
Notes
- Polls before 16 September 2025 refer to it as "Party of Gadi Eisenkot".
- Polls before 18 September 2025 refer to it as "Party of Yoaz Hendel".
- Voting share only for respondents that expressed preference for a particular party option, does not include respondents who indicate that they were unsure, who declined to answer, or who are undecided.
- Voting share only for respondents that expressed preference for a particular party option, does not include respondents who indicate that they were unsure, who declined to answer, or who are undecided.
- combined 2022 popular vote of Labor and Meretz, the precursor parties of The Democrats
- Voting share only for respondents that expressed preference for a particular party option, does not include respondents who indicate that they were unsure, who declined to answer, or who are undecided.
- Voting share only for respondents that expressed preference for a particular party option, does not include respondents who indicate that they were unsure, who declined to answer, or who are undecided.
- Voting share only for respondents that expressed preference for a particular party option, does not include respondents who indicate that they were unsure, who declined to answer, or who are undecided.
- July 2024 survey grouped Yisrael Beiteinu with New Hope and "a new right-wing party" on a possible joint ticket
- July 2024 survey grouped Yisrael Beiteinu with New Hope and "a new right-wing party" on a possible joint ticket
- Voting share only for respondents that expressed preference for a particular party, does not include respondents who indicate that they were unsure, who declined to answer, or who are undecided.
- combined 2022 popular vote of Labor and Meretz, the precursor parties of The Democrats
- Recalculated to omit respondents that answered "will not vote" or that declined to respond. Raw data of poll (out of 750 respondents) saw 27 (4%) decline to respond; 72 (10%) answer "will not vote"; with the remaining answers being Likud 50 (7%), Yesh Atid 84 (11%), Otzma Yehudit 39 (5%), National Unity 108 (14%), New Hope 8 (1%), Shas 26 (3%), UTJ 40 (5%), Yisrael Beiteinu 27 (4%), Ra'am 21 (3%), Hadash–Ta'al 19 (3%), Labor 15 (2%), Meretz 28 (4%), Balad 15 (2%), Other 14 (2%), undecided 137 (18%)
- Voting share only for respondents that expressed preference for a particular party, does not include respondents who indicate that they were unsure, who declined to answer, or who are undecided.
- Recalculated to omit respondents that answered "will not vote" or that declined to respond. Raw data of poll (out of 750 respondents) saw 23 (3%) decline to respond; 63 (8%) answer "will not vote"; with the remaining answers being Likud 60 (8%), Yesh Atid 75 (10%), Otzma Yehudit 34 (5%), National Unity 105 (14%), New Hope 5 (1%), Shas 29 (4%), UTJ 37 (5%), Yisrael Beiteinu 38 (5%), Ra'am 23 (3%), Hadash–Ta'al 11 (1%), Labor 17 (2%), Meretz 18 (2%), Balad 5 (1%), Other 11 (1%), undecided 180 (24%)
- Voting share only for respondents that expressed preference for a particular party, does not include respondents who indicate that they were unsure, who declined to answer, or who are undecided..
- Recalculated to omit respondents that answered "will not vote" or that declined to respond. Raw data of poll (out of 755 respondents) saw 32 (4%) decline to respond; 79 (10%) answer "will not vote"; with the remaining answers being Likud 80 (11%), Yesh Atid 47 (6%), Otzma Yehudit 44 (6%), National Unity 128 (18%), New Hope 16 (2%) Shas 26 (3%), UTJ 34 (5%), Yisrael Beiteinu 40 (5%), Ra'am 15 (2%), Hadash–Ta'al 23 (3%), Labor 10 (1%), Meretz 17 (2%), Balad 9 (1%), Other 6 (1%), undecided 137 (18%)
- Voting share only for respondents that expressed preference for a particular party, does not include respondents who indicate that they were unsure, who declined to answer, or who are undecided..
- Recalculated to omit respondents that answered "will not vote" or that declined to respond. Raw data of poll (out of 750 respondents) saw 75 (10%) decline to respond; 105 (14%) answer "will not vote"; with the remaining answers being Likud 75 (10%), Yesh Atid 68 (9%), Otzma Yehudit 29 (4%), National Unity 176 (23%), Shas 32 (4%), UTJ 30 (4%), Yisrael Beiteinu 40 (9%), Ra'am 30 (4%), Hadash–Ta'al 8 (1%), Labor 22 (2%), Meretz 22 (3%), Balad 11 (1%), Other 14 (2%), undecided 12 (2%)
- Voting share only for respondents that expressed preference for a particular party, does not include respondents who indicate that they were unsure, who declined to answer, or who are undecided..
- Polled as "What if Bennett does not run?
- Polled as "What if Bennett does not run?
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References
External links
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