Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation & client |
Sample size |
Should Wales be an independent country? |
Lead |
Notes |
Yes |
No |
Undecided |
24–27 March 2025 |
Redfield and Wilton Strategies |
960 |
35% |
50% |
15% |
15% |
|
2–8 September 2024 |
YouGov |
1207 |
24% |
61% |
15% |
37% |
|
5–7 June 2024 |
Redfield and Wilton Strategies |
960 |
33% |
57% |
10% |
24% |
|
18–19 May 2024 |
Redfield and Wilton Strategies |
900 |
29% |
59% |
12% |
30% |
|
23–24 March 2024 |
Redfield and Wilton Strategies |
878 |
30% |
58% |
11% |
28% |
|
18 February 2024 |
Redfield and Wilton Strategies |
874 |
27% |
61% |
12% |
34% |
|
24–26 January 2024 |
Redfield and Wilton Strategies |
1,100 |
30% |
59% |
11% |
29% |
|
10–11 December 2023 |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies |
1,086 |
34% |
58% |
9% |
24% |
|
4–7 December 2023 |
YouGov/Barn Cymru |
1,004 |
22% |
56% |
14% |
34% |
|
12–13 November 2023 |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies |
1,100 |
33% |
56% |
12% |
23% |
|
14–15 October 2023 |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies |
959 |
31% |
59% |
9% |
28% |
|
1–6 September 2023 |
YouGov |
|
22% |
56% |
13% |
34% |
|
13–14 August 2023 |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies |
1,068 |
33% |
53% |
14% |
20% |
|
14–16 July 2023 |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies |
1,050 |
32% |
58% |
10% |
26% |
|
17–18 June 2023 |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies |
1,000 |
30% |
57% |
13% |
27% |
|
12–17 May 2023 |
YouGov/Barn Cymru |
1,064 |
20% |
54% |
15% |
34% |
|
14–15 May 2023 |
Redfield and Wilton Strategies |
1,058 |
32% |
58% |
11% |
26% |
|
15–17 April 2023 |
Redfield and Wilton Strategies |
1,251 |
29% |
60% |
11% |
31% |
|
17–23 Feb 2023 |
YouGov / WalesOnline |
1,083 |
18% |
55% |
16% |
37% |
|
25 Nov – 1 Dec 2022 |
YouGov / Barn Cymru |
1,042 |
22% |
55% |
14% |
33% |
|
21–25 November 2022 |
YouGov / YesCymru |
1,033 |
23% |
54% |
13% |
31% |
|
20–22 September 2022 |
YouGov / Barn Cymru |
1,014 |
24% |
52% |
14% |
28% |
Age 16+ |
16–19 August 2022 |
YouGov / The Sunday Times |
1,025 |
30% |
48% |
13% |
18% |
Non-standard question: If Liz Truss became Prime Minister of the UK |
16–19 August 2022 |
YouGov / The Sunday Times |
1,025 |
25% |
53% |
12% |
28% |
|
12–16 June 2022 |
YouGov / ITV Wales |
1,020 |
25% |
50% |
25% |
25% |
|
25 Feb – 1 March 2022 |
YouGov/ Barn Cymru |
1,086 |
21% |
53% |
26% |
32% |
Age 16+ |
5 May 2021 |
Savanta ComRes |
1,002 |
30% |
55% |
15% |
25% |
Taken with 29 April – 4 May 2021 poll, online |
2–4 May 2021 |
YouGov / Welsh Barometer |
1,071 |
21% |
55% |
14% |
34% |
|
29 April – 4 May 2021 |
Savanta ComRes |
1,002 |
27% |
58% |
14% |
31% |
Online |
23–28 April 2021 |
Savanta ComRes |
1,002 |
42% |
49% |
8% |
7% |
46% (excluding "don't know"), the highest ever level of support.[3] |
18–21 April 2021 |
YouGov |
1,142 |
22% |
54% |
24% |
32% |
Age 16+ |
9–19 April 2021 |
Opinium / Sky News |
2,005 |
28% |
52% |
19% |
24% |
|
16–19 March 2021 |
Welsh Barometer Survey / YouGov |
1,174 |
22% |
55% |
23% |
33% |
Age 16+ |
18–22 February 2021 |
Savanta ComRes / ITV News |
1,003 |
35% |
55% |
10% |
20% |
39% (excluding "don't know"), the highest ever support at the time.[4][5] Age 16+. |
19–22 February 2021 |
WalesOnline / YouGov |
1,059 |
25% |
50% |
14% |
25% |
Age 16+ |
18–21 January 2021 |
The Sunday Times / YouGov |
1,059 |
23% |
52% |
25% |
29% |
Age 16+ |
11–14 January 2021 |
Welsh Barometer Survey / YouGov |
1,018 |
22% |
53% |
25% |
31% |
Age 16+ |
26–29 October 2020 |
Welsh Barometer Survey / YouGov |
1,013 |
23% |
53% |
25% |
30% |
Age 16+ |
24–27 August 2020 |
YesCymru / YouGov |
1,044 |
25% |
52% |
23% |
27% |
|
29 July – 7 August 2020 |
YesCymru / YouGov |
1,044 |
26% |
55% |
19% |
29% |
Age 16+ |
29 May – 1 June 2020 |
ITV Wales / YouGov / Cardiff Uni |
1,021 |
25% |
54% |
21% |
29% |
|
20–26 January 2020 |
Welsh Barometer Survey / YouGov |
1,037 |
21% |
57% |
22% |
36% |
Age 16+ |
6–9 December 2019 |
Welsh Barometer Survey / YouGov |
1,020 |
17% |
60% |
23% |
43% |
|
22–25 November 2019 |
Welsh Barometer Survey / YouGov |
1,116 |
20% |
57% |
22% |
37% |
|
31 October – 4 November 2019 |
Welsh Barometer Survey / YouGov |
1,032 |
22% |
57% |
21% |
35% |
|
10–14 October 2019 |
Welsh Barometer Survey / YouGov |
1,032 |
21% |
57% |
23% |
36% |
|
6–10 September 2019 |
Plaid Cymru / YouGov |
1,039 |
24% |
52% |
23% |
28% | |
6–10 September 2019 |
Plaid Cymru / YouGov |
1,039 |
33% |
48% |
20% |
15% |
Non-standard question: If an independent Wales was within the European Union |
7–14 December 2018 |
Sky News Data: Wales |
1,014 |
17% |
67% |
16% |
50% | |
30 May – 6 June 2018 |
YouGov |
2,016 |
19% |
65% |
16% |
46% | |
July 2016 |
ITV Wales / YouGov |
1,010 |
15% |
65% |
20% |
50% | |
July 2016 |
ITV Wales / YouGov |
1,010 |
28% |
53% |
20% |
25% |
Non-standard question: If an independent Wales was within the European Union |
July 2016 |
ITV Wales / YouGov |
1,010 |
19% |
61% |
21% |
42% |
Non-standard question: If Scotland left the UK |
8–11 September 2014 |
ITV Wales / YouGov / Cardiff University |
>1,000 |
17% |
70% |
13% |
53% |
The week before the Scottish independence referendum |
April 2014 |
YouGov |
1,000 |
12% |
74% |
14% |
62% | |
March 2013 |
ITV Wales / YouGov |
Unknown |
10% |
62% |
28% |
52% |
Non-standard question: If Scotland left the UK |
5–8 January 2007 |
BBC / Opinion Research Business |
527 |
19% |
69% |
13% |
50% |
Would you like the Union to continue as it is or would you like to see it come to an end? If it were to end this would mean that Wales became an independent country. |