Opinion polling on the Jair Bolsonaro presidency

Opinion polling has been regularly conducted in Brazil since the start of Jair Bolsonaro's four-year term administration, gauging public support for the President of Brazil and his government. Typically, an approval rating is based on responses to a poll in which a sample of people are asked to evaluate the overall administration of the current president. Participants might also be asked whether they approve of the way president handles his job, if they trust him, to rate his personality, or to opine on various policies promoted by the government.

Overall administration evaluation

The public was asked to evaluate the performance of Bolsonaro's administration. A question might ask:

The administration of President Jair Bolsonaro has been excellent, good, regular, bad, or terrible?^[1]

  plurality approval   neutral evaluation   plurality disapproval   majority disapproval

Polling group	Date	Sample size	Good / Excellent	Regular	Bad / Terrible	Unsure / No opinion	Net ±
								Datafolha[2]	19–20 December 2022	2,026	39%	24%	37%	1%	+2%
								IPEC[3]	26–28 August 2022	2,000	31%	24%	43%	2%	–12%
2022
Poder360[4]	17–19 July	3,000	34%	14%	50%	2%	–16%
Exame/Ideia[5]	17–22 June	1,500	33%	21%	44%	1%	–11%
Paraná Pesquisas[6]	31 March–April 5	2,020	32.4%	20.8%	45.8%	1%	–13.4%
Datafolha	22–23 March	2,556	25%	28%	46%	1%	–21%
Exame/Ideia	18–23 March	1,500	28%	24%	45%	3%	–17%
XP/Ipespe[7]	7–9 March	1,000	27%	20%	52%	1%	–25%
Paraná Pesquisas[6]	March 3–8	2,020	28.1%	23.7%	47%	1,3%	–18.9%
PoderData[8]	February 27–March 1	3,000	30%	16%	52%	2%	–22%
CNT/MDA[9]	February 16–19	2,002	25.9%	30,4%	42.7%	1%	–16.8%
XP/Ipespe[10]	January 10–12	1,000	24%	21%	54%	7%	−30%
2021
IPEC[11]	December 9–13	2,002	19%	25%	55%	1%	−36%
Exame/Ideia[12][13]	November 18–22	1,277	23%	19%	55%	2%	−32%
	November 9–11	1,200	23%	20%	54%	3%	−31%
PoderData[14]	September 13–15	2,500	27%	14%	56%	3%	−29%
Atlas Político[15]	August 30–September 4	3,246	24%	14%	61%	1%	−37%
PoderData[16]	August 16–18	2,500	28%	13%	56%	3%	−28%
XP/Ipespe[17]	August 11–14	1,000	20%	23%	54%	2%	−34%
Exame/Ideia[18]	July 12–15	1,258	26%	20%	51%	1%	−25%
Datafolha[19]	July 7–8	2,074	24%	24%	51%	1%	−27%
XP/Ipespe[20]	July 5–7	1,000	25%	21%	52%	3%	−27%
Exame/Ideia[21]	June 28–July 1	1,248	23%	21%	54%	3%	−31%
IPEC[22]	June 17–21	2,002	23%	26%	50%	1%	−27%
XP/Ipespe[23]	June 7–10	1,000	26%	22%	50%	2%	−24%
Datafolha[24]	May 11–12	2,071	24%	30%	45%	1%	−21%
Exame/Ideia[25]	April 19–22	1,200	25%	20%	54%	1%	−29%
PoderData[26]	April 12–14	3,500	26%	18%	55%	1%	−29%
XP/Ipespe[27]	March 29–31	1,000	27%	24%	48%	1%	−21%
PoderData[28]	March 29–31	3,500	26%	19%	53%	2%	−27%
Exame/Ideia[29]	March 22−24	1,255	25%	22%	49%	2%	−24%
Datafolha[30]	March 15−16	2,023	30%	24%	44%	2%	−14%
XP/Ipespe[31]	March 9–11	1,000	30%	24%	45%	1%	−15%
Exame/Ideia[32]	March 8–11	1,200	26%	25%	45%	3%	−19%
PoderData[33]	March 1–3,	2,500	31%	18%	47%	4%	−16%
Paraná Pesquisas[1]	February 25–March 1	2,080	34%	23.7%	40.6%	1.7%	−6.6%
CNT/MDA[34]	February 18–20	2,002	32.9%	30.2%	35.5%	1.4%	−2.6%
Exame/Ideia[35]	February 11	1,200	31%	24%	43%	2%	−12%
PoderData[36]	February 1–3	2,500	33%	22%	41%	4%	−8%
Datafolha[37]	January 20–21	2,030	31%	26%	40%	2%	−9%
Paraná Pesquisas[1]	January 22–26	2,002	33.3%	25.4%	39.6%	1.6%	−6.3%
Exame/Ideia[38]	January 18–21	1,200	27%	26%	45%	2%	−8%
XP/Ipespe[39]	January 11–14	1,000	32%	26%	40%	2%	−8%
EXAME/IDEIA[40]	January 11–14	1,200	37%	27%	37%	2%	0%
2020
PoderData[41]	December 21–23	2,500	39%	17%	42%	2%	−3%
Datafolha[42]	December 8–10	2,016	37%	29%	32%	3%	+5%
XP Investimentos[43]	December 7–9	1,000	38%	25%	35%	2%	+3%
CNI/Ibope[44]	December 5–8	2,000	35%	30%	33%	2%	+2%
Paraná Pesquisas[1]	November 28–December 1	2,036	37.2%	24.4%	37.3%	1.2%	−0.1%
PoderData[41]	November 23–25	2,500	36%	19%	40%	5%	−4%
CNT/MDA[34]	October 21–24	2,002	41%	30%	27%	1,3%	+14%
XP Investimentos[43]	October 8–11	1,000	39%	28%	31%	2%	+8%
Exame/IDEIA[45]	October 5–8	1,200	36%	25%	37%	2%	−1%
Band/PoderData[46]	September 28–30	2,500	38%	27%	30%	5%	+8%
CNI/Ibope[44]	September 17–20	2,000	40%	29%	29%	2%	+11%
Band/PoderData[47]	September 14–16	2,500	38%	25%	34%	3%	+4%
XP Investimentos[48]	September 8–11	1,000	39%	24%	36%	2%	+3%
Band/PoderData[49]	August 31–September 2	2,500	39%	24%	34%	3%	+5%
Exame/IDEIA[50]	August 24–31	1,235	39%	20%	39%	2%	0%
XP/Ipespe[51]	August 13–15	1,000	37%	23%	37%	3%	0%
Datafolha[52]	August 11–12	2,065	37%	27%	34%	1%	+3%
PoderData[53]	August 3–5	2,500	32%	25%	41%	2%	−9%
DataPoder360[54]	July 20–22	2,500	30%	23%	43%	4%	−13%
Datafolha[55]	June 23–24	2,016	32%	23%	44%	1%	−12%
XP/Ipespe[56]	June 9–11	1,000	28%	22%	48%	2%	−20%
DataPoder360[57]	June 8–10	2,500	28%	20%	47%	5%	−19%
XP/Ipespe[58][56]	May 26–27	1,000	26%	23%	49%	2%	−23%
DataPoder360[59]	May 25–27	2,500	28%	23%	44%	5%	−16%
Datafolha[60]	May 25–26	2,069	33%	22%	43%	2%	−10%
XP/Ipespe[61]	May 16–18	1,000	25%	23%	50%	2%	−25%
Fórum/Offerwise[62][63]	May 14–17	1,000	32.0%	24.9%	39.5%	3.6%	−7.5%
DataPoder360[64]	May 11–13	2,500	30%	27%	39%	4%	−9%
CNT/MDA[65][66]	May 7–10	2,002	32.0%	22.9%	43.4%	1.7%	−11.4%
XP/Ipespe[67]	April 28–30	1,000	27%	24%	49%	1%	−22%
Paraná Pesquisas[1]	April 27–29	2,006	31.8%	27.3%	39.4%	1.6%	−7.6%
DataPoder360[68]	April 27–29	2,500	29%	26%	40%	5%	−11%
Datafolha[69][70]	April 27	1,503	33%	26%	38%	3%	−5%
XP/Ipespe[71]	April 23–24	800	31%	24%	42%	3%	−11%
XP/Ipespe[71]	April 20–22	1,000	31%	26%	42%	2%	−11%
XP/Ipespe[71]	April 13–15	1,000	30%	26%	40%	3%	−10%
DataPoder360[72]	April 13–15	2,500	36%	28%	33%	3%	+3%
XP/Ipespe[73]	March 30–April 1	1,000	28%	27%	42%	3%	−14%
XP/Ipespe[74]	March 16–18	1,000	30%	31%	36%	3%	−6%
XP/Ipespe[75][76]	February 17–19	1,000	34%	29%	36%	2%	−2%
CNT/MDA[77][78]	January 15–18	2,002	34.5%	32.1%	31.0%	2.4%	+3.5%
XP/Ipespe[79]	January 13–15	1,000	32%	28%	39%	1%	−7%
2019
XP/Ipespe[80]	9–11 December	1,000	35%	25%	39%	1%	−4%
Ibope[81]	5–8 December	2,000	29%	31%	38%	3%	−9%
Datafolha[82]	5–6 December	2,948	30%	32%	36%	1%	−6%
XP/Ipespe[83]	6–8 November	1,000	35%	25%	39%	2%	−4%
XP/Ipespe[84]	9–11 October	1,000	33%	27%	38%	1%	−5%
Ibope[85]	19–22 September	2,000	31%	32%	34%	3%	−3%
Datafolha[86]	29–30 August	2,878	29%	30%	38%	2%	−9%
XP/Ipespe[87]	27–29 August	1,000	30%	27%	41%	2%	−11%
CNT/MDA[88][89]	22–25 August	2,002	29.4%	29.1%	39.5%	2.0%	−10.1%
XP/Ipespe[90]	5–7 August	1,000	33%	27%	38%	2%	−5%
Datafolha[91]	4–5 July	2,086	33%	31%	33%	2%	0%
XP/Ipespe[92]	1–3 July	1,000	34%	28%	35%	4%	−1%
Paraná Pesquisas[93]	20–25 June	2,102	30.1%	26.9%	40.8%	2.2%	−10.7%
Ibope[94][95]	20–23 June	2,000	32%	32%	32%	3%	0%
XP/Ipespe[96]	11–13 June	1,000	34%	28%	35%	3%	−1%
XP/Ipespe[97]	20–21 May	1,000	34%	26%	36%	4%	−2%
XP/Ipespe[98]	6–8 May	1,000	35%	31%	31%	3%	+4%
Ibope[99][100][101]	12–15 April	2,000	35%	31%	27%	7%	+8%
Datafolha[102]	2–3 April	2,086	32%	33%	30%	4%	+1%
XP/Ipespe[103]	1–3 April	1,000	35%	32%	26%	7%	+9%
Ibope[104][105][106]	16–19 March	2,002	34%	34%	24%	8%	0%
XP/Ipespe[107]	11–13 March	1,000	37%	32%	24%	8%	+13%
Ibope[108][105]	22–25 February	2,002	39%	30%	19%	12%	+20%
CNT/MDA[109][110]	21–23 February	2,002	38.9%	29.0%	19.0%	13.1%	+19.9%
XP/Ipespe[111]	11–13 February	1,000	40%	32%	17%	11%	+23%
Ibope[112][105]	24–28 January	2,002	49%	26%	11%	14%	+38%
XP/Ipespe[113]	9–11 January	1,000	40%	29%	20%	11%	+20%

Results may not always add to 100% due rounding methodology employed by various polling groups.

Polling aggregates

Government evaluation

Good/Excellent

Regular

Bad/Terrible

Unsure/No opinion

Presidential approval ratings

The public was asked whether they approved or disapproved of the way Jair Bolsonaro governs Brazil.^[95]

Polling group	Date	Sample size	Approves	Disapproves	Unsure / No opinion	Net ±
							IPEC[3]	August 26–28, 2022	2,000	38%	57%	2%	-19%
Poder360[4]	July 17–19, 2022	3,000	41%	55%	4%	-14%
Paraná Pesquisas	March 31-April 5, 2022	2,020	41.8%	54.4%	3.8%	-12.6%
Exame/Ideia	March 18–23, 2022	1,500	32%	44%	22%	-12%
Paraná Pesquisas	March 3–8, 2022	2,020	39.3%	56.0%	4.7%	-18.9%
XP/Ipespe	March 7–9, 2022	1,000	32%	63%	5%	-31%
CNT/MDA	February 16–19, 2022	2,002	33.9%	61.4%	1%	-27.5%
PoderData[8]	February 27–March 1, 2022	3,000	37%	53%	11%	−16%
XP/Ipespe[10]	January 10–12, 2022	1,000	30%	64%	7%	−34%
IPEC[11]	December 9–13, 2021	2,002	27%	68%	4%	−41%
XP/Ipespe[114]	October 25–28, 2021	1,000	30%	64%	6%	−34%
PoderData[14]	September 13–15, 2021	2,500	29%	62%	9%	−33%
Atlas Político[15]	August 30–September 4, 2021	3,246	35%	64%	1%	−29%
PoderData[16]	August 16–18, 2021	2,500	31%	64%	5%	−33%
XP/Ipespe[20]	July 5–7, 2021	1,000	31%	63%	6%	−32%
CNT/MDA[115]	July 1–3, 2021	2,002	33,8%	62.5%	3,7%	−28.7%
Poder360[116]	May 24–26, 2021	2,500	35%	59%	6%	−24%
PoderData[26]	April 12–14, 2021	3,500	34%	56%	10%	−22%
XP/Ipespe[27]	March 29–31, 2021	1,000	33%	60%	7%	−27%
PoderData/Poder360[117]	March 29–31, 2021	3,500	33%	59%	8%	−26%
Atlas Político[118]	March 8–10, 2021	3,721	35%	60%	5%	−25%
PoderData[36]	March 1–3, 2021	2,500	40%	51%	9%	−11%
PoderData[36]	February 1–3, 2021	2,500	40%	48%	12%	−8%
PoderData	August 3–5, 2020	2,500	45%	45%	5%	–
DataPoder360[57]	June 8–10, 2020	2,500	41%	50%	9%	−9%
CNT/MDA[66]	May 7–10, 2020	2,002	39.2%	55.4%	5.4%	−16.2%
Paraná Pesquisas[1]	April 27–29, 2020	2,006	44.0%	51.7%	4.3%	−7.7%
CNT/MDA[78]	January 15–18, 2020	2,002	47.8%	47.0%	5.2%	+0.8%
Ibope[81]	December 5–8, 2019	2,000	41%	53%	6%	−12%
Ibope[85]	September 19–22, 2019	2,000	44%	50%	6%	−6%
CNT/MDA[89]	August 22–25, 2019	2,002	41.0%	53.7%	5.3%	−12.7%
Paraná Pesquisas[93]	June 20–25, 2019	2,102	43.7%	51.0%	5.3%	−7.3%
Ibope[95]	June 20–23, 2019	2,000	46%	48%	5%	−2%
Ibope[95]	April 12–15, 2019	2,000	51%	40%	9%	+11%
Ibope[95]	March 16–19, 2019	2,002	51%	38%	9%	+13%
Ibope[95]	February 22–25, 2019	2,002	57%	31%	12%	+26%
CNT/MDA[110]	February 21–23, 2019	2,002	57.5%	28.2%	14.3%	+29.3%
Ibope[95]	24–28January 24–28, 2019	2,002	67%	21%	12%	+46%

  majority approval   plurality approval   majority disapproval   plurality disapproval

Results may not always add to 100% due rounding methodology employed by various polling groups.

Polling aggregates

Government evaluation

Approves

Disapproves

Unsure/No opinion

Public trust in Bolsonaro

The public was asked whether they trusted Jair Bolsonaro.^[95]

Polling group	Date	Sample size	Trusts	Does not trust	Unsure / No opinion	Net ±
							Datafolha[119]	December 17, 2021	3,666	39%	60%	1%	−21%
Ibope[120]	December 5–8, 2020	2,000	44%	53%	3%	−9%
Ibope[44]	September 17–20, 2020	2,000	46%	51%	3%	−5%
Ibope[81]	December 5–8, 2019	2,000	41%	56%	4%	−15%
Ibope[85]	September 19–22, 2019	2,000	42%	55%	3%	−13%
Ibope[95]	June 20–23, 2019	2,000	46%	51%	3%	−5%
Ibope[95]	April 12–15, 2019	2,000	51%	45%	4%	+6%
Ibope[95]	March 16–19, 2019	2,002	49%	44%	6%	+5%
Ibope[95]	February 22–25, 2019	2,002	55%	38%	7%	+17%
Ibope[95]	January 24–28, 2019	2,002	62%	30%	7%	+32%

  majority approval   plurality approval   majority disapproval   plurality disapproval

Results may not always add to 100% due rounding methodology employed by various polling groups.

Polling aggregates

Public trust

Trusts

Doesn't trust

Unsure/No opinion

Issue-specific support

COVID-19

The public was asked to evaluate the performance of Jair Bolsonaro in relation to the COVID-19 pandemic. A question might ask:

How do you evaluate the performance of President Jair Bolsonaro in relation to the coronavirus outbreak: excellent, good, regular, bad, or terrible?^[70]

  plurality approval   neutral evaluation   plurality disapproval   majority disapproval

Polling group	Date	Sample size	Good / Excellent	Regular	Bad / Terrible	Unsure / No opinion	Net ±
								Datafolha[121]	September 13–15, 2021	1,000	22%	22%	54%	2%	−32%
XP/Ipespe[27]	March 29–31, 2021	1,000	21%	19%	58%	3%	−37%
Datafolha[30]	March 15–16, 2021	2,023	22%	24%	54%	1%	−32%
XP/Ipespe[31]	March 9–11, 2021	1,000	18%	18%	61%	3%	−43%
XP/Ipespe[122]	February 2–4, 2021	1,000	22%	22%	53%	2%	−31%
XP/Ipespe[123]	January 11–14, 2021	1,000	23%	21%	52%	3%	−29%
XP/Ipespe[124]	July 13–15, 2020	1,000	25%	21%	52%	3%	−27%
XP/Ipespe[56]	June 9–11, 2020	1,000	23%	20%	55%	3%	−32%
XP/Ipespe[58]	May 26–27, 2020	1,000	20%	22%	55%	3%	−35%
Datafolha[125]	May 25–26, 2020	2,069	27%	22%	50%	1%	−23%
XP/Ipespe[61]	May 16–18, 2020	1,000	21%	19%	58%	3%	−37%
Fórum/Offerwise[126][63]	May 14–17, 2020	1,000	28.5%	22.3%	46.3%	3.0%	−17.8%
XP/Ipespe[67]	April 28–30, 2020	1,000	23%	22%	54%	1%	−31%
DataPoder360[68]	April 27–29, 2020	2,500	24%	29%	43%	4%	−19%
Datafolha[69][70]	April 27, 2020	1,503	27%	25%	45%	3%	−18%
XP/Ipespe[67]	April 20–22, 2020	1,000	30%	20%	48%	2%	−18%
Datafolha[127][128]	April 17, 2020	1,606	36%	23%	38%	3%	−2%
XP/Ipespe[67]	April 13–15, 2020	1,000	29%	25%	44%	2%	−15%
DataPoder360[72]	April 13–15, 2020	2,500	34%	27%	37%	2%	−3%
Fórum/Offerwise[129][126]	April 8–11, 2020	956	38.9%	23.0%	35.4%	2.7%	+3.5%
Datafolha[130]	April 1–3, 2020	1,511	33%	25%	39%	2%	−6%
XP/Ipespe[73]	March 30–April 1, 2020	1,000	29%	21%	44%	6%	−15%
Datafolha[131]	March 18–20, 2020	1,558	35%	26%	33%	5%	+2%
XP/Ipespe[74][67]	March 16–18, 2020	1,000	41%	33%	18%	8%	+23%

Results may not always add to 100% due rounding methodology employed by various polling groups.

Polling aggregates

Government evaluation

Good/Excellent

Regular

Bad/Terrible

Unsure/No opinion

Gun control

Loosening gun control laws was one of Bolsonaro's major campaign promises during the 2018 Brazilian general election.^[132][133] The changes were first signed it into a decree in May.^[134] In March 2019, an Ibope survey asked the public whether they approved of the policy and related questions.^[135] Polls conducted by Datafolha and Paraná Pesquisas presented similar findings.^[136][137]

Should gun control laws be loosened?

Are you favorable to (any kind of) carry^a?

Does having a gun at home make it safer?

Does carrying a gun make someone safer?

Does increasing the number of armed people make society safer?

See also

• 2018 Brazilian general election
• 2022 Brazilian general election
• Opinion polling for the 2018 Brazilian general election
• Opinion polling for the 2022 Brazilian general election
• Presidency of Jair Bolsonaro

Notes

a.^ The question does not distinguish between open and concealed carry, as Brazilian laws at the time of the research made no distinction between them,^[138] only asking if participant is favorable to people carrying guns in their daily lives.