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The 2024 New Hampshire gubernatorial election will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the governor of New Hampshire, concurrently with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Governor Chris Sununu was eligible to seek re-election to a fifth term, but has announced that he will not do so, leaving the election an open race.[1]
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Along with neighboring Vermont, this race is one of two Republican-held governorships up for election in 2024 in a state Joe Biden won in the 2020 presidential election. Primary elections took place on September 10, 2024.[2]
Date | Host | Ayotte | Morse | Link |
---|---|---|---|---|
August 26, 2024 | N.H. Institute of Politics | Participant | Participant | YouTube |
September 3, 2024 | WMUR-TV | Participant | Participant | YouTube |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Kelly Ayotte |
Chuck Morse |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of New Hampshire | August 15–19, 2024 | 915 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 65% | 21% | 13%[lower-alpha 2] |
Saint Anselm College | August 13–14, 2024 | 657 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 59% | 25% | 16% |
Emerson College[upper-alpha 1] | July 26–28, 2024 | 421 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 41% | 26% | 33% |
Praecones Analytica[upper-alpha 2] | May 15–20, 2024 | 420 (RV) | ± 6.42% | 50% | 28% | 22% |
UMass Lowell | January 6–16, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.65% | 54% | 22% | 23% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Kelly Ayotte |
Robert Burns |
Frank Edelblut |
Chuck Morse |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | August 9–11, 2023 | 498 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 3% | 4% | 9% | 3% | 35% |
co/efficient[upper-alpha 2] | June 14–16, 2023 | 904 (LV) | ± 3.25% | 69% | – | 9% | 22% | – | – |
Ayotte secured a major[23] victory over Morse, winning almost two thirds of the vote. She performed the best in the Sullivan County in the southwest of the state, earning 74% of the vote. Conversely, she recorded her worst result in the Rockingham County, with just 54.7% of the vote.[24]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Kelly Ayotte | 87,077 | 63.45 | |
Republican | Chuck Morse | 47,119 | 34.34 | |
Republican | Shaun Fife | 869 | 0.63 | |
Republican | Robert McClory | 837 | 0.61 | |
Republican | Frank Staples | 808 | 0.59 | |
Republican | Richard McMenamon | 523 | 0.38 | |
Write-in | ||||
Total votes | 137,233 | 100.00 |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
|||||||
Craig | Warmington | Kiper | |||||
1 | Sep. 4, 2024 | WMUR-TV | Adam Sexton | YouTube | P | P | P |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Joyce Craig |
Cinde Warmington |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of New Hampshire | August 15–19, 2024 | 809 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 39% | 30% | 8%[lower-alpha 3] | 23% |
Saint Anselm College | August 13–14, 2024 | 670 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 37% | 28% | 3%[lower-alpha 4] | 31% |
Emerson College[upper-alpha 1] | July 26–28, 2024 | 433 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 33% | 21% | – | 44% |
GBAO[upper-alpha 3] | February 22–26, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 37% | 25% | – | 39% |
Emerson College | August 9–11, 2023 | 837 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 30% | 15% | 2% | 52% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Joyce Craig | 59,868 | 48.27 | |
Democratic | Cinde Warmington | 52,363 | 42.22 | |
Democratic | Jon Kiper | 11,792 | 9.51 | |
Write-in | ||||
Total votes | 124,023 | 100.00 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[48] | Tossup | June 13, 2024 |
Inside Elections[49] | Tossup | September 1, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[50] | Tossup | June 4, 2024 |
RCP[51] | Tossup | July 13, 2024 |
Elections Daily[52] | Tossup | July 12, 2023 |
CNalysis[53] | Tossup | August 17, 2024 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Kelly Ayotte (R) |
Joyce Craig (D) |
Others | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of New Hampshire | September 12–16, 2024 | 1,695 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 46% | 47% | 1%[lower-alpha 5] | 5% |
Saint Anslem College | September 11–12, 2024 | 2,241 (LV) | ± 2.1% | 46% | 43% | 5%[lower-alpha 6] | 6% |
Primary elections held | |||||||
Emerson College[upper-alpha 1] | November 10–13, 2023 | 917 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 43% | 40% | — | 17% |
Emerson College | August 9–11, 2023 | 837 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 46% | 37% | — | 17% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Kelly Ayotte (R) |
Cinde Warmington (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[upper-alpha 1] | November 10–13, 2023 | 917 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 44% | 37% | 19% |
Emerson College | August 9–11, 2023 | 837 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 47% | 34% | 19% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Kelly Ayotte | ||||
Democratic | Joyce Craig | ||||
Libertarian | Stephen Villee | ||||
Constitution | Edmond Laplante | ||||
Write-in | |||||
Total votes | |||||
Turnout | |||||
Registered electors |
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