2010 New Brunswick general election

The 2010 New Brunswick general election was held on September 27, 2010, to elect 55 members to the 57th New Brunswick Legislative Assembly, the governing house of the province of New Brunswick, Canada. The incumbent Liberal government won 13 seats, while the opposition Progressive Conservatives won a landslide majority of 42 seats in the legislature. As leader of the PC party, David Alward became New Brunswick's 32nd premier.

2010 New Brunswick general election

← 2006 September 27, 2010 2014 →
← outgoing members members →
55 seats of the Legislative Assembly of New Brunswick 28 seats needed for a majority
Turnout	69.56% [1]
First party Second party Third party   NDP Leader David Alward Shawn Graham Roger Duguay Party Progressive Conservative Liberal New Democratic Leader since October 18, 2008 May 11, 2002 October 13, 2007 Leader's seat Woodstock Kent Ran in Tracadie-Sheila (lost) Last election 26 seats, 47.5% 29 seats, 47.1% 0 seats, 5.1% Seats before 21 32 0 Seats won 42 13 0 Seat change 21 19 Popular vote 181,776 128,113 38,737 Percentage 48.84% 34.42% 10.41% Swing 1.34pp 12.68pp 5.26pp
Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead via results by each riding.
Premier before election Shawn Graham Liberals Premier after election David Alward Progressive Conservatives

The Lieutenant-Governor of New Brunswick – acting on the advice of the Premier – would have originally been able to call an election earlier or as late as 2011; however a bill in the 56th Legislature has fixed election dates to the fourth Monday of September every four years beginning with this election.^[2]

With the defeat of Liberals, this election marked the first time in New Brunswick's history that a political party was voted out of office after just one term.^[3]

Timeline

2006

• October 10, 2006 - Organizers for the Green Party of Canada in New Brunswick announce plans to form a provincial Green Party in time to field a full slate of candidates in this election.^[4]
• November 5, 2006 - Allison Brewer resigns as leader of the New Democratic Party. She will be replaced on an interim basis by Pat Hanratty and permanently upon the election of a new leader in late 2007.
• December 12, 2006 - An opinion poll conducted November 10 to December 7 by Corporate Research Associates showed the Liberals enjoying an unprecedented lead in opinion polls, standing at 65% in contrast to 27% for the Progressive Conservatives, 6% for the New Democrats and 2% for the Greens.^[5]
• December 13, 2006 - Bernard Lord resigns as leader of the Progressive Conservatives and announces he will resign his seat in the legislature on January 31, 2007.^[6]

2007

• March 5, 2007 - Liberal Chris Collins wins Lord's former seat in Moncton East changing the standings in the legislature to 30 Liberals, 25 Progressive Conservatives.
• April 17, 2007 - Progressive Conservatives Joan MacAlpine-Stiles and Wally Stiles cross the floor and join the Liberals changing the standings in the legislature to Liberals 32, Progressive Conservatives 23.
• May 29, 2007 - Government House Leader Stuart Jamieson tables Bill 75 which would fix election dates to the fourth Monday of September every four years beginning on September 27 in 2010.
• October 13, 2007 - The NDP elect Roger Duguay as their new leader.

2008

• May 17, 2008 - The Green Party of New Brunswick is formed. Mike Milligan is elected as the interim leader of the party until a convention can be held in the fall.
• October 18, 2008 – David Alward is elected as leader of the Progressive Conservative Party.
• November 3, 2008 - Progressive Conservative Jack Carr holds a seat previously held by fellow Progressive Conservative Keith Ashfield who was elected as Conservative MP for Fredericton restoring the standings in the legislature to 32 Liberals, 23 Progressive Conservatives.

2009

• March 9, 2009 - Liberal Burt Paulin wins a seat previously held by Progressive Conservative Percy Mockler changing the standings in the legislature to 33 Liberals, 22 Progressive Conservatives.
• December 25, 2009 - Premier Shawn Graham "says he's ready to fight the next election on his controversial plan to sell NB Power to Hydro-Québec."^[7]

2010

• January 4, 2010 - Justice Minister Michael Murphy unexpectedly resigns his seat to "spend more time with his family and return to practising law".^[8]
• February 5, 2010 - Cabinet Minister Stuart Jamieson is forced to leave his cabinet post for suggesting that the NB power deal be put to a referendum.
• March 24, 2010 - Premier Shawn Graham announces that the proposed sale of NB Power has been canceled.^[9]
• May 10, 2010 - Premier Shawn Graham shuffles the New Brunswick cabinet. Bernard LeBlanc is reinstated as minister of justice, and also named the first minister responsible for public engagement. Brian Kenny is promoted to the tourism portfolio. Cheryl Lavoie enters cabinet as minister of state for seniors. Donald Arseneault gains title of deputy premier.^[10]
• May 19, 2010 - Progressive Conservatives release Vision for Citizen Engagement and Responsible Government, a pre-campaign document that outlines the PC strategy to improve citizen engagement.^[11]
• June 9, 2010 - People's Alliance officially forms the newest N.B. political party under the leadership of former Tory Kris Austin.^[12]
• September 27, 2010 - David Alward is elected into office as Premier of New Brunswick.

Results

Summary of the 2010 Legislative Assembly of New Brunswick election^{[a 1]}

Party		Leader	Candidates	Votes						Seats
				#	±	%	Change (pp)			2006	2010	±
	Progressive Conservative	David Alward	55	181,397	3,815	48.80	1.33			26	42 / 55	16
	Liberal	Shawn Graham	55	128,078	48,365	34.45	-12.70			29	13 / 55	16
	New Democratic	Roger Duguay	55	38,686	19,490	10.41	5.28
	Green	Jack MacDougall	49	16,943	16,943	4.56	4.56
	People's Alliance	Kris Austin	14	4,363	4,363	1.17	1.17
	Independent		7	2,275	1,340	0.61	0.36
Total			235	371,742		100.00%
Rejected ballots				3,160	69
Turnout				374,902	2,345	69.56%	2.04
Registered voters				538,965	19,723

1. "Recapitulation". Report of the Chief Electoral Officer Thirty-Seventh General Election September 27, 2010 (PDF). Elections New Brunswick. 2010. pp. 20–23.

  = New party

Synopsis of results

2010 New Brunswick general election - synopsis of riding results^{[a 1]}

Riding	Winning party										Turnout [a 2]	Votes
	2006		1st place		Votes	Share	Margin #	Margin %	2nd place			PC	Lib	NDP	Green	PA	Ind	Total
Albert		PC		PC	3,985	62.28%	2,712	42.38%		Lib	67.46%	3,985	1,273	409	448	284	–	6,399
Bathurst		Lib		Lib	2,899	44.99%	78	1.21%		PC	69.55%	2,821	2,899	620	104	–	–	6,444
Campbellton-Restigouche Centre		Lib		PC	3,914	54.92%	1,461	20.50%		Lib	73.94%	3,914	2,453	524	236	–	–	7,127
Caraquet		Lib		Lib	3,661	50.08%	620	8.48%		PC	81.26%	3,041	3,661	406	202	–	–	7,310
Carleton		PC		PC	3,885	61.76%	2,176	34.59%		Lib	69.75%	3,885	1,709	316	380	–	–	6,290
Centre-Péninsule-Saint-Sauveur		Lib		Lib	4,652	63.87%	3,168	43.49%		PC	79.43%	1,484	4,652	1,148	–	–	–	7,284
Charlotte-Campobello		PC		PC	2,977	48.09%	1,461	23.60%		Lib	68.61%	2,977	1,516	798	498	401	–	6,190
Charlotte-The Isles		Lib		Lib	3,176	51.36%	892	14.42%		PC	70.81%	2,284	3,176	303	174	247	–	6,184
Dalhousie-Restigouche East		Lib		Lib	3,634	46.34%	1,005	12.82%		PC	76.90%	2,629	3,634	1,406	173	–	–	7,842
Dieppe Centre-Lewisville		PC		Lib	4,542	46.28%	1,116	11.37%		PC	68.39%	3,426	4,542	1,152	694	–	–	9,814
Edmundston-Saint-Basile		PC		PC	5,551	75.89%	4,192	57.31%		Lib	69.85%	5,551	1,359	223	182	–	–	7,315
Fredericton-Fort Nashwaak		Lib		PC	3,582	47.29%	1,006	13.28%		Lib	65.61%	3,582	2,576	866	550	–	–	7,574
Fredericton-Lincoln		Lib		PC	2,713	39.60%	249	3.63%		Lib	64.97%	2,713	2,464	1,009	665	–	–	6,851
Fredericton-Nashwaaksis		Lib		PC	3,720	47.56%	960	12.27%		Lib	69.93%	3,720	2,760	601	741	–	–	7,822
Fredericton-Silverwood		Lib		PC	2,955	38.50%	448	5.84%		Lib	67.39%	2,955	2,507	1,234	912	–	67	7,675
Fundy-River Valley		Lib		PC	3,629	57.52%	1,814	28.75%		Lib	68.38%	3,629	1,815	427	221	217	–	6,309
Grand Falls-Drummond-Saint-André		Lib		PC	3,057	49.16%	347	5.58%		Lib	73.38%	3,057	2,710	292	159	–	–	6,218
Grand Lake-Gagetown		Lib		PC	3,190	44.73%	1,072	15.03%		Lib	77.73%	3,190	2,118	234	174	1,416	–	7,132
Hampton-Kings		PC		PC	4,302	57.49%	2,634	35.20%		Lib	68.66%	4,302	1,668	1,193	320	–	–	7,483
Kent		Lib		Lib	3,817	55.35%	1,995	28.93%		PC	77.54%	1,822	3,817	1,040	217	–	–	6,896
Kent South		PC		PC	5,054	60.37%	2,607	31.14%		Lib	78.26%	5,054	2,447	499	372	–	–	8,372
Kings East		PC		PC	4,470	66.74%	3,055	45.61%		Lib	67.37%	4,470	1,415	487	326	–	–	6,698
Lamèque-Shippagan-Miscou		PC		PC	4,270	58.89%	1,971	27.18%		Lib	80.94%	4,270	2,299	682	–	–	–	7,251
Madawaska-les-Lacs		PC		PC	3,378	54.17%	1,393	22.34%		Lib	70.88%	3,378	1,985	229	–	–	644	6,236
Memramcook-Lakeville-Dieppe		Lib		Lib	3,423	50.82%	1,252	18.59%		PC	69.63%	2,171	3,423	708	433	–	–	6,735
Miramichi Bay-Neguac		Lib		PC	2,908	42.71%	363	5.33%		Lib	76.89%	2,908	2,545	1,131	92	132	–	6,808
Miramichi Centre		Lib		PC	3,183	48.08%	622	9.40%		Lib	74.29%	3,183	2,561	379	174	323	–	6,620
Miramichi-Bay du Vin		Lib		Lib	3,290	49.65%	676	10.20%		PC	75.41%	2,614	3,290	507	215	–	–	6,626
Moncton East		PC		Lib	2,641	41.58%	179	2.82%		PC	59.80%	2,462	2,641	650	599	–	–	6,352
Moncton North		Lib		PC	2,349	44.95%	439	8.40%		Lib	55.47%	2,349	1,910	511	365	91	–	5,226
Moncton West		PC		PC	2,981	48.52%	975	15.87%		Lib	61.54%	2,981	2,006	576	503	–	78	6,144
Moncton Crescent		PC		PC	4,168	50.56%	1,628	19.75%		Lib	61.36%	4,168	2,540	806	729	–	–	8,243
Nepisiguit		Lib		PC	2,454	41.03%	510	8.53%		Lib	71.76%	2,454	1,944	1,474	109	–	–	5,981
New Maryland-Sunbury West		PC		PC	4,099	63.60%	2,591	40.20%		Lib	72.25%	4,099	1,508	549	289	–	–	6,445
Nigadoo-Chaleur		Lib		Lib	3,649	49.77%	851	11.61%		PC	73.38%	2,798	3,649	706	179	–	–	7,332
Oromocto		PC		PC	3,660	81.21%	3,093	68.63%		Lib	58.78%	3,660	567	280	–	–	–	4,507
Petitcodiac		PC		PC	4,133	55.69%	2,361	31.81%		Lib	68.40%	4,133	1,772	661	856	–	–	7,422
Quispamsis		Lib		PC	4,076	50.67%	1,324	16.46%		Lib	69.29%	4,076	2,752	918	298	–	–	8,044
Restigouche-La-Vallée		PC		PC	3,727	53.49%	1,238	17.77%		Lib	75.45%	3,727	2,489	550	202	–	–	6,968
Riverview		PC		PC	4,358	62.88%	2,731	39.40%		Lib	65.15%	4,358	1,627	458	488	–	–	6,931
Rogersville-Kouchibouguac		PC		Lib	3,438	46.04%	269	3.60%		PC	82.83%	3,169	3,438	860	–	–	–	7,467
Rothesay		PC		PC	3,372	56.64%	1,682	28.25%		Lib	67.21%	3,372	1,690	534	357	–	–	5,953
Saint John East		Lib		PC	2,135	37.86%	269	4.77%		Lib	54.66%	2,135	1,866	1,335	303	–	–	5,639
Saint John Harbour		Lib		PC	1,333	30.68%	7	0.16%		Lib	49.94%	1,333	1,326	1,203	236	–	247	4,345
Saint John Lancaster		Lib		PC	3,429	50.75%	1,143	16.92%		Lib	66.74%	3,429	2,286	688	246	108	–	6,757
Saint John Portland		PC		PC	2,925	50.18%	863	14.81%		Lib	62.31%	2,925	2,062	573	189	80	–	5,829
Saint John-Fundy		Lib		PC	2,908	52.02%	1,174	21.00%		Lib	57.62%	2,908	1,734	592	185	171	–	5,590
Shediac-Cap-Pelé		Lib		Lib	5,243	61.36%	3,123	36.55%		PC	73.48%	2,120	5,243	668	409	–	104	8,544
Southwest Miramichi		Lib		PC	3,786	58.57%	1,835	28.39%		Lib	75.61%	3,786	1,951	201	203	323	–	6,464
Tantramar		PC		PC	2,707	56.68%	1,801	37.71%		Lib	66.29%	2,707	906	511	652	–	–	4,776
Tracadie-Sheila		PC		PC	3,806	48.83%	1,295	16.61%		NDP	83.10%	3,806	1,478	2,511	–	–	–	7,795
Victoria-Tobique		Lib		PC	2,687	52.85%	647	12.73%		Lib	68.16%	2,687	2,040	97	120	–	140	5,084
Woodstock		PC		PC	4,672	67.31%	3,677	52.98%		Ind	68.67%	4,672	709	278	102	185	995	6,941
York		PC		PC	3,576	56.18%	2,143	33.67%		Lib	71.69%	3,576	1,433	998	358	–	–	6,365
York North		PC		PC	4,492	63.33%	3,255	45.89%		Lib	69.31%	4,492	1,237	675	304	385	–	7,093

1. "Summary of Votes Received by Candidate". Report of the Chief Electoral Officer Thirty-Seventh General Election September 27, 2010 (PDF). Elections New Brunswick. 2010. pp. 8–19.
2. "Recapitulation". Report of the Chief Electoral Officer Thirty-Seventh General Election September 27, 2010 (PDF). Elections New Brunswick. 2010. pp. 20–23.

  = Open seat

  = Turnout is above provincial average

  = Winning candidate was in previous Legislature

  = Incumbent had switched allegiance

  = Previously incumbent in another riding

  = Not incumbent; was previously elected to the Legislature

  = Incumbency arose from byelection gain

  = Other incumbents renominated

  = Previously an MP in the House of Commons of Canada

  = Multiple candidates

Results by region

Party Name			Central	North East	North West	South East	South West	Total
	Progressive Conservative	Seats	9	7	7	8	11	42
		Popular Vote	52.26%	43.93%	59.76%	45.24%	50.41%	48.84%
	Liberal	Seats	0	6	0	6	1	13
		Popular Vote	27.72%	40.52%	28.86%	37.78%	31.04%	34.42%
	New Democratic	Seats	0	0	0	0	0	0
		Popular Vote	10.48%	12.88%	4.45%	9.58%	12.07%	10.41%
	Green	Seats	0	0	0	0	0	0
		Popular Vote	6.46%	1.81%	2.56%	6.83%	4.50%	4.54%
	People's Alliance	Seats	0	0	0	0	0	0
		Popular Vote	2.97%	0.86%	0.41%	0.38%	1.65%	1.18%
	Independent	Seats	0	0	0	0	0	0
		Popular Vote	0.11%	0.00%	3.95%	0.19%	0.34%	0.61%
Total seats			9	13	7	14	12	55

Results by place

Candidates ranked 1st to 5th place, by party

Parties	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	5th
█ Progressive Conservative	42	13
█ Liberal	13	40	2
█ New Democratic		1	43	9	2
█ Independent		1	2	1	3
█ Green			6	36	6
█ People's Alliance			2	4	8

Target ridings

The following is a list of ridings which were narrowly lost by the indicated party. For instance, under the Liberal column are the 10 seats in which they came closest to winning from the Conservatives, while under the Conservative column are the 10 seats in which they came closest to winning from the Liberals. Listed is the name of the riding, and the margin, in terms of percentage of the vote, by which the party lost.

These ridings are likely to be targeted by the specified party because the party lost them by a very slim margin in the 2006 election.

Up to 10 are shown, with a maximum margin of victory of 15%. No party or independent candidate, other than the Liberals or Progressive Conservatives, came within 15% of winning any seats.

* Indicates incumbent not running again.

To clarify further; this is a list of provincial general election winners with their party in parentheses, and their margin as a percentage of the vote over the party whose list the seat is on (not the same as the margin of victory if the party potentially "targeting" the seat in that list did not finish second in the previous election). "Won" means that the targeting party won the seat from the incumbent party. "Held" means the incumbent party held the seat.

Liberal	Progressive Conservative
Dieppe Centre-Lewisville 0.7%* (won) Rothesay 1.5% (held) York 2.4% (held) Charlotte-Campobello 4.4%* (held) Saint John Portland 4.6% (held) Moncton West 4.8%* (won by PCs) New Maryland-Sunbury West 9.0% (held) Tracadie-Sheila 10.1% (held) Moncton Crescent 12.9% (held) Woodstock 13.0% (held)	Fredericton-Nashwaaksis 2.0% (won) Bathurst 2.8% (held) Grand Lake-Gagetown 3.0%* (won) Fundy-River Valley 3.3% (won) Moncton North 4.3%* (won by PCs) Fredericton-Silverwood 6.5% (won) Nepisiguit 6.9% (won) Kent 7.0% (held) Quispamsis 7.3% (won) Southwest Miramichi 7.6% (won)

The ridings of Moncton East, Moncton West, Restigouche-La-Vallée and Petitcodiac are also likely to be targeted by the Conservatives as all have switched to the Liberals since the 2006 election. Moncton East and Restigouche-La-Vallée were carried by the Liberals in by-elections while the MLAs for Moncton West and Petitcodiac crossed the floor from the PCs to the Liberals.

Opinion polls

Polling Firm	Date of Polling	Link	Liberal	Progressive Conservative	New Democratic	Green	People's Alliance
CBC News/L'Acadie Nouvelle	September 20, 2010	HTML	37	47	9	5	0
Abacus Data	September 19, 2010	PDF	38	42	11	6	2
Corporate Research Associates	September 19, 2010	HTML	36	46	11	6	1
Corporate Research Associates	September 18, 2010	HTML	38	45	10	6	1
Corporate Research Associates	September 17, 2010	HTML	37	49	9	4	1
Corporate Research Associates	September 16, 2010	HTML	38	48	9	5	1
Corporate Research Associates	September 15, 2010	HTML	38	48	10	4	0
Corporate Research Associates	September 14, 2010	HTML	37	50	9	4	0
Corporate Research Associates	September 13, 2010	HTML	37	49	10	4	0
Corporate Research Associates	September 12, 2010	HTML	38	49	9	4	0
Corporate Research Associates	September 11, 2010	HTML	41	46	9	4	0
Corporate Research Associates	September 9, 2010	HTML	41	45	9	4	0
Corporate Research Associates	September 8, 2010	HTML	43	45	8	3	0
Corporate Research Associates	September 7, 2010	HTML	43	43	11	3	0
Corporate Research Associates	September 6, 2010	HTML	43	41	11	4	1
Corporate Research Associates	September 5, 2010	HTML	43	41	11	4	1
Corporate Research Associates	September 4, 2010	HTML	43	42	10	4	1
Corporate Research Associates	September 1, 2010	HTML	42	43	10	3	2
Corporate Research Associates	August 24, 2010	PDF	41	36	16	6	1
Corporate Research Associates	May 31, 2010	PDF	37	42	16	5	—
Corporate Research Associates	March 9, 2010	PDF	36	42	18	4	—
Corporate Research Associates	December 2, 2009	PDF	36	46	14	4	—
Léger Marketing	November 22, 2009	PDF	33	45	19	—	—
Corporate Research Associates	September, 2009	HTML	41	35	22	2	—
Corporate Research Associates	May, 2009	HTML	41	40	16	3	—
Corporate Research Associates	February, 2009	HTML	50	34	13	3	—
Corporate Research Associates	November, 2008	HTML	45	38	13	4	—
Corporate Research Associates	August, 2008	HTML	49	34	14	4	—
Corporate Research Associates	May, 2008	HTML	51	36	11	2	—
Corporate Research Associates	February, 2008	HTML	63	26	8	2	—
Corporate Research Associates	November, 2007	HTML	53	32	10	4	—
Corporate Research Associates	August, 2007	HTML	60	30	7	2	—
Corporate Research Associates	May, 2007	HTML	53	33	10	4	—
Corporate Research Associates	February, 2007	HTML	59	27	11	2	—
Corporate Research Associates	November, 2006	HTML	65	27	6	2	—
Election 2006	September 18, 2006	HTML	47.1	47.5	5.1	—	—

Candidates

Retiring incumbents

The following sitting MLAs have announced that they will not seek re-election.

• Tony Huntjens, Progressive Conservative MLA for Charlotte-Campobello since 2006, and previously MLA for Western Charlotte from 1999 to 2006.^[13]
• Roly MacIntyre, Liberal MLA for Saint John East since 2006, and previously MLA for Saint John Champlain from 1995 to 1999 and 2003 to 2006.^[14]
• Jeannot Volpé, Progressive Conservative MLA for Madawaska-les-Lacs since 1995.^[15]
• Joan MacAlpine-Stiles, Liberal MLA (Originally Progressive Conservative) for Moncton West since 1999.^[16]
• Stuart Jamieson, Liberal MLA for Saint John-Fundy, first elected from 1987 to 1999, and re-elected in 2003.^[17]
• Eugene McGinley, Liberal MLA, first elected from 1972 to 1978 as MLA for Bathurst, and re-elected in 2003 as MLA for Grand Lake-Gagetown.^[18]
• Cy LeBlanc, Progressive Conservative MLA elected in 1999 and re-elected in 2003 in the Dieppe-Memramcook riding. He was re-elected again in 2006 in the Dieppe Centre-Lewisville riding.^[19]
• Mike Murphy, Liberal MLA, Moncton North. Serving, Minister of Justice, former Minister of Health.

Candidates by riding

Legend

• bold denotes cabinet minister or party leader
• italics denotes a potential candidate who has not received his/her party's nomination
• † denotes an incumbent who is not running for re-election

Northeast

Electoral district	Candidates										Incumbent
	Liberal		PC		NDP		Green		Other
1. Campbellton-Restigouche Centre		Roy Boudreau 2,453 34.42%		Greg Davis 3,914 54.92%		Widler Jules[20][21][22][23] 524 7.35%		Lynn Morrison Hemson 236 3.31%				Roy Boudreau
2. Dalhousie-Restigouche East		Donald Arseneault 3,631 46.53%		Joseph Elias 2,593 33.23%		Ray Godin[24] 1,413 18.11%		Susan Smissaert 167 2.14%				Donald Arseneault
3. Nigadoo-Chaleur		Roland Haché 3,649 49.77%		Fred Albert 2,798 38.16%		Serge Beaubrun[25] 706 9.63%		Mathieu LaPlante 179 2.44%				Roland Haché
4. Bathurst		Brian Kenny 2,899 44.99%		Nancy McKay 2,821 43.78%		Sebastien Duke[26][27] 620 9.62%		Hazel Hachey 104 1.61%				Brian Kenny
5. Nepisiguit		Cheryl Lavoie 1,946 32.49%		Ryan Riordon 2,456 41.01%		Pierre Cyr[28][29][30] 1,476 24.65%		Patrice Des Lauriers 111 1.85%				Cheryl Lavoie
6. Caraquet		Hédard Albert 3,663 - (50.07%)		Philip Chiasson[31] 3,041 - (41.57%)		Claudia Julien[32] 406 - (5.55%)		Mathieu Chayer 206 - (2.82%)				Hédard Albert
7. Lamèque-Shippagan-Miscou		Alonzo Rail[33] 2,304 - (31.74%)		Paul Robichaud 4,272 - (58.84%)		Armel Chiasson[34] 684 - (9.42%)						Paul Robichaud
8. Centre-Péninsule-Saint-Sauveur		Denis Landry 4,655 - (63.85%)		Anike Robichaud[35] 1,487 - (20.40%)		Francois Rousselle[36] 1,149 - (15.76%)						Denis Landry
9. Tracadie-Sheila		Norma McGraw 1,480 - (18.96%)		Claude Landry 3,808 - (48.78%)		Roger Duguay[37] 2,518 - (32.26%)						Claude Landry
10. Miramichi Bay-Neguac		Carmel Robichaud 2,546 - (37.36%)		Serge Robichaud 2,908 - (42.67%)		Marc-Alphonse Leclair[38] 1,132 - (16.61%)		Filip Vanicek 93 - (1.36%)		Thomas L'Huillier (PANB) 136 - (2.00%)		Carmel Robichaud
11. Miramichi-Bay du Vin		Bill Fraser 3,290 - (49.62%)		Joan Cripps 2,615 - (39.44%)		Kelly Clancy-King[28][39] 510 - (7.69%)		Ronald Mazerolle 216 - (3.26%)				Bill Fraser
12. Miramichi Centre		John Foran 2,552 - (38.56%)		Robert Trevors 3,187 - (48.16%)		Douglas Mullin[40] 379 - (5.73%)		Dylan Schneider 175 - (2.64%)		Frances Connell (PANB) 325 - (4.91%)		John Foran
13. Southwest Miramichi		Rick Brewer 1,952 - (30.17%)		Jake Stewart 3,792 - (58.60%)		Jason Robar[41] 200 - (3.09%)		Jimmy Lawlor 204 - (3.15%)		Wes Gullison (PANB) 323 - (4.99%)		Rick Brewer

Southeast

Electoral district	Candidates										Incumbent
	Liberal		PC		NDP		Green		Other
14. Rogersville-Kouchibouguac		Bertrand LeBlanc 3,442 - (46.03%)		Jimmy Bourque 3,174 - (42.45%)		Alida Fagan[28][42] 861 - (11.52%)						vacant
15. Kent		Shawn Graham 3,722 - (55.72%)		Bruce Hickey[43] 1,720 - (25.75%)		Susan Levi-Peters[44][45][46][47] 1,023 - (15.31%)		Garry Sanipass 215 - (3.22%)				Shawn Graham
16. Kent South		Martin Goguen 2,447 - (29.20%)		Claude Williams 5,055 - (60.33%)		Oscar Doucet[48] 503 - (6.00%)		Luc LeBreton 374 - (4.46%)				Claude Williams
17. Shediac-Cap-Pelé		Victor Boudreau 5,244 - (61.33%)		Janice Brun 2,121 - (24.81%)		Yves Leger[49] 669 - (7.82%)		Natalie Arsenault 409 - (4.78%)		Charles Vautour (Ind.) 107 - (1.25%)		Victor Boudreau
18. Tantramar		Beth Barczyk 911 - (19.02%)		Mike Olscamp 2,712 - (56.62%)		Bill Evans[50][51][52] 513 - (10.71%)		Margaret Tusz-King 654 - (13.65%)				Mike Olscamp
19. Memramcook-Lakeville-Dieppe		Bernard LeBlanc 3,426 - (50.82%)		Fortunat Duguay 2,174 - (32.25%)		Denis Brun[53] 707 - (10.49%)		Fanny Leblanc 435 - (6.45%)				Bernard LeBlanc
20. Dieppe Centre-Lewisville		Roger Melanson 4,541 - (46.24%)		Dave Maltais 3,429 - (34.91%)		Agathe Lapointe[54] 1,174 - (11.95%)		Paul LeBreton 677 - (6.89%)				Cy LeBlanc†
21. Moncton East		Chris Collins 2,694 - (41.54%)		Karen Nelson 2,528 - (38.98%)		Teresa Sullivan[55] 626 - (9.65%)		Roy MacMullin 637 - (9.82%)				Chris Collinsa
22. Moncton West		Anne Marie Picone Ford[56] 1,995 - (32.50%)		Susan Stultz 2,983 - (48.59%)		Shawna Gagne[57] 580 - (9.45%)		Carrie Sullivan 503 - (8.19%)		Barry Renouf (Ind.) 78 - (1.27%)		Joan MacAlpine-Stiles†b
23. Moncton North		Kevin Robart 1,912 - (36.54%)		Marie-Claude Blais 2,349 - (44.90%)		Jean Guimond[58] 512 - (9.79%)		Greta Doucet 367 - (7.01%)		Carl Bainbridge (PANB) 92 - (1.76%)		vacant
24. Moncton Crescent		Russ Mallard 2,538 - (30.77%)		John Betts 4,171 - (50.57%)		Cyprien Okana[59][60] 809 - (9.81%)		Mike Milligan 730 - (8.85%)				John Betts
25. Petitcodiac		Wally Stiles 1,769 - (23.84%)		Sherry Wilson 4,135 - (55.74%)		Leta Both[61][62] 666 - (8.98%)		Bethany Thorne-Dykstra[63] 849 - (11.44%)				Wally Stilesc
26. Riverview		Lana Hansen 1,626 - (23.47%)		Bruce Fitch 4,357 - (62.89%)		Darryl Pitre[64][65] 457 - (6.60%)		Steven Steeves 488 - (7.04%)				Bruce Fitch
27. Albert		Claude Curwin 1,252 - (19.54%)		Wayne Steeves 4,009 - (62.57%)		Anthony Crandall[66] 412 - (6.43%)		Vernon Woolsey 448 - (6.99%)		Lucy Rolfe (PANB) 286 - (4.46%)		Wayne Steeves

^a - Collins won the seat in a by-election on March 5, 2007. The seat was previously held by Progressive Conservative former premier Bernard Lord.

^b - MacAlpine-Stiles crossed the floor to the Liberals on April 17, 2007. She previously sat as a Progressive Conservative.

^c - Stiles crossed the floor to the Liberals on April 17, 2007. He previously sat as a Progressive Conservative.

Southwest

Electoral district	Candidates										Incumbent
	Liberal		PC		NDP		Green		Other
28. Kings East		George Horton 1,418 - (21.14%)		Bruce Northrup 4,476 - (66.73%)		Robert Murray[67][68] 487 - (7.26%)		Jenna Milligan 327 - (4.87%)				Bruce Northrup
29. Hampton-Kings		Kit Hickey[69] 1,668 - (22.28%)		Bev Harrison 4,302 - (57.47%)		Julie Drummond[70][71][72] 1,193 - (15.93%)		Pierre Roy 323 - (4.31%)				Bev Harrison
30. Quispamsis		Mary Schryer 2,752 - (34.24%)		Blaine Higgs 4,075 - (50.70%)		Matt Doherty[73][74] 911 - (11.33%)		Mark Woolsey 300 - (3.73%)				Mary Schryer
31. Saint John-Fundy		Gary Keating 1,736 - (30.98%)		Glen Savoie[75] 2,913 - (51.99%)		Lise Lennon[76] 594 - (10.60%)		Matthew Clark 187 - (3.34%)		Glenn McAllister (PANB) 173 - (3.09%)		Stuart Jamieson†
32. Rothesay		Victoria Clarke 1,694 - (28.40%)		Margaret-Ann Blaney 3,374 - (56.57%)		Pamela Scichilone[77] 535 - (8.97%)		Sharon Murphy-Flatt 361 - (6.05%)				Margaret-Ann Blaney
33. Saint John East		Kevin McCarville 1,867 - (33.06%)		Glen Tait[78] 2,137 - (37.84%)		Sandy Harding [79][80] 1,338 - (23.69%)		Ann McAllister 305 - (5.40%)				Roly MacIntyre†
34. Saint John Harbour		Ed Doherty[81] 1,326 - (30.45%)		Carl Killen 1,333 - (30.66%)		Wayne Dryer[82] 1,203 - (27.63%)		Patty Higgins[83] 236 - (5.45%)		John Campbell (Ind.) 247 - (5.81%)		Ed Doherty
35. Saint John Portland		Dan Joyce 2,062 - (35.31%)		Trevor Holder 2,926 - (50.10%)		Jeremy Higgins[84][85] 576 - (9.86%)		Stefan Warner 192 - (3.29%)		Lisa Cromwell (PANB) 84 - (1.44%)		Trevor Holder
36. Saint John Lancaster		Abel LeBlanc 2,287 - (33.81%)		Dorothy Shephard 3,433 - (50.75%)		Habib Kilisli[86][87] 688 - (10.17%)		Mary Ellen Carpenter 247 - (3.65%)		Wendy Coughlin (PANB) 110 - (1.63%)		Abel LeBlanc
37. Fundy-River Valley		Jack Keir 1,815 - (28.74%)		Jim Parrott 3,633 - (57.53%)		David Sullivan[88] 427 - (6.76%)		Stephanie Coburn 222 - (3.52%)		Edward Hoyt (PANB) 218 - (3.45%)		Jack Keir
38. Charlotte-The Isles		Rick Doucet 3,176 - (51.27%)		Sharon Tucker 2,286 - (36.90%)		Sharon Greenlaw[89][90] 305 - (4.92%)		Burt Folkins 180 - (2.91%)		Theresa James (PANB) 248 - (4.00%)		Rick Doucet
39. Charlotte-Campobello		Annabelle Juneau 1,516 - (24.46%)		Curtis Malloch 2,980 - (48.08%)		Lloyd Groom[91] 798 - (12.88%)		Janice Harvey[92] 500 - (8.07%)		John Craig (PANB) 404 - (6.52%)		Tony Huntjens†

Central

Electoral district	Candidates										Incumbent
	Liberal		PC		NDP		Green		Other
40. Oromocto		Georgina Jones 569 - (12.62%)		Jody Carr 3,662 - (81.23%)		Beau Davidson[93] 277 - (6.14%)						Jody Carr
41. Grand Lake-Gagetown		Barry Armstrong 2,108 - (29.16%)		Ross Wetmore[94] 3,290 - (45.51%)		J.R. Magee[95] 237 - (3.28%)		Sandra Burtt 175 - (2.42%)		Kris Austin (PANB) 1,419 - (19.63%)		Eugene McGinley†
42. Fredericton-Nashwaaksis		T.J. Burke 2,712 - (35.28%)		Troy Lifford 3,656 - (47.56%)		Dana Brown[96] 592 - (7.70%)		Jack MacDougall 727 - (9.46%)				T.J. Burke
43. Fredericton-Fort Nashwaak		Kelly Lamrock 2,586 - (34.16%)		Pam Lynch[97] 3,571 - (47.17%)		Andy Scott[98] 861 - (11.37%)		Kathleen MacDougall 553 - (7.30%)				Kelly Lamrock
44. Fredericton-Lincoln		Greg Byrne 2,178 - (35.31%)		Craig Leonard 2,437 - (39.51%)		Jason Purdy[99] 945 - (15.32%)		Tracey Waite 608 - (9.86%)				Greg Byrne
45. Fredericton-Silverwood		Rick Miles 2,469 - (32.53%)		Brian Macdonald 2,931 - (38.62%)		Tony Myatt[100][101] 1,220 - (16.07%)		Jim Wolstenholme 903 - (11.90%)		Jim Andrews (Ind.) 67 - (0.88%)		Rick Miles
46. New Maryland-Sunbury West		Larry DeLong 1,502 - (23.33%)		Jack Carr 4,097 - (63.65%)		Jesse Travis[29][102] 547 - (8.50%)		Ellen Comer 291 - (4.52%)				Jack Carrd
47. York		Winston Gamblin 1,486 - (22.95%)		Carl Urquhart 3,614 - (55.82%)		Sharon Scott-Levesque[103][104] 1,012 - (15.63%)		Jean Louis Deveau 362 - (5.59%)				Carl Urquhart
48. York North		Eugene Price[105] 1,232 - (17.39%)		Kirk MacDonald 4,486 - (63.33%)		Genevieve MacRae[106] 675 - (9.53%)		Jarrod Currie 305 - (4.31%)		Steven Hawkes[107] (PANB) 386 - (5.45%)		Kirk MacDonald

^d - Carr won the seat in a by-election on November 3, 2008. The seat was previously held by fellow Progressive Conservative Keith Ashfield.

Northwest

Electoral district	Candidates										Incumbent
	Liberal		PC		NDP		Green		Other
49. Woodstock		Jeff Bradbury 710 - (10.22%)		David Alward 4,673 - (67.27%)		Conrad Anderson[108] 280 - (4.03%)		Todd Antworth 103 - (1.48%)		Dale Allen (Ind.) 996 - (14.34%) David Kennedy (PANB) 185 - (2.66%)		David Alward
50. Carleton		Peter Cook 1,711 - (27.17%)		Dale Graham 3,884 - (61.67%)		Jacob Elsinga[109] 319 - (5.07%)		Tegan Wong-Daugherty 384 - (6.10%)				Dale Graham
51. Victoria-Tobique		Larry Kennedy 2,039 - (40.05%)		Wes McLean 2,684 - (52.72%)		David Burns[110] 109 - (2.14%)		Wayne Sabine 118 - (2.32%)		Carter Edgar (Ind.) 141 - (2.77%)		Larry Kennedy
52. Grand Falls-Drummond-Saint-André		Ron Ouellette 2,715 - (43.60%)		Danny Soucy 3,058 - (49.11%)		Maureen Michaud[111] 292 - (4.69%)		Cécile Martel Robitaille 162 - (2.60%)				Ron Ouellette
53. Restigouche-La-Vallée		Burt Paulin 2,492 - (35.72%)		Martine Coulombe 3,727 - (53.43%)		Alain Martel[112] 551 - (7.90%)		André Arpin 206 - (2.95%)				Burt Pauline
54. Edmundston-Saint-Basile		Michelle Daigle 1,362 - (18.60%)		Madeleine Dubé 5,551 - (75.81%)		Michel Thebeau[113] 226 - (3.09%)		Michelle Simard 183 - (2.50%)				Madeleine Dubé
55. Madawaska-les-Lacs		Jocelyn Lévesque 1,989 - (31.85%)		Yvon Bonenfant 3,380 - (54.13%)		Nicole Theriault[114] 230 - (3.68%)				Jean-Marc Nadeau (Ind.) 645 - (10.33%)		Jeannot Volpé†

^e - Paulin won the seat in a by-election on March 9, 2009. The seat was previously held by Progressive Conservative Percy Mockler.